1. The Metropolitan Future of Brazil and the United States@bruce_katz#globalcitiesSo Paulo, Brazil / November 2012

2. Photos: Flickr/maych, Insper, Flickr/fkintz 3. Brazil-US RelationshipStrong & Growing Stronger274%Brazil-US trade growth 1990-2010300% US to Brazil FDI growth2004-2011390%Brazil to US visitor growthSources: US Census Bureau: Dados de Comrcio Internacional, 2004-2011Fluxos OECD FDI, US ITA Ofce of Travel & Tourism Industries 4. Brazil-US RelationshipStrong & Growing StrongerPhoto: Roberto Stuckert Filho/PR 5. Exports Share of GDP 2010 30%29%22%13%12% China CanadaIndia 15% 15% United StatesBrazil Japan European UnionSource: Brookings analysis of EIU and WTO data 6. Cities and Metropolitan Areas Engines of National EconomiesUnited States Brazil91%88%84% 85%Population GDP PopulationGDPSources: Mundo indicadores do Banco de Desenvo lvimento, Instituto Brasileiro de Geograa eEstatstica (IBGE), US Census, US Bureau of Economic Analysis 7. 1 2 3 Cities and metropolitan areas are 1 the engines of national economies 8. 1 2 3Cities and metropolitan areas are2 centers for trade & investment 9. 1 2 3Cities and metropolitan areas need to3 drive their economic destinies 10. 1 2 3 Cities and metropolitan areas are 1 the engines of national economies 11. Since 1950 the global urban The majority of the worldspopulation has tripled in size,population lives in cities andand will reach 5 billion by 2030 metropolitan areas 5.0 b3.6 b 29%0.8 b1950 1950 2010 2030Source: United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects, 2011` 12. Since 1950 the global urban The majority of the worldspopulation has tripled in size,population lives in cities andand will reach 5 billion by 2030 metropolitan areas 5.0 b3.6 b 29%51%0.8 b2009 1950 2010 2030Source: United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects, 2011` 13. Since 1950 the global urban The majority of the worldspopulation has tripled in size,population lives in cities andand will reach 5 billion by 2030 metropolitan areas 5.0 b3.6 b 29%51%60%0.8 b2030 1950 2010 2030Source: United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects, 2011` 14. Urban Share of National Population201074% 77% 80%Germany Spain United Kingdom 84% 85% 31%49% United States Brazil 62% IndiaChinaSouth AfricaSource: United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects 15. Source: Brookings, Global MetroMonitor 2012300 top metropolitan areas19% global population 48% global GDP 16. 300 top metropolitan areas 13 in Brazil 76 in the United States 17. Top 13 Brazilian Metropolitan AreasShare of National Total63%56% 50%52% 35% PopulationManufacturing CollegeGDP FinanceOutputGraduates OutputSource: Brookings, Metropolitan Brazil (2012) 18. Top 13 Brazilian Metropolitan AreasGlobal Ranking & Economic Size11 So Paulo $473 B47 Rio de Janeiro$195 B87 Brasilia$139 B 131 Belo Horizonte$95 B 160 Porto Alegre$75 B 178 Curitiba$65 B 185 Campinas$61 B 202 Salvador$55 B 265 Recife$36 B 279 Grande Vitoria$34 B 288 Fortaleza $31 B 289 Manaus$31 B 295 Baixada Santista$28 BSource: Brookings analysis of Oxford Economics, Moodys Analytics & US Census Bureau data 19. 11 metrosstate or federal capitals 20. 3 metrosState of Sao Paulo 21. Top Global MetrosPopulationEconomy1 Tokyo1 Tokyo2 Jakarta2 New York3 Chongqing3 Los Angeles4 Shanghai 4 Seoul5 Seoul5 London6 Delhi6 Paris7 Beijing7 Osaka-Kobe8 Mumbai 8 Chicago9 Mexico City9 Moscow10 So Paulo 10 Shanghai11 New York11 So Paulo12 Osaka-Kobe12 Koln-Dusseldorf13 Kolkata 13 Beijing14 Tianjin 14 Washington-15 London15 Arlington-AlexandriaMexico CitySource: Brookings analysis of Oxford Economics, Moodys Analytics & US Census Bureau data 22. So PauloMetropolitan Area10%PopulationBrazilSource: Brookings analysis of Oxford Economics, Moodys Analytics & US Census Bureau data 23. So PauloMetropolitan Area 20% GDP BrazilSource: Brookings analysis of Oxford Economics, Moodys Analytics & US Census Bureau data 24. So PauloMetropolitan Area 20%57%GDP State ofSo PauloSource: Brookings analysis of Oxford Economics, Moodys Analytics & US Census Bureau data 25. Top 300 metropolitan areas 13 in Brazil 76 in the United States 26. Top 76 US Metropolitan AreasShare of National Totals77% 78% 67%68% 61%58% Population Manufacturing College GDPFinancePatents OutputGraduates OutputSource: Brookings analysis of Moodys Economy.com data and Strumsky Patent Database, Brookings Global MetroMonitor 2012 27. Top 76 US Metropolitan AreasTop 5Global Ranking & Economic Size 2 New York$1,210 B 3 Los Angeles $787 B 8 Chicago $525 B14 Washington$415 B16 Houston $400 BBottom 5276 Columbia$34 B280 Knoxville $34 B281 Allentown $33 B285 Little Rock $32 B287 Harrisburg$31 B Dlar dos EUASource: Brookings analysis of Oxford Economics, Moodys Analytics & US Census Bureau data 28. 1 2 3 Cities and metropolitan areas are 2 centers for trade & investment 29. The Silk RoadI - XV Centuries 30. The Hanseatic LeagueXIII - XV Centuries 31. Italian City-States XII - XV Centuries 32. Trade is essential to Metrosare 33. Metros are essential to Trade 34. Top 13 Brazilian metro share 61%Foreign waterborne trade 66% Top 76 US metro share Foreign waterborne tradeSource: Brookings analysis of Brazil MDIC AliceWeb & US Army Corps of Engineers data 35. 82%Top 76 US metro shareInternational air travel Top 13 Brazilian metro share82%International air travelSource: Brookings analysis of Infraero & US Department of Transportation data 36. Top 13 Brazilian Metropolitan AreasTop 76 US Metropolitan Areas Share of National Totals Share of National Totals2003-2012 2003-201277%77%70% 59%FDIFDI-relatedFDI FDI-relatedProjectsJobsProjects JobsSource: Brookings analysis of fDi Markets data 37. Metropolitan Goods Exports Share of National Total33%56%Top 13 Brazilian Metros Top 76 US MetrosSources: ALICEWeb MDIC, Brookings ExportNation 2012 38. Top 76 US Metro ExportsParticipao Nacional Total76%72%72%67% 59% ChemicalBusiness & Computer & ManufacturingService ProductsProfessionalElectronic ExportsExports ServicesProductsSource: Brookings, ExportNation 2012 39. Top 300 metropolitan areas 13 in Brazil 76 in the United States 40. Sao Paulo DashboardGlobal Connections26%Metro Sao Paulo sharenational air passengertrafc33%Metro Sao Paulo sharenational air cargo1stPort of Santos rankcargo volume, SouthAmerican portsSource: INFRAERO 2012, CI Online 2009,Mundo Martimo ConselhoPhoto: Wikicommons/Bunks 41. 27%Sao Paulo Dashboard Global Connections Metro Sao Paulo share metropolitan goods exports 19% Metro Sao Paulo share national foreign direct investmentSources: Brookings analysis of fDi Markets data and Brookings,Metropolitan Brazil (2012) 42. London FrankfurtNew York MadridTokyoMiamiShanghai Hong Kong So Paulo So Paulo | Finanas 43. Stuttgart MilanDetroit NagoyaSo PauloSo Paulo | Fabricao 44. Brussles LondonTorontoFrankfurt Paris ZurichChicagoSeoulNew York MilanMadrid Tokyo Los Angeles Hong Kong Mexico City Singapore So Paulo SydneySource: Beaverstock, Smith & Taylor, A Roster of World Cities, Cities Journal (1999) 45. AmsterdamHoustonBogotDar es Salaam Rio de JaneiroRio de Janeiro | Energy 46. DublinTokyoSan JoseBangalore Campinas Campinas | Technology 47. HarbinLisbonPalm Bay So Jos dos CamposSo Jos dos Campos | Aerospace 48. 1 2 3 Cities and metropolitan areas need to 3 drive their economic destinies 49. Innovate Locally 50. Metropolitan Business PlanningSeattle Minneapolis-Portland St. Paul Syracuse ChicagoNortheastOhioLos Angeles 51. Market AssessmentMetropolitan Business Planning Economic Profile Target Sectors 15%12%8%9% 12% 13%9% Establish Goals & StrategiesDouble exportsSupport key sectorsIncrease globalBoost SME exportsuencyCollaborate to CompeteFirms UniversitiesGovernment Philanthropy 52. Target industries: aerospace, Metropolitan Business Planning computer and electronic products,pharmaceuticals, professional services,lm and televisionGrow Los Angeles metropolitanexportsCity ofUSC Los LA AreaChamber of AngelesCommerceLos AngelesUCLAPort ofLosAngelesWorldPort ofAirports of LongLABeach 53. Target industries: aerospace, Metropolitan Business Planning computer and electronic products,pharmaceuticals, professional services,lm and televisionGrow Los Angeles metropolitanexportsCity ofUSC Los LA AreaChamber of AngelesCommerceLos Angeles LA Regional ExportUCLAPort of Los CouncilAngelesWorldPort ofAirports of LongLABeach 54. So PaulolanProvide a platform for growth:quality schools, efcient ess PtropolitanGBusailnCities Initiative transport, sound governanceMe lobeSANTA ISABEL FRANCISCOMAIRIPOR2007-2012 MORATOFRANCO DA ROCHACAJAMARARUJ GUARAREMA CAIEIRAS$99.9 PIRAPORA DOGUARULHOS BOM JESUSITAQUAQUE- CETUBABA MOGI DASSANTANA DE PARNA CRUZESSALESPOLIS POSO PAULO BARUERI VASCONCELOSFERRAZ DEJAN OSASCO BIRITIBA-Increase foreign direct ITAPEVIDIRACARAPI- CUBA SUZANOMIRIM SUL TABOO SO CAETANO DOVARGEMGRANDE DA SERRAMAU IRESPAULISTAEMBU OPIR ANDEAAE DEMCOTIARIBGR ERRRDIARIO DA SNDinvestment: transportationITAPECERICATOADA SERRASAN SO BERNARDO DO CAMPO SOEMBU- LOURENO GUAUDA SERRAPAULO JUQUITIBAinfrastructure1-2012rvices3.562 48cturing StateGDPStatepopulationution/retail20 10 55. Innovate Locally Network Globally 56. HoustonCity of HoustonCity ofSo Paulo Commercial relations Science and technologycollaborationSoPauloFacilitate information sharing 57. Enterprise FloridaMiamiSao Paulo ofce to expandtrade in BrazilMiami Free Trade Zone ofceSo to facilitate special trade andPaulo investment projects 58. Columbus University of The Ohio StateSo PauloUniversity Brazil Research ExchangeProgram Ohio State University Global So Gateways Sao Paulo Ofce Paulo(2014) 59. ColumbusHoustonMiamiSoPaulo 60. Innovate Locally Network Globally Advocate Nationally 61. National Government ResponsibilitiesEnhancing access to foreignmarketsEnforcing trade agreementsOpening up borders toimmigrantsProtecting intellectualproperty 62. Federal Support for Export-Focused Metropolian Business PlansMinneapolis- PortlandSt. Paul SyracuseLos AngelesInternationalExport- Small BusinessStateDepartment ofTradeImport Bank Administration Administration Department Transportation 63. ESADE Mapping: Export and FDI Support Government Non-Prot/Business AssociationNationalAPEX-Ministry of BNDES SEBRAEAmCham FBCCBrazil Intl Affairs Government Non-Prot/Business AssociationState INVESTESPIIRRStateSPCC FECOINT FIESPGovernmentNon-Prot/Business AssociationSo Paulo IIRRCitySPCCMetro 64. United StatesFree Trade Agreements n AmericaNorth rade US-PanamaFree T ent Free TradeAgreem Agreement US-Colombia US-KoreaFree TradeDFree Trade Tran RAFTAgreement Agreement Par s-Pacifictnership 65. A Vision for the Western HemisphereAgreement onTrade andEconomic Co operation 2011 66. Innovate Locally Network Globally Advocate Nationally 67. The Metropolitan Future of Brazil and the United States@bruce_katz#globalcitiesSo Paulo, Brazil / November 2012