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Transcript of Pearson Merrill Lynch TMT Conference Pearson Merrill Lynch TMT Conference Rona Fairhead 3 June...
PearsonPearson Merrill Lynch TMT ConferenceMerrill Lynch TMT Conference
Rona FairheadRona Fairhead3 June 20033 June 2003
School 27%
Higher Education 18%
Professional 19%FT Group 17%
Penguin 19%
Financial priorities Financial priorities
Deliver steady earnings growthDeliver steady earnings growth
Improve cash generationImprove cash generation
Improve return on invested capitalImprove return on invested capital
Working Capital£0.8bn
Working Capital£0.8bn
Net Fixed Assets£0.5bn
Net Fixed Assets£0.5bn
divided by
Operating Margin
11%
Operating Margin
11%
Net Sales£4.3bn
Net Sales£4.3bn
Cash Tax Effect£0.1bn
15%
Cash Tax Effect£0.1bn
15%
less
Goodwill£5.7bn
Goodwill£5.7bn
Return on invested capitalReturn on invested capital
plus
Returns(NOPLAT)
£0.4bn
Returns(NOPLAT)
£0.4bn
ROIC6.0%ROIC6.0%
Invested Capital
£7bn
Invested Capital
£7bn
Operating Assets£1.3bn
Operating Assets£1.3bn
Operating Profit
£0.5bn
Operating Profit
£0.5bn
Working Capital£0.8bn
Working Capital£0.8bn
Net Fixed Assets£0.5bn
Net Fixed Assets£0.5bn
divided by
Operating Margin
11%
Operating Margin
11%
Net Sales£4.3bn
Net Sales£4.3bn
Cash Tax Effect£0.1bn
15%
Cash Tax Effect£0.1bn
15%
less
plus
Goodwill£5.7bn
Goodwill£5.7bn
Return on invested capitalReturn on invested capital
Returns(NOPLAT)
£0.4bn
Returns(NOPLAT)
£0.4bn
ROIC6.0%ROIC6.0%
Invested Capital
£7bn
Invested Capital
£7bn
Operating Assets£1.3bn£1.3bn
Operating Assets£1.3bn£1.3bn
Operating Profit
£0.5bn£0.5bn
Operating Profit
£0.5bn£0.5bn
Average working capitalAverage working capital20022002
av w/cav w/c20012001
av w/cav w/c20022002
2002 at2002 atconstant constant
salessales
improvementimprovement
£m£m££mm %%
penguin / pearson penguin / pearson eded
% sales% sales
1,0921,092
31.9%31.9%
1,0901,090
30.3%30.3%
1,0391,039 5353 5%5%
ft groupft group
% sales% sales
(35)(35)
(4.4)%(4.4)%
(38)(38)
(5.2)%(5.2)%
(41)(41) 66 17%17%
groupgroup
% sales% sales
1,0571,057
25.0%25.0%
1,0521,052
24.4%24.4%
1,0291,029 2828 3%3%
Return on invested capitalReturn on invested capital
Working Capital£0.8bn
Working Capital£0.8bn
Net Fixed Assets£0.5bn
Net Fixed Assets£0.5bn
divided by
Operating Margin
11%
Operating Margin
11%
Net Sales£4.3bn
Net Sales£4.3bn
Cash Tax Effect£0.1bn
15%
Cash Tax Effect£0.1bn
15%
less
plus
Goodwill£5.7bn
Goodwill£5.7bn
Operating Assets£1.3bn
Operating Assets£1.3bn
Returns(NOPLAT)
£0.4bn
Returns(NOPLAT)
£0.4bn
ROIC6.0%ROIC6.0%
Invested Capital
£7bn
Invested Capital
£7bn
Operating Profit
£0.5bn£0.5bn
Operating Profit
£0.5bn£0.5bn
Cash flow through transformationCash flow through transformation
£m£m 20022002 20012001 20002000 19991999 19981998 19971997
operating free cash operating free cash flowflow 305305 236236 159159 298298 266266 4343
non-operatingnon-operating (46)(46) (27)(27) (79)(79) (93)(93) (11)(11) (21)(21)
acquisitions & acquisitions & disposalsdisposals 806806 (23)(23) (2,017(2,017
))361361 (2,020(2,020
))(182)(182)
IntegrationIntegration (44)(44) (69)(69) (61)(61) (110)(110) (23)(23) ——
dividendsdividends** (182)(182) (183)(183) (144)(144) (133)(133) (119)(119) (116)(116)
equityequity 66 2020 1,9591,959 1818 347347 2727otherother (5)(5) (7)(7) (6)(6) (8)(8) (6)(6) (6)(6)
net movement of fundsnet movement of funds 840840 (53)(53) (189)(189) 333333 (1,566(1,566))
(255)(255)
*includes dividends to minorities*includes dividends to minorities
Our position Our position
The world’s most The world’s most international business international business newspaper and websitenewspaper and website
Leading national business Leading national business newspapers in France, newspapers in France, Germany, Spain, South Germany, Spain, South AfricaAfrica
50% stake in The Economist50% stake in The Economist
Leading provider of Leading provider of financial datafinancial data
FT and FT.com
31%
Otherpublishing
14%
IDC34%
Recoletos20%
2002 revenues : 2002 revenues : £726m£726m
Industry drivers Industry drivers
Short-term:Short-term:– corporate confidence & earnings corporate confidence & earnings – job losses in financial communityjob losses in financial community
Long-term:Long-term:– appetite for high quality, international business appetite for high quality, international business
informationinformation– connections between political, economic & business connections between political, economic & business
newsnews– value in niche audience of leaders in business, value in niche audience of leaders in business,
finance, politicsfinance, politics
AgendaAgenda
Modest investment in UK, US, AsiaModest investment in UK, US, Asia
Tight cost controls, lower internet lossesTight cost controls, lower internet losses
Further progress at IDC and RecoletosFurther progress at IDC and Recoletos
AgendaAgenda
Modest investment in UK, US, AsiaModest investment in UK, US, Asia
Tight cost controls, lower internet lossesTight cost controls, lower internet losses
Further progress at IDC and RecoletosFurther progress at IDC and Recoletos
Our position Our position
The world’s pre-eminent The world’s pre-eminent English language publisherEnglish language publisher
##11 or # or #22 in the US, UK, in the US, UK, Australia, NZ, India Australia, NZ, India and Canadaand Canada
The leading illustrated The leading illustrated reference publisherreference publisher
With Pearson Education, With Pearson Education, the world’s largest book the world’s largest book publisherpublisher
Penguin US57%
Penguin UK& ROW
24%
Dorling Kindersley
19%
2002 revenues : 2002 revenues : £838m£838m
Industry drivers Industry drivers
Steady growthSteady growth
Bestseller performanceBestseller performance
Faster-growing categoriesFaster-growing categories
Benefits of scale Benefits of scale
The world’s largest book companyThe world’s largest book company
SOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS, ANALYST REPORTSSOURCE: ANNUAL REPORTS, ANALYST REPORTSNOTE: 2001 MEDIAN GBP / USD EXCHANGE RATE = 1.45NOTE: 2001 MEDIAN GBP / USD EXCHANGE RATE = 1.45
Estimated 2001 book revenues ($m)Estimated 2001 book revenues ($m)
869
959
988
1,000
1,828
1,858
2,322
4,188
Harcourt / Reed
New Corp(HarperCollins)
Holtzbrinck
Scholastic
Bertelsmann
McGraw Hill
Pearson
Houghton Mifflin
AgendaAgenda
Sales growth ahead of the marketSales growth ahead of the market
Margin improvement as DK’s progress continuesMargin improvement as DK’s progress continues
Further scale opportunities with Pearson Further scale opportunities with Pearson EducationEducation
Our position Our position
The world’s leading The world’s leading education companyeducation company
##11 in US School, in US School, US Higher US Higher Education and Education and outside the USoutside the US
Leading in Leading in publishing, testing publishing, testing and technology and technology
School 42%
Professional*
30%
Higher Education 28%
2002 revenues : 2002 revenues : £2,756m£2,756m
* FTK revenues included in Professional* FTK revenues included in Professional
School: industry drivers School: industry drivers
Short-term:Short-term:– the adoption cyclethe adoption cycle– state budgetsstate budgets
Long-term:Long-term:– standards movement drives spending on:standards movement drives spending on:
• textbookstextbooks• testingtesting• student informationstudent information
Source: National Conference of State Legislatures
Estimates* of FY 2004** budget shortfalls, $m
0-400401-800
801-1,5001,501-3,000
3,000-10,00010,001-20,000
*As of April 2003 **Most state fiscal years end June 30th
School: industry drivers School: industry drivers
Short-term:Short-term:– the adoption cyclethe adoption cycle– state budgetsstate budgets
Long-term:Long-term:– The knowledge economyThe knowledge economy– standards movement drives spending on:standards movement drives spending on:
• curriculumcurriculum• testingtesting• student informationstudent information
100
200
300
400
500
81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01
100
200
300
400
500
81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01
ELHI spendingELHI spending1981 = 1001981 = 100
InstructionalInstructionalmaterialmaterial
GDPGDP
EnrolmentEnrolment
School: our position School: our position
US Publishing 50%
US Testing and Software27%
International
and ELT 23%
2002 revenues : 2002 revenues : £1,151m£1,151m ##11 US school US school
publisherpublisher
The integrated The integrated school company: school company: ##11 in publishing, in publishing, testing and testing and technologytechnology
World’s #World’s #11 publisher in English publisher in English Language Teaching Language Teaching
2002 revenues : 2002 revenues : £1,151m£1,151m
Adoption States
Open Territories
Residual Sales
Residual Sales
New Adoptions
New Adoptions
School: agenda School: agenda
Grow ahead of the market in ’03; Grow ahead of the market in ’03; protect margins in ’04protect margins in ’04
Prepare for rebound in adoption cycle in Prepare for rebound in adoption cycle in ’05/ ’06’05/ ’06
Use testing and software to help states Use testing and software to help states meet NCLB requirementsmeet NCLB requirements
Higher Education: our position Higher Education: our position
34% US market share34% US market share
20%+ US margins20%+ US margins
US Higher Education
80%
International Higher Education 20%
2002 revenues : 2002 revenues : £775m£775m
Higher education: Higher education: industry drivers industry drivers
Short-term:Short-term:– authorsauthors– publication cyclepublication cycle
Long-term:Long-term:– the value of a college educationthe value of a college education– demographicsdemographics– integration of technologyintegration of technology– customisationcustomisation– benefits of scalebenefits of scale
Higher Education: agenda Higher Education: agenda
Further share gainsFurther share gains
Build on lead in technologyBuild on lead in technology
Increase lead in custom publishingIncrease lead in custom publishing
Professional: our position Professional: our position
Technology Publishing 20%
2002 revenues : 2002 revenues : £784m£784m
Government
Solutions44%
Other 22%
ProfessionalAssessment
14%
##11 technology technology publisher worldwidepublisher worldwide
Leading provider of Leading provider of testing and HR testing and HR services to US federal services to US federal governmentgovernment
Developing business Developing business in professional testing in professional testing and certificationand certification
Professional: industry drivers Professional: industry drivers
Short-term:Short-term:– technology downturntechnology downturn– government contracts can be ‘spiky’ (e.g. TSA contract government contracts can be ‘spiky’ (e.g. TSA contract
in ’02)in ’02)– start-up costs in professional testing businessstart-up costs in professional testing business
Long-term:Long-term:– licensing/ accreditation of professionalslicensing/ accreditation of professionals– US federal government outsourcingUS federal government outsourcing– technology recoverytechnology recovery
Professional: agenda Professional: agenda
Develop pipeline of government contractsDevelop pipeline of government contracts
Maintain margins in technology publishingMaintain margins in technology publishing
Build professional testing businessBuild professional testing business
The fundamentalsThe fundamentals
Attractive marketsAttractive markets
Leading positionsLeading positions
Valuable brandsValuable brands
Benefits of scaleBenefits of scale
. . . annual progress in earnings, cash and . . . annual progress in earnings, cash and returnsreturns