Inter-American Development Bank Seminário Recente Regimes de Origem Brasilia 26-28 September 2007.
-
Upload
reuben-corbridge -
Category
Documents
-
view
215 -
download
1
Transcript of Inter-American Development Bank Seminário Recente Regimes de Origem Brasilia 26-28 September 2007.
Inter-American Development Bank
Seminário Recente Regimes de Origem
Brasilia
26-28 September 2007
The Global Garment Industry&
The Parallax Gap
Brasilia27 September 2007
David Birnbaum
Unit Market Share FTAsYarn Forward
U.S. Garment Imports
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 07-07
Year
Un
it M
ark
et
Sh
are
(S
ME
)
Mexico
CAFTA
Unit Market Share FTAsYarn Forward
U.S. Garment Imports: CAFTA Majors
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 07-07
Year
Un
it M
ark
et
Sh
are
Honduras
El Salvador
Guatemala
Dom. Rep.
Unit Market Share FTAsThird Party Fabric
U.S. Garment Imports: CAFTA Majors
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 07-07
Year
Un
it M
ark
et
Sh
are
Honduras
El Salvador
Guatemala
Dom. Rep.
Unit Market Share: The Winners IGreater China
U.S. Garment Imports
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 07-07
Year
Un
it M
ark
et
Sh
are
(S
ME
)
G.China
Unit Market Share: The Winners II
U.S. Garment Imports
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 07-07
Year
Un
it M
ark
et
Sh
are
(S
ME
India
Bangladsh
Cambodia
Indonesia
Vietnam
Unit & Value Market ShareWinners & Losers
2006 2007 % +/- 2006 2007 % +/-G.China 28.3% 34.6% 22.1% G.China 28.0% 32.8% 17.3%CAFTA 17.1% 16.0% -6.5% CAFTA 12.9% 11.7% -9.0%Mexico 7.3% 5.6% -22.9% Mexico 8.1% 6.5% -20.1%Vietnam 4.4% 5.2% 18.7% Vietnam 4.7% 5.6% 18.4%India 4.4% 4.3% -1.5% India 5.3% 4.9% -6.6%Bangladesh 5.8% 5.9% 1.6% Bangladesh 4.1% 4.3% 5.3%Indonesia 4.6% 4.8% 4.3% Indonesia 5.2% 5.7% 9.1%SSA 1.5% 1.5% -1.3% SSA 1.8% 1.8% -2.2%Cambodia 3.7% 3.6% -2.6% Cambodia 2.9% 3.3% 10.8%Jordan 1.4% 1.1% -22.6% Jordan 1.8% 1.5% -15.2%
Total 78.5% 82.6% 5% 74.8% 78.0% 4%
All Garment Products All Garment ProductsMarket Share in Units - Jan-July 07 Market Share by Value - Jan-July 07
Part II
Planning a Comprehensive
Integrated Strategy
It Is Not About Price: I
U.S. Garment Imports
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 07-07
Year
FO
B P
CT P
rem
ium
/Dis
count
HondurasEl SalvadorGuatemalaDom. Rep
It Is Not About Price: II
U.S. Garment Imports: FOB Price
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 07-07
Year
PC
T P
rem
ium
/Dis
count
G. ChinaCAFTABangladeshCamobdia
It Is Not About Price: III
U.S. Garment Imports: FOB Prices
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 07-07
Year
PC
T P
rem
ium
/Dis
count
IndiaMexicoIndonesiaVietnam
T-Shirt Analysis: Best Product IHighest Duty Rate
U.S. T-Shirt Imports
16.50%
32.00%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Cotton T Shirts Synthetic T Shirts
PCT Duty Rate
Duty
T-Shirt Analysis: Best Product IIHighest FOB Price
U.S. T-Shirt Imports
$2.97$2.69
$2.89
$3.22
$4.49
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
$4.00
$4.50
$5.00
AVER M Cot W Cot M Syn W Syn
Product
Ave
rag
e F
OB
Pri
ce
FOB
T-Shirt Analysis: Latin AmericaConcentration of Product I
T-Shirt Exports to U.S.
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
CAFTA MX HN ES NI GU DR CR
Country
Perc
en
t To
tal
by P
rod
uct
W SynM SynW CotM Cot
T-Shirt Analysis: Latin AmericaConcentration of Product II
CAFTA MX HN ES NI GU DR CRM Cot 48.7% 27.0% 60.2% 52.8% 49.1% 20.0% 46.1% 19.4%
W Cot 39.9% 51.9% 26.9% 32.2% 45.1% 73.4% 35.8% 39.1%
M Syn 9.5% 12.4% 11.9% 13.8% 4.7% 3.2% 8.8% 22.4%
W Syn 1.9% 8.6% 1.0% 1.1% 1.2% 3.4% 9.3% 19.1%
T-Shirt Analysis: Latin AmericaConcentration of Product III
U.S. T-Shirt Imports
38%
6%
20%
8%
5%3%
7.4%
2.6%3.9%
2.2%0.5% 0.5%
24%
9%7%
4% 4%
9%
1% 1%0% 0% 0% 0%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
CAFTA MX Hn Es Ni Gu
Country
Unit
Mark
et
Share
M CotM SynW CotW Syn