Microsoft PowerPoint - _Print_Plaintiphobia in State
CourtsPlaintiphobia in State Courts? An Empirical Study of State
Court
Trials on Appeal Theodore Eisenberg & Michael
Heise
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• (stake) (55.4%)
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• 1,204 (2005) 47 965
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• Galanter (1988-1997 2001-2005)
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• 43.1%
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• (72.7% 26.8%)
• Table 1 (41.5% v. 21.5%) (Table 2)
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• Model 1Model 2
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Results
• Since the selection parameter, , did not achieve statistical
significance, we also report a logit model limited to appellate
outcomes in those cases appealed to conclusion. In the logit model,
after accounting for case type and other variables, the average
predicted probability of reversing a plaintiff trial win was .42,
and the average predicted probability of reversing a defendant
trial win was .23.
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• selection effect Table 1 selection effect Table 2
• Table 4Model 1(Heckman) Rho (a measure of the correlation in the
error term in the separate selection and outcome equations)
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1Multiequation selection models are highly sensitive to
specification error. Small changes in the selection model can
substantially change outcome estimates.
2We likely do not have the optimal set of variables to control for
both selection and the second-stage outcome.
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