Bank of America Merrill Lynch CEO Conference London, 28 … BoA... · 2017. 8. 30. · Bank of...

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Bank of America Merrill Lynch CEO Conference London, 28 September 2017 Casper von Koskull President and Group CEO of Nordea

Transcript of Bank of America Merrill Lynch CEO Conference London, 28 … BoA... · 2017. 8. 30. · Bank of...

  • Bank of America Merrill Lynch CEO Conference London, 28 September 2017

    Casper von Koskull President and Group CEO of Nordea

  • Nordea in brief The largest financial services group in the Nordics

    2 2

    #2

    #2

    #3

    #2-3

    #1

    #2

    #1-2

    #2

    #1 #1

    Household market position

    Corporate & Institutional market position

    Business position - Leading market position in all four Nordic countries - Universal bank with strong position in household, corporate and wealth management - Well diversified business mix between net interest income, net commission income and capital markets income 11 million customers and strong distribution power - Approx. 10 million personal customers - 700 000 corporate customers, incl. Nordic Top 500 - Approx. 600 branch office locations - Enhanced digitalisation of the business for customers Financial strength - EUR 10bn in full year income (2016) - EUR 643bn of assets (Q2 2017) - EUR 31.4bn in equity capital (Q2 2017) - CET1 ratio 19.2% (Q2 2017) AA level credit ratings - Moody’s Aa3 (stable outlook) - S&P AA- (stable outlook) - Fitch AA- (stable outlook) EUR 45bn in market cap - One of the largest Nordic corporations - A top-10 universal bank in Europe

  • 3

    Integrated universal bank leading in each market and business area

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    Well mixed profit generation Business Area contribution in H1 2017

    5%

    22%

    21% 20%

    32%

    Operating Income

    4%

    28%

    21% 18%

    29%

    Operating Profit Economic Capital

    Group Functions & Other Wealth Management Wholesale Banking

    Commercial & Business Banking Personal Banking

    9%

    31% 23%

    27%

    10%

  • 5

    Combining Nordic scale with local presence

    Centre of excellences • Compliance • Financial crime prevention • Operations • Robotics • Finance

    Decentralised • Customer facing activities • Product development • Credit decisions • Marketing

    • Efficient

    • Scalable

    • Agile

    • Personalised

  • 6

    Strong capital generation and stable returns at low risk 13% CAGR in capital generation and CET1-ratio up 12.5 pp in 11 years

    26

    2007 2008

    20

    15

    2005

    12

    2012 2011

    35 31

    29

    2009 2010 2006

    18

    CAGR 13%1

    2016

    37

    47

    2013 2015 2014

    39 43

    Acc. dividend EURbn Acc. equity EURbn

    5.92 18.4 CET1 Ratio %

    29 26 34 43 62 64 65 DPS (Euro cents)

    1) CAGR 2015 vs. 2005, adjusted for EUR 2.5bn rights issue in 2009. Equity columns represents end-of-period equity less dividends for the year. No assumption on reinvestment rate for paid out dividends 2) Calculated as Tier 1 capital excl. hybrid loans

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    The most stable bank in the Nordics Nordea and peers 2006 – 2016, %

    131

    7455

    362417

    Peer 5 Peer 4 Peer 3 Peer 2 Peer 1 Nordea

    1,010,90

    0,520,400,34

    0,20

    Peer 5 Peer 4 Peer 3 Peer 2 Peer 1 Nordea

    Quarterly net profit volatility

    Quarterly CET1 ratio volatility¹

    1) Calculated as quarter on quarter volatility in CET1 ratio, adjusted so that the volatility effect of those instances where the CET1 ratio increases between quarters are excluded

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    ROE vs. Risk Spread Calculated at CET1 ratio of 18%, Nordea’s RoE and the return over government bonds are at 10-year highs

    0123456789

    101112

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

    Return (ROE-5Y Gvmt bond yld) ROE, at 18% CET1 ratio

    RoE & Return over gvmt bonds %

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    Nordea’s P&L has changed over the last 10 years Reliance on NII is decreasing, as ancillary income grows

    5,000

    6,000

    7,000

    8,000

    9,000

    10,000

    0

    11,000

    4,000

    3,000

    2,000

    1,000

    Ancillary income: +44% over 10 years

    Net interest income: +10% over 10 years

    2016

    9,930

    2014 2013 2012 2011 2015

    4,727 (48%)

    4,282 (54%)

    2010

    3,607 (46%)

    5,203 (52%)

    2009 2008 2007

    7,889

    Total Income: +26% over 10 years

    Baltics Russia Poland Equities Fund distribution

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    Q2 2017 Group financial highlights Stable environment and low growth

    Income

    Costs

    Credit quality

    Capital

    Q2/17 vs. Q2/16* Q2/17 vs. Q1/17*

    • Total revenues • Net Interest Income • Fee and commission

    income

    • +1% • +1%

    • +7%

    • -1% • Flat

    • -1%

    • Total costs

    • 2017 vs. 2016

    • +8%

    • + 3 to 5%

    • +5%

    • Loan loss level

    • Credit quality outlook

    • 13 (15) bps • 13 (14) bps

    • CET 1 ratio • 19.2% (16.8%)

    • 2018 vs. 2016 • Unchanged

    • < long-term aver. of 16 bps in H2

    • Impaired loans • 172 bps (+10 bps) • Unchanged

    • 19.2% (18.8%)

    *In local currencies and excluding non-recurring items

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    We are transforming the bank to meet future customer expectations

    DIGITAL ENGINE

    CUSTOMER FACING

    Trust Agile

    Relevant

    Well structured Innovative

    Anything, Anytime,

    Anywhere

    Easy

    Personalised

    End-to-end automated common processes

    Scalable

    Reliable Cost effective

    One operating model for product and service delivery

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    Key Milestone in the Core Banking Programme A common, Nordic Core Banking Platform supporting the core functions of banking

    Customer satisfaction

    Profita-bility

    Preferred employer

    Will enable Nordea to launch the new deposits

    and savings product portfolio

    in Finland

    Key software release to the

    product environment

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    Strategic partnerships with FinTech incubators

    Active engagement in the wider financial ecosystem Collaborations

    that speed up time to market for new, relevant and valuable customer

    solutions Great market reception to our Open Banking pilot with hundreds of developers

    signing up and activity now underway

    Partnered with FinTech Hubs in Stockholm, Copenhagen, Oslo

    We take customer service to the next level through artificial

    intelligence (AI)

    Using AI, we can analyse hundreds of

    messages per second

    Speeding up response time to customers with AI

  • Nordea re-domiciliation

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    • Overall goal for Nordea has been to domicile where we grow and develop our business further to offer customer friendly solutions

    • A thorough review of implications from an operational, regulatory and supervisory standpoint has been undertaken • Decision is to initiate a redomiciliation of the parent company to Finland • Nordea’s pan-Nordic structure gives us special needs • Logical move to be supervised within the banking union given our size and business model • Nordea’s four home markets are all part of the single European market

    Banking union

    Why is Nordea re-domiciling ?

    Being domiciled within the banking union is in the best interest of our customers, shareholders and employees Impact of re-domiciliation • Nordea’s focus is to maintain its AA rating and continue to develop our customer offering • Nordea will still have four home markets – we will remain strongly committed to all of them

    • Nordea intends to maintain its capital and dividend policy

    • Nordea will continue to be one of the major tax payers in all four countries

    • Nordea will focus on delivering value for all our customers

  • The Board decided to initiate a process to re-domicile to Finland Tentatively by 1 October 2018

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    Decision background:

    • Decision is the outcome of six months of careful study and analysis weighing in all relevant factors

    • Focus has been on where to best grow and develop our business further by offering

    customer friendly solutions, contribute to the Nordic economies and develop our people • The domiciliation is an important strategic step to ensure level playing field with our

    European competitors.

    Finland:

    • Is in the Banking Union • Is one of Nordea’s strongest home markets

    • Provides a regulatory environment on par with our European competitors.

  • What happens now

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    • The re-domiciliation is intended to be carried out by way of a “downstream cross-border” merger through which Nordea Bank AB (publ) will be merged into a newly established Finnish subsidiary

    • The merger is planned to be effected during the second half of 2018 and will be subject to e.g. necessary regulatory

    approvals and the shareholders’ approval at a general meeting requiring a 2/3 majority. Tentatively in the annual General Meeting on 15 March 2018

    • We will in cooperation with the relevant authorities agree a detailed timeline • The re-domiciliation will tentatively be effective as of 1 October 2018

    • The Nordea share will remain listed at the stock exchanges of Stockholm, Helsinki and Copenhagen

  • Q&A

    Bank of America Merrill Lynch CEO Conference�London, 28 September 2017Nordea in brief�The largest financial services group in the NordicsIntegrated universal bank leading in each market and business areaWell mixed profit generation�Business Area contribution in H1 2017Combining Nordic scale with local presenceStrong capital generation and stable returns at low risk�13% CAGR in capital generation and CET1-ratio up 12.5 pp in 11 yearsThe most stable bank in the Nordics�Nordea and peers 2006 – 2016, %ROE vs. Risk Spread�Calculated at CET1 ratio of 18%, Nordea’s RoE and the return over government bonds are at 10-year highsNordea’s P&L has changed over the last 10 years�Reliance on NII is decreasing, as ancillary income growsQ2 2017 Group financial highlights �Stable environment and low growthWe are transforming the bank to meet future customer expectationsKey Milestone in the Core Banking Programme�A common, Nordic Core Banking Platform supporting the core functions of bankingStrategic partnerships with FinTech incubatorsNordea re-domiciliationThe Board decided to initiate a process to re-domicile to Finland�Tentatively by 1 October 2018 What happens now Q&A