GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

download GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

of 45

Transcript of GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    1/45

    General MillsFiscal 2013 Update

    Morgan StanleyConsumer Conference

    November 14, 2012

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    2/45

    5307-22

    This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private SecuritiesLitigation Reform Act of 1995 that are based on managementscurrent expectations and assumptions.

    These forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actualresults to differ materially from the potential results discussed in the forward-looking statements. Inparticular, our predictions about future net sales and earnings could be affected by a variety of factors,including: competitive dynamics in the consumer foods industry and the markets for our products,including new product introductions, advertising activities, pricing actions and promotional activities of ourcompetitors; economic conditions, including changes in inflation rates, interest rates, tax rates, or theavailability of capital; product development and innovation; consumer acceptance of new products andproduct improvements; consumer reaction to pricing actions and changes in promotion levels; acquisitions

    or dispositions of businesses or assets; changes in capital structure; changes in laws and regulations,including labeling and advertising regulations; impairments in the carrying value of goodwill, otherintangible assets, or other long-lived assets, or changes in the useful lives of other intangible assets;changes in accounting standards and the impact of significant accounting estimates; product quality andsafety issues, including recalls and product liability; changes in consumer demand for our products;effectiveness of advertising, marketing and promotional programs; changes in consumer behavior, trendsand preferences, including weight loss trends; consumer perception of health-related issues, includingobesity; consolidation in the retail environment; changes in purchasing and inventory levels of significantcustomers; fluctuations in the cost and availability of supply chain resources, including raw materials,packaging and energy; disruptions or inefficiencies in the supply chain; volatility in the market value ofderivatives used to manageprice risk for certain commodities; benefit plan expenses due to changes inplan asset values and discount rates used to determine plan liabilities; failure of our informationtechnology systems; foreign economic conditions, including currency rate fluctuations; and political unrestin foreign markets and economic uncertainty due to terrorism or war. The company undertakes noobligation to publicly revise any forward-looking statements to reflect any future events or circumstances.

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    3/45

    1750-33

    Fiscal 20131stQuarter Performance

    Net Sales As Reported $4,051 +5%

    Segment Operating Profit* $769 +6

    International +56

    Bakeries & Foodservice +10

    Adjusted Diluted EPS* $.66 +3

    * Non-GAAP Measure. See Appendix for Reconciliation.

    ($ in Millions, Except per Share)

    $ % Change

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    4/45

    1750-44

    Fiscal 20132nd Quarter Update

    Second Quarter Ends Nov. 25, Will ReportResults Dec. 19

    Performance Consistent With Our Plans

    Annual EPS Guidance Remains $2.65 Before ItemsAffecting Comparability*

    * Non-GAAP Measure. Excludes Mark-to-market Effects, Tax Benefit, Restructuring Expense, and Integration Costs.

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    5/45

    1706-55

    U.S. Category Volume Trends ImprovingAs Pricing Moderates

    -6%

    -4% -5% -4%

    -3%

    -1%

    +1%

    -1%

    Flat Flat

    +8%

    +6% +6% +6%+5%

    +3%

    +2% +1% +1% +1%

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct

    Unit Volume Pricing Source: Nielsen XAOC

    Aggregate General Mills Categories

    (Change vs. LY)

    Calendar Year 2012

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    6/45

    1706-66

    U.S. Market Innovation

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    7/451706-77

    The U.S. Yogurt Category TodaySegment Share

    Source: Nielsen XAOC, Latest 52 Weeks Ended 10.27.12

    Dollar Share by Segment

    Greek32%

    Light

    17%

    Regular

    17%

    Adult Bev.And Specialty

    13%

    Kid13%

    Large-size8%

    Adult Bev.And Specialty

    15%

    Light

    20%

    Regular19%Greek

    19%

    Kid19%

    Large-size8%

    Equivalent Units Share by Segment

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    8/451706-88

    Yoplait GreekRecent Share Gains

    Fiscal 2013

    5.9 5.6 5.5

    7.8

    8.9

    June July Aug Sep Oct

    Yoplait Greek Dollar Share(Share of Greek Segment)

    Source: Nielsen XAOC

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    9/451706-99

    Improving Core Cup Trends

    -20%

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct

    Unit Turns Per National Distribution PointRolling 12-week Average - Change vs. LY

    Source: Nielsen XAOC

    Fiscal 2013

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    10/451706-1010

    Seasonal Innovation from Yoplait

    I usually don't write love letters to food

    products but, I will trade my husband for

    pumpkin pie light Yoplait!

    -- Quote from a Yoplait consumer

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    11/451706-1111

    Regional Expansion -Libert

    Expanding Now inSelect Markets

    Coming in Januaryto ExistingCustomers

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    12/451706-1212

    Regional Expansion -Mountain High

    Source: Nielsen XAOC

    Fiscal 2013 ACV by Market

    June Oct

    New York 0 61

    Boston 0 54Philadelphia 0 52

    Pittsburg h 0 51

    Washington D.C. 0 40

    Baltimore 0 39

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    13/451706-1313

    General Mills U.S. Cereal Share

    29.7

    30.831.2 31.3

    31.531.0

    F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13 YTD

    Dollar Market Share

    Sources: F08-F12 Nielsen All Outlet; F13 Nielsen XAOC

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    14/451706-1414

    2013 Year-to-date Merchandising Activity

    -9%-MSD

    -LSD

    +LSD

    +MSD

    +DD

    GeneralMills

    PrivateLabel

    Malt-o-Meal Kellogg Post Quaker

    Jun-Oct Merchandised Unit Volume

    (Change vs. LY)

    Source: Nielsen XAOC, Period Ended 10.27.12

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    15/451706-1515

    Cheerios Can Help Reduce Cholesterol

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    16/451706-1616

    CheeriosThe Categorys #1 Franchise

    Source: Nielsen XAOC, Fiscal YTD Period Ended 10.27.12

    13% of U.S. Cereal Category Sales

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    17/451706-1717

    Monsters CerealsStrong Halloween Performance

    Sept-Oct Retail Sales +10%Source: Nielsen XAOC

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    18/451706-1818

    ChexHoliday Time is Party Mix Time

    F10 F11 F12 L12

    Retail Sales Growth

    Source: Nielsen XAOC, Period Ended 10.27.12

    CGR = +12%

    ($ in Millions)

    Months

    +13%

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    19/451706-1919

    Cascadian Farm Organic Cereals

    F10 F11 F12 L12

    Retail Sales Growth

    Sources: Nielsen Period Ended 10.27.12 + SPINS Period Ended 9.29.12

    CGR = +17%

    ($ in Millions)

    Months

    +14%

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    20/451706-2020

    ProgressoStrong Performance Over Time

    Source: F08-F12 Nielsen All Outlet; L12 Months Nielsen XAOC, Period Ended 10.27.12

    34.535.0 35.3

    36.9

    39.3 39.6

    F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 L12

    Progresso RTS Market Share

    Months

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    21/451706-2121

    2.5%

    8.5%

    Oct FYTD

    Category Progresso

    Progresso2013 Innovation

    Source: Nielsen XAOC, Period Ended 10.27.12

    RTS Soup

    2013 Retail Sales Growth(Change vs. LY)

    FYTD Market Share +2.1 Points

    Cooking SaucesNew Light Varieties

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    22/451706-2222

    27.829.3 30.0

    30.8

    34.836.6

    F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 L12Months

    U.S. Grain Snacks Performance

    Sources: F08-F12 Nielsen All Outlet; L12 Months Nielsen XAOC, Period Ended 10.27.12

    General Mills Market Share

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    23/451706-2323

    U.S. Grain Snacks Innovation

    B k i & F d i

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    24/451706-2424

    Bakeries & FoodserviceSnacks Innovation

    F08 F09 F10 F11 F12

    Net Sales Growth

    CGR = +10%

    ($ in Millions)

    F13 Q1 Net Sales +11%

    S k I ti

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    25/45

    1706-2525

    Snacks InnovationLarabar

    Source: Nielsen, Period Ended 10.27.11 + SPINS, Period Ended 9.29.12

    F10 F11 F12 L12Months

    CGR = +43%

    Retail Sales Growth($ in Millions) 12 Minis

    6 6

    Fiscal YTD Market Share +0.3 Points

    +25%

    S k I ti

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    26/45

    1706-2626

    Snacks InnovationFood Should Taste Good Chips

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    27/45

    1750-2727

    U.S. 2013 Plan Summary

    The Operating Environment Is Improving

    We Have a High Level of Innovation and Brand-buildingSupport in Market

    Expect Improving Sales Trends For Balance of 2013

    International Segment

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    28/45

    1750-2828

    International SegmentStrong Performance Over Time

    $2.5 $2.6 $2.7 $2.9

    $4.2

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    Net Sales, As Reported

    ($ in Billions)

    Fiscal Years

    $248 $239

    $192

    $291

    $430

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    Operating Profit, As Reported

    ($ in Millions)

    Fiscal Years

    +68%+73%

    S k I ti

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    29/45

    1750-2929

    Snacks InnovationCanada

    New Products

    Health News

    Fiscal YTD Market Share +3.3 Points Source: Nielsen, Period Ending 9.29.12

    -3.3%

    +9.3%

    Fiscal YTD

    Category General Mills

    Grain Snacks

    Fiscal YTD Retail Sales Growth(Change vs. LY)

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    30/45

    1750-3030

    Canada Yogurt Update

    Libert

    YTD Market Share +2.1 PointsSource: Nielsen, Period Ending 9.29.12

    Yoplait

    Smooth Sales and Systems Cutover

    Improving Sales Trends

    Significant Innovation and Brand-building Investment in 2013

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    31/45

    4026-31

    Western EuropeYogurt Update

    Sources: IRI, Period Ending Sept 2012

    Category Yoplait

    France

    Fiscal YTD Retail Sales( % Change vs. LY)

    Category Yoplait

    UK

    Flat

    +4%

    +6%

    +4%

    Western E rope Inno ation

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    32/45

    1706-32

    Western Europe InnovationUK Nature Valley

    Nature Valley

    Olympic Sponsorship

    AdvertisingSampling

    Merchandising

    New Product Line

    Fiscal YTD Retail Sales +29%

    Launched in Oct

    Source: IRI, Period Ended 10.13.12

    W t E I ti

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    33/45

    1706-33

    Secret SensationsNew Flavor, New Markets

    Fiscal YTD retail sales +15%

    Western Europe InnovationHaagen-Dazs

    Sources: Nielsen and IRI, Latest FYTD Period Available

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    34/45

    1706-3434

    Greater China Overview

    $550

    F08 F09 F10 F11 F12 F13Goal

    Constant Currency Sales*

    CGR = +19%

    ($ in Millions)

    *Estimated Net Sales Converting Local Currency Data at a Fixed Exchange Rate.

    +DD

    Greater China Innovation

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    35/45

    1706-3535

    Greater China InnovationHagen-Dazs Mooncake

    Sold Over 2 Million Boxes in 2012

    F09 F10 F11 F12 F13

    Constant Currency Sales*

    CGR = +19%

    ($ in Millions)

    *Estimated Net Sales Converting Local Currency Data at a Fixed Exchange Rate.

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    36/45

    Greater China Innovation

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    37/45

    4026-373737

    Greater China InnovationHaagen-Dazs Retail

    2013 Fiscal YTD Net Sales +DD

    Greater China Innovation

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    38/45

    1706-3838

    Greater China InnovationWanchai Ferry

    Frozen Dim Sum

    Frozen Noodles

    Geographic Expansion

    Product Expansion

    Fiscal YTD Net Sales +HSD

    2013 Business Highlights

    Strong In-store Presence

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    39/45

    1706-3939

    Yoki Alimentos in Brazil

    2009-2011SalesKey Category CAGR

    Popcorn +HSD

    Snacks +DD

    Basic Foods +DD

    Seasonings +DD

    Side Dishes +DD

    Beverages +DD

    84% Total Unaided Awareness 53%

    87% Usage in past 6 months 72%

    Source: Synovate Brand Equity Research, July 2011

    G l Mill d Y ki

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    40/45

    1706-4040

    Integration Activities Off to a Great Start!

    Sharp Focus on Maintaining Business Momentum

    Excellent Future Growth Prospects

    General Mills and Yoki

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    41/45

    1706-4141

    Fiscal 2013 International Summary

    Innovation Driving Growth in Both Developed andEmerging Markets

    Strong Performance on Base Business

    Net Sales and Profit Contribution from Acquisitions

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    42/45

    1706-4242

    Todays General Mills Update

    First Quarter Results Modestly Ahead of Plans

    Second Quarter Performance Meeting Our Expectations

    Strong Innovation and Brand-building in Market

    On Track to Deliver Full-Year 2013 Targets

    Growth Prospects Consistent with Our Long-term Model

    Beyond 2013

    *Non-GAAP Measure

    General Mills

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    43/45

    General MillsFiscal 2013 Update

    Morgan StanleyConsumer Conference

    November 14, 2012

    Reconciliation of

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    44/45

    1706-4444

    2012

    U.S. Retail $575 $585

    International 126 81

    Bakeries & Foodservice 68 61

    Segment Operating Profit $769 $727

    Corporate Unallocated Expense(Income) (21) 88

    Restructuring, Impairment andOther Exit Costs 9

    Operating Profit $780 $639

    2013

    Reconciliation ofSegment Operating Profit

    Q1

    ($ in Millions)

    Reconciliation of

  • 8/13/2019 GIS Morgan Stanley Conference - November 2012 v18

    45/45

    Diluted EPS $0.82 $0.61

    Mark-to-market Effects* (.07) .03

    Restructuring .01

    Tax Item (.10)

    Diluted EPS Excluding $0.66 $0.64

    Items Affecting Comparability**

    Reconciliation ofNon-GAAP EPS to Diluted EPS

    *Impact of Mark-to-market Valuation of Certain Commodity Positions.st

    2013 2012

    Q1