ICT in transport - future outlook

46
Technology Management and Economics Logis4kcs and Transporta4on CCBY Per Olof Arnäs ICT in transport Future outlook Per Olof Arnäs, PhD Chalmers

description

The future of transportation is digital. We need to create a digital platform, an infrastructure, that can be used freely by the transportation industry and its customers.

Transcript of ICT in transport - future outlook

Page 1: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

ICT  in  transportFuture  outlook

Per  Olof  Arnäs,  PhDChalmers

Page 2: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

Page 3: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

1989

Page 4: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

Map  on  the  wall  with  pushpins

Calculator  

Radio

Prices,  phone  numbers  etc.

Cardfile  of  customerstank  sizes  etc.Pens  in  various  colors

Delivery  notes  (with  3  carbon  sheets)

1989

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Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

6  tanker  trucks  (incl.  trailers)7  parMMons  in  each  vehicle

Pricing  Recieve  ordersTransport  planning

Products:Gasoline  95Gasoline  96Gasoline  98DieselDiesel,  colored

A  full  :me  job!

Ca  100  customers  i  west  Sweden

1989

Page 6: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

Page 7: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

The  transport  industry

3  things

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…physical

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Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

…public

Page 10: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

…analogue

Page 11: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

Page 12: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

TransportaMon  has  developed

more  or  less  linearly

the  last  5500  years...

Page 13: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

...which  the  informa:on  technology  has  not.

Page 14: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

You  can't  just  ask  customers  what  they  

want  and  then  try  to  give  that  to  them.  

By  the  Mme  you  get  it  built,  they'll  

want  something  new.

Page 15: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

ProacMvity

Page 16: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

We  need  a  digital  platform

Page 17: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  ArnäsImage:  Connected.  362/365  by  AndYaDontStop  on  Flickr.com

Page 18: ICT in transport - future outlook

Goods Vehicle

Business  processes

Infra-­‐structure

Paper

bas

ed Phone

Papers

Road si

gns

Analogue tools

Monitor fuel

cosnumption

Version 0

E-m

ail

GPS fo

r

navig

atio

n

Simple order handling

Advanced order handling

Open interface

Web based U

I

Platform based

systems

Hard

ware-o

riented

Data co

llection

systems

(pro

prietary)

Data collection

systems (open)

Tolling s

ystem

s

Web-services

with traffic data

Dyn

amic

rout

ing

syst

ems

Mas

hups

Mul

tipl

e da

ta

sour

ces

Individ

ual

routin

g

info

rmat

ion

Plato

oning

Platooning

Manual

CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, ChalmersInspired by Lidne, Östmar http://disruptiveleap.com

Page 19: ICT in transport - future outlook

Goods Vehicle

Business  processes

Infra-­‐structure

Paper

bas

ed Phone

Papers

Road si

gns

Analogue tools

RDS

Monitor fuel

cosnumption

Version 0 0.5

E-m

ail

Fax

TM

S-systems

Excel

Route planning

GPS fo

r

navig

atio

n

Simple order handling

Advanced order handling

Open interface

Web based U

I

Platform based

systems

Hard

ware-o

riented

Data co

llection

systems

(pro

prietary)

Co

mm

un

ication

with

vehicles

E-invoice

Web based booking

Route optimisation

Th

e so

cial we

b

Open connectivity

Integrated prognosis

Data collection

systems (open)

Tolling s

ystem

s

Web-services

with traffic data

Dyn

amic

rout

ing

syst

ems

Perfo

rman

ce

Base

d acce

ss

Perf

orm

ance

B

ased

acc

ess

Mas

hups

Mul

tipl

e da

ta

sour

ces

Pro

be

dat

a

Individ

ual

routin

g

info

rmat

ion

Plato

oning

Platooning

Exceptions handling

Manual

Computers

Inspired by Lidne, Östmar http://disruptiveleap.com

Paper

bas

ed

CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers

Page 20: ICT in transport - future outlook

Goods Vehicle

Business  processes

Infra-­‐structure

Paper

bas

ed Phone

Papers

Road si

gns

Analogue tools

RDS

Monitor fuel

cosnumption

Version 0 0.5 1.0

E-m

ail

Fax

TM

S-systems

Excel

Route planning

GPS fo

r

navig

atio

n

Elect

ronica

lly g

ener

ated

frei

ght

docum

ents

Barcodes

Simple order handling

Advanced order handling

Open interface

Web based U

I

Platform based

systems

Hard

ware-o

riented

Data co

llection

systems

(pro

prietary)

Co

mm

un

ication

with

vehicles

E-invoice

Web based booking

Route optimisation

Th

e so

cial we

b

Open connectivity

Integrated prognosis

Data collection

systems (open)

Tolling s

ystem

s

Web-services

with traffic data

Dyn

amic

rout

ing

syst

ems

Perfo

rman

ce

Base

d acce

ss

Perf

orm

ance

B

ased

acc

ess

Mas

hups

Mul

tipl

e da

ta

sour

ces

Pro

be

dat

a

Individ

ual

routin

g

info

rmat

ion

Plato

oning

Platooning

Exceptions handling

Manual

Computers

SoZware

Goods as b

i-

direct

ional

hyperlink

Inspired by Lidne, Östmar http://disruptiveleap.com

Paper

bas

ed

CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers

Page 21: ICT in transport - future outlook

Goods Vehicle

Business  processes

Infra-­‐structure

Paper

bas

ed Phone

Papers

Road si

gns

Analogue tools

RDS

Monitor fuel

cosnumption

Version 0 0.5 1.0 1.5

E-m

ail

Fax

TM

S-systems

Excel

Route planning

GPS fo

r

navig

atio

n

Elect

ronica

lly g

ener

ated

frei

ght

docum

ents

Barcodes

RFI

D-t

ags

Simple order handling

Advanced order handling

Open interface

Web based U

I

Platform based

systems

Hard

ware-o

riented

Data co

llection

systems

(pro

prietary)

Co

mm

un

ication

with

vehicles

E-invoice

Web based booking

Route optimisation

Th

e so

cial we

b

Open connectivity

Integrated prognosis

Data collection

systems (open)

Tolling s

ystem

s

Web-services

with traffic data

Dyn

amic

rout

ing

syst

ems

Perfo

rman

ce

Base

d acce

ss

Perf

orm

ance

B

ased

acc

ess

Mas

hups

Mul

tipl

e da

ta

sour

ces

Pro

be

dat

a

Individ

ual

routin

g

info

rmat

ion

Plato

oning

Platooning

Exceptions handling

Manual

Computers

SoZware

FuncMons

Dis

trib

uted

deci

sion

mak

ing

Goods as b

i-

direct

ional

hyperlink

Inspired by Lidne, Östmar http://disruptiveleap.com

Paper

bas

ed

CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers

Page 22: ICT in transport - future outlook

Goods Vehicle

Business  processes

Infra-­‐structure

Paper

bas

ed Phone

Papers

Road si

gnsA

nalogue

tools

RDS

Monitor fuel

cosnumption

Version 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

E-m

ail

Fax

TM

S-

systems

Excel

Route planning

GPS fo

r

navig

atio

n

Elect

ronica

lly g

ener

ated

frei

ght d

ocum

ents

Barcodes

RFI

D-t

ags

Simple order handling

Advanced order handling

Open interface

Web based

UIPlatform

based

systems

Hard

ware-

orien

ted

Data

collectio

n

systems

(pro

prietary)

Co

mm

un

icatio

n w

ith veh

icles

E-invoice

Web based

bookingRoute

optimisation

Th

e so

cial we

b

Open

connectivity

Integrated

prognosis

Data collection

systems

(open)

Tolling

syst

ems

Web-

services

with traffic

data

Dyn

amic

ro

utin

g sy

stem

s

Perfo

rman

ce

Base

d acce

ss

Perf

orm

ance

B

ased

acc

ess

Mas

hups

Mul

tipl

e da

ta

sour

ces

Pro

be

dat

a

Individ

ual

routin

g

info

rmat

ion

Plato

oning

PlatooningExceptions handling

Sm

art

goo

ds

Manual

Computers

SoZware

FuncMons

Dis

trib

uted

deci

sion

m

akin

g

Goods as b

i-

direct

ional

hyperlink

Inspired by Lidne, Östmar http://disruptiveleap.com

Paper

bas

ed

CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers

Page 23: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

Goods Vehicle

Business  processes

Infra-­‐structure

Paper

bas

ed

Phone

Papers

Road si

gns

Analogue tools

RDS

Monitor fuel

cosnumption

0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

E-m

ail

Fax

TM

S-systems

Excel

Route planning

GPS fo

r

navig

atio

n

Elect

ronica

lly g

ener

ated

frei

ght

docum

ents

Barcodes

RFI

D-t

ags

Simple order handling

Advanced order handling

Open interface

Web based

UIPlatform

based

systems

Hard

ware-

orien

ted

Data

collectio

n

systems

(pro

prietary)

Co

mm

un

ication

with

vehicles

E-invoice

Web based booking

Route optimisation

Th

e so

cial we

b

Open connectivity

Integrated prognosis

Data collection

systems

(open)

Tolling s

ystem

s

Web-services

with traffic data

Dyn

amic

rout

ing

syst

ems

Perfo

rman

ce

Base

d acce

ss

Perf

orm

ance

B

ased

acc

ess

Mas

hups

Mul

tipl

e da

ta

sour

ces

Pro

be

dat

a

Individ

ual

routin

g

info

rmat

ion

Plato

oning

Platooning

Exceptions handling

Sm

art

goo

ds

Dis

trib

uted

deci

sion

mak

ing

Goods as b

i-

direct

ional

hyperlink

Inspired by Lidne, Östmar http://disruptiveleap.com

Paper

bas

ed

CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, ChalmersInspired by Lidne, Östmar http://disruptiveleap.com CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers

Connected|Vehicle

First  -­‐  DigiMze:  Replace  current  data  with  electronic  alternaMve

Then  -­‐  Develop  further:  Create  new  services  and  funcMons  that  use  the  digital  infrastructure

GIS-­‐servicesVehicle  management

Infotainment”Run:me”  cost-­‐/revenue  analysis

Subscribe  to  vehicle  func:onality  when  needen,  i.e.  extra  horsepower

Seamless  communicaMonWiFi,  3G/4G,  GPRS,  Satellite,  RFID,  NFC  etc.

Page 24: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

Goods Vehicle

Business  processes

Infra-­‐structure

Paper

bas

ed Phone

Papers

Road si

gns

Analogue tools

RDS

Monitor fuel

cosnumption

E-m

ail

Fax

TM

S-systems

Excel

Route planning

GPS fo

r

navig

atio

n

Elect

ronica

lly g

ener

ated

frei

ght d

ocum

ents

Barcodes

RFI

D-t

ags

Simple order handling

Advanced order handling

Open interface

Web based U

I

Platform based

systems

Hard

ware-o

riented

Data co

llection

systems

(pro

prietary)

Co

mm

un

ication

with

vehicles

E-invoice

Web based booking

Route optimisation

Th

e so

cial we

b

Open connectivity

Integrated prognosis

Data collection

systems (open)

Tolling s

ystem

s

Web-services

with traffic data

Dyn

amic

rout

ing

syst

ems

Perfo

rman

ce

Base

d acce

ss

Perf

orm

ance

B

ased

acc

ess

Mas

hups

Mul

tipl

e da

ta

sour

ces

Pro

be

dat

a

Individ

ual

routin

g

info

rmat

ion

Plato

oning

Platooning

Exceptions handling

Sm

art

goo

ds

Dis

trib

uted

deci

sion

m

akin

g

Goods as b

i-

direct

ional

hyperlink

Inspired by Lidne, Östmar http://disruptiveleap.com

Paper

bas

ed

CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers

Version00.51.01.52.0

Inspired by Lidne, Östmar http://disruptiveleap.com CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers

Connected|GoodsRFID  is  an  enabler

Allow  for  the  goods  to  ”communicate”  with  the  systems  around  them

Dynamic  planning  and  operaMons

Page 25: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs Korsvägen  by  hans.emtenas  on  flickr.com

Perhaps I should

change to tram #6?

Page 26: ICT in transport - future outlook
Page 27: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

Goods Vehicle

Business  processes

Infra-­‐structure

Paper

bas

ed Phone

Papers

Road si

gns

Analogue tools

RDS

Monitor fuel

cosnumption

E-m

ail

Fax

TM

S-systems

Excel

Route planning

GPS fo

r

navig

atio

n

Elect

ronica

lly g

ener

ated

frei

ght

docum

ents

Barcodes

RFI

D-t

ags

Simple order handling

Advanced order handling

Open interface

Web based U

I

Platform based

systems

Hard

ware-o

riented

Data co

llection

systems

(pro

prietary)

Co

mm

un

ication

with

vehicles

E-invoice

Web based booking

Route optimisation

Th

e so

cial we

b

Open connectivity

Integrated prognosis

Data collection

systems (open)

Tolling s

ystem

s

Web-services

with traffic data

Dyn

amic

rout

ing

syst

ems

Perfo

rman

ce

Base

d acce

ss

Perf

orm

ance

B

ased

acc

ess

Mas

hups

Mul

tipl

e da

ta

sour

ces

Pro

be

dat

a

Individ

ual

routin

g

info

rmat

ion

Plato

oning

Platooning

Exceptions handling

Sm

art

goo

ds

Dis

trib

uted

deci

sion

mak

ing

Goods as b

i-

direct

ional

hyperlink

Inspired by Lidne, Östmar http://disruptiveleap.com

Paper

bas

ed

CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers

Version00.51.01.52.0

CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers

Connected|BusinessWhen  digiMzed  data  becomes  available,  advanced  analyses  become  possibleVizualisa:ons,  mash-­‐ups  etc.

Large-­‐scale  and  frequent  load  and  route  opMmisaMons

New  communicaMon  channelsWide  contact  intreface  towards  customers  and  other  stakeholders

Page 28: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

TMS-­‐systemsTMS  –  Transport  Management  System

TMS

Office  based

Traffic  controlOrder  handlingInvoicingPricingVehicle  management

Page 29: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

Data  mining

Page 30: ICT in transport - future outlook

Route  op:misa:on

Page 31: ICT in transport - future outlook

http://www.autologic-systems.co.uk

Load  op:misa:on

Page 32: ICT in transport - future outlook

Goods Vehicle

Business  processes

Infra-­‐structure

Paper

bas

ed Phone

Papers

Road si

gns

Analogue tools

RDS

Monitor fuel

cosnumption

0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

E-m

ail

Fax

TM

S-systems

Excel

Route planning

GPS fo

r

navig

atio

n

Elect

ronica

lly g

ener

ated

frei

ght

docum

ents

Barcodes

RFI

D-t

ags

Simple order handling

Advanced order handling

Open interface

Web based U

I

Platform based

systems

Hard

ware-o

riented

Data co

llection

systems

(pro

prietary)

Co

mm

un

ication

with

vehicles

E-invoice

Web based booking

Route optimisation

Th

e so

cial we

b

Open connectivity

Integrated prognosis

Data collection

systems (open)

Tolling s

ystem

s

Web-services

with traffic data

Dyn

amic

rout

ing

syst

ems

Perfo

rman

ce

Base

d acce

ss

Perf

orm

ance

B

ased

acc

ess

Mas

hups

Mul

tipl

e da

ta

sour

ces

Pro

be

dat

a

Individ

ual

routin

g

info

rmat

ion

Plato

oning

Platooning

Exceptions handling

Sm

art

goo

ds

Dis

trib

uted

deci

sion

mak

ing

Goods as b

i-

direct

ional

hyperlink

Inspired by Lidne, Östmar http://disruptiveleap.com

Paper

bas

ed

CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers

Version

Inspired by Lidne, Östmar http://disruptiveleap.com

Connected|Infrastructure

Delivery  windows  

Tolling

Dynamic  road  fees

Decision  support  data

Disturbance  informaMon

Access  control

Page 33: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

ExampleSubscribe  to  informa:on  specific  to  you

TransportaMoncompany

Road  administraMon

Traffic  control

PosiMonSpeedDIrecMon

Traffic  disturbance  data

Traffic  disturbance  dataAdpated  to  traffic  each  vehicle

Traffi

c  disturbance  data

Adpated  to  traffi

c  con

trol

Web  Service  or  RSS/AtomService  produced  by  theRoad  administra8on

Page 34: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

Page 35: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

Basic  dataFrom/To/What/WhenOwner:  the  customer

Resource  alloca:onWhat  vehicle?Owner:  Traffic  controller

Cargo  informa:onLoaded  amountOwner:  Supplier

Proof  of  DeliveryTime/date/signatureOwner:  Driver

PricingOwner:  Financial  dept.

Enough  informaMon  to  create  invoice

Transac:on  handling

All  of  these  steps  cost  money!

From  order  to  invoice(transportaMon  company)

Page 36: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

Goal:  De-­‐couple  the  dependecy  between  administa:ve  cost  and  order  volume

Number  of  orders  per  year

Total  cost  for  administraMon  of  all  

orders

An  increase  in  the  number  of  orders  lead  to  increased  cost

Handle  excep:ons  –  not  transac:ons!

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Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

A  full-­‐:me  job  in  1989!

Page 38: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

2011:  max  2  hours!

A  full-­‐:me  job  in  1989!

Page 39: ICT in transport - future outlook

is  itreally  possible

emailto

a  fridge

So...

Page 40: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

Yes!

Page 41: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

Our  control  systems  are  digital  models  of  reality

Page 42: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

Our  control  systems  are  dashboards

Page 43: ICT in transport - future outlook

Always:It’s  about  people.

Page 44: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

And  finally…  

+ =

The  Internet  became  accesible  for  Swedish  consumers  around  17  years  ago  

A  (bad  and  expensive)  mix  between  Teletext  and  the  Yellow  Pages

Not  very  preky

Few  people  with  computers

Page 45: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

Today,  15  years  later,  we  have  

sites  like  Google  Flu  Trends

Based  on  what  people  google  and  where  their  computer  is  located

Two  weeks  ahead  of  the  official  flu  

tracker www.google.org

And  finally…  

Page 46: ICT in transport - future outlook

Technology  Management  and  EconomicsLogis4kcs  and  Transporta4on

CC-­‐BY  Per  Olof  Arnäs

How  will  we  use  the  technology  in  17  years?

Thank  you!

Per  Olof  Arnäsper-­‐[email protected]/perolofarnas

@Dr_POSlides  published  on  slideshare.net/poarImages  CC-­‐licensed.  Info  in  comments.