1 Break out group 1- Greenhouse gas emission targets for 2030 (methodological aspects) Issues...
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Transcript of 1 Break out group 1- Greenhouse gas emission targets for 2030 (methodological aspects) Issues...
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Break out group 1- Greenhouse gas emission Break out group 1- Greenhouse gas emission targets for 2030 (methodological aspects)targets for 2030 (methodological aspects)
Issues discussed:• Methodologies most suited for the EU for assessing dangerous
anthropogenic climate change• Possible global long-term climate change targets for the EU
(other targets than the 6EAP target of +2C global temperature increase?)
• Global greenhouse gas and carbon dioxide concentration levels consistent with global climate change target(s)
• Possible convergence of per capita emissions and by which year
• Possible emission targets for industrialized countries and for EU25 for 2030
• Fulfilling the target through domestic action and through international emission trading
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Break out group 1- Recommendations (1)Break out group 1- Recommendations (1)
• Need to compare countries perspectives (with measures 2010) with the top-down EEA scenarios for 2010
• The 6-EAP target of a maximum 2 degrees global temperature increase should not be exceeded in the Sustainable Emission Pathway scenario
• The rate of temperature increase per decade, proposed by WBGU, of 0.2 °C/decade could be added as an additional target
• No other climate change targets have been proposed• Base the EEA scenario methodology on peer-reviewed
literature • The EEA methodology for deriving global efforts should
be transparent on assumptions and compared with similar studies in order to present the broad range of options under discussion
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Break out group 1- Recommendations (2)Break out group 1- Recommendations (2)
• EEA should focus the analyses on the commitment of Europe, and the action to be taken by Europe
• The temperature targets mentioned are consistent with a concentration target of a maximum of 450 ppm CO2 (550 ppm CO2eq), assuming a low to average climate sensitivity
• Assumptions on trading should reflect the most cost-effective solutions for reaching the EU commitments inside and outside Europe in line with the current Kyoto mechanisms
• Land-use change and forestry emissions and removals should be treated according to the Kyoto definitions
• Long term projections should not be limited to a single scenario