Gainesboro G1

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Gainesboro Machines Tools Corp. Adil Bouzoubaa Med Amine Bekkal Hafida Hannaoui Zineb Abdou

description

case study gainesboro

Transcript of Gainesboro G1

Gainesboro Machines Tools Corp.

Adil BouzoubaaMed Amine BekkalHafida HannaouiZineb Abdou

Overview of Gainesboro Machine Tools

Case Issues

Technical Part

Conclusion

Outline

• Gainesboro Corporation was founded in 1923 in Concord, New Hampshire by James Gaines and David Scarboro.

• Designed and manufactured of machinery parts including presses, dies and molds.

• In the 1940s: armored-vehicle and tank parts, miscellaneous equipment for the world war two .

• After the war; the company concentrated on the production of industrial presses and molds, for plastics as well as metals

• By 1975, the company had developed a reputation as an innovative producer of industrial machinery and machine tools.

Background

• In the 1980s : entered the CAD/ CAM field• In the 1990s: Gainesboro helped set the standard for CAD/CAM• 1990s-2000s: Gainesboro fell behind some of its competition

Background

• Goal : Average annual compound rate of 15%• Strategy • - The mix of production would shift substantially • -Expand aggressively in the international area• -Expand through joint ventures and acquisitions of small software

companies

Company’s Goal and Strategy

• Goal : Average annual compound rate of 15%• Strategy • - The mix of production would shift substantially • -Expand aggressively in the international area• -Expand through joint ventures and acquisitions of small software

companies

Company’s Goal and Strategy

Issues

• The impact of hurricane katrina• The stock of gainseboro had fallen 18% to

$22,15

Issues

• Ashley swenson, the chief financial officer, has to decide whether to payout dividends or repurchase the stock

• she has to decide the number of payout • Swenson thought of 3 options of the dividends

policy and she has to decide which one she should recommend

1st Option

• Zero-dividends payout policy• Transition from a traditional industry to high-tech

entreprise

2nd Option

• 40% dividends payout policy• Using debt to pay dividends

3rd Option

• Residual-dividend payout policy – only after financing all the projects that provide positive NPV

• Less pressure on cash flow and future growth than other option

• Signals to shareholders that Gainesboro commits to Futur Growth and International Expanding

• Implies that Gainesboro is shifting it’s Traditional machine tool to CAD/CAMPros

• The campaign is costly approximately $10 Mil• No Empirical Evidence ever showed that

there’s a positive corelation between name change and Stock price

Cons

Name Change Campaign

Dividend Payout Policy

40% Dividend Payout40% of dividend payout 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011Sales Growth Rate 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15%Net Income as % of sales 2.1% 4.0% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 5.6% 8.0%Diveidend-Payout Ratio 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40% 40%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011Sales 870.1 1000.7 1150.8 1323.4 1521.9 1750.1 2012.7Sources:Net Income 18.1 40.0 57.5 72.8 91.3 98.0 160.0Depreciation 22.5 25.5 30 34.5 40.5 46.5 52.5Total 40.6 65.5 87.5 107.3 131.8 144.5 212.5

Uses:Capital Expenditures 43.8 50.4 57.5 66.2 68.5 78.8 90.6Change in working capital 19.5 22.4 25.8 29.6 34 38.5 44.3Total 63.3 72.8 83.3 95.8 102.5 117.3 134.9

Excess Cash/ Borrowing Needs -22.7 -7.3 4.2 11.5 29.3 27.2 77.6Dividend 7.2 16.0 23.0 29.1 36.5 39.2 64.0Total excess cash/borrowing -29.9 -23.3 -18.8 -17.6 -7.2 -12.0 13.6

Dividend per share 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.1 3.5

0% Dividend Payout0% of dividend payout 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011Sales Growth Rate 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15%Net Income as % of sales 2.1% 4.0% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 5.6% 8.0%Diveidend-Payout Ratio 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011Sales 870.1 1000.7 1150.8 1323.4 1521.9 1750.1 2012.7Sources:Net Income 18.1 40.0 57.5 72.8 91.3 98.0 160.0Depreciation 22.5 25.5 30 34.5 40.5 46.5 52.5Total 40.6 65.5 87.5 107.3 131.8 144.5 212.5

Uses:Capital Expenditures 43.8 50.4 57.5 66.2 68.5 78.8 90.6Change in working capital 19.5 22.4 25.8 29.6 34 38.5 44.3Total 63.3 72.8 83.3 95.8 102.5 117.3 134.9

Excess Cash/ Borrowing Needs -22.7 -7.3 4.2 11.5 29.3 27.2 77.6Dividend 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0Total excess cash/borrowing -22.7 -7.3 4.2 11.5 29.3 27.2 77.6

Dividend per share 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

• It’s a growing company and needs to invest back the retained earnings

• Borrowing for dividend Payement can be avoided • Can be positioned as high growth and high

technology firm• Cash flow will be positive by 2007 Pros

• The board of directors will break their Commitment to shareholders

• DPS fallen from 1.03 to near zero• Stock brokers have a negative sentiments• Value oriented investors(13%), Long-term

retirement people(26%)Cons

0% Dividend Payout

Residual Dividend PayoutResidual dividend payout 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011Sales Growth Rate 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15%Net Income as % of sales 2.1% 4.0% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 5.6% 8.0%Diveidend-Payout Ratio 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011Sales 870.1 1000.7 1150.8 1323.4 1521.9 1750.1 2012.7Sources:Net Income 18.1 40.0 57.5 72.8 91.3 98.0 160.0Depreciation 22.5 25.5 30 34.5 40.5 46.5 52.5Total 40.6 65.5 87.5 107.3 131.8 144.5 212.5

Uses:Capital Expenditures 43.8 50.4 57.5 66.2 68.5 78.8 90.6Change in working capital 19.5 22.4 25.8 29.6 34 38.5 44.3Total 63.3 72.8 83.3 95.8 102.5 117.3 134.9

Excess Cash/ Borrowing Needs -22.7 -7.3 4.2 11.5 29.3 27.2 77.6Dividend 0.0 0.0 4.2 11.5 29.3 27.2 77.6Total excess cash/borrowing -22.7 -7.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Dividend per share 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 1.5 4.2

• The return of all excess funds builds up trust with Investors

• Debt capacity used at it’s minimum only first 2 yearsPros

• High Volatility and Unpredictable Dividend Payements

• The Dividend cuts in 2005 and 2006 will negatively influence Stock pricesCons

Residual Dividend Payout

20% Dividend Payout40% of dividend payout 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011Sales Growth Rate 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15%Net Income as % of sales 2.1% 4.0% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 5.6% 8.0%Diveidend-Payout Ratio 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011Sales 870.1 1000.7 1150.8 1323.4 1521.9 1750.1 2012.7Sources:Net Income 18.1 40.0 57.5 72.8 91.3 98.0 160.0Depreciation 22.5 25.5 30 34.5 40.5 46.5 52.5Total 40.6 65.5 87.5 107.3 131.8 144.5 212.5

Uses:Capital Expenditures 43.8 50.4 57.5 66.2 68.5 78.8 90.6Change in working capital 19.5 22.4 25.8 29.6 34 38.5 44.3Total 63.3 72.8 83.3 95.8 102.5 117.3 134.9

Excess Cash/ Borrowing Needs -22.7 -7.3 4.2 11.5 29.3 27.2 77.6Dividend 3.6 8.0 11.5 14.6 18.3 19.6 32.0Total excess cash/borrowing -26.3 -15.3 -7.3 -3.0 11.0 7.6 45.6

Dividend per share 0.2 0.4 0.65 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.7

• Consistent with Gainesboro historical Dividend payout Policy ( Avg Payout Ratio “1989 – 2000”= 28% )

• The Continuous Div Growth may attract additional Investors

• Cash flow will be positive by 2009Pros

• Borrowing for Dividend Payement needed for the first 4 years

• Not a strong signal that the Management is confident about the company’s futur growth

Cons

20% Dividend Payout

20% Dividend Payout

Share Repurchase

Assumption Repurchase at Current Price

Share repurchase price $22.15

Excess Cash year 2007 (0% Div) $4 200 000

# Shares Repurchased 189 616

# Outstanding Shares Before Repurchase 18 600 000

# Outstanding Shares after Repurchase 18 789 616

Earnings 2007 $87 500 000

EPS before repurchase $4.70

EPS after repurchase $4.66

Conclusion• Maintains Board Commitment to pay

Dividends• Comprising strategy for Investors who want to

receive Dividends and value growth• Positive future Cash Flows > 2009• Stable Div/share Growth

20% Div

• The new name will better reflect the company’s shift to CAD/CAM

• « Gainesboro Advanced Systems International Inc » transfers two main strategies to Investors: High Technology & International Expanding

Name Change