1700 gavin thomas

43
Precious Metals and the Pacific Rim The Golden Harvest Gold Symposium November 2011 Gavin Thomas

Transcript of 1700 gavin thomas

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Precious Metals and the Pacific Rim

The Golden Harvest

Gold Symposium November 2011

Gavin Thomas

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These materials include forward looking statements. Forward looking statements inherently involve subjective judgment & analysis & are subject to significant uncertainties, risks & contingencies, many of which are outside of the control of, & may be unknown to, the company.

Actual results and developments may vary materially from that expressed in these materials. The types of uncertainties which are relevant to the company may include, but are not limited to, commodity prices, political uncertainty, changes to the regulatory framework which applies to the business of the company & general economic conditions. Given these uncertainties, readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward looking statements.

Forward looking statements in these materials speak only at the date of issue. Subject to any continuing obligations under applicable law or any relevant stock exchange listing rules, the company undertakes any obligation to publicly update or revise any of the forward looking statements, changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.

Forward Looking Statements:

Some statements in this presentation regarding estimates or future events are forward looking statements. They involve risk and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from estimated results. Forward looking statements include estimates of future production, cash and total costs per ounce of production, reserve and mineralized material estimates, capital costs, and other estimates or prediction of future activities. They include statements proceeded by words such as “believe,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “will,” and similar expressions. Actual results could differ materially depending on such things as political events, labour relations, currency fluctuations and other general economic conditions, market prices for Dominion Mining Limited and/or Kingsgate Consolidated Limited products, timing of permits and other government approvals and requirements, changes in operating conditions, lower than expected ore grades, unexpected ground and mining conditions, availability and cost of materials and equipment, and risks generally inherent in the ownership and operation of mining properties and investment in foreign countries.

Disclaimer

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Exploration Leads Success

Why Gold and Silver

Geology - Epithermal Gold

Pacific Rim of Fire

Frontier Exploration in 70-80‟s

Eastern Pacific in „90–‟00‟s

Opportunities in Asia

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1971 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 $0

$1800

$800

$400

$600

$1000

$1200

$1400

$1600

US$ Why Gold ? • Flat/decreasing mine supply

• Growing physical demand

• China

• Central bank buying

• Growing investment demand

• Inflation hedge

• Currency protection

• Safe haven/asset class

(Source: Dr M Murenbeeld

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(Source: Bloomberg) (Source: Bloomberg)

Is This a Gold Bubble?

Relative Performance

Time since beginning of Cycle

1000%

500%

2000%

1500%

0

Jan 1980 $850

1972-1985

1999-Present

Sept 2011 $1,899

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(Source: Bloomberg) (Source: Bloomberg)

Relative Performance

Time since beginning of Cycle

1000%

500%

2000%

1500%

0

Jan 1980 $850

1972-1985

1999-Present

Sept 2011 $1,899

Is This a Gold Bubble? No!

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Global Market Size

Gold: Over Talked & Under Invested

• Bond Market : $91,200 Bn

• Equity Market : $41,500 Bn

• Total Gold Market : $1,100 Bn

Gold Market Investment Assets

• ETF‟s, coins & bars ~$200 Bn

• China imported 200t of gold in Jan 11

(~50% of world production)

Growing Inflation Fears

• Which currency do you invest in?

• If global inflation x2 bonds may fall >10%

• Hard assets & gold the only real currency

Where to? • A lot of talk for 2 years about this but

no real investment – except China & India

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Gold Price vs US Interest Rates

-5% -4% -3% -2% -1% 0 + 1%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

1600

600

1000

1400

1200

800

0.5

3.0

2.0

1.0

1.5

2.5

Gold price

US 10 Year tips Yield

$/ troy oz %

Russia

France

GermanyItalyUSA

China

India

IndonesiaUK

Vietnam

HongKong

TurkeyJapan

Switzerland

Retail Deposit RatesminusForecast 2011 Inflation Rates

Gold has a strong correlation to low interest rates

Most countries currently have negative real interest rates

Situation unlikely to change soon

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Return of the Gold Standard?

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Chinese Gold Demand

Total Gold Demand

China outstrips western world demand for the first time in 2010

Gold Investment Demand

China catching up fast

200

150

100

50

0 2001 2005 2011 H1

250 China India

Source: GFMS, World Gold Council

Tonnes

700

600

500

400

300

200

100

0 2001 2005 2010

China Developed West

Source: GFMS, World Gold Council

Tonnes

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Global Gold Mine Production

(Source: USGS) (Source: USGS)

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Gold Price

Mine Production

(t)

Peak Gold?

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Gold Grade Decreasing To

tal G

old

Ore

Pro

cess

ed (

Mt)

Total OP ore milled

Total UG ore milled

Dump tails milled

Total ore heap leached

Average grade

Weighted Av. H

ead Grade (g/t)

Tonnages

increasing

Gradesdecreasing

1995 2000 2005 2010

2.4

2.2

2.0

1.8

1.2

1.0

1.6

1.4

2,000

0

1,800

1,400

1,000

1,200

1,600

200

800

400

600

0.8

Global Mine Production

Source: Company data, Credit Suisse estimates

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Gold Industry Discovery Profile

(Source: Newcrest) (Source: Newcrest)

Contained

Gold (MOz)

160

140

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

Number of

Discoveries

16

14

12

10

8

6

4

2

0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

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US$

$50

$0

$30

$10

$20

$40

1971 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

• Silver is a unique precious metal • High correlation to gold

• Produced primarily as a by-product

• Silver is a store of value • Physical demand has risen significantly over the past few

years

• ETF demand continues at record levels

• Silver is a versatile industrial metal • New uses are being developed

• Relied upon in advancement of developed and emerging

economies

Why Silver ?

(Source: Silver I Wheaton(Source: Silver I Wheaton

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Geology Underlies Opportunity Epithermal Model

Low sulphidation gold deposits = geothermal hot spring environment

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Beijing

Tokyo

Bangkok

Adelaide Sydney

Los Angeles

Santiago Buenos Aires

New York

Didipio

Atlas Tampakan

Grasberg

Ok Tedi

Porgera

Monywa Loei

Sepon

Batu Hijau

Cadia

Yanacocha

Escondida

Chuquicamata

El Teniente

Hishikari

Sado

Masbate

Lihir Gold Ridge

Lebong

Pongkor

Mt Muro

Bau Kelian

Mamut

Awak Mas

Gosowong Toka Tindung

Kidston

Mt Leyshon Cracow

Peak Hill

Mt Kasi Emperor

Waihi

Macraes

Bella Vista

Mulatos

Hehaughlin

Fruta del Norte Pierina

El Peñon

Esquel

Cerro Negro

Miwah

Pacific “Rim of Fire”

Epithermal/Porphyry Deposits

The Golden Harvest

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Lihir Island

• Resources ~56Moz

• Reserves ~31Moz Lihir

Island

Papua New Guinea

Australia

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Precious Metals in the Pacific Rim

Bowdens

Nueva Esperanza

Chatree

Challenger

2011 – Two Mines and Two Advanced Projects

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Chatree

Chatree Gold Mine in Thailand Asian showcase gold mine

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CHATREE NORTH

CHATREE

Phichit Province

Phetchabun Province

Phitsanulok Province

Ban Dong Long

Ban Kho Din

1 Km

Chatree - World Class Deposit

Chatree ~6Moz

to date & growing (including mined to date)

Large low grade and low

cost gold deposit

Significant near mine

potential

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Nueva Esperanza

Nueva Esperanza

Advanced silver/gold project in Chile

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Project Well Located

Significant experience in the gold

and copper belts

High sulphidation silver/gold

epithermal

Currently 94% of Laguna in Nov

2011

Project located in the world-class

Maricunga Gold-Silver Belt

Maricunga Belt

Host to over 70Moz gold resources

Produced over 10Moz gold

Currently producing ~500Kozpa

San Cristobal

El Tesoro

Choquelimpie

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Nueva Esperanza

Updated Resources Combined Mineral Resources:

28.5Mt @ 0.25g/t Au and 78g/t Ag

1.8Moz Au (AuEq) or 81.6Moz Ag (AgEq)

Feasibility Study Coffey undertaking feasibility study

• Stage 1 completed in July 2011

• Final draft expected early in 2012

Esperanza: A number of targets

Southern Maricunga: Field work to resume at Maricella and Catchitos

Exploration Potential

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Kingsgate Growth Project

Bowdens

Bowdens Silver project In NSW

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• Epithermal silver deposit with lead and zinc by-products

• Located 25km E of Mudgee, some 240km NW of Sydney

• Established infrastructure and mining workforce

• Large, continuous, near surface deposit hosted in a volcanic sequence of breccia and tuff (Rylstone Volcanics)

Bowdens Overview

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Bowdens Upside Potential

1 kilometre

10,750mN

10,500mN

10,250mN

10,000mN

9,750mN

14,7

50m

E

15,0

00m

E

15,2

50m

E

15,5

00m

E

• Significant resource potential along strike and at depth

• Pit shell reflects the current base of drilling

• High grade starter pit

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Bowdens

Updated Resources Acquisition completed in September

Resource estimate 99Moz Ag (JORC)

131Moz AgEq (incl Pb & Zn)

Feasibility Study Ausenco to undertake feasibility

RW Corkery to co-ordinate EIS

Community consultation plan underway

Resource Growth

Potential

Mineralisation open at depth and along strike.

Drilling program to start in next few months.

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Challenger Gold Mine

Challenger

Acquired by Kingsgate in Feb 2011

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Challenger Gold Mine

Underground gold mine in remote South Australia .

Production rate ~100koz pa to grow to ~120Kozpa over next 12 - 18mths

Third quartile costs expected to improve in 2012

Strong reserve growth achieved. Current reserves ~610Koz , up over 100% on 2010 incl. mine depletion

Resources ~1.09Moz to grow significantly over next 2 to 5 years

Turn Around Story

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1000

800

600

400

200

0

-200

RL(m)

E W Challenger Ventilation

Shaft

Upside

Open Down Dip

Open Down Dip

Open Down Dip

Upside

M 1

M 2

M 3

Other Structures

Challenger West

820 Level Area of current drilling

280 Level Exploration Drive

800 Level Exploration Drive

Challenger Upside Potential

Oblique Section

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Kingsgate Active in Pacific Rim

Bowdens Nueva Esperanza

Strong Production Growth

Chatree

Challenger

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Precious Metals and the Pacific Rim

Gold and Silver Focus

Geology - Epithermal Gold

Pacific Rim of Fire Prospectivity

Big Deposits - porphyries

Major Silver Credits

The Gold and Silver Harvest

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www.kingsgate.com.au

Kingsgate Consolidated Limited

Shares: 139 Million Market Cap: ~A$1.0Bn

ASX: KCN

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www.kingsgate.com.au

The information in this presentation that relates to Challenger‟s Exploration Results, Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves is based on information compiled by Peter Bamford, Tony Poustie and Paul Androvic who are full-time employees of the Company, members of the Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy. Peter Bamford, Tony Poustie and Paul Androvic have sufficient experience, which is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity, which they are undertaking to qualify as Competent Persons as defined in the 2004 Edition of the „Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves‟. Peter Bamford, Tony Poustie and Paul Androvic, consent to the inclusion in the report of the matters based on their information in the form and context in which it appears.

Information in this presentation that relates to Kingsgate‟s Exploration Results, Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve estimates, geology, drilling and mineralisation, is based on information compiled by Ron James, who is an employee of the Kingsgate Group and is a member of The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy. Ron James is a Competent Person under the meaning of the JORC Code with respect to Exploration Results, Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve estimates, geology, drilling and mineralisation being presented. He has given his consent to the Public Reporting of these statements concerning Exploration Results, Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve estimates, geology, drilling and mineralisation, and is in agreement with the contents and format of this presentation.

Competent Persons Statements:

General Disclaimer:

The information contained in this presentation is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to issue, or arrange to issue securities or other financial products. The information contained in this presentation is not investment or financial product advice and has been prepared without taking into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any person. To the maximum extent permitted by law, none of Dominion Mining Limited, Kingsgate Consolidated Limited, their respective directors, employees or agents, nor any other person accepts any liability including without limitation any liability arising out of fault or negligence for any loss caused from the use of the information contained in this presentation. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is given as to the accuracy, completeness or correctness, likelihood of achievement or reasonableness of any forecasts or other forward looking statements.

Appendix

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Corporate Structure

KCN Capital

Dominion

Gold

Operations

Laguna

Resources

Challeng

er

Gold

Mine

Phar Mai

Explorat

ion

Limited

Issara

Mining

Limited

Akara

Mining

Limited

Thai Shareholde

rs

Gold

Explorat

ion

Thailand

Chatree

Gold

Mine

Thai

Sharehol

ders

Arquero

s

Project

51%*

49% 49% 49%**

100% 100% 70%

51%*

100% 100%

* Held via Preference shares

** Kingsgate owns 100% of the Ordinary Shares and receives 100% of the Cashflow and Ordinary Dividends

51%*

KINGSGATE

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Thai Progressive Royalty Rate

Baht/gm 400 600 1000 1500 2000

US$/oz

385 580 970 145

0 195

0

0%

20%

15%

10%

5%

US$1.00=Baht 30, Jan 2011.

US$1600/oz

0

0

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Landmark victory by Puea Thai Party with 265 seats out of 500 seats

Formed coalition to strengthen majority

Led by Yingluck Shinawatra sister of former prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra

Decisive victory should lead to a more politically stable Thailand

Thai politics confined to Bangkok

Chatree has not lost one day of

Thai Political Change

T h a i l a n d

Bangkok

Chatree

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Asian Competitive Advantage

Established Infrastructure

Grid Power

Sealed roads

Lower cost support Skilled manufacturing

“Buy Thai” sourced supplies

Labour – Skilled & available

Robust Deposit

Simple mining & metallurgy

Safe Mine = Efficient Mine

Safest gold mine globally

Working in Thailand

Cost Comparisons – Thailand vs Australia

Open Pit Mining (US$):

Waste: $1.70/t vs $2.50/t Ore:

$3.40/t vs $4.00/t

Power: 8c/Kwh vs 20c/Kwh

Assays: $3/sample vs $20/smp

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Thailand National Occupational

Safety & Health Award 2010

Zero Accident Award

2010.jpg

Prime Minister's Award 2010

World Safest Gold Mine

Over 8 years – No incidents

Zero Environmental Incidents

ISO Standards on all activities

Only mining company granted Social

Accountability SA8000

Training focus – 99% Thai

31% women in management

High quality, stable workforce

Created local support industry

Corporate Social Responsibility

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Chatree Chatree Ore Reserves as at 30 June 2010 (>0.4g/t gold cut-off grade)

Source Category Tonnes

Gold Grade

Silver Grade

Gold Contained

Silver Contained

(millions) (g/t) (g/t) (Moz) (Moz)

From Pits Proved 37.4 1.00 9.5 1.20 11.42

Probable 18.7 0.98 8.4 0.59 5.02

Stockpiles 5.60 0.79 12.1 0.14 2.19

Chatree Total Total 61.7 0.97 9.4 1.93 18.63

Chatree Mineral Resources as at 30 June 2010 (>0.3g/t gold cut-off grade)

Source Category Tonnes

Gold Grade

Silver Grade

Gold Contained

Silver Contained

(millions) (g/t) (g/t) (Moz) (Moz)

From Pits Measured 79.8 0.81 7.4 2.07 18.85

Indicated 56.7 0.76 6.1 1.39 11.07

Inferred 31.4 0.71 4.8 0.72 4.86

Stockpiles 5.60 0.79 12.1 0.14 2.19

Chatree Total Total 173.5 0.77 6.6 4.32 36.97

Competent Persons Statement. Information in this presentation relates to Exploration Results, Mineral Resource and Ore Reserve estimates based on information compiled by the following Competent Persons: Ron James, Fiona Davidson, Guy Davies and Suphanit Suphananthi who are employees of the Kingsgate Group and members of The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy and Rob Spiers who is an employee of Hellman & Schofield Pty Ltd and member of The Australian Institute of Geoscientists. These people qualify as Competent Persons as defined in the Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves (the JORC Code, 2004 edition) and possess relevant experience in relation to the mineralisation being reported herein as Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves. Each Competent Person has consented to the Public Reporting of these statements and the inclusion of the material in the form and context in which it appears.

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Challenger Challenger Ore Reserves as at 30 June 2010

Source Category Tonnes

Gold Grade

Gold Contained

(„000) (g/t) („000 oz)

From Mine Proved 318 5.8 59

Probable 1,834 6.0 352

Stockpiles 157 2.1 9

Challenger Total Total 2.310 5.7 420

Challenger Mineral Resources as at 30 June 2010

Source Category Tonnes

Gold Grade

Silver Contained

(„000) (g/t) („000 oz)

From Mine Measured 310 6.3 63

Indicated 2,232 6.4 460

Inferred 1,672 7.8 418

Stockpiles 157 1.8 8

Challenger Total Total 4,371 6.8 950

Competent Persons Statement. The information in this presentation that relates to Exploration Results, Mineral Resources or Ore Reserves is based on information compiled by Peter Bamford, Tony Poustie and Paul Androvic who are full-time employees of the Company, members of The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy. Peter Bamford, Tony Poustie and Paul Androvic have sufficient experience, which is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and to the activity which they are undertaking, to qualify as Competent Persons as defined in the 2004 Edition of the „Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves‟. Peter Bamford, Tony Poustie and Paul Androvic consent to the inclusion in the report of the matters based on their information in the form and context in which it appears.

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Nueva Esperanza

Mineral Resources

Tonnes AuEq Tonnes AuEq Tonnes AuEq AuEq M g/t M g/t M g/t MOz

Gold Equivalent Indicated Inferred Total

Arqueros 16.0 2.12 4.0 1.4 20.0 1.98 1.27

Chimberos 3.7 2.1 3.7 2.09 0.25

Teterita 4.8 1.9 4.8 1.90 0.29

Total 16.0 2.12 12.5 1.8 28.5 1.98 1.81

Silver Equivalent Indicated Inferred Total

Arqueros 16.0 95 4.0 64 20.0 89 57.2

Chimberos 3.7 94 3.7 94 11.2

Teterita 4.8 85 4.8 85 13.2

Total 16.0 95 12.5 81 28.5 89 81.6

Notes: Au = gold; Ag = silver; M = million; g/t = grams per tonne; MOz = million ounces. 1.In situ density 2.0 t/bcm, based on 350 measurements at Arqueros. This is lower than previously used 2.2 t/bcm. 2. Gold equivalent on basis of gold/silver revenue ratio of 45; calculated as Au + Ag/EQ (gold plus [silver divided by 45]). 3. Silver equivalent on the basis of gold/silver revenue ratio of 45; calculated as Au x EQ + Ag ([gold times 45] plus silver]). 4. EQ = (Price Gold x Recovery Gold) / (Price Silver x Recovery Silver). 5. Price basis US$1250/oz Au and US$30/oz Ag. 6. Metallurgical recovery basis 85% Au and 78% silver. 7. Rounding of numbers may generate rounding errors.

Mineral Resources

>0.5g/t AuEq

Indicated Inferred Total

Tonnes Gold Silver Tonnes Gold Silver Tonnes Gold Silver Gold Silver M g/t g/t M g/t g/t M g/t g/t MOz MOz

Arqueros 16.3 0.32 81 4.0 0.3 50 20.0 0.32 75 0.20 48.1

Chimberos 3.7 0.2 85 3.7 0.20 85 0.02 10.1

Teterita 4.8 0.0 85 4.8 0.01 85 0.00 13.1

Total 16.0 0.32 81 12.5 0.2 74 28.5 0.25 78 0.23 71.3

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Resource Class

Cut-off AgEq (g/t)

Tonnes

(t)

Grade Contained Silver

Silver g/t

Lead %

Zinc %

AgEq g/t

Silver (Moz)

AgEq (Moz)

Indicated 30 31.2 60.6 0.30 0.40 77.5 60.8 78

Inferred 30 27.0 44.0 0.30 0.40 61.0 38.7 53

Indicated & Inferred 30 58.2 52.9 0.30 0.40 69.8 99.4 131

Bowdens

Competent Person Statement

The information in this report that relates to mineral resource estimation is based on work completed by Mr Jonathon Abbott

who is a full-time employee of Hellman & Schofield Pty Ltd and a member of the Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy.

Mr Abbott has sufficient experience which is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration and

to the activity which he is undertaking to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2004 Edition of the „Australasian Code

for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves‟. Mr Abbott consents to the inclusion in the report of

the matters based on his information in the form and context in which it appears.