INDONESIA INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS: INVESTMENT AND FINANCING … · 2018-03-19 · Foreign Direct...

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INDONESIA INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS: INVESTMENT AND FINANCING OPPORTUNITIES Wimboh Santoso, Ph.D Chairman – The Indonesia Financial Services Authority (OJK) London, March 16, 2018

Transcript of INDONESIA INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS: INVESTMENT AND FINANCING … · 2018-03-19 · Foreign Direct...

Page 1: INDONESIA INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS: INVESTMENT AND FINANCING … · 2018-03-19 · Foreign Direct Investment Realization Based on Country of Origin Total Investments in Indonesia At

INDONESIA INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS: INVESTMENT AND FINANCING OPPORTUNITIES

Wimboh Santoso, Ph.DChairman – The Indonesia Financial Services Authority (OJK)

London, March 16, 2018

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Indonesia Stylish Facts

The world’s largest archipelagic nation, consisting of over 17,508 islands stretching 3,261 miles from east to west wider than distance from Washington DC to San Fransisco California;

The world’s fourth most populous country, with 67% classified as productive population;

Enjoying the demographic bonus in 2020-2035;

A G-20 country with GDP over USD1 tn & the 3rd highest G20’ economic growth (average in 10 years);

Growing middle income class that is projected to double by 2020;

Home to abundant natural resources and variety of commodities;

Establishing of downstream processing industries and massive infrastructure development in all regions;

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Indonesia Economy Outlook: Riding The Wave of Optimism

6.17%% 6.03% 5.56% 5.01% 4.88% 5.03% 5.07%

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Indonesia’ Spatial GDP Growth in 2017

Economic picture in solid position (2017: 5.07%), manageable inflation (Feb-18: 3.18%), an adequate level of foreign exchange reserves (Feb-18: USD128 billion)

Source: International Monetary Fund, Bank Indonesia and BPS-Statistics of Indonesia

Kalimantan: 4.33%

Sumatera: 4.30%

Java: 5.61%

Indonesia’ Economic Growth, 2011-2017

Bali & Nusa Tenggara: 3.73%

Sulawesi: 6.99%

Papua & Maluku: 4.89%

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Indonesian Market Provides Attractive Returns

Source: Bloomberg Barclays EMLC Gov Index

Real Yield EM Countries

Indonesia is the ASEAN country with the highest and 5th highest

yield in the index universe.

The Trend Movement of Spot USD/IDR

Despite Turmoil, Risk Perception is Still Contained

Credit Default Swap, Selected Countries

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Banking Excess Reserve: USD50,7 billion

Indonesia Financial Sector: Stable and Well-Performed

Risk Based Capital:

General insurance companies: 521%

Life insurance companies: 321%

The Trend Movement of Capital Adequacy Ratio Non Performing Loan

19.57 % 21.39 % 22.93 % 23.18 %18.01 % 19.00 % 21.19 % 21.50 %

2014 2015 2016 2017

CAR Tier 1

Banking Loan

8.24%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

Jan

-16

Feb

-16

Mar

-16

Ap

r-1

6

May

-16

Jun

-16

Jul-

16

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g-1

6

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-16

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v-1

6

Dec

-16

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r-1

7

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-17

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g-1

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v-1

7

Dec

-17

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Jakarta Composite Index

The Domestic Capital Markets Continue A Strengthening Trend

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

130

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c-1

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25

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r-1

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9-M

ay-1

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4-J

un

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l-1

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g-1

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p-1

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-Oct

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7-N

ov-

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3-D

ec-1

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Brazil Rusia Malaysia Tiongkok

Filipina Singapura Indonesia Thailand

Russia China

Philippines Singapore

The Trend Movement of Asia Pasific Stock Index

20%growth

JCI becomes one of the top four major stock indexes in the Asia Pacific

Closed at the highest level: 6.355,67

Net capital inflow in 2017: USD9,7 billion

Source: Bloomberg

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The Importance of Infrastructure Development for Economic Growth, Jobs and Access to Markets and Services

37 Infrastructure Priority Project Stimulating economic growth;

Maintaining inflation rate;

Generating large numbers of employment;

Increasing people’s purchasing power;

Providing adequate transportation facilities;

Enhancing connectivity among areas within the country, hence the transportation costs become more efficient;

Improving the flow of goods and services, thereby trigger the emergence of economic activities in the surrounding area;

Source: Indonesia Presentation Book, February 2018

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Infrastructure development has been our top priority agenda

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Source: Committee for Acceleration of Priority Infrastructure Delivery (KPPIP) and Indonesia Presentation Book, January 2018

Strong Commitment to Continue Productive Spending on Infrastructure

25,43 27,48

8,637,03 6,64 6,90

12,79 12,44

18,5620,03

28,6629,98

2013-R 2014-R 2015-R 2016-R 2017-R 2018

Subsidi Energi (Listrik & BBM) InfrastrukturEnergy Subsidy Infrastructure Spending

Indonesia’ State Budget Allocation For Energy Subsidy And Infrastructure, Billion Dollars

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Developing the nation through Infrastructure

Source: Indonesia Presentation Book, February 2018

Increasing Quality of Budget Spending

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Total financing gap for 37 priority projects is USD164,2 bn or 90% of total infrastructure financing needs using PPP Scheme or Blended Finance mechanism

Funding Scheme of 37 Priority Projects (2017-2025)

Huge financing needs for infrastructure development

Source: Indonesia Presentation Book, February 2018

Private/PPP

State/Regional Budget

SOE

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Bringing more foreign investments to the country

Source: Indonesia Investment Coordinating Board(BKPM)-RI

Foreign Direct Investment Realization Based on Country of Origin Total Investments in Indonesia

At the moment, UK investors became the 11th biggest investors in Indonesia

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Developing a more sustainable financing option for infrastructure

30.36 33.04 33.49

38.55 42.52

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Banking Finance to Infrastructure ProjectsInfrastructure Financing Through Domestic Capital Market

However, financing through banking faces legal lending limit and liquidity maturity mismatch

USD296 million through future cash flows securitization

USD148 million through assetsecuritization

Infrastructure Financing Through Issuing Komodo Bonds

USD296 million with 7,5% yield

USD480 million with 7,7% yield

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Comprehensive Efforts to Promote Infrastructure Financing

Infrastructure & Supporting Policies:Hedging Instruments, Tax Incentives

Mandatory Minimum Investment for Pension Fund and insurance in:

- Government Bonds

- Corporate Bonds in Infrastructure

Municipal Bonds

Perpetual Bonds

Green Bonds

Blended Finance

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Why Indonesia & Why Invest Now?

Source: Indonesia Presentation Book, February 2018

INDONESIA’S ECONOMY AND

FINANCIAL SECTOR CONTINUE TO DO WELL

1

ALL GLOBAL RATING AGENCIES HAVE

IMPROVED INDONESIA’S SOVEREIGN RATING2

GLOBAL COMPETITIVENESS INDEX OF

INDONESIA ALSO INCREASED

FROM 41ST IN 2017, TO 36TH IN 2018.3

EASE OF DOING BUSINESS INDONESIA

CLIMBED 34 PLACES TO 72nd IN 2018

4

# 2 BEST COUNTRIES

TO INVEST IN 6

TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE INDEX

IMPROVED TO 30th IN 20185

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TIME TO INVEST IN REMARKABLE INDONESIA

Thank You

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Green Bonds: A New Promising Investments in Indonesia

Indonesia Green Bond has characteristics: Verifier (individual/group/corporation) green eligible projects;

Action plan if green bond becomes “not green” (max 1 year);

Buyback if green bond becomes “not green”;

Incentives (discount for registration levies; tax exemptions; listing fee discount from the stock exchange and other incentives from corresponding agencies)

Eligible Sectors:1. Renewable energy;2. Energy efficiency;3. Sustainable pollution management and prevention;4. Sustainable natural resources and land use management;5. Biodiversity conservation;6. Clean transportation;7. Sustainable water and sewage management;8. Climate change adaption;9. Eco-efficient products;10. Environmentally friendly buildings that meet regional, national and international certification standards;11. Other business activities and/or other activities that concern environmental sustainability;

Tenor 5 Years

Size USD1,25 bn

Yield 3,75%

Indonesia has launched its “Green Global Sukuk” First Indonesia Green Sukuk First Sovereign Green Sukuk in the World

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Municipal Bonds:A Fresh Look Financing

For Regional Infrastructure Projects

As an archipelagic nation, enhancing connectivity among areas within the country becomes a top priority for Indonesia to enable its future growth and development

Papua Sea Toll RoadTrans-Sulawesi

Railway

KertajatiAirport in West Java

Raknamo Dam in East Nusa Tenggara

Trans-Kalimantan Toll Road

Trans-Sumatera Toll Road

Bali Airport

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Blended Finance:An Attractive Source of Financing for Indonesia’s Infrastructure Development

1) Limited government budget to finance infrastructure projects;

2) Meeting the global concern on sustainable development (SDGs)

and reducing climate change effect (Paris Agreement);

3) Enormous amount of private philanthropic funding to address the

SDGs and promote climate action for developing countries,

including Indonesia;

4) In current low interest rate regime, long term investors are seeking

higher returns investment alternatives.