140313 PI National Poll - CHARTS 3-27-14

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    NATIONAL TRACKING POLL

    National Public Opinion Poll

    March 27, 2014

    #140313

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    METHODOLOGYTHIS POLL WAS CONDUCTED FROM MARCH 21-23,

    2014, AMONG A NATIONAL SAMPLE OF 1,846 LIKELY

    VOTERS.

    THE INTERVIEWS WERE CONDUCTED ONLINE AND

    THE DATA HAS BEEN WEIGHTED TO APPROXIMATE A

    TARGET SMAPLE OF LIKELY VOTERS.

    RESULTS FROM THE FULL SURVEY HAVE A MARGIN OF

    ERROR OF PLUS OR MINUS 2.3 PERCENTAGE POINTS.

    SUBSAMPLES POSSESS HIGHER MARGINS OF ERROR.

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    34%

    59%

    26%

    13%

    51%

    37%

    29% 27%

    66%

    41%

    74%

    87%

    49%

    63%

    71% 73%

    Total DEM(37%)

    IND(30%)

    GOP(33%)

    Age 18-29(17%)

    Age 30-44(24%)

    Age 45-64(38%)

    Age 65+(21%)

    RD

    Now, general ly speaking, would y ou say that th ings in th e country are going in ther ight direct ion, or have they pret ty ser iously got ten of f on th e wrong track?

    NATION OFF ON WRONG TRACK

    WT

    Total By Party By Age

    RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT RD WT

    DEMs & young voters not as pessimistic.

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    42%39% 37%

    57% 58% 59%

    National All Senate States Competitive Senate States*

    Approve

    And , do yo u approve or disapp rove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

    OBAMA JOB APPROVAL INVERTED

    Disapprove

    Senate battlegrounds even less amicable to President.

    Approve Disapprove Approve Disapprove

    Disapprove +15 Disapprove +19 Disapprove +22

    * Competitive Senate States based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report 3/21/14.

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    Now, thinkin g abo ut yo ur vo te in 2014 for federal off ices su ch as U.S. Senate or Con gress ,

    what would you s ay is the top issue that is mot iva t ing your vo te?

    FISCAL ISSUES DOMINATE

    32%

    18%

    15%

    14%

    12%

    3%

    2%

    Immigration Reform

    Foreign Policy

    Health Care

    Federal Budget Deficit

    and Debt

    Jobs/Unemployment

    The Economy

    Medicare

    and Social Security

    DEM

    (33%)

    IND

    (30%)

    GOP

    (37%)

    18-29

    (17%)

    30-44

    (24%)

    45-64

    (38%)

    65+

    (21%)

    36% 30% 29% 38% 35% 33% 22%

    21% 18% 14% 21% 19% 18% 12%

    6% 18% 21% 11% 12% 15% 20%

    13% 14% 16% 15% 19% 14% 8%

    16% 10% 10% 5% 6% 10% 28%

    3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4%

    2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2%

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    OBAMACARE

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    42%

    59%

    44%

    37% 35% 37%

    27%

    54%

    36%

    51%

    59% 62% 59%

    67%

    Total 18-29(17%)

    30-44(24%)

    45-64(38%)

    65+(21%)

    IND(30%)

    Trust Neither(35%)

    App

    Do you app rove or disapp rove of the heal th care legis lat ion passed by

    Barack Obama and Cong ress in 2010?

    OBAMACARE

    Dis App Dis App Dis App Dis App Dis App Dis App Dis

    Total By PartyBy Age By Party

    Trust

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    Different peop le advocate dif ferent appro aches to the 2010 health care law kn own as the

    Affordable Care Act and somet imes cal led ObamaCare. Please indicate wh ich of th e

    opinions below comes closest to your own, even if none of them are exactly right

    PARSING OBAMACARE OPINION

    22%

    31%

    30%

    10%

    7%

    ObamaCare goes too far. Congress should

    repeal or defund the law.

    DEM

    (33%)

    IND

    (30%)

    GOP

    (37%)

    6% 21% 40%

    12% 37% 47%

    50% 30% 7%

    21% 6% 2%

    11% 6% 4%

    The U.S. health care system needs reform, but

    ObamaCare is the wrong reform. Congress

    should replace it with common sense reforms

    aimed at controlling costs.

    ObamaCare is not a perfect law, but it is a good

    start. Congress should work to fix the parts of the

    law that do not work.

    ObamaCare is a good law. Congress should

    leave the law alone and focus on other issues.

    ObamaCare does not go far enough. Congress

    should work on single-payer health system

    legislation.

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    Next we are going to d isplay a number of s tatements regarding the Affordable Care Act/

    ObamaCare that apply to cand idates for t he U.S. Senate in vario us states this year. For

    each s tatement, please indicate whether yo u are mo re l ikely o r less l ike ly to vote for thecand idate based on that statemen t.

    SENATE CANDIDATES ON OCARE

    Candidate A was the

    deciding vote in passing

    ObamaCare in 2010.

    Candidate A continues

    to support the law,saying that while it is not

    perfect, it does solve

    some critical problems

    in the health care

    industry like pre-existing

    conditions and

    extending insurancecoverage for young

    people. Candidate A

    wants to protect and

    defend the law.

    Candidate B opposesObamaCare and

    says the law should

    be repealed.

    Candidate B has

    pledged to support

    repealing the law as

    a U.S. Senator.

    Candidate C

    supported ObamaCare

    in 2010, telling

    constituents that if theylike their health care

    they can keep it. Now,

    after the rollout of the

    law that saw millions

    lose their health

    insurance, Candidate

    C supports keepingthe law in place and

    trying to fix it one piece

    at a time.

    Candidate D says that

    health care in the

    United States needs

    reform, but ObamaCare

    is the wrong reform.Candidate D supports

    and replacing the law

    with common sense

    reforms such as

    allowing people to

    purchase health

    insurance across statelines and allowing

    people to pay for health

    insurance with pre-tax

    dollars.

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    46% 44% 44%

    77%

    39%

    16%

    45%50% 48%

    15%

    50%

    76%

    22% 20% 20%

    43%

    14%

    6%

    31%35% 37%

    6%

    36%

    55%

    National All SenateStates

    CompetitiveSenate States*

    DEM(37%)

    IND(30%)

    GOP(33%)

    CANDIDATE A: PROTECT & DEFEND

    * Competitive Senate States based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report 3/21/14.

    Please indicate whether you are more likely or less likely to vote for the candidate based on that statement

    Candidate A was the deciding v ote in pass ing Obam aCare in 2010. Candidate A continues to sup port th e law,

    saying that whi le i t is not per fect , i t does solv e some cr i t ica l problems in the health care industry l ike pre-exist ingcondi t ions and extending insu rance coverage for you ng people. Candidate A wants to pro tect and defend the law.

    Total By Party

    Much More Likely Total More Likely Total Less Likely Much Less Likely

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    51%54% 53%

    23%

    48%

    85%

    42% 40% 39%

    71%

    42%

    11%

    29%32%

    29%

    10%

    28%

    50%

    32%29%

    32%

    60%

    30%

    4%

    National All SenateStates

    CompetitiveSenate States*

    DEM(37%)

    IND(30%)

    GOP(33%)

    CANDIDATE B: REPEAL

    Total By Party

    Much More Likely Total More Likely Total Less Likely Much Less Likely

    Please indicate whether you are more likely or less likely to vote for the candidate based on that statement

    Candidate B oppo ses ObamaCare and says th e law should be repealed. Candidate B has pledged to s upp ort

    repealin g the law as a U.S. Senator.

    * Competitive Senate States based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report 3/21/14.

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    38%34% 35%

    66%

    32%

    13%

    53%57% 56%

    23%

    57%

    81%

    12% 13% 11%

    23%

    8%5%

    36%39% 40%

    11%

    37%

    62%

    National All SenateStates

    CompetitiveSenate States*

    DEM(37%)

    IND(30%)

    GOP(33%)

    CANDIDATE C: KEEP & FIX

    Total By Party

    Much More Likely Total More Likely Total Less Likely Much Less Likely

    Please indicate whether you are more likely or less likely to vote for the candidate based on that statement

    Candidate C supp orted Obam aCare in 2010, tel l ing co nstituents that if they lik e their health care they can keep it.

    Now, after the rollout o f the law that saw mil l ion s lose their health insuranc e, Candidate C supports keeping the lawin place and tryin g to fix it one piece at a time.

    * Competitive Senate States based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report 3/21/14.

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    57% 59% 59%

    30%

    59%

    84%

    33%30% 28%

    58%

    28%

    9%

    26% 27% 26%

    11%

    23%

    45%

    18% 15% 16%

    34%

    14%

    3%

    National All SenateStates

    CompetitiveSenate States*

    DEM(37%)

    IND(30%)

    GOP(33%)

    CANDIDATE D: REPLACE

    Total By Party

    Much More Likely Total More Likely Total Less Likely Much Less Likely

    Please indicate whether you are more likely or less likely to vote for the candidate based on that statement

    Candidate D says that health care in the United States needs reform , but ObamaCare is the wron g reform .

    Candidate D supports and replacing the law with commo n sense reforms such as al lowing people to purchasehealth insurance across state lines and allowin g people to pay for health insurance with p re-tax dollars.

    * Competitive Senate States based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report 3/21/14.

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