Cape Town's million plus black township of Khayelitsha: Terrae ...
Fleshing out a town's skeleton
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Transcript of Fleshing out a town's skeleton
Fleshing Out a Town’s SkeletonJason McFarlane - Pracsys
About Pracsys WA based Regionally experienced Evidence-based decision making Urban and employment Economics Strategy that delivers
Purpose of this Talk Not to predict the future Systems-based approach Multiple systems create an organism1. Understanding your environment 2. Understand what you can change3. Choosing how you can intervene
Systems Based Strategy
Trends
Systems
Vision
Goals
Levers
Impacts
Feedback
Governance
Context
Strategy
Delivery
Interventions
Ever-changing world
Ever-changing world
Urban Form is the Skeleton Physical shape Perceived as a representation of current
trends Representation of past trends How we engage with a place Focus of planning and decision making
structures Activity versus productive change?
Trends and Systems - STEEP Factors
We tend to simplify Look to averages Plan for the past – what
we have observed Local shifts Reinforce our
prejudices Plan for somewhere
else (benchmarking)
We tend to ignore extremes
Discontinuities Shocks Thresholds Bubbles
Global shifts
Vision Description of future state Define and measure success
Take advantage of short-term opportunities? Long-term resilience
Value Encourage Avoid/mitigate
Goals Key determinants of vision Much more powerful if focussed on
systems rather than trends Specific Measurable Attainable Relevant Time-Bound
Leverage Points
Meadows (2008)
Impacts
Likelihood of success Flow on benefits Risk Opportunity cost
Interventions Assess scenarios Decision rules Role of stakeholders Control
Our own assets We are the decision-makers We take the risks and get the rewards
Interventions Influence
Influencing other’s behavior Often thought of as statutory controls and
incentives 12 leverage points Formal and informal influence
Monitor Provision of information Right decision makers at right time No agenda other than informing – help others
decide
Governance Not administrative! Own the vision Risk management versus mitigation Empowerment Deal-making Being brave with own resources
Feedback Structured upfront Progress to vision Timely and accurate Shared Useful
So what? Please don’t just focus on the skeleton Understand the systems you want to
influence Understand the meaning of success
for you Grants should drive further investment Be patient
Systems Based Strategy
Trends
Systems
Vision
Goals
Levers
Impacts
Feedback
Governance
Context
Strategy
Delivery
Interventions
Ever-changing world
Ever-changing world
Continue the conversation Jason [email protected]: 0412 836 147www.pracsys.com.au