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© 2013 by WINGX Advance / Actionable Market Intelligence for Business Aviation

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AIRCRAFTACTIVITYTRACKER

INSIGHT Issue: December 2016Hamburg, January 11th, 2017

Executive Summary: December 2016

© 2016 by WINGX Advance / Actionable Market Intelligence for Business Aviation 2BAI issue 5/11/2017

There were 32,816 business jet departures in Europe in December 2016, 3.8% up YOY, taking the FY 2016 trend to +1.5%, >7,000 additional business jet flights compared to 2015.

December’s growth in business jet activity was relatively strong: a net increase of 1,215 flights, 277 additional from France, up 6%. Italy and Switzerland were also up 6%, and business jet flights from Spain were up by 8% YOY.

AOC missions - 58% of all flights and up 7% YOY - were again the driving force in business jet activity growth. Double digit growth in AOC departures in 3 of the top 5 markets. Also 6% growth in AOC flights from Russia, +15% from Turkey.

Arrivals into Europe this month were well up from Middle East and West Africa, down on transatlantic routes and from China. For FY 2016, flights from North America were up 3%. Within Europe, Eastern Europe had most growth this year.

• Super-Light, Light, Very-Light and Super-Mid business jets had YOY growth close to 10% in December, with the latter 2 sustaining10% trend for FY 2016. Heavy Jet activity was also up this month. The 2 declining segments were Midsize and Entry-Level.

• Bombardier and Embraer fleets had largest growth in YOY activity. Cessna activity was up 2% in December, flat for FY 2016. Dassault jet flight hours were down 8% in December, trailing by 6% for FY. Dassault AOC flights -7% in December.

• Busiest business jet, Citation Excel/XLS, flew 3,662 missions in December, up 9% YOY. Global Express activity was up >15%. In AOC flights, Falcon 900 activity fell 5%, Falcon 2000 -15%. Falcon 7X Owner flights were down by 8% YOY.

• Conspicuous growth in business jet departures from Geneva and Nice: +24% YOY. Largely the growth was from AOC demand, also notable at Vnukovo. Contrastingly, business jet departures from Sheremetyevo were down >1/3.

Table of Contents: December 2016

3BAI issue5/11/2017

Section 1: Macro market trends December saw relatively strong growth.

Section 2: Origins & Destinations Middle East was well up, North America arrivals down.

Section 3: Types of Trip Big growth in Charter & Fractional flights.

Section 4: OEM Competition Bombardier and Embraer flights getting lots of growth.

Section 5: Aircraft Segments Notable increase in Super-light and Light jet flights.

Section 6: Aircraft Types Strong growth for Global Express, Phenom 300, also CJ2.

Section 7: Airports Resurgence of flights at Vnukovo, Geneva, Le Bourget.

Insights Trending


4

1. Macro market trends

BAI issue5/11/2017© 2016 by WINGX Advance / Actionable Market Intelligence for Business Aviation

Activity by Aircraft Fleet Category

5

Slight decline this month, but compelling increase in AOC business jet sectors, up 7% YOY, offsetting the 1% slide in Owner flights. Both Prop and Piston activity was down.

BAI issue 5/11/2017

Business Jet 32.81641,0% 59,0%

100%

Total 52.41950,7% 49,3%

Business Piston 8.19577,6% 22,4%

Business Turboprop 11.40859,3% 40,7%

Commercial [AOC]Private

100,0%

15,6%

21,8%

62,6%

Market share

Departures December 2016

-1,8%

-0,6%

-3,9%

-12,1%

YOY: Private

3,0%

-19,6%

-1,9%

7,2%

YOY: AOC

-13,9%

-1,8%

3,8%

-0,6%

YOY: Total


Note: The WINGX INSIGHT includes commercial (AOC) flights and non-commercial (private) flights, except Origin= Destination Flights [mainly Training flights]. AOC flights include Charter as well as special flights (government, air ambulance). Non AOC flights correspond only to owner (private) flights.

BAI issue 5/11/2017 6

Flight departures across Europe

Total Europe: +3,8%December 2016 YOY

Strong growth overall, particularly in West Europe, notably France, UK, Spain, Italy, Switzerland. Also 6% growth in Russia, and 13% YOY growth in Turkey.


5,9%

3,7%

-3,1%

5,7%

5,9%

8,4%13,4%

-1,7%

5,5%

2,9%

-0,8%

6,1%

-10,8% 11,3%

0,5%

12,1%

28,6%

14,5%

8,8%

-0,6%

-5,4%

16,1%

-8,8%

0,3%

16,4%

-20,3%0,0%

-5,3%

25,5%

24,0%

26,1%

-19,8%

-16,3%

-14,5%

-14,6%

-23,3%

-63,9%

IS

IE

UK

NO

SE

FI

RU

DK

NLBE

LU

F

ES

PT

CH

D

A

MA

CZ

PL

EE

LA

LT

BY

UA

MD

RO

BG

TR

CY

GR

I

SA

HG

HR

BA

RS

Relative impact of key country markets

5/11/2017© 2016 by WINGX Advance / Actionable Market Intelligence for Business Aviation 7

All the big markets except Germany saw an increase in YOY activity. 277 additional flights out of France, and a further 200 from small markets. UK was the busiest market.

382396437511632659

25.000

30.000

35.000

20.000

15.000

10.000

5.000

0Other [29]

4.437

IrelandUkraineSpain

1.749

Italy

2.350

Switzerland

2.814

Departures

4.404

France

5.010

UK

5.201

Total [December

2016]

32.816

Czech Republic

Germany SwedenBelgiumAustria

1.263

Russia

1.263

Turkey

1.308

Netherlands

0

100

10

% of total

13,5%

1,2%1,2%1,3%

15,8%

100,0%

1,6%1,9%2,0%3,8%3,8%4,0%5,3%7,2%

8,6%13,4%15,3%

20031247

-62

1838

-22

66155136127158

-140

277184

1.000

800

600

400

200

0

-200

1.200

1.400

YOY growth[(+/-) departures]

1.215

Year to Date analysis of departures

8

YTD 2015

484.294

YTD 2016

491.339

+1,5%

BAI issue5/11/2017

December increase of 1215 flights concludes a relatively strong H2 and a FY 2016 trend of +1.5%, 7045 more business jet departures than in FY 2015.


599

-712

Δ Total

7.045

Δ Dec

1.215

Δ Nov

913

Δ Oct

-6

Δ Sep

2.158

Δ Aug

-788

Δ Jul

2.208

Δ Jun

519

Δ MayΔ Apr

1.330

Δ MarΔ Feb

1.050

Δ Jan

-1.441

How did December 2016 compare to previous years?

9

40.00030.00020.00010.0000

Ø 33.286

-10,7%

2016 32.816

2015 31.601

2014 32.124

2013 32.551

2012 32.312

2011 34.290

2010 36.147

2009 32.967

2008 31.041

2007 36.732

2006 33.566

-5,8%

-5,1%

9,6%

6,2%

-15,5%

9,4%

12,8%

3,8%

-1,6%

-1,3%

1,2%

YOY growth

BAI issue5/11/2017

Business jet flights in December 2016 were 11% fewer than in the pre-crisis peak December, but higher than in any December since 2011.


December Departures

The long-term businss aviation activity cycle

10

Total business aviation activity has flat-lined in the last year, although business jet flights are clearly recovering, in contrast to fast-falling L12M trend in Prop activity.


-18

-16

-14

-12

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

20.000

10.000

0

30.000

40.000

50.000

60.000

70.000

80.000

90.000

Last 12 months growth [in %]Departures per month

Last 12 months trend: Jets only [y-axis, right hand side]

Last 12 months trend: Propeller only [y-axis, right hand side]

Total departures [y-axis, left hand side]

Last 12 months trend: Total deps [y-axis, right hand side]

Start: Jan 2007 End: December 2016

Business Jet flights only

11

Small jet activity has continued steady growth trend, now around 4% for L12M. Large jet activity has steadied just >0%. Decline in Medium jet activity continues, though ameliorating.


-25

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

55.000

50.000

45.000

40.000

35.000

30.000

25.000

20.000

15.000

10.000

5.000

0

60.000

Last 12 months growth [in %]Departures per month

Last 12 months trend: Small Jets [y-axis, right hand side]

Last 12 months trend: Medium Jets [y-axis, right hand side]

Last 12 months trend: Large Jets [y-axis, right hand side]

Total Jet departures [y-axis, left hand side]

Start: Jan 2007 End: December 2016

JETS ONLY

Flight hours development in the last 24 months

12BAI issue 5/11/2017

There were 55K flight hours operated in December, a sequential month decline but a 3.3% YOY increase, boosted by 5% increase in AOC flight hours.


60

20

100

80

0

40

Flight Hours[in thds.]

76,9

Dec

55,053,2

Nov

58,857,2

Oct

69,468,5

Sep

73,4

Aug

76,178,4

Jul

89,687,1

Jun

81,281,9

May

72,572,3

Apr

60,359,0

Mar

61,061,8

Feb

52,049,7

Jan

50,753,0

20152014

-5

0

5 3,3%2,9%1,2%

4,8%

-2,9%

2,8%

-0,9%

0,4%2,2%

-1,3%

4,7%

-4,3%

-5

0

5

105,0%4,7%

3,0%

8,5%

-2,0%

5,4%2,6%2,5%3,8%

0,3%

4,9%

-3,8%

-5

0

51,3%0,9%

-0,7%

0,6%

-4,2%

-0,4%

-4,8%-2,2%

0,4%

-3,1%

4,5%

-4,8%

2016 vs 2015

AOC flight hours

Private flight hours

Top country markets activity in December YOY

13

UK and France were the busiest business jet markets in December, both growing >3%. Spain, Russia and Turkey were the fastest growing midsize markets. Big decline in Netherlands.

highmoderatenegative

3.000

10,0%0,0%-10,0% -4,0% 4,0%

5.500

5.000

4.500

4.000

3.500

-2,0%

2.500

2.000

1.500

1.000

500

0

2,0% 6,0% 8,0% 12,0% 14,0%-6,0%-12,0% -8,0%

Greece

Finland

Departures

YOY growth

Italy

Switzerland

Germany

Belgium

Austria

France

Turkey

Spain

DenmarkPortugal Poland

Russia

UK

Ireland

Ukraine Czech Republic

NetherlandsSweden


December 2016

decreasing

increasing

European growth pattern in Top 20 countries YTD

© 2016 by WINGX Advance / Actionable Market Intelligence for Business Aviation 14

December growth trends were above YTD trend, taking all but 1 of the top 7 markets into FY growth for 2016. Turkey and Russia had largest 2016 declines, respectively 13% and 8%.

Serbia and Montenegro 3,789

Denmark 4,422

Poland 4,594

Ukraine 4,943

Portugal 5,236

Ireland 5,625

Czech Republic 5,896

Sweden 8,262

Netherlands 8,485

Belgium 8,766

Greece 10,479

Russia 15,761

Austria 15,909

Turkey 17,475

Spain 33,396

Switzerland 34,127

Italy 46,941

Germany 63,361

UK 69,411

France 80,860

5.8%

-1.8%

3.4%

-14.3%

0.1%

6.6%

2.3%

3.5%

5.5%

0.1%

4.9%

-8.1%

1.0%

-13.0%

5.3%

0.9%

2.1%

-0.5%

3.2%

2.5%

Total departures Top 20 countries(2016: YTD)

Additional departures per month

YTD growth

17.6%

-0.6%

10.6%

0.0%

-4.1%

9.5%

12.4%

2.7%

-10.7%

7.1%

-3.2%

5.8%

-1.6%

12.6%

8.4%

6.0%

6.0%

-3.4%

3.5%

5.9%

YOY growth

BAI issue5/11/2017

17

-7

12

24

37

41

-69

0

29

11

1

-116

13

-218

140

26

82

-24

178

167

1,6%98,4%

OtherTop 20

European growth pattern Top 20 by flight mission

15

All the growth in busiest markets came from AOC activity, with >10% growth in France, Switzerland, and 19% growth in Italy. Spain also had strong growth in Private flights.

44%

36%

31%

43%

32%

23%

51%

35%

26%

56%

64%

69%

57%

68%

77%

49%

65%

74%

Italy 2.35039% 61%

Switzerland 2.814

Germany 4.40443% 57%

France 5.010

UK 5.20137% 63%

Poland 336

Greece 38149% 51%

Ireland 382

Ukraine 39647% 53%

Czech Republic 437

Netherlands 51143% 57%

Sweden 63234% 66%

Belgium 659

Austria 1.26336% 64%

Russia 1.263

Turkey 1.30878% 22%

Spain 1.749

100%

Finland 28863%

Denmark 317

Portugal 33441% 59%

37%

AOCPrivate

11.6%

20.3%

-13.4%

-11.4%

-6.9%

22.0%

-0.5%

4.1%

-17.0%

19.8%

9.3%

-6.0%

4.3%

16.5%

9.1%

-9.7%

-4.2%

-5.5%

-0.7%

-2.2%

-5.2%

-6.4%

1.0%

28.8%

6.0%

-2.1%

1.4%

14.7%

-5.5%

-3.9%

4.7%

0.9%

6.5%

3.7%

8.1%

18.7%

12.8%

-1.1%

11.7%

7.5%

Total departures Top 20 countries(December 2016)


YOY: Private YOY: AOC

12.1%

-10.8%

2.9%

6.1%

-1.7%

5.5%

13.4%

8.4%

5.7%

5.9%

-3.1%

5.9%

3.7%

0.3%

-0.6%

-5.4%

11.3%

-0.8%

8.8%

0.5%

YOY: Total

European growth pattern Top 20 by fleet category

16

The aggregate decline in activity came from falling utilization in Turboprop and Piston fleets, especially 26% decline in Piston flights from Germany, 18% fall in Turboprop in Spain.

49%

56%

68%

72%

74%

75%

71%

13%

41%

94%

99%

64%

56%

38%

60%

51%

66%

81%

22%

23%

21%

16%

22%

12%

12%

85%

44%

18%

20%

44%

19%

28%

17%

12%

29%

21%

11%

12%

13%

17%

15%

17%

18%

21%

21%

17%

7%

100%

Greece 472

Denmark 478

Poland 653

Czech Republic 732

Finland 761

Netherlands 912

24%Belgium 1,022

Russia 1,2710%0%

Turkey 1,3954%3%

Sweden 1,526

Norway 1,6203%

Austria 1,781

Spain 2,329

Italy 3,1774%

Switzerland 3,911

UK 7,655

Germany 7,886

France 10,133

Business PistonBusiness TurboPropBusiness Jet

-0.8%

-0.6%

11.3%

12.1%

0.3%

-10.8%

6.1%

5.5%

13.4%

2.9%

14.5%

-1.7%

8.4%

5.7%

5.9%

3.7%

-3.1%

5.9%

YOY: Business Jet

-2.8%

-24.7%

-5.7%

-24.1%

-3.2%

-10.6%

-10.1%

0.0%

-50.0%

-6.7%

3.4%

6.0%

-17.8%

2.0%

4.1%

0.5%

-2.1%

-1.3%

YOY: Business TurboProp

-33.3%

-40.0%

-3.7%

-23.9%

-13.8%

69.1%

-21.5%

-21.1%

5.9%

24.7%

-20.8%

-3.8%

-8.0%

-39.3%

8.6%

-13.7%

-25.7%

-10.9%

YOY: Business Piston



17

2. Origins & Destinations


Principal regional flows, December 2016 and YOY change

18

Almost all countries got growth in business jet flights from France, notably Switzerland, up 14%. Also strong growth in business jet flights from Spain-UK and intra-UK.


Regional business aviation flight pattern into Europe

19BAI issue5/11/2017© 2016 by WINGX Advance / Actionable Market Intelligence for Business Aviation

Southern Europe had conspicuous growth in business jet departures this month, although the FY trend is highest for Eastern Europe. Middle East 19% up in December, +2% for FY 2016.

4.1%

-5.6%

13.6%

2.8%

18.8%

-3.5%

-2.2%

5.6%

8.8%

2.7%

YOY growth

17

184

365

814

374

Total484.057

32.051

China

APAC (w/o China)2.474

North Africa4.700

Middle East10.125

North America10.786

667

Russia14.429

1.092

Eastern Europe40.022

2.724

Southern Europe109.822

5.838

Western Europe291.325

20.350

2016 YTDDepartures December 2016

1.6%

18.7%

11.4%

-5.0%

1.9%

2.5%

-10.8%

2.9%

1.3%

2.2%

YTD growth

1.6%

18.7%

11.4%

-5.0%

1.9%

2.5%

-10.8%

2.9%

1.3%

2.2%

Last 12 months

Origin Region

20

YOY

100,0%

YTD

14,8%

YOY

-12,2%

YTD

-4,2%

YOY

61,5%

YTD

14,0%

YOY

30,8%

YTD

12,0%

YOY

-4,1%

YTD

13,5%

YOY

7,0%

YTD

5,3%YOY

-3,4%

YTD

-2,3%

11,7%

YOYYTD

1,0%

YOY

-19,4%

YTD

-1,5%

YTD YOY

-15,6%

4,0%

-2,0%

YOY

3,8%

YTD

-52,9%

YOY

0,0%

YTD

YTD

33,3%

YOY

4,9%

YOY

-5,4%

YTD

-7,0%

YOY

1,2%

-16,1%

YTD

YOYYTD

-4,9%

2,2%

19,8%

-5,6%

YOYYTD

Origin Regions

YTDdepartures

YTDgrowth

YOYgrowth

H-Region 1,645 -15.6% 4.0%

B-Region 1,293 12.0% 30.8%

V-Region 959 14.0% 61.5%

F-Region 662 -7.0% -5.4%

T-Region 514 13.5% -4.1%

S-Region 488 1.2% -16.1%

Origin Regions

YTDdepartures

YTDgrowth

YOYgrowth

M-Region 406 -1.5% -19.4%

Z-Region 381 19.8% -5.6%

R-Region 170 4.9% 33.3%

W-Region 93 14.8% 100.0%

P-Region 8 -52.9% 100.0%

Total 55,575 -1.3% 3.6%

Origin Regions

YTDdepartures

YTDgrowth

YOYgrowth

U-Region 24,494 -4.9% 2.2%

K-Region 9,112 3.8% -2.0%

O-Region 7,750 1.0% 11.7%

G-Region 3,905 5.3% 7.0%

D-Region 2,021 -2.3% -3.4%

C-Region 1,674 -4.2% -12.2%


December 2016

Global business aviation flight pattern into Europe (YTD/YOY)

K and G region have generated most FY 2016 growth, G also well up in December, as was O. U region also recovered this month, although FY trend was -5%.

Departures from Europe to other regions

5/11/2017© 2016 by WINGX Advance / Actionable Market Intelligence for Business Aviation 21

Flights from Europe to CIS region were up 10% in December, although FY trend -3%. Intra-European flights were up 4%, 2% YTD. Africa also up this month, contrast FY decline.

847

950

170

181

723

Latin America

Asia/Pacific

North America

Africa

Middle East

CIS 2.064

Europe domestic 30.334

FlightsDestination Region

Origin Europe

-18,3%

32,1%

2,1%

5,3%

13,9%

9,6%

3,7%

YOY growthDecember 2016

-4,9%

15,1%

2,1%

-3,2%

-0,2%

-3,2%

1,9%

YTD growth

Top 30 City Pairs in December

22

Conspicuous growth on Europe’s busiest airport pair, LSGG-LFPB, an additional 91 flights operated on this connection in December. Also big growth on LTBA-LTAC and EGGW-LSGG.


32

32

32

33

34

34

37

38

40

41

42

43

43

45

46

46

47

49

49

49

51

53

56

58

59

60

61

62

156

161

LZIB-LKPR

UUWW-LSGG

UUWW-LOWW

LSGG-EGLF

EGGW-EGLF

LSZH-UUWW

UUWW-LSZH

LIML-LFPB

EGLF-LSGG

UUWW-LFMN

LFMN-LFPB

EGGW-UUWW

LTAC-LTFJ

LSGG-LFMN

EGLF-LFPB

LTFJ-LTAC

LTAC-LTBA

LFPB-EGLF

LFMN-UUWW

LSGG-EGGW

LFPB-LFMN

LFMN-LSGG

EGGW-LSGG

LIML-LIRA

EGGW-LFPB

LFPB-EGGW

LTBA-LTAC

LIRA-LIML

LFPB-LSGG

LSGG-LFPB

Flights

3

-3

-7

3

3

10

9

10

8

5

14

13

7

9

5

9

1

12

12

8

14

16

24

-23

9

1

26

-8

44

47

+/-

10,3

-8,6

-17,9

10,0

9,7

41,7

32,1

35,7

25,0

13,9

50,0

43,3

19,4

25,0

24,3

2,2

32,4

32,4

19,5

37,8

43,2

75,0

-28,4

18,0

1,7

74,3

-11,4

39,3

41,2

12,2

YOY: growth[in %]

95,5%4,5%

OtherTop 30

Top 30 City Pairs – December 2016

Note: In this chart business pistons are excluded.

23

3. Types of Trip


Activity by flight filing (mission type)

24

Almost 60% of business jet flights this month were AOC, these increasing 7% YOY, offsetting a small decline in Private Mission flights.


100%

2016

33.237

1,3%

40,5%

58,2%

December

171 184

+7,2%

+7,6%

-0,6%

“Origin =Destination”-FlightPrivate

13.45613.537

AOC

19.360

18.064

2015

2016

“Origin = Destination” Flight

Private

AOC

Note:Origin=Destination flights (mostly training) not shown on other pages

Monthly departure trends by mission type

25

In all but 3 months of 2016, AOC flights increased on a YOY basis. July, September and this month had strongest growth. Private flight trend has stuttered, mostly declining in 2016.

37,6Mar-15

15,620,3

17,5

35,9Apr-15

19,125,5 44,6May-15

21,828,8 50,7Jun-15

22,131,3 53,4Jul-15

19,028,5 47,5Aug-15

19,426,0 45,4Sep-15

17,523,3 40,9Oct-15

14,919,7 34,6Nov-15

13,518,1 31,6Dec-15

12,917,0 29,9Jan-16

13,718,1 31,8Feb-16

15,721,2 36,9Mar-16

15,921,3 37,2

18,626,6 45,2May-16

21,230,0 51,2Jun-16

22,233,5 55,7

Apr-16

Jul-16

18,428,4

13,9

Aug-16

19,627,9 47,5Sep-16

17,123,7 40,9Oct-16

15,120,4 35,5

46,7

31,3Jan-15

13,517,3 30,8

19,4Dec-16 32,813,5

Feb-15

16,121,6

Nov-16 3,6%

1,6%

7,3%

-0,7%

6,8%

3,9%

4,3%

4,9%

-1,8%

4,8%

-2,6%

-1,3%

1,2%

0,7%

-0,8%

2,2%

4,1%

0,4%

-1,2%

-2,0%

1,3%

-7,3%

-8,7%

7,2%

-2,2%

1,3%

-3,2%

0,3%

-2,8%

-2,5%

2,2%

-2,1%

1,6%

-7,1%

-2,1%

-5,2%

-6,3%

-5,1%

-0,4%

2,4%

0,2%

-1,0%

-2,8%

-3,8%

-5,4%

-3,6%

1,3%

-0,6%

BAI issue5/11/2017

Thds. of departures

PrivateAOC


YOY: AOC YOY: Private

5/11/2017 26

6 of 11 business jet segments grew activity in December, VLJs and LJs showing most increase, HJ sectors also up. FY 2016, SMJ and VLJ were 10% up on 2015.

83

Total 52,419

Piston- (4-16) 8,195

Turboprop- (4-16) 11,408

Very Light jet- (4-5) 2,563

Entry Level Jets** (4-5) 1,590

Light Jet- (4-8) 7,509

Super Light jet- (9-10) 4,527

Midsize jet- (9-10) 2,667

Super midsize jet- (10-11) 2,981

Heavy jet- (12-15) 6,440

Ultra Long Range- (15-17) 4,452

Bizliner*- (22+)

Departures December 2016AC Segment – Avg seats

-0.6%

-13.9%

-1.8%

10.1%

-19.4%

10.3%

9.3%

-7.9%

8.5%

1.9%

3.8%

-13.5%

-0.3%

-4.0%

-2.0%

9.6%

-7.6%

4.0%

3.2%

-11.9%

10.7%

-2.3%

5.1%

-7.9%

Departures and growth by aircraft segment

Note: * only Airbus A318 Elite and BBJ3 are considered **Entry Level jets comprise older light jet types such as Citation I and CJ1


YTD growthYOY growth

-0.3%

-4.0%

-2.0%

9.6%

-7.6%

4.0%

3.2%

-11.9%

10.7%

-2.3%

5.1%

-7.9%

Last 12 months

Departures by aircraft segment and trip type, December 2016

27

HJ, SLJ and LJ were well up this month in 1.5h-3h sectors. ULR 3h-6h sectors increased by 8%. ELJ short sectors collapsed, with slack taken up by VLJ & LJ, 10%.

12,7%Very Light jet

Turboprop

10,0%

-18,3%Entry Level jet

Light Jet

0,7%

Ultra Long Range 4,2%

Bizliner 0,0%

Super Light jet 5,9%

Midsize jet -14,0%

Super midsize jet 11,7%

Heavy jet

-2,5%

Piston -14,4%

1,7%

-2,0%

20,7%

17,0%

-26,3%

0,7%

-15,3%

-0,6%

9,3%

25,0%

0,8%

1.5h to 3h

-10,9%

6,9%

33,3%

6,1%

8,2%

0,5%

5,3%

8,1%

11,0%

7,5%

-17,0%

3h to 6h

3,1%

18,2%

-10,4%

-28,6%

36,7%

-39,4%

-1,2%

-41,5%

29,2%

-9,4%

more than 6h

BAI issue 5/11/2017© 2017 by WINGX Advance / Actionable Market Intelligence for Business Aviation

max. 1.5 h

*See page 38 for additional insights into this chart

28

4. OEM Competition


Leading Airframe OEM fleet departures by segment

29

10% growth in ULR sectors for Bombardier jets, in contrast to 6% decline for Dassault jets. Hawker MSJ sectors declined 19%, in contrast to Learjet MSJ flights, up 4% YOY.


TOTAL

December 2016

Airframe OEM departures December YOY and YTD

30

Business jet OEM fleets mostly increased YOY activity, notably Embraer, with Dassault & Hawker the exceptions. For FY 2016, Bombardier jets contributed most growth.

BAI issue 5/11/2017

926

963

37

46

121

Ø 3.193

BOEING

AIRBUS

ECLIPSE

PIAGGIO

SOCATA

LEARJET 1.881

PILATUS 2.101

HAWKER 2.361

GULFSTREAM 2.807

EMBRAER 2.999

PIPER 3.581

DASSAULT 4.309

BOMBARDIER 4.973

BEECHCRAFT 5.732

CESSNA 15.056

-11,9%

-14,8%

0,8%

-9,4%

-6,0%

0,6%

8,6%

-11,2%

4,0%

27,7%

-20,3%

-4,2%

8,5%

-4,4%

1,9%

YOY growth

-11,4%

-5,0%

12,1%

6,0%

8,5%

1,1%

7,4%

-13,8%

1,9%

19,0%

-12,7%

-4,4%

7,4%

-4,2%

0,1%

YTD growth



31

Flight hours were up in December for the 3 largest OEM fleets, notably Bombardier. Prop flight activity was down for Beechcraft, but up 8% for Pilatus, maintaining 9% FY trend.

BAI issue 5/11/2017

Airframe OEM, flight hours December YOY and YTD


127

142

145

Ø 4.776

ECLIPSE

AIRBUS

BOEING

PIAGGIO 1.052

SOCATA 1.117

PILATUS 2.536

LEARJET 2.965

HAWKER 3.370

PIPER 3.982

EMBRAER 4.245

BEECHCRAFT 5.837

DASSAULT 7.609

GULFSTREAM 8.100

BOMBARDIER 12.101

CESSNA 18.313

-1,5%

-27,0%

-28,8%

-4,8%

-6,9%

7,9%

-0,7%

-8,3%

-18,8%

26,8%

-3,7%

-7,8%

1,6%

8,9%

2,3%

YOY growth

9,3%

8,6%

-2,5%

-10,3%

-11,9%

16,0%

-6,1%

-5,8%

1,8%

5,8%

-0,2%

11,2%

-14,8%

-12,8%

8,3%

YTD growthFlight hours December 2016

Leading OEM fleet departures by flight filing (mission) YOY

32

Contrasting trends in AOC and Private activity, with AOC flights well up but Private flights down for Cessna & Bombardier fleets. Only Gulfstream had evenly balanced AOC & Private growth.

BAI issue 5/11/2017

-32.4%

-23.3%

-28.6%

5.3%

300.0%

-3.4%

-6.1%

3.5%

41.6%

-29.9%

-6.6%

19.5%

-1.7%

4.7%

75.0%

-4.2%

2.7%

-16.7%

-6.3%

13.0%

8.6%

-18.3%

4.4%

3.4%

-16.4%

-1.6%

-5.3%

-9.3%

-1.6%57%

66%

61%

49%

25%

70%

40%

62%

100%

50%

62%

43%

34%

39%

51%

75%

30%

60%

38%

27%

100%

62%

96%

50%

38%

100%

BOEING 37

AIRBUS 46

ECLIPSE 1214%

PIAGGIO 92638%

SOCATA 9630%

LEARJET 1,88173%

PILATUS 2,1010%

HAWKER 2,361

GULFSTREAM 2,807

EMBRAER 2,999

PIPER 3,581

DASSAULT 4,309

BOMBARDIER 4,973

BEECHCRAFT 5,732

CESSNA 15,056

PrivateCommercial/AOCDepartures December 2016


YOY: Commercial/AOC YOY: Private

33

5. Aircraft Segments


Departures by aircraft segment & trip category

34

VLJs had the largest operational emphasis on short haul flights, with 79% of sectors

Aircraft segment departures, market share, YOY growth

35

Of the business jet fleet, clearly the Midsize and Entry Level segments weakest, representing 8% of total activity. Strongest growth this month from LJ, 14% of all flights.

X%

Market share(based on total

departures)

-20,0%

5.000

4.000

3.000

2.000

-8,0%

1.000

-6,0% -4,0% -2,0% 0,0% 2,0% 4,0% 6,0% 8,0% 10,0% 12,0%

0

12.000

11.000

10.000

9.000

8.000

7.000

6.000

-10,0%-12,0%-14,0%-16,0%-18,0%

8,5%

Heavy jet

12,3%

Super midsize jet

5,7%Midsize jet5,1%

8,6%


YOY growth

Bizliner0,2%

Ultra Long Range

15,6% Piston

21,8%

Super Light jet

4,9%

Very Light jet3,0%Entry Level jet

14,3%

Light Jet

Turboprop

highmoderatenegative

Piston

-13,9%

Turboprop

-1,8%

Very Light jet

10,1%

Entry Level jet

-19,4%

Light Jet

10,3%

Super Light jet

9,3%

Midsize jet

-7,9%

Super midsize jet

8,5%

Heavy jet

1,9%

Ultra Long Range

3,8%

Bizliner

-13,5%

YOY growth


Departures and growth, by aircraft size segment

36

Q4 2016 has seen resurgence in Small Jet activity, with December YOY growth around 10% for SLJ, LJ, VLJ. SMJ and ULR activity maintained growth, with HJ bouncing back this month.


37

Flight hours notably diminished on Bizliners in H2 2016. SLJ flight hours increased 13% in December, indicating extended sector length. HJ sectors were much shorter, FH falling 1%.

BAI issue 5/11/2017

Flight hours and growth, by aircraft size segment


Aircraft segment departures by mission, December 2016

38

AOC demand generated the growth in HJ & SMJ segments, for which Private Flights declined. SLJ & LJ activity also largely AOC-driven. VLJ Private flights were up 13% YOY.

615

46

975

774

Piston 8.1951.833 6.362

Turboprop 11.4084.638 6.770

Very Light jet 2.5631.561 1.002

Entry Level jet 1.590

Light Jet 7.5094.580 2.929

Super Light jet 4.5273.300 1.227

Midsize jet 2.6671.893

Super midsize jet 2.9811.725 1.256

Heavy jet 6.4403.558 2.882

Ultra Long Range 4.4522.078 2.374

Bizliner 8337

-19.6%

-1.9%

8.3%

-30.0%

13.6%

10.7%

-6.4%

25.4%

7.9%

5.3%

-28.1%

-12.1%

-1.8%

13.1%

-10.8%

5.4%

5.5%

-11.2%

-8.4%

-4.7%

2.4%

15.6%

PrivateAOC

BAI issue 5/11/2017

YOY: AOC YOY: Private


Departures, December 2016

39

6. Aircraft Types


Top 15 Aircraft activity, by flight departures YOY December

40

Phenom 300 activity continued to grow significantly in December, up near 40% YOY. Excel/XLS activity, >3500 sectors, up almost 10%. Just under 20% decline for Hawker 700-900 & CJ1 flights.

BAI issue 5/11/2017

highnegative

200

40,0%

400

600

3.400

3.200

2.800

15,0%

1.600

1.800

2.200

2.400

2.600

-20,0% -15,0% -10,0% -5,0% 0,0% 5,0%

3.000

2.000

1.000

0

10,0% 35,0%30,0%25,0%20,0%

3.600

3.800

1.400

1.200

800

Departures

BOMBARDIER-Global Express

BOMBARDIER-Challenger 300

DIAMOND-Twin Star

CESSNA-CitationJet/CJ1

DASSAULT-Falcon 2000

BOMBARDIER-Challenger 600 series

EMBRAER-Phenom 300

GULFSTREAM-V/G500

CESSNA-Cessna Excel/XLS

CESSNA-Citation II/Bravo

BEECH-Super King Air 200

PILATUS-PC-12

CESSNA-Citation CJ2

CESSNA-Citation Mustang

YOY Growth

HAWKER BEECHCRAFT-700-900


December 2016

48,8%51,2%

Other

Top 15

Top 15 Aircraft – AOC flight activity only

41

Phenom 300 and Embraer Legacy aircraft generated strong growth in AOC activity in December. CJ2 activity was notably up, +25% YOY. Falcon 900 activity -5%, Falcon 2000 flights -14%.

highnegative

400

200

0

30,0%-25,0%-30,0% 35,0% 40,0%20,0%

3.200

25,0%

2.800

2.600

2.400

3.000

2.000

1.800

1.600

1.400

1.200

15,0%10,0%5,0%0,0%-5,0%-10,0%-15,0%-20,0%

1.000

800

600

2.200


EMBRAER-ERJ-135

YOY Growth

EMBRAER-Phenom 300

HAWKER BEECHCRAFT-700-900


BOMBARDIER-Challenger 300CESSNA-Citation Mustang

CESSNA-Citation CJ2



Departures

DASSAULT-Falcon 900

CESSNA-Citation II/BravoCESSNA-CitationJet/CJ1

CESSNA-Citation CJ3



December 2016

35,8%64,2%

Other

Top 15

Top 15 Aircraft – Private Flight activity only

42

The Citation Mustang was the outlier with >20% growth YOY. Large business jets with strong growth included Falcon 2000 & Global Express. PC12 was busiest, flights up 9% YOY.

highnegative

-15,0% -5,0% 5,0% 15,0% 20,0%

800

25,0%

1.300

700

600

500

400

300

200

100

0

0,0%-10,0%

2.200

2.100

2.000

1.900

1.800

1.700

1.600

1.500

1.400

10,0%

1.200

1.100

1.000

900

SOCATA-TBM 700

CESSNA-Citation CJ2

DASSAULT-Falcon F7X




CESSNA-CitationJet/CJ1 DIAMOND-Twin Star

PILATUS-PC-12

GULFSTREAM-V/G500 CESSNA-Citation Mustang

CIRRUS-SR 22

Departures

YOY Growth


Piper-Malibu Meridian



December 2016

53,6%46,4%

Other

Top 15

Top Airport flight departures in December and YTD

44

Conspicuous growth at Nice and Geneva (noting that December 2015 saw large YOY decline). Nice has strongest FY growth. Le Bourget also up this month, contrast FY decline of 1%.

BAI issue 5/11/2017

4,434

SCHIPHOL 4,474

MANDELIEU 4,796

IBIZA 4,811

PALMA DE MALLORCA 4,915

SCHOENEFELD 4,995

BIGGIN HILL 5,189

BARAJAS 5,239

NORTHOLT 5,352

MUNCHEN 6,227

BARCELONA

6,625

VIENNA SCHWECHAT 6,785

LINATE 8,413

VNUKOVO 8,734

ZURICH 10,054

FARNBOROUGH 10,388

LUTON 13,746

GENEVA 14,441

NICE COTE D’AZUR 15,066

LE BOURGET 21,248

CIAMPINO

7.5%

7.1%

5.3%

6.9%

10.6%

1.0%

5.9%

-1.3%

6.9%

4.0%

-2.4%

-1.6%

-5.8%

-12.6%

1.2%

0.8%

-1.9%

0.0%

5.6%

-1.4%

Total departures Top 20 Airports(2016: YTD)

Additional departures per month

YTD growth

20

4

26

25

20

26

39

24

-6

29

-14

-9

7

-23

0

67

-43

-105

10

-25

18.4%

-17.1%

-2.1%

10.7%

20.0%

14.2%

-10.9%

-2.2%

6.6%

6.5%

-2.4%

-4.6%

6.2%

11.3%

-5.1%

0.3%

-0.2%

24.4%

24.1%

4.3%

YOY growth


Top 20 Airports activity by mission profile

45

Nice and Geneva growth was primarily in AOC activity, also well up at Vnukovo, Farnborough and Le Bourget. Private flight activity was well down at Zurich, Linate and Biggin Hill.

Total departures Top 20 Airports(December 2016)

YOY growthPrivate

YOY growth AOC

37%

35%

41%

39%

33%

33%

31%

33%

34%

42%

37%

31%

34%

44%

30%

80%

40%

63%

21%

33%

63%

65%

59%

61%

67%

67%

69%

67%

66%

58%

63%

69%

66%

56%

70%

20%

60%

37%

79%

67%BARCELONA 290

VACLAV HAVEL 306

STANSTED 324

STUTTGART 325

ATATURK 329

NORTHOLT 341

SCHOENEFELD 353

BIGGIN HILL 359

BARAJAS 363

MUNCHEN 426

CIAMPINO 457

LINATE 532

VIENNA SCHWECHAT 535

NICE COTE D’AZUR 716

ZURICH 732

FARNBOROUGH 767

VNUKOVO 795

LUTON 1.038

GENEVA 1.197

LE BOURGET 1.542

37,1%

6,7%

7,4%

11,1%

47,2%

-7,3%

2,6%

-18,0%

16,5%

0,0%

-6,9%

-17,2%

-6,8%

1,4%

-14,0%

-18,0%

5,7%

-1,2%

12,0%

-3,4%

Commercial / AOCPrivate

10,9%

1,7%

89,1%

-15,6%

-21,2%

13,7%

25,6%

-6,7%

-8,8%

10,7%

1,1%

24,6%

-3,5%

38,1%

0,0%

12,4%

15,3%

0,5%

32,3%

9,4%


2,7%

28,1%

18,4%

-6,6%

25,1%

6,6%

14,2%

-10,9%

-2,2%

6,5%

-2,4%

6,2%

-4,6%

24,1%

-5,1%

0,3%

11,3%

-0,2%

24,4%

4,3%

YOY growthTotal

Top 20 Airports, by fleet category

46

Nice, Geneva, Vnukovo growth-spike came in business jet activity. Turboprop flights up 40% at Zurich. Piston activity slumped at most airports EG -37% at Stuttgart.

3428% 28% 64%

STANSTED 34694% 6%0%

SALZBURG - W.A. MOZART 35172% 13% 16%

NORTHOLT 35596% 4%0%

VACLAV HAVEL 38879% 14% 7%

BARAJAS 38993% 7%0%

SCHOENEFELD 40687% 10% 3%

BIGGIN HILL 43982% 13% 6%

STUTTGART 49965% 21% 14%

MUNCHEN 50285% 15% 0%

CIAMPINO 55582% 17% 1%

VIENNA SCHWECHAT 57693% 6%2%

LINATE 59689% 10% 1%

VNUKOVO 795100% 0%0%

NICE COTE D’AZUR 80090% 10%0%

FARNBOROUGH

TOUSSUS LE NOBLE

91% 9%0%

ZURICH 88583% 10% 7%

LUTON 1,07097%

840

0%

GENEVA 1,35089% 10% 1%

LE BOURGET 1,77187% 12% 0%

3%

Business PistonBusiness TurboPropBusiness Jet

40.0%

28.1%

-2.3%

6.6%

2.7%

-2.2%

14.2%

-10.9%

-6.6%

6.5%

-2.4%

-4.6%

6.2%

11.3%

24.1%

0.3%

-5.1%

-0.2%

24.4%

4.3%

YOY: Business Jet

-3.2%

-3.0%

175.0%

4.8%

116.7%

3.7%

18.2%

30.0%

-19.1%

10.4%

45.1%

42.4%

-23.8%

-100.0%

43.9%

17.7%

40.0%

-5.9%

13.9%

-4.3%

YOY: Business TurboProp

-28.3%

-100.0%

-1.8%

-75.0%

-40.9%

0.0%

-44.0%

-16.7%

-37.0%

0.0%

0.0%

-30.8%

-60.0%

0.0%

-60.0%

0.0%

-33.3%

0.0%

-26.3%

60.0%

YOY: Business Piston



-19,1%

32,1%

-1,4%

7,6%

-2,0%

-1,0%

11,5%

-12,4%

-9,6%

11,3%

3,2%

-6,5%

4,0%

11,2%

25,2%

1,6%

-4,7%

-0,4%

22,4%

3,3%

YOY: Total

Best performing airports by activity December 2016 YOY

47

Fastest growing YOY airports mainly in Western Europe, busiest were Stansted, Mallorca, Munich and Barcelona.


77

74

36

47

146

28

34

46

33

40

30

39

42

52

30

87

33

64

42

56

31

40

27

41

30

LEBL-BARCELONA

LTBA-ATATURK

LFBD-MERIGNAC

LOWI-INNSBRUCK INTERNATIONAL

EDDM-MUNCHEN

EDMO-OBERPFAFFENHOFEN

LIPZ-VENEZIA TESSERA

LCLK-LARNACA

LSZB-BELP

EDNY-FRIEDRICHSHAFEN

EKCH-KASTRUP

EGCC-MANCHESTER

LYBE-BELGRADE

LGAV-ELEFTHERIOS VENIZELOS

LIMC-MALPENSA

EGSS-STANSTED

EGBB-BIRMINGHAM INTL

LTAC-ESENBOGA

LZIB-M R STEFANIK

LEPA-PALMA DE MALLORCA

LOWL-LINZ INTL

LPPT-LISBOA

LBSF-SOFIA

ENGM-OSLO GARDERMOEN

UBBB-HEYDAR ALIYEV INTL

Deps per week

16.8%

17.1%

18.9%

18.9%

18.9%

18.9%

19.3%

19.7%

20.4%

21.5%

22.9%

24.6%

24.6%

25.1%

25.5%

27.4%

27.5%

28.3%

29.0%

30.6%

35.2%

46.4%

50.0%

59.8%

118.2%

YOY

Note: Threshold for consideration in this analysis is more than 10 departures per week

Most declining airports by activity December 2016 YOY

48

Concentration of airports in northern Germany and Benelux, notably Hannover, Schipol. Biggin Hill and Stuttgart had largest declines. Sheremetyevo flights declined 34% YOY.

BAI issue 5/11/2017© 2016 by WINGX Advance / Actionable Market Intelligence for Business Aviation 48BAI issue 5/11/2017

27

26

81

60

57

35

38

57

54

51

35

90

26

50

29

42

29

68

38

24

23

30

EDDS-STUTTGART

LFSB-BALE MULHOUSE

LFLB-AIX LES BAINS

EFHK-HELSINKI VANTAA

LFLY-BRON

ELLX-LUXEMBOURG

EDDH-HAMBURG

UKKK-ZHULIANY

EGLC-LONDON CITY

EGKB-BIGGIN HILL

LPPT-LISBOA

LSZS-ENGADIN

EHRD-ROTTERDAM

LIMF-TORINO

LSZB-BELP

EDTY-ADOLF WURTH

EHAM-SCHIPHOL

EDDW-BREMEN

EVRA-RIGA

EDMO-OBERPFAFFENHOFEN

EDDV-HANNOVER

UUEE-SHEREMETYEVO

-6.6%

-6.6%

-7.3%

-8.0%

-8.4%

-8.8%

-9.2%

-9.7%

-10.3%

-10.9%

-11.1%

-11.9%

-12.1%

-12.3%

-12.6%

-14.2%

-17.1%

-17.5%

-20.0%

-20.4%

-21.6%

-34.4%

Note: Threshold for consideration in this analysis is more than 10 departures per week

Deps per week YOY

Definitions

© 2016 by WINGX Advance / Actionable Market Intelligence for Business Aviation 49BAI issue5/11/2017

› The charts illustrated in this analysis source data from national business aviation associations, Eurocontrol, and the FAA, covering 50 European, Middle Eastern and North African national territories.

› All data analysis is carried out by WINGX Advance through our proprietary activity tracking methodology.

› We cover all types of private (owner) and commercial (AOC) flight. AOC flights include charter and special mission activity such as medical flights. We exclude origin-origin (mainly training) flights.

› Illustrated flight activity analysis pertains to all IFR registered flights within Eurocontrol territories and between Eurocontrol territories and the rest of the world.

› The analysis covers all single and multi engine business aviation aircraft categories: Jets, Turboprops and Pistons, equating to more than 300 aircraft types.

› Coverage of business jet types used by commercial airlines is not comprehensive, but does capture, for example, Embraer Legacy (ERJ135) Bombardier 850 (CRJ200), A318 Elite, BBJ3 business aviation flights.

› Jet aircraft activity is segmented by cabin/range capability: Airline Jet (Bizliner), Ultra Long Range, Heavy Jet, Super Mid-size Jet, Mid-size Jet, Super Light Jet, Light Jet, Entry Level Jet, Very Light Jet.

› Aircraft utilisation is measured by number of flight departures and the related number of flight hours. Our analysis does not include Overflights. We do include arrival flights from all global ICAO regions into Europe.

› The analysis is shown for the preceding calendar month; it is compared to the previous year same month (YOY or Year on Year), and to the current total activity for the year (YTD or Year to Date).

Disclaimer

50

DISCLAIMER:The recipient of the Business Aviation INSIGHT, acknowledges the underlying terms and conditions as published on the WINGX Advance website.


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