Microsoft PowerPoint - _Print_Plaintiphobia in State CourtsPlaintiphobia in State Courts? An Empirical Study of State Court
Trials on Appeal Theodore Eisenberg & Michael
Heise
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• (stake) (55.4%)
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• 1,204 (2005) 47 965
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• Galanter (1988-1997 2001-2005)
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• 43.1%
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• (72.7% 26.8%)
• Table 1 (41.5% v. 21.5%) (Table 2)
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• Model 1Model 2
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Results
• Since the selection parameter, , did not achieve statistical significance, we also report a logit model limited to appellate outcomes in those cases appealed to conclusion. In the logit model, after accounting for case type and other variables, the average predicted probability of reversing a plaintiff trial win was .42, and the average predicted probability of reversing a defendant trial win was .23.
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• selection effect Table 1 selection effect Table 2
• Table 4Model 1(Heckman) Rho (a measure of the correlation in the error term in the separate selection and outcome equations)
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1Multiequation selection models are highly sensitive to specification error. Small changes in the selection model can substantially change outcome estimates.
2We likely do not have the optimal set of variables to control for both selection and the second-stage outcome.
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