Intan Minister Forum 15 April 2014

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    YB Senator Dato’ Sri Abdul Wahid Omar 

    Minister in the Prime Minister’s Department 

    Tuesday, 15 April 2014

    “REVISITING THE NEW ECONOMIC MODEL” 

    “Towards Achieving a Developed Nation Status” 

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    Rakyat Quality

    of Life

    HIGH INCOME

    INCLUSIVE SUSTAINABLE

    Targets US$15,000 – 20,000

    per capita by 2020

    Meets present

    needs without

    compromising

    future

    generations

    Enables all

    communities

    to benefit

    from the

    wealth of the

    country

    Achieving High Income Status, Generating benefits for all Malaysians,

    and Economically and environmentally enduring solution

    The main goals of the NEM are that Malaysia will become a high income

    advanced nation with inclusiveness and sustainability by 2020

    2

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    HIGH INCOME – Gross National Income (GNI) per capita progressing

    towards US$15,000 target

       R   M 

    0

    5,000

    10,000

    15,000

    20,000

    25,000

    30,000

    35,000

    40,000

    45,000

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014(f)

    Per capita GNI (RM)

    In 2013, GNI per capita increased by 3.4% from RM30,666 to RM31,698

    For 2014, GNI per capita is expected to increase to RM34,126

    3.4%31,698

    34,126

    3

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    HIGH INCOME – Economic Transformation Programme on-track to

    achieve USD444 billion investments and create 3.3 million jobs by 2020

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    EPP INVESTMENTS NEW JOBS

    Progress as at 31 December 2013 (since 2010)

    196 Projects

    RM219 billion

    in Committed Investments

    437,816 in New Jobs

    created

    Since the launch of the ETP in 2010, 196 EPPs established under the NKEAs with

    total committed investment of RM219 billion. This is projected to contribute

    RM144 billion to GNI and create 437,816 new jobs.

    No of Projects (RM billion) (‘000) 

    4

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    5

    INCLUSIVENESS  – No groups will be marginalised and the essential needs

    of the rakyat will be satisfied

    0.443 0.461 0.46 0.441 0.4410.431

    0.418

    0.4050.395

    0.388

    0.423

    0.4170.416

    0.439 0.442

    0.427

    0.407

    0.382

    0.34

    0.36

    0.38

    0.4

    0.42

    0.44

    0.46

    0.48

    0.34

    0.36

    0.38

    0.4

    0.42

    0.44

    0.46

    0.48

    1999 2002 2004 2007 2009 2012

    #REF! #REF! #REF!

    Urban RuralMalaysia

    Poverty declined significantly since 1970s, both in urban and rural areas

    GINI Coefficient

    1970: 49.3%

    2012: 1.7%

    1970: 21.3%

    2012: 1.0%

    Urban

    1970: 58.7%

    2012: 3.4%

    RuralMALAYSIA

    Poverty Incidence improved albeit marginally

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    INCLUSIVE – Increasing Employee share of GDP in 2009 to

    2012

    -

     100,000

     200,000

     300,000

     400,000

     500,000

     600,000

     700,000

     800,000

     900,000

     1,000,000

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    Employer

    Employee

    Government

    64.0%

    64.4%

    64.3%

    65.4%62.9%

    63.0%

    62.9%61.7%

    29.5%29.8% 30.3%

    29.3% 31.6%31.5%

    31.8%32.9%

    Employees’ share of GDP has improved from 29.3% in 2008 to 32.9% in 2012.

    Although this is low compared to advanced economies (40-50%), the trend is

    encouraging. It is therefore important for the Government to stay the course. 

    Income Components of GDP at Current Prices - RM million

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    Growth

    2012/2008 CAGR (%)

    Compensation of Employees 160,594 177,926 201,775 225,401 225,556 251,319 281,401 309,418 37.3% 8.2%

    Gross Operating Surplus 348,133 384,528 428,056 503,207 448,049 502,422 556,389 581,106 15.5% 3.7%

    Taxes less subsidies on productionand imports

    34,850 34,329 35,509 41,341 39,252 43,586 46,665 50,714 22.7% 5.2%

    GDP 543,577 596,783 665,340 769,949 712,857 797,327 884,455 941,238 22.2% 5.2%

    6.4% 5.8% 5.3%

    5.4% 5.5% 5.5% 5.3%5.4%

    32.9%

    6

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    Source: 1 Department of Statistics Malaysia2 Office of the National Economic and Social Development Board of Thailand

    3Department of Statistics Singapore4OECD 

    INCLUSIVENESS –Malaysia’s ratio of compensation of employees (COE) to

    GDP on increasing trend since 2008

    29.3%

    32.9%30.8%

    41.4%45.8%

    48.7%51.9% 53.1% 53.8%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    Malaysia Thailand Singapore Korea Australia Japan UnitedStates

    UnitedKingdom

    2008 2012

    21 4

    40%

    (target)

    3 4 4 44

    Note: This information has not been officially published and is for internal use only

    7

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    SUSTAINABILITY – In terms of Economic and Environmental terms,

    Fiscal discipline to safeguard financial balance and stability

    Prudent financial management resulting in narrowing of Budget

    Deficit to GDP from 4.5% in 2012 to 3.5% in 2014, Balanced Budget

    by 2020Continued maintenance of Operational Surplus

    Petronas’ Petroleum Reserves comprise 5.79 bboe of Crude &

    Condensates (28 years) and 16.8 bboe of Natural Gas (42 years) 

    For FY2013, Overall Resource Replenishment Ratio (ORRR) is 1.94x.

    Malaysia’s Crude Oil & Condensates’ Production at 576,000 boe per day and

    Natural gas at 6,730 mmscfd

    8

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    SUSTAINABILITY – Continued reduction in Budget

    Deficit, Balanced Budget by 2020

    The Government has been delivering the targets to reduce budget

    deficit since 2010

    Committed to medium term targets i.e.

    reduce further budget deficit to 3% of GDP in 2015,

    achieve balanced budget by 2020 

    -18%

    -16%

    -14%

    -12%

    -10%

    -8%

    -6%

    -4%

    -2%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    0.0

    50.0

    100.0

    150.0

    200.0

    250.0

       1   9   7   0

       1   9   7   1

       1   9   7   2

       1   9   7   3

       1   9   7   4

       1   9   7   5

       1   9   7   6

       1   9   7   7

       1   9   7   8

       1   9   7   9

       1   9   8   0

       1   9   8   1

       1   9   8   2

       1   9   8   3

       1   9   8   4

       1   9   8   5

       1   9   8   6

       1   9   8   7

       1   9   8   8

       1   9   8   9

       1   9   9   0

       1   9   9   1

       1   9   9   2

       1   9   9   3

       1   9   9   4

       1   9   9   5

       1   9   9   6

       1   9   9   7

       1   9   9   8

       1   9   9   9

       2   0   0   0

       2   0   0   1

       2   0   0   2

       2   0   0   3

       2   0   0   4

       2   0   0   5

       2   0   0   6

       2   0   0   7

       2   0   0   8

       2   0   0   9

       2   0   1   0

       2   0   1   1

       2   0   1   2

       2   0   1   3     (

       e     )

    GOVERNMENT REVENUES

    GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE

    BUDGET SURPLUS/(DEFICIT OVER GDP

    9

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    ECONOMY – Sustainable real GDP growth momentum

    Q4 2013 real GDP growth of 5.1% after 4.1% (Q1), 4.4% (Q2) and 5.0% (Q3)

    For 2013, real GDP growth is 4.7%

    Inflation remained moderate at 2.1% for 2013

    4.5%-5.5%

    -3.0

    -1.0

    1.0

    3.0

    5.0

    7.0

    9.0

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014(f)

    4.7%

    10

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    ECONOMY – Moderate levels of Inflation

    9.8

    5.7

    3.73.6

    0.5 0.5 0.8

    2.62.9

    3.1

    4.2

    4.8

    3.6

    3.9

    3.5

    3.5

    2.5

    5.2

    2.8

    1.5 1.4

    1.8

    1.2

    1.4

    3.0

    3.6

    2.0

    5.4

    0.6

    1.7

    3.2

    1.6

    2.1

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

            1        9        8        1

            1        9        8        2

            1        9        8        3

            1        9        8        4

            1        9        8        5

            1        9        8        6

            1        9        8        7

            1        9        8        8

            1        9        8        9

            1        9        9        0

            1        9        9        1

            1        9        9        2

            1        9        9        3

            1        9        9        4

            1        9        9        5

            1        9        9        6

            1        9        9        7

            1        9        9        8

            1        9        9        9

            2        0        0        0

            2        0        0        1

            2        0        0        2

            2        0        0        3

            2        0        0        4

            2        0        0        5

            2        0        0        6

            2        0        0        7

            2        0        0        8

            2        0        0        9

            2        0        1        0

            2        0        1        1

            2        0        1        2

            2        0        1        3

    (%)

    Inflation Rate 1981-2013

    Between 1981 to 2013, Malaysia’s Average Inflation Rate is below 3%

    CPI for February 2014 increased by 3.5 per cent to 109.7 compared with

    that of 106.0 in February 2013 11

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    ECONOMY – Strong Growth in Foreign Direct Investments

    23,924

    5,121

    29,183

    37,325

    31,116

    38,774

    -

     5,000

     10,000

     15,000

     20,000

     25,000

     30,000

     35,000

     40,000

     45,000

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    Foreign Direct Investment (2008-2013)

    In 2013, FDI improved to RM38.8 Billion, Increasing by 24.6%

    from 2012

    Investments were channelled Into Manufacturing, Real Estate

    and Mining

       R   M

        m   i    l    l   i   o   n

    24.6%

    12

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       R   M     b

       i    l    l   i   o   n

    ECONOMY – Continued Surplus in Current Account

    Current account surpluses since 1998

    Current Account surpluses strengthened in Q3 and Q4 2013

    -40

    -20

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

       1   9   7   1

       1   9   7   3

       1   9   7   5

       1   9   7   7

       1   9   7   9

       1   9   8   1

       1   9   8   3

       1   9   8   5

       1   9   8   7

       1   9   8   9

       1   9   9   1

       1   9   9   3

       1   9   9   5

       1   9   9   7

       1   9   9   9

       2   0   0   1

       2   0   0   3

       2   0   0   5

       2   0   0   7

       2   0   0   9

       2   0   1   1

         (

         )

    Narrowing was due to soft external demand and commodity prices

    amid robust domestic demand especially investments 

    RM16.2b

    RM27.4b

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

        1    Q     2

        0    1    0

        2    Q     2

        0    1    0

        3    Q     2

        0    1    0

        4    Q     2

        0    1    0

        1    Q     2

        0    1    1

        2    Q     2

        0    1    1

        3    Q     2

        0    1    1

        4    Q     2

        0    1    1

        1    Q     2

        0    1    2

        2    Q     2

        0    1    2

        3    Q     2

        0    1    2

        4    Q     2

        0    1    2

        1    Q     2

        0    1    3

        2    Q     2

        0    1    3

        3    Q     2

        0    1    3

        4    Q     2

        0    1    3

    Current Account Balance (MYRb) Trade Balance (MYRb)

    Q4 2013 performance due to improved export performance in

    electrical & electronics, CPO and LNG 14

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    ECONOMY –  Favourable structure of Government Debt

    512,307

    130,790

    0.0%

    5.0%

    10.0%

    15.0%

    20.0%

    25.0%

    30.0%

    0

    100,000

    200,000

    300,000

    400,000

    500,000

    600,000

    1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q  

    529,236

    16,929

    0.0%

    1.0%

    2.0%

    3.0%

    4.0%

    5.0%

    6.0%

    7.0%

    0

    100,000

    200,000

    300,000

    400,000

    500,000

    1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q  

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    25.5%

    3.2%

    Foreign Holdings of

    Federal Government Debt

    (RM)

    Foreign Denomination of

    Federal Government Debt

    (TOTAL)

       R   M    m

       i    l    l   i   o   n

       R   M    m

       i    l    l   i   o   n

    Total Government RM Debt

    Total Foreign Holding

    Percentage Foreign Holding

    Total Government Debt

    Total Foreign Currency

    Denominated

    Percentage Foreign Currency

    Foreign holdings of Government Debt declined from 28.3% in 1Q2013 to

    25.5% in 3Q2013, cushioned depth of local institutions

    Foreign currency denominated liabilities only 3.2% of total Government Debt,

    reducing, shielding from foreign currency risk15

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    ECONOMY –  Increasing Government Revenues, Non-Oil Revenue

    Sources concurrently increase

    185,419

    207,913213,370

    0

    50,000

    100,000

    150,000

    200,000

    250,000

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    The government’s revenues for 2012 were RM207.9 billion, an increase of

    12.1% compared to 2011 revenues of RM185.4 billion. In 2013, revenues

    increased further to RM213.4 billion.

    The contribution of oil revenues to the government has reduced from 35.8% 

    in 2011 to 33.7% in 2012, and to 31.2% in 2013

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    17

    ECONOMY –  Diversifying Government Revenues, Reducing

    dependence on Oil Revenues

    Key Details

    1 Apr 2015

    At 6%, replace 5%-10% Sales

    Tax & 6%

    Services Tax

    Zero-Rate &Exemptions onessential goods

    & services

    GST TransitionPackage

    Taxes

    1%-3% personalincome tax rate

    cuts in 2015

    1% corporateincome tax cut in

    2016

    Non Taxes

    One-off cash forlow income group

    Capital allowance,training grants &fin. assistance for

    businesses

    Broad-Based,Revenue Enhancing

    Gross Revenue

    Apr-Dec 2015: RM23b

    2016: RM32b

    Net Revenue

    Apr-Dec 2015: RM4b

    2016: RM9b

    Goods & Services Tax (GST)

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    ECONOMY – Continue Growth Trajectory between

    4.5% to 5.5% in 2014

    Global growth expected to improve in 2014, but Downside Risks remain

    Malaysian Economy to grow between 4.5% to 5.5% due to External Sector’s

    improved performance, and continuing domestic demand from private sector

    Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 18

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    FINANCIAL SYSTEM – Financial system remains strong, robust and

    supportive of the EconomyBanking system liquidity remains

    strong with LDR of 85.5% and FDR of

    92.0% at End-February 2014

    Interest rates remain stable with OPR (3%), BLR (6.53%)

    Banking system NPLs remain benign with

    Net Impaired Loans ratio at 1.3% and LLC

    was at 104.5% as at end-February 2014

    Capital ratios remain strong, with CET1

    ratio at 12.1%, core capital ratio at 12.8%

    and risk-weighted capital ratio at 14.4%

    Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 19

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    ECONOMY – Domestic and International recognition

    of Government’s measures

    CREDIT OUTLOOK

    A3 POSITIVE

    (from STABLE)

    A- STABLE

    A- NEGATIVE

    COMMENTS

    “Malaysia's sovereign rating is supported by the

    government's favourable debt structure, the depth

    of onshore capital markets, and the high level of

    domestic savings .. when compared to (A-rated

    peers), Malaysia has generally exhibited faster

    growth, lower inflation, and a more robust balance

    of payments over the past five years.” 

    “.. credit rating on Malaysia reflects the country's

    strong external balance sheet, open and

    competitive middle-income economy, and

    considerable monetary flexibility .. may raise the

    sovereign credit ratings if stronger growth and the

    government's effort to reduce spending result in

    lower-than-expected deficits” 

    “.. prospects for budget reform and fiscal

    consolidation (worsened ) .. difficult (for

    Government) to achieve interim 3% deficit target ..

    Fiscal revenue base is low .. Fitch acknowledges

    strengths in the composition of Malaysia's debt and

    in its funding base

    20

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    Questions & Answers

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    CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

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    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100Miscellaneous Goods & Services

    Restaurants & Hotels

    Education

    Recreation Services & Culture

    Communications

    Transport

    Health

    Furnishing, Household Equipment &

    Household Maintenance

    Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas &

    Other FuelsClothing & Footwear

    Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco

    Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages

    30.3

    2.23.4

    22.6

    4.11.3

    14.9

    5.7

    4.61.43.2

    6.3

    762 Item Specification

    137 Price Collection

    Centres

    30,100 Outlets

    180,000 Data Points

    Malaysia adopts international standards and practices

    for data collection

    10

    Main Groups and Weightage

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    Malaysia’s Inflation Rate is relatively stable compared

    to global trends

    World Bank data shows that Malaysia’s CPI is well managed 

    2002 2007 2012

    High Income countries 2.1 2.5 2.6

    Upper middle income 5.3 5.4 4.5

    Middle income 5.2 6.2 4.6

    Malaysia 1.8 2.0 1.6

    12

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    CPI for Jan-Feb 2014 increased by 3.5% to 109.7

    compared to 106.0 for Jan-Feb 2013

    13

    CPI for February 2014 registered an increase of 3.5 per cent from 106.1 to 109.8 and when compared

    with the previous month, the CPI increased by 0.3 per cent

    Group Weightage

    Index % Change

    Feb-13

    Jan Feb Jan - Feb

    2013

    Jan - Feb

    2014

    Feb 2014/ Feb 2014/ Jan - Feb

    2014/20132014 2014 Jan-14 Feb-13

    TOTAL 100 106.1 109.5 109.8 106 109.7 0.3 3.5 3.5

    Food & Non-Alcoholic Beverages 30.3 110.2 114.5 114.4 110.1 114.5 -0.1 3.8 4

    Alcoholic Beverages & Tobacco 2.2 106.7 121.7 121.7 106.7 121.7 0 14.1 14.1

    Clothing and Footwear 3.4 98.6 98.7 98.8 98.8 98.8 0.1 0.2 0

    Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas &

    Other Fuels22.6 104.3 107.3 108 104.2 107.7 0.7 3.5 3.4

    Furnishings, Household Equip. &

    Routine Household Maintenance4.1 104.9 106.3 106.5 104.8 106.4 0.2 1.5 1.5

    Health 1.3 106.1 108.2 108.4 106.1 108.3 0.2 2.2 2.1

    Transport 14.9 105.3 110.9 111.1 105.3 111 0.2 5.5 5.4

    Communication 5.7 98.7 98.2 98.1 98.7 98.2 -0.1 -0.6 -0.5

    Recreation Services & Culture 4.6 103.2 104.8 104.9 103.2 104.9 0.1 1.6 1.6

    Education 1.4 106.8 108.8 109.3 106.4 109.1 0.5 2.3 2.5

    Restaurants and Hotels 3.2 110.5 114.7 115.4 110.3 115.1 0.6 4.4 4.4

    Miscellaneous Goods & Services 6.3 105.4 104.4 105 105.5 104.7 0.6 -0.4 -0.8

    Non-Food 69.7 104.3 107.3 107.8 104.2 107.6 0.4 3.3 3.3

    Durable Goods 6.5 99.6 97.3 97.5 99.7 97.4 0.2 -2.1 -2.3

    Semi-Durable Goods 4.4 99.5 99.5 99.6 99.6 99.6 0.1 0.1 0

    Non-Durable Goods 41.6 107.6 113 113 107.6 113 0 5 5

    Services 47.5 106.3 108.9 109.5 106.1 109.2 0.6 3 2.9

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    GOODS & SERVICES TAX

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    GST –  Zero-Rated and Exempted GST Rates to benefit Rakyat

    Standard Rate

    Manufacturer -

    Claim GST

    Wholesaler -

    Claim GSTRetailer -

    Claim GSTGST rate paid is 6%

    6%

    Zero Rated

    GST rate paid is 0%

    0%

    Manufacturer -

    Claim GST

    Wholesaler -

    Claim GST

    Retailer -

    Claim GST

    Exempted

    No GST charged

    6% GST

    Supplier -Claim GST

    Cannot Claim GST

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    28

    GST –  Zero-Rated and Exempted GST Rates to benefit Rakyat

    28

    MANUFACTURER

    Manufacturer :GST collected = RM6.00Less: GST input = RM0.00GST remitted = RM6.00

    WHOLESALER

    RM106

    Tax Retention Form

    Cost+Margin = RM100GST (6%) = RM6

    RETAILER

    Wholesaler :GST collected = RM7.20

    Less: GST input = RM6.00GST remitted = RM1.20

    RM127.20

    Cost = RM100

    Margin (20%) = RM20GST (6%) = RM7.20

    Retailer :GST collected = RM9.36Less: GST input = RM7.20GST remitted = RM2.16

    CONSUMER

    RM165.36

    Cost = RM120Margin (30%) = RM36GST (6%) = RM9.36

    RM9.36

    GST Collected

    by Government

    RM9.36GST paid by

    Consumer

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    NEGARATAHUN

    PELAKSANAAN

    KADAR

    SEMASA (%)

    Philippines 1988 12

    Indonesia 1984 10

    Vietnam 1999 10

    Cambodia 1999 10

    Laos 2009 10

    Thailand 1992 7

    Singapore 1994 7

    MALAYSIA 2015 6

    • Kadar GST di Malaysia

    adalah yang terendah di

    kalangan negara ASEAN

    • Kadar Terendah – 5%

    (Jepun, Taiwan dan

    Kanada)

    • Kadar Tertinggi – 27%

    (Netherlands)

    GST –  Comparison of Current GST Rates

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    Kadar

    Standard6%

    Terendah di ASEAN

    7% (S’pura &

    Thailand)

    10% (Indonesia,

    Filipina, Kemboja,

    Laos & Vietnam)Threshold = RM500,000(peniaga di bawah threshold tidak perlu caj GST)

    Perkhidmatan Jabatan

    Kerajaan

    Perkhidmatan PBT &

    Badan Berkanun*

    Tidak dikenakan GST (Out of Scope)*perkhidmatan berkaitan pengawalseliaan dan penguatkuasaan

    Bekalan berkadar sifar (Zero rated)

    Barang

    makanan

    beras, tepung gandum & sagu serta kacang dhal

    gula pasir & garam minyak masak (kelapa sawit, kelapa & kacang tanah)

    rempah ratus dan cencalok, budu, belacan

    susu bayi

    Produk

    pertanian padi

    sayuran segar & ulam-ulaman

    Binatang

    ternakan &

    daging

    lembu, kambing, kerbau, khinzir

    ayam & itik (termasuk telur ayam & itik)

    Makanan

    laut semua jenis termasuk ikan kering & ikan bilis

    Utiliti bekalan air paip (domestik) bekalan elektrik 300 unit pertama (domestik)

    Eksport barangan & perkhidmatan dieksport

    Dikecualikan GST (Exempt)

    Rel Bas

    Pengangkutan

    Air

    Teksi/KeretaSewa

    Tol

    Rumah

    Kediaman

    Tanah (Umum)

    KewanganPendidikan/

    Kesihatan

    GST –  Structure

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    Makanan di luar rumah  2.6% 

    Makanan dan minuman

    bukan alkohol  1.4% Minuman alkohol dan

    tembakau 3.5% 

    Pakaian dan kasut  -0.4% 

    Perumahan, air, elektrik, gas

    dan bahan api lain 1.1% 

    Hiasan, perkakasan danpenyelenggaraan isi rumah 

    -1.3% 

    Kesihatan  3.8% 

    Pengangkutan  3.9% 

    Komunikasi  -0.7% 

    Perkhidmatan rekreasi dan

    kebudayaan  3.2% 

    Pendidikan  1.1% 

    Restoran dan hotel 2.9% 

    Pelbagai barang dan

    perkhidmatan2.6% 

    Purata  1.8% 

    Wilayah  IHP 

    Semenanjung

    Malaysia 2.0 % 

    Sabah  1.5 % 

    Sarawak  1.6 % 

    Purata  1.8 % 

    Impak IHP Mengikut

    Wilayah

    GST –  Impact of GST Implication on CPI

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    BNM ECONOMIC FORECAST

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    ECONOMY –Private Investment in 2014 to be robust

    and broad-based, Private Consumption to moderate

    Real Private Investments to grow 12.6%

    Private Investments supported by improvement in external demand,commencement of new projects in manufacturing and services, and continued

    progress of existing projects, including mining

    Real Private Consumption to grow 6.9%

    Private consumption growth will be supported by sustained income growth

    and steady employment conditions

    Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 33

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    ECONOMY – Malaysian Domestic Economy expected

    to diversify further in 2014

    Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 34

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    ECONOMY – Current Account to remain in surplus,

    Higher Export growth amid expansion in imports

    Moderating Current Account surplus arising from structural shift in domestic

    economy, and higher growth of imports over exports.

    Trade Balance will remain in surplus with contribution from manufactured

    goods and commodity exports

    Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 35

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    FINANCIAL SYSTEM – Financial Stability well

    preserved in 2013

    • Financial intermediation

    remained supportive of the

    economy

    ‒ Outstanding financing

    expanded by 10.6%

    • Orderly intermediation of

    volatile short-term capital

    flows

    • Financial institutions have

    strong capital and liquidity

    buffers

    • Confidence in financial system

    firmly intact

    Source: Bank Negara Malaysia

    ^ reflects 2013 position

    * Based on Basel II requirements

    36

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    FINANCIAL SYSTEM – Household Debt moderated to

    slowest pace since 2010

    • Responsible financing

    measures continue to showpositive effects on

    strengthening household

    resilience

    ‒ Stable leverage of

    vulnerable borrowers

    ‒ Prudent debt-service ratioobserved for new

    financing

    • Quality of household loans

    from banking system remain

    sound‒ Both impaired loan ratio

    and loans-in-arrears

    continued to trend lower,

    at 1.3% and 2.1%

    Source: Bank Negara Malaysia 37

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    WAWASAN 2020

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    Call for Malaysia to achieve a self-sufficient industrialized

    nation by the year 2020

    CHALLENGE 1 Establishing a united Malaysian nation made up of one Bangsa Malaysia (Malaysian Race)

    CHALLENGE 2 Creating a psychologically liberated, secure and developed Malaysian society

    CHALLENGE 3 Fostering and developing a mature democratic society

    CHALLENGE 4 Establishing a fully moral and ethical society

    CHALLENGE 5 Establishing a matured liberal and tolerant society

    CHALLENGE 6 Establishing a scientific and progressive society

    CHALLENGE 7 Establishing a fully caring society

    CHALLENGE 8Ensuring an economically just society, in which there is a fair and equitable distribution of

    the wealth of the nation

    CHALLENGE 9Establishing a prosperous society with an economy that is fully competitive, dynamic,

    b t d ili t