Conte

Miran Gajsek &

Blaž Golob

Millennium Project - South East Europe NodeMillennium Project - South East Europe Node

- The MP SEE Node short Report- From Foresight to Planning- BRICS and/or PIGS- Squaring the (development) circle- Foresighting and planning a city futures: The Ljubljana Forum – MP

node network is working- Ljubljana Forum & European nodes meeting

Content of presentation

The MP SEE Node short report

- Cegd conference: Renaissance of Information Society PPP model, with Microsoft, J.C.Glenn. (Slovenia, Portorož, Oct. 2010)- Bled Forum on Europe: Governance of Fear and Prosperity, 12th Foresight conference / J.C.Glenn, J. Cordeiro, Slovenia, Bled, March 2011)-SEE Node member P. Sicherl contributed to MP knowledge pool with: Presentation of indicators with Time Distance method.- SEE Node provided input to the Latin America Study 2030.- CEGD and Municipality of Ljubljana are organising the Ljubljana Forum, (13-14 October 2011)

CeGD 7 ePillars Model of Single Information Society

From Foresight to Planning

• Foresight, (e.g. Millenium Project);• Forecast, (e.g. THE NEXT 100 Years, a forecast

for the 21st CENTURY, George Friedman, STRATFOR);

• Programming, (European Commission, DG Regio; State and/or Regional development programmes; 2007-2013, 2014-2020; The instrument for a Social, Economic and Territorial Cohesion);

• Planning, (Regional Planning, Spatial Planning, Town Planning; Economic Planning; Social Planning)

Alternative: BRICS or PIGS

• Brasil, (The Pluriannual Plan - PPA; 2004-2007 Plan is commited to macroeconomic stability preservation)

• Russia, (2004, State has set up new instruments in order to play a more active role in guiding economic development: mobilisation of resources in national projects, special economic zones, public investment fund); Russia goes back to Soviet five-years plan? Pravda, 3 june 2011.

• India, (Eleventh Five Year Plan 2007-2012; Science and technology: To identify thrust aras for the XIth Five Year Plan and suggest their inter-se priorities)

• China, (Five Years Plan – FYP; the recent is 2011-2015; the 2001-2005 FYP currenty resembles a very detailed public investment plan rather than a national strategic plan with a clear vision and coordinated strategic objectives);

• SouthAfrican Republic

Squaring the (Development) CircleWho/How

_________

When/Where

Developer Local Authority

3. The Tennessee Valley Authority (the TVA)

• In the USA the crisis reached its peak in 1929. In 1933 the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) was established, (The Tennessee Valley Act, 18 May 1933). TVA was one of the main instruments of the president Theodore Roosevelt’s New Deal. Its functions were: planning and management of the Tennessee river basin, planning and construction of river dams etc. TVA is still in function.

• After the second World war President Truman proposed that the TVA should have the sister in and Euphrates Valley Authority,

• In the year 1953 Bogumil Vošnjak, the Slovene Diplomat, Proffessor and Writer of many books on European politics proposed the Danube Valley Authority. (World Affairs, Vol. 116, No.3, Fall 1953).

4. The Danube Strategy and the case of Slovenia

• Two EU macroregional strategies: European Union Strategy for the Baltic Sea Region (adopted in 2009) and the Danube Strategy (adopted in spring 2011) could represent the tool for a social, economic and teritorial cohesion in EU. Why?

• The macroregion could represent the (teritorial and functional) common denominator of the the existing EU policies and EU funds

4. The Danube Strategy and the case of Slovenia

Railway-logistics network on V. TEN-T corridor

• 3.Pier – Port of Koper• Logistics mastering zones (Koper, Sežana, Divača, Postojna

(Logatec), Ljubljana, Celje, Maribor, Dolga vas)• Economic zones (Coastal zone, Notranjska, Ljubljana, Mining zone,

Žalec – Celje, Maribor, Pomurje (Murska Sobota)• Link to X. TEN-T corridor (Ljubljana, Jože Pučnik Airport)

+• Sedež multinacionalnega upravljavskega telesa v Ljubljani

4. The Danube Strategy and the case of Slovenia

Touristic-energy-water transverzala

• Sava: Kranjska gora-...-Brežice• Drava: Dravograd – Celje, Dravograd – Maribor• Mura: Gornja Radgona – Lendava

+

Transnational distributory electrical power grid (400 kV)

Pipeline

Gas pipeline – South Stream

4. The Danube Strategy and the case of Slovenia

Settlements-university network on development axes with public transport transfer system

• V. TEN-T corridor (Jesenice – Brežice)• X. TEN-T corridor (Jesenice – Ljubljana – Brežice; Maribor – Ptuj)• 3. Development axis:

Carinthia Saleška Valley Vitanje – Celje – Laško Šentjur – Posotelje

• Associate aces: Soča corridor ((Ajdovščina) Nova Gorica – Tolmin (Most na Soči – Kobarid)) Celtica (Logatec – Idrija – Tolmin (Ajdovščina))

• Centres of excellence : Ljubljana, Maribor, Nova Gorica, Kranj, Novo mesto, Celje, Bled, Piran

4. The Danube Strategy and the case of Slovenia

‘‘Forgoten pockets‘‘ – opportunities for settlement, tourism and eco-farming, linked to regional public transport, local enterprise zones and regional produce centres

• Ribnica – Kočevje• Idrija• Trbovlje – Zagorje – Hrastnik• Goričko• Suha Krajina• Bela Krajina• Spa-basin Posotelje – Ptuj – Prekmurje (Balaton)

5. Conclusions

1. The Danube strategy covers 8 EU countries (Germany, Austria, Hungary, Czech Republic, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Bulgaria and Romania) and 6 non-EU countries (Croatia, Serbia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Montenegro, Ukraine and Moldova).

2. Between 90.0 and 100.0 billions (!) of Euros is the amount of money of the existing EU founds for the 8 EU countries inside Danube strategy for the programming period 2007-2013. How to alocate this amount of money?

3. The European Commission, the 8 member countries and 6 non-EU countries have to establish as soon as possible the Danube strategy authority.

4. The EU Commission should establish the authorities for the European macro regions; e.g. Adriatic space, Alpine space ….

5. The EU macro regional authorities do represent an instrument for european cohesion policy.

• www.cegd.eu• www.bled-forum.org

Conclusion & contact