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Transcript of 1 l Using Statistics l Sample Statistics as Estimators of Population Parameters l Sampling...
1
Using Statistics Sample Statistics as Estimators of
Population Parameters Sampling Distributions Estimators and Their Properties Degrees of Freedom Summary and Review of Terms
Sampling and Sampling Distributions5
2
Take random samples from populations Distinguish between population parameters and sample statistics Apply the central limit theorem Derive sampling distributions of sample means and proportions Explain why sample statistics are good estimators of population
parameters Judge one estimator as better than another based on desirable
properties of estimators Apply the concept of degrees of freedom Identify special sampling methods Compute sampling distributions and related results using
templates
LEARNING OBJECTIVESLEARNING OBJECTIVES55
After studying this chapter you should be able to:After studying this chapter you should be able to:
3
• Statistical Inference: Predict and forecast values of
population parameters... Test hypotheses about values of
population parameters... Make decisions...
On basis of sample statistics derived from limited and incomplete sample information
Make generalizations about the characteristics of a population...
Make generalizations about the characteristics of a population...
On the basis of observations of a sample, a part of a population
On the basis of observations of a sample, a part of a population
5-1 Statistics is a Science of Inference(Inference( 推推論論 ))
4
Democrats Republicans
People who have phones and/or cars and/or are Digest readers.
BiasedSample
Population
Democrats Republicans
Unbiased Sample
Population
Unbiased, representative sample drawn at random from the entire population.
Biased, unrepresentative sample drawn from people who have cars and/or telephones and/or read the Digest.
The Literary Digest Poll (1936)
5
• An estimator(estimator( 估計式估計式 )) of a population parameter is a sample statistic used to estimate or predict the population parameter.
• An estimate(estimate( 估計估計 )) of a parameter is a particular numerical value of a sample statistic obtained through sampling.
• A point estimatepoint estimate is a single value used as an estimate of a population parameter.
A population parameterpopulation parameter is a numerical measure of a summary characteristic of a population.
5-2 Sample Statistics as Estimators of Population Parameters(p.176)
• A sample statisticsample statistic is a numerical measure of a summary characteristic
of a sample.
6
• The sample mean, , is the most common estimator of the population mean,
• The sample variance, s2, is the most common estimator of the population variance, 2.
• The sample standard deviation, s, is the most common estimator of the population standard deviation, .
• The sample proportion, , is the most common estimator of the population proportion, p.
• The sample mean, , is the most common estimator of the population mean,
• The sample variance, s2, is the most common estimator of the population variance, 2.
• The sample standard deviation, s, is the most common estimator of the population standard deviation, .
• The sample proportion, , is the most common estimator of the population proportion, p.
Estimators(估計式 ,樣本統計量 )
X
p̂
Estimators
7
8
• The population proportionpopulation proportion is equal to the number of elements in the population belonging to the category of interest, divided by the total number of elements in the population:
• The sample proportionsample proportion is the number of elements in the sample belonging to the category of interest, divided by the sample size:
Population and Sample Proportions
pxn
pXN
9
XX
XXX
XX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XX
Population mean ()
Sample points
Frequency distribution of the population
Sample mean ( )
A Population Distribution, a Sample from a Population, and the Population and Sample Means
X
• Stratified samplingsampling( 分層抽樣 ):: in stratified sampling, the population is partitioned into two or more subpopulation called strata( 層 ), and from each stratum a desired sample size is selected at random.( 層層有顯著差異, ex.性別、變異數 )
• Cluster samplingCluster sampling( 分群抽樣 ):: in cluster sampling, a random sample of the strata is selected and then samples from these selected strata are obtained.
• Single-stage Cluster sampling( 一階段分群抽樣 ): in single-stage cluster sampling, a cluster is chosen at random and every item or person in that cluster is sampled.
Other Sampling Methods
10
• Two-stage Cluster sampling( 二階段分群抽樣 ): in two-stage cluster sampling, a cluster is chosen at random and random samples of the items or persons are taken from that cluster.
• Multistage Cluster samplingMultistage Cluster sampling( 多階段分群抽樣 ):: in multistage cluster sampling, a random sample of the strata is selected, then samples of items or persons from these strata are taken and then samples from these items and persons are selected.
• Systematic samplingSystematic sampling ( 系統抽樣 )
Other Sampling Methods
11
12
亂數表之使用 (p.178 or p.702)
• Example, 10 samples from 001~600 numbered data
•習題 5-5
13
• The sampling distributionsampling distribution of a statistic is the probability distribution of all possible values the statistic may assume, when computed from random samples of the same size, drawn from a specified population.
• The sampling distribution of sampling distribution of XX is the probability distribution of all possible values the random variable may assume when a sample of size n is taken from a specified population.
X
5-3 Sampling Distributions (抽樣分配 ) (p.182)
14
Ex. Uniform population of integers from 1 to 8:
X P(X) XP(X) (X-x) (X-x)2 P(X)(X-x)2
1 0.125 0.125 -3.5 12.25 1.531252 0.125 0.250 -2.5 6.25 0.781253 0.125 0.375 -1.5 2.25 0.281254 0.125 0.500 -0.5 0.25 0.031255 0.125 0.625 0.5 0.25 0.031256 0.125 0.750 1.5 2.25 0.281257 0.125 0.875 2.5 6.25 0.781258 0.125 1.000 3.5 12.25 1.53125
1.000 4.500 5.25000 87654321
0.2
0.1
0.0
X
P(X
)
Uniform Distribution (1,8)
E(X) = E(X) = = 4.5 = 4.5V(X) = V(X) = 22 = 5.25 = 5.25SD(X) = SD(X) = = 2.2913 = 2.2913
Sampling Distributions (Continued)
15
• There are 8*8 = 64 different but equally-likely samples of size 2 that can be drawn (with replacement) from a uniform population of the integers from 1 to 8:Samples of Size 2 from Uniform (1,8)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 81 1,1 1,2 1,3 1,4 1,5 1,6 1,7 1,82 2,1 2,2 2,3 2,4 2,5 2,6 2,7 2,83 3,1 3,2 3,3 3,4 3,5 3,6 3,7 3,84 4,1 4,2 4,3 4,4 4,5 4,6 4,7 4,85 5,1 5,2 5,3 5,4 5,5 5,6 5,7 5,86 6,1 6,2 6,3 6,4 6,5 6,6 6,7 6,87 7,1 7,2 7,3 7,4 7,5 7,6 7,7 7,88 8,1 8,2 8,3 8,4 8,5 8,6 8,7 8,8
Each of these samples has a sample mean. For example, the mean of the sample (1,4) is 2.5, and the mean of the sample (8,4) is 6.
Sample Means from Uniform (1,8), n = 21 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.52 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.03 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.54 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.05 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.56 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.07 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.58 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0
Sampling Distributions (Continued)
16
Sampling Distribution of the Mean
The probability distribution of the sample mean is called the sampling distribution of the the sample meansampling distribution of the the sample mean.(p.184)
8.07.57.06.56.05.55.04.54.03.53.02.52.01.51.0
0.10
0.05
0.00
X
P(X
)
Sampling Distribution of the Mean
X P(X) XP(X) X-X (X-X)2 P(X)(X-X)2
1.0 0.015625 0.015625 -3.5 12.25 0.1914061.5 0.031250 0.046875 -3.0 9.00 0.2812502.0 0.046875 0.093750 -2.5 6.25 0.2929692.5 0.062500 0.156250 -2.0 4.00 0.2500003.0 0.078125 0.234375 -1.5 2.25 0.1757813.5 0.093750 0.328125 -1.0 1.00 0.0937504.0 0.109375 0.437500 -0.5 0.25 0.0273444.5 0.125000 0.562500 0.0 0.00 0.0000005.0 0.109375 0.546875 0.5 0.25 0.0273445.5 0.093750 0.515625 1.0 1.00 0.0937506.0 0.078125 0.468750 1.5 2.25 0.1757816.5 0.062500 0.406250 2.0 4.00 0.2500007.0 0.046875 0.328125 2.5 6.25 0.2929697.5 0.031250 0.234375 3.0 9.00 0.2812508.0 0.015625 0.125000 3.5 12.25 0.191406
1.000000 4.500000 2.625000
E XV XSD X
X
X
X
( )( )
( ) .
4.52.6251 6202
2
Sampling Distributions (Continued)
17
• Comparing the population distribution and the sampling distribution of the mean:The sampling distribution is
more bell-shaped and symmetric.
Both have the same center.The sampling distribution of
the mean is more compact, with a smaller variance.(p.184)
87654321
0.2
0.1
0.0
X
P(X
)
Uniform Distribution (1,8)
X8.07.57.06.56.05.55.04.54.03.53.02.52.01.51.0
0.10
0.05
0.00
P( X
)
Sampling Distribution of the Mean
Properties of the Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean
),(~2
nNX
18
The expected value of the sample meanexpected value of the sample mean is equal to the population mean:
E XX X
( )
The variance of the sample meanvariance of the sample mean is equal to the population variance divided by the sample size:
V XnX
X( ) 2
2
The standard deviation of the sample mean, known as the standard error of standard deviation of the sample mean, known as the standard error of the meanthe mean, is equal to the population standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size:
SD XnX
X( )
Relationships between Population Parameters and the Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean
19
When sampling from a normal populationnormal population with mean and standard deviation , the sample mean, X, has a normal sampling distributionnormal sampling distribution:
When sampling from a normal populationnormal population with mean and standard deviation , the sample mean, X, has a normal sampling distributionnormal sampling distribution:
X Nn
~ ( , ) 2
This means that, as the sample size increases, the sampling distribution of the sample mean remains centered on the population mean, but becomes more compactly distributed around that population mean
This means that, as the sample size increases, the sampling distribution of the sample mean remains centered on the population mean, but becomes more compactly distributed around that population mean
Normal population
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
f (X)
Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean
Sampling Distribution: n =2
Sampling Distribution: n =16
Sampling Distribution: n =4
Sampling from a Normal Population
Normal population
20
When sampling from a population with mean and finite standard deviation , the sampling distribution of the sample mean will tend to a normal distribution with mean and standard deviation as the sample size becomes large(n >30).
For “large enough” n:
When sampling from a population with mean and finite standard deviation , the sampling distribution of the sample mean will tend to a normal distribution with mean and standard deviation as the sample size becomes large(n >30).
For “large enough” n:
n
)/,(~ 2 nNX
P( X)
X
0.25
0.20
0.15
0.10
0.05
0.00
n = 5
P( X)
0.2
0.1
0.0 X
n = 20
f ( X)
X
-
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Large n
The Central Limit Theorem(p.186)
21
Normal Uniform Skewed
Population
n = 2
n = 30
XXXX
General
The Central Limit Theorem Applies to Sampling Distributions from AnyAny Population(p.187)
22
Mercury makes a 2.4 liter V-6 engine, the Laser XRi, used in speedboats. The company’s engineers believe the engine delivers an average power of 220 horsepower and that the standard deviation of power delivered is 15 HP. A potential buyer intends to sample 100 engines (each engine is to be run a single time). What is the probability that the sample mean will be less than 217HP?
Mercury makes a 2.4 liter V-6 engine, the Laser XRi, used in speedboats. The company’s engineers believe the engine delivers an average power of 220 horsepower and that the standard deviation of power delivered is 15 HP. A potential buyer intends to sample 100 engines (each engine is to be run a single time). What is the probability that the sample mean will be less than 217HP?
P X PX
n n
P Z P Z
P Z
( )
( ) .
217217
217 22015
100
217 2201510
2 0 0228
The Central Limit Theorem (Example 5-1, p.188)
Mercury makes a 2.4 liter V-6 engine, the Laser XRi, used in speedboats. The company’s engineers believe the engine delivers an average power of 220 horsepower and that the standard deviation of power delivered is 15 HP. A potential buyer intends to sample 100 engines (each engine is to be run a single time). What is the probability that the sample mean will be less than 217HP?
Mercury makes a 2.4 liter V-6 engine, the Laser XRi, used in speedboats. The company’s engineers believe the engine delivers an average power of 220 horsepower and that the standard deviation of power delivered is 15 HP. A potential buyer intends to sample 100 engines (each engine is to be run a single time). What is the probability that the sample mean will be less than 217HP?
The Central Limit Theorem (Example 5-1) – Using the Template
23
24
Example 5-2 (p.189)EPS Mean Distribution
0
5
10
15
20
25
Range
Fre
qu
en
cy
2.00 - 2.49
2.50 - 2.99
3.00 - 3.49
3.50 - 3.99
4.00 - 4.49
4.50 - 4.99
5.00 - 5.49
5.50 - 5.99
6.00 - 6.49
6.50 - 6.99
7.00 - 7.49
7.50 - 7.99
25
If the population standard deviation, , is unknownunknown, replace with the sample standard deviation, s. If the population is normal, the resulting statistic: has a t distribution t distribution with with (n - 1) degrees of freedom(n - 1) degrees of freedom.
If the population standard deviation, , is unknownunknown, replace with the sample standard deviation, s. If the population is normal, the resulting statistic: has a t distribution t distribution with with (n - 1) degrees of freedom(n - 1) degrees of freedom.• The t is a family of bell-shaped and symmetric
distributions, one for each number of degree of freedom.
• The expected value of t is 0.
• The variance of t is greater than 1, but approaches 1 as the number of degrees of freedom increases. The t is flatter and has fatter tails than does the standard normal.
• The t distribution approaches a standard normal as the number of degrees of freedom increases.
• The t is a family of bell-shaped and symmetric distributions, one for each number of degree of freedom.
• The expected value of t is 0.
• The variance of t is greater than 1, but approaches 1 as the number of degrees of freedom increases. The t is flatter and has fatter tails than does the standard normal.
• The t distribution approaches a standard normal as the number of degrees of freedom increases.
nsXt
/
Standard normal
t, df=20t, df=10
Student’s t Distribution (p.191)
26
The sample proportionsample proportion is the percentage of successes in n binomial trials. It is the number of successes, X, divided by the number of trials, n.
The sample proportionsample proportion is the percentage of successes in n binomial trials. It is the number of successes, X, divided by the number of trials, n.
pX
n
As the sample size, n, increases, the sampling distribution of approaches a normal normal distributiondistribution with mean p and standard deviation
How to prove it?
As the sample size, n, increases, the sampling distribution of approaches a normal normal distributiondistribution with mean p and standard deviation
How to prove it?
p
p pn
( )1
Sample proportion:
1514131211109876543210
0.2
0.1
0.0
P(X)
n=15, p = 0.3
X
1415
1315
1215
1115
10 15
9 15
8 15
7 15
6 15
5 15
4 15
3 15
2 15
1 15
0 15
1515 ^
p
210
0 .5
0 .4
0 .3
0 .2
0 .1
0 .0
X
P(X)
n=2, p = 0.3
109876543210
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
P(X
)
n=10,p=0.3
X
The Sampling Distribution of the Sample Proportion, p
27
公式證明
n
pp
n
npq
xVarn
xVarnn
xVarpVar
pnpn
xEn
xEnn
xEpE
pqxVarpxE
pBxwheren
x
n
xp
iii
iii
ii
ii
1
11ˆ
1
11ˆ
)(,)(
)(,ˆ
2
22
28
In recent years, convertible sports coupes have become very popular in Japan. Toyota is currently shipping Celicas to Los Angeles, where a customizer does a roof lift and ships them back to Japan. Suppose that 25% of all Japanese in a given income and lifestyle category are interested in buying Celica convertibles. A random sample of 100 Japanese consumers in the category of interest is to be selected. What is the probability that at least 20% of those in the sample will express an interest in a Celica convertible?
In recent years, convertible sports coupes have become very popular in Japan. Toyota is currently shipping Celicas to Los Angeles, where a customizer does a roof lift and ships them back to Japan. Suppose that 25% of all Japanese in a given income and lifestyle category are interested in buying Celica convertibles. A random sample of 100 Japanese consumers in the category of interest is to be selected. What is the probability that at least 20% of those in the sample will express an interest in a Celica convertible?
n
p
np E p
p p
nV p
p p
nSD p
100
0 25
100 0 25 25
1 25 75
1000 001875
10 001875 0 04330127
.
( )( . ) ( )
( ) (. )(. ). ( )
( ). . ( )
P p Pp p
p p
n
p
p p
n
P z P z
P z
( . )
( )
.
( )
. .
(. )(. )
.
.
( . ) .
0 201
20
1
20 25
25 75
100
05
0433
1 15 0 8749
Sample Proportion (Example 5-3)(p.193)
In recent years, convertible sports coupes have become very popular in Japan. Toyota is currently shipping Celicas to Los Angeles, where a customizer does a roof lift and ships them back to Japan. Suppose that 25% of all Japanese in a given income and lifestyle category are interested in buying Celica convertibles. A random sample of 100 Japanese consumers in the category of interest is to be selected. What is the probability that at least 20% of those in the sample will express an interest in a Celica convertible?
In recent years, convertible sports coupes have become very popular in Japan. Toyota is currently shipping Celicas to Los Angeles, where a customizer does a roof lift and ships them back to Japan. Suppose that 25% of all Japanese in a given income and lifestyle category are interested in buying Celica convertibles. A random sample of 100 Japanese consumers in the category of interest is to be selected. What is the probability that at least 20% of those in the sample will express an interest in a Celica convertible?
Sample Proportion (Example 5-3) – Template Solution
29
30
Exercise (p.193, 15min)
• Exercise 5-12 (Ans:1.Binomial, 2.No, 不適用 )
• Exercise 5-13 (Ans: 0.075 )
• Exercise 5-14 (Ans: 0.9923 )
• Exercise 5-15 (Ans: 0.2308 )
• Exercise 5-16 (Ans: 0.0497 )
31
An estimatorestimator of a population parameter is a sample statistic used to estimate the parameter. The most commonly-used estimator of the:Population Parameter Sample Statistic Mean () is the Mean (X)Variance (2) is the Variance (s2)Standard Deviation () is the Standard Deviation (s)Proportion (p) is the Proportion ( )
An estimatorestimator of a population parameter is a sample statistic used to estimate the parameter. The most commonly-used estimator of the:Population Parameter Sample Statistic Mean () is the Mean (X)Variance (2) is the Variance (s2)Standard Deviation () is the Standard Deviation (s)Proportion (p) is the Proportion ( )p
• Desirable properties of estimators include:Unbiasedness ( 不偏性 )Efficiency ( 有效性 )Consistency ( 一致性 )Sufficiency ( 充分性 )
• Desirable properties of estimators include:Unbiasedness ( 不偏性 )Efficiency ( 有效性 )Consistency ( 一致性 )Sufficiency ( 充分性 )
5-4 Estimators and Their Properties
(p.177)
32
An estimator is said to be unbiasedunbiased if its expected value is equal to the population parameter it estimates.
For example, E(X)=so the sample mean is an unbiased estimator of the population mean. Unbiasedness is an average or long-run property. The mean of any single sample will probably not equal the population mean, but the average of the means of repeated independent samples from a population will equal the population mean.
Any systematic deviationsystematic deviation of the estimator from the population parameter of interest is called a biasbias.
An estimator is said to be unbiasedunbiased if its expected value is equal to the population parameter it estimates.
For example, E(X)=so the sample mean is an unbiased estimator of the population mean. Unbiasedness is an average or long-run property. The mean of any single sample will probably not equal the population mean, but the average of the means of repeated independent samples from a population will equal the population mean.
Any systematic deviationsystematic deviation of the estimator from the population parameter of interest is called a biasbias.
Unbiasedness (p.194)
33
An unbiasedunbiased estimator is on target on average.
A biasedbiased estimator is off target on average.
{
Bias
Unbiased and Biased Estimators
34
An estimator is efficientefficient if it has a relatively small variance (and standard deviation).
An estimator is efficientefficient if it has a relatively small variance (and standard deviation).
An efficientefficient estimator is, on average, closer to the parameter being estimated..
An inefficientinefficient estimator is, on average, farther from the parameter being estimated.
Efficiency (p.195)
35
An estimator is said to be consistentconsistent if its probability of being close to the parameter it estimates increases as the sample size increases.
An estimator is said to be consistentconsistent if its probability of being close to the parameter it estimates increases as the sample size increases.
An estimator is said to be sufficientsufficient if it contains all the information in the data about the parameter it estimates.
An estimator is said to be sufficientsufficient if it contains all the information in the data about the parameter it estimates.
n = 100n = 10
ConsistencyConsistency
Consistency and Sufficiency(p.196)
36
For a normal population, both the sample mean and sample median are unbiased estimatorsunbiased estimators of the population mean, but the sample mean is both more efficientefficient (because it has a smaller variance), and sufficientsufficient. Every observation in the sample is used in the calculation of the sample mean, but only the middle value is used to find the sample median.
In general, the sample mean is the bestbest estimator of the population mean. The sample mean is the most efficient unbiased estimator of the population mean. It is also a consistent estimator.
Properties of the Sample Mean(p.196)
37
The sample variancesample variance (the sum of the squared deviations from the sample mean divided by (n-1) is an unbiased estimatorunbiased estimator of the population variance. In contrast, the average squared deviation from the sample mean is a biased (though consistent) estimator of the population variance.
The sample variancesample variance (the sum of the squared deviations from the sample mean divided by (n-1) is an unbiased estimatorunbiased estimator of the population variance. In contrast, the average squared deviation from the sample mean is a biased (though consistent) estimator of the population variance.
E s Ex x
n
Ex xn
( )( )( )
( )
22
2
22
1
Properties of the Sample Variance(p.197)
38
公式證明 :
22
222
22
22
22
2222
2
2
2
2
2
xnx
xnxnx
xnnxnxx
xxxx
xxxx
xxxxxxxx
i
i
i
ii
ii
iiii
2
2
2
1
n
xxEsE i
39
公式證明 (Continued)
22
22
2
22
22
222
22222
11
1
1
1
1
,0~,,~
1
nn
xxEnn
xxEsE
nNx
nNx
nn
nnxEnnE
xnExExnxExxE
ii
iii
40
Exercise, p.197, 5min
• 5-19 (Ans. 1300)
• 5-21 (Ans. n > 100 )
41
Consider a sample of size n=4 containing the following data points:
x1=10 x2=12 x3=16 x4=?
and for which the sample mean is:
Given the values of three data points and the sample mean, the value of the fourth data point can be determined:
x =x
n
12 14 164
414
12 14 164
56
x
x
x4 56 12 14 16
x4 56
xx
n
14
5-5 Degrees of Freedom
x4 = 14x4 = 14
42
x 14If only two data points and the sample mean are known:
x1=10 x2=12 x3=? x4=?
The values of the remaining two data points cannot be uniquely determined:
x =x
n
12 143 4
414
12 143 4 56
x x
x x
Degrees of Freedom (Continued)
43
The number of degrees of freedom is equal to the total number of measurements (these are not always raw data points), less the total number of restrictions on the measurements. A restriction is a quantity computed from the measurements.
The sample mean is a restriction on the sample measurements, so after calculating the sample mean there are only (n-1) degrees of freedom remaining with which to calculate the sample variance. The sample variance is based on only (n-1) free data points:
The number of degrees of freedom is equal to the total number of measurements (these are not always raw data points), less the total number of restrictions on the measurements. A restriction is a quantity computed from the measurements.
The sample mean is a restriction on the sample measurements, so after calculating the sample mean there are only (n-1) degrees of freedom remaining with which to calculate the sample variance. The sample variance is based on only (n-1) free data points:
sx x
n2
2
1
( )( )
Degrees of Freedom (Continued)
44
A sample of size 10 is given below. We are to choose three different numbers from which the deviations are to be taken. The first number is to be used for the first five sample points; the second number is to be used for the next three sample points; and the third number is to be used for the last two sample points.
A sample of size 10 is given below. We are to choose three different numbers from which the deviations are to be taken. The first number is to be used for the first five sample points; the second number is to be used for the next three sample points; and the third number is to be used for the last two sample points.
Example 5-4 (p.201)
Sample # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sample Point
93 97 60 72 96 83 59 66 88 53
i. What three numbers should we choose in order to minimize the SSD (sum of squared deviations from the mean).?
• Note:
2
xxSSD
45
Solution:Solution: Choose the means of the corresponding sample points. These are: 83.6, 69.33, and 70.5.
ii. Calculate the SSD with chosen numbers.
Solution:Solution: SSD = 2030.367. See table on next slide for calculations.
iii. What is the df for the calculated SSD?
Solution:Solution: df = 10 – 3 = 7.
iv. Calculate an unbiased estimate of the population variance.
Solution:Solution: An unbiased estimate of the population variance is SSD/df = 2030.367/7 = 290.05.
Solution:Solution: Choose the means of the corresponding sample points. These are: 83.6, 69.33, and 70.5.
ii. Calculate the SSD with chosen numbers.
Solution:Solution: SSD = 2030.367. See table on next slide for calculations.
iii. What is the df for the calculated SSD?
Solution:Solution: df = 10 – 3 = 7.
iv. Calculate an unbiased estimate of the population variance.
Solution:Solution: An unbiased estimate of the population variance is SSD/df = 2030.367/7 = 290.05.
Example 5-4 (continued)
46
Example 5-4 (continued)Sample # Sample Point Mean Deviations Deviation
Squared
1 93 83.6 9.4 88.36
2 97 83.6 13.4 179.56
3 60 83.6 -23.6 556.96
4 72 83.6 -11.6 134.56
5 96 83.6 12.4 153.76
6 83 69.33 13.6667 186.7778
7 59 69.33 -10.3333 106.7778
8 66 69.33 -3.3333 11.1111
9 88 70.5 17.5 306.25
10 53 70.5 -17.5 306.25
SSD 2030.367
SSD/df 290.0524
Sampling Distribution of a Sample MeanSampling Distribution of a Sample Mean
5-6 Using the Computer Using the Template
47
Sampling Distribution of a Sample Mean (continued)Sampling Distribution of a Sample Mean (continued)
Using the Template
48
Sampling Distribution of a Sample ProportionSampling Distribution of a Sample Proportion
Using the Template
49
Using the Template
Sampling Distribution of a Sample Proportion (continued)Sampling Distribution of a Sample Proportion (continued)
50
Constructing a sampling distribution of the mean from a uniform population (n = 10) using EXCEL (use RANDBETWEEN(0, 1) command to generate values to graph):
Histogram of Sample Means
0
50
100
150
200
250
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Sample Means (Class Midpoints)
Fre
quen
cy
CLASS MIDPOINT FREQUENCY0.15 00.2 00.25 30.3 260.35 640.4 1130.45 1830.5 2130.55 1780.6 1280.65 650.7 200.75 30.8 30.85 0
999
Using Excel to Generate Random Data
51
52
Exercise, p.206, 15min• Exercise5-27 (Ans. 1065, 2500 )• Exercise5-28 (Ans. 53, 0.5 )• Exercise5-29 (Ans. 0.2, 0.04216)• Exercise5-30 (Ans. 0.923)• Exercise5-31 (Ans. 0.9544)• Exercise5-34 (Ans. 1.000)• Exercise5-35 (Ans. 0.9503)• Exercise5-36 (Ans. 不是最小的( n = 1 對常態性已經夠了 ))• Exercise5-40 (Ans. P(Z< - 5) = 0.0000003 不太可能 )