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Weapons Capability Portfolio

Chuck KellyOUSD(AT&L)

Land Warfare & Munitions10 June 2008

(703) 695-1772DSN 225-1772charles.kelly@osd.mil

OUSD(AT&L)/A&T/PSA/LW&MRoom 5C7563090 Defense PentagonWashington, DC 20301-3090

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What’s In the Portfolio?

• Highly Precise Munitions

• Not so Precise Munitions

• “Volume Fire” Munitions

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FiresSuppressive

Directed Energy

Platforms

GIGWeapons Data link

Cluster

C4ISR

Small Arms

MRP

Fuzes

Sensors

EW

Assessing the Portfolio

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Agenda

• AT&L Perspective

• Budget Trends

• Assessing the Portfolio– Proficiency– Sufficiency

• Road Ahead

DoD RDT&E and Procurement Trend

DUSD(Acquisition & Technology)

Hon. James Finley

Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

Hon. John Young

Secretary of DefenseHon. Robert Gates

Deputy Secretary of DefenseHon. Gordon England

Secretary of the ArmyHon. Pete Geren

Secretary of the NavyHon. Donald Winter

Principal Deputy : Vacant

Secretary of the Air Force

Land Warfare & Munitions

Mr. Tony Melita

Director, Portfolio Systems

AcquisitionMr. Dave Ahern

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USD (AT&L) Strategic Thrusts

Strategic Thrust 1 – Define Effective and Affordable Tools for the Joint Warfighter

Strategic Thrust 2 – Responsibly Spend Every Single Tax Dollar

Strategic Thrust 3 – Take care of our people

Strategic Thrust 4 – DoD Transformation Priorities

Warfighter is #1 Focus – Need to Understand Operational Concepts & Needs to:•Guide Technology•Design Effective Systems•Provide Logistics and Facility Support

http://www.acq.osd.mil/goals/

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• Outcomes– New programs are born joint, interoperable, and

affordable

– Opportunities are constantly identified to deliver greater enterprise efficiencies

– Roadmaps guide development and integration of programs in portfolio areas

– Cost to the Defense Enterprise is continuously reduced

Strategic Thrust 1

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• Initiate a Joint Weapons JAT and develop Joint Weapons Roadmap Version 1.0 focused on weapons capability investment strategies beyond POM10.

• Initiate an Electronic Warfare JAT … focus coordinating EW investment options for POM 10.

• Initiate Directed Energy JAT and deliver Roadmap Version 1.0.

Strategic Thrust 1 Roadmap Metrics

Budget Trends

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12Total Budget $183.8BTotal Budget $183.8B

FY 2009 Strategic Modernization Breakdown

Aircraft$45.6 25%

Mission Support$52.1 28%

Space Based & Related Systems

$10.7 6%

Science & Technology$11.5 6%

Munitions & Missiles$11.0 6%

C4I Systems$16.4 9%

Missile Defense$10.5 6%

Ground Vehicles$9.2 5%

Shipbuilding & Maritime Systems $16.9 9%

Total DoD Munitions Procurement

Desert StormBuy-Back

OIF and OEFBuy-Back

DoD Munitions RDT&E and Procurement

Total DoD Munitions RDT&E

Smart Munitions vs. Other MunitionsProcurement Trend

General Purpose Bombs

GPS Guided Munitions

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Move to Precision

• AIR– Dumb bombs to smart bombs– Unguided rockets to guided rockets– Single mode seekers to multi-mode seekers

• Ground– Ballistic artillery to guided artillery– Unguided rockets to guided rockets– Precision mortars

• Maritime– Unguided surface fires to guided fires

What / How Much Do We Buy?What / How Much Do We Buy?

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Two Munitions Processes

Joint Operations Concepts

ArchitecturesIllustrative Planning Scenarios

JROC(JCIDS)

PPBS Acquisition

Decision and Action

Validation

AssessmentandAnalysis

Overlay what we have with

what we need• Gap Analysis

• Risk Assessment• Roadmaps

Guidance

JointVisionNSS NMS

Functional ConceptsStudies and Wargames

support task analyses and capability assessments

TaskAnalyses

CapabilityAssessments

CONOPSand

OPLANS

Joint OperatingConcepts

“WHAT DO WE BUY?”

JCIDS

3170.1C

Capability Based

“HOW MUCH OF EACHDO WE BUY?”

PPBES

3000.4

Threat Based

JCIDS

Purpose

Driver

Implementing Doc

Basis

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SECR ET

SECR ET

J O TNI

S T A F FC H I E F S O F

P o lic y/A T + Lg u id a n c e

D IA /C o C o m s/J -8(T arg e t l ists )

S e rv ic e s(M u n itio n rqm ts)

S erv ic es(R is k a s se s sm e n t)

C Y 0 3 C Y 0 4

O S D (P )D P G1 Apr

O S D (P )C P G

1 M ay

A pr M ay Ju lJu n A ug S ep N ovO ct D ec Jan M arF eb Apr M ay Ju lJu n Au g

D IATh reat

R eports1 Ju ly

C oC o mPh ased Th reat

D is t15 S ept(n ear yr)

J-8Ph ased T h reat

D is t1 5 O ct(ou t yr)

S erv icesM un s Rqm ts

15 M ar

S erv icesRis k

A sse ssm en t15 M ay

S ervicesRisk

A s sess m e ntP O M + 10 d ays

A T & LG u idan ce

15 M ay

N ear Year

O u t Y ear

DoD MRP

ProficiencyProficiency SufficiencySufficiency

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Proficiency Factors

• Targets Effects Desired

• Threat Environment

• Domain Requirements

• Target Environment

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Identify Targets

NNOR

NCAA

COMBATANT COMMAND

SMALLER YET COMPREHENSIVE LIST TO ASSESS GAPS

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Traditional Target Vulnerabilities

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Desired Effects:

•Blast

•Frag

•Crater

•Structure

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Non-Traditional Target Effects

• Non-Kinetic – I/O & EW Layered Capabilities&

• Non-Lethal Confidence Factor?

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Threat Environment

Direct Attack

In CloseOutside Point

Defense Outside AreaDefense Outside Theater

DefenseLOS BLOS

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Domain Requirements

• Air– Bomber– TacAir– Helo

• Ground– Direct Fire– Indirect Fire

• Maritime– Surface– Subsurface

• Cyber??

Overlap vs. RedundancyOverlap vs. Redundancy

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Target Environment

• Enemies

• Friendlies

• Non Combatants

• Infrastructure– Power– Water– Transportation– Hospitals

• Effects – Desired / Undesired

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Target Environment

SDB-FLM

MK-82-FLM

Low Collateral &

MK-82

Practice Bombs

DialA

Yield

DialA

Yield=

How Do We Capture Needs / Desires?How Do We Capture Needs / Desires?

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SSPK EnvironmentAbility

Range

Employment

Metrics

Operational Flex

Human Damage Radius

ResponsiveGuidance

RobustnessSuppressive

Effects

Time OnStation

Lingering Effects

IMWeapon

EngageTarget XCapabilities

Attributes

Weapon Attributes

SurvivableEffective Collateral Damage Persistence Agile

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EnvironmentAbility

RangeMetrics

EngageTarget X

Measures of Effectiveness

Capabilities

AttributesSurvivableEffective Collateral Damage Persistence Agile

Day

Day/Night

Through Wx

Adverse Wx

Direct Attack

SO In-Close

SOPD

SOAD

SOTD

MOEs

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SD

B II

GB

U-3

9A

GM

-158

GB

U-3

1v1/

v2A

GM

-154

C

GB

U-3

7

CB

U-1

05 E

R

AG

M-8

6DA

GM

-86C

GB

U-3

9A

GM

-158

GB

U-3

1v1/

v2G

BU

-32

AG

M-1

54C

AG

M-8

4EA

GM

-84H

/KE

GB

U-1

5/M

k84

AG

M-1

30C

EG

BU

-24

EG

BU

-28

EG

BU

-27

BLU

-117

/Mk8

4

RG

M-1

09E

RG

M-1

09C

RG

M-1

09C

GB

U-1

2

RG

M-1

09H

Jave

lin

CB

U-1

05

CB

U-1

05 E

RGB

U-1

6G

BU

-10

AG

M-6

5E

GB

U-3

8

EG

BU

-28

TOW

2, G

ND

M83

0

CB

U-1

05

SD

B II

GB

U-3

8

M82

9A2

GB

U-1

0

Mk

82

AG

M-1

14L

AG

M-1

14M

AG

M-1

14K

AG

M-1

14B

TOW

2, R

W

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Munitions

Valu

e

FA1 Forces in Contact FA2 Land Forces Freedom of Maneuver FA3 Air Forces Freedom of Maneuver FA4 Independent of Maneuver

FW TacticalFW Bomber GroundRotary Maritime

Domains

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RGM-109HRGM-109ERGM-109CRGM-109C

M829A2JavelinM830

TOW 2, GND

AGM-114LAGM-114MAGM-114K

AGM-114B

TOW 2, RW

AGM-158

GBU-39

GBU-31

GBU-32AGM-154C

GBU-38

AGM-84H/K

E/GBU-15AGM-130C

E/GBU-24

E/GBU-28

AGM-65E

E/GBU-27

GBU-16

GBU-10

GBU-12

CBU-105 ER

CBU-105Mk84

Mk 82

GBU-39

AGM-158

GBU-31

AGM-154C

GBU-38

EGBU-28

CBU-105 ER

CBU-105

AGM-86D

AGM-86C

Munition Cost (Thousands of $)

100

100

100

0

0

0

DA

SO

AD

SO

PD

FW Bomber FW Tactical GroundRotary

1000

1000

SOTD

SA

IC

400

Maritime

40040040040000 0 0 0

LOS

BLO

SN

LOS

Capability - Range

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AGM-86C

AGM-86D

CBU-105CBU-105 EREGBU-28

GBU-38

AGM-154C

GBU-31

AGM-158

GBU-39

Mk 82

Mk84 CBU-105CBU-105 ERGBU-12

GBU-10GBU-16

E/GBU-27AGM-65E

E/GBU-28

E/GBU-24 AGM-130CE/GBU-15

AGM-84H/K

GBU-38

AGM-154C

GBU-32

GBU-31GBU-39

AGM-158

TOW 2, RWAGM-114B

AGM-114KAGM-114M

AGM-114L

TOW 2, GNDM830

JavelinM829A2

RGM-109CRGM-109CRGM-109ERGM-109H

Munition Cost(Thousands of $)

FW Bomber FW Tactical GroundRotary

Day

Day

/Nig

htTh

roug

hW

eath

erA

dver

seW

eath

er

100

100

100

100

0

0

0

0

0 0 00400 400 400 400

Maritime

0400

Capability - Environment

Sufficiency

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• Combat Requirement• Strategic Readiness Requirement• Current Operations/Forward

Presence Requirement• Test & Training Requirement

• Combat Requirement• Strategic Readiness Requirement• Current Operations/Forward

Presence Requirement• Test & Training Requirement

Maneuver ForcesAirMaritimeIADSInfrastructureStrategic

Maneuver ForcesAirMaritimeIADSInfrastructureStrategic

ServicesServices

CoCOMCoCOM

Threat Report

DIADIA

NNORNCAAQWARRM

NNORNCAAQWARRM

Total Munitions Requirement ServiceProcesses

AlliesSOCOM

USMC (Air& Ground)USA

USNUSAF

Phase I: w%Phase II: x%Phase III: y% Phase IV: z%

Phased Threat Distribution

J8 WADJ8 WAD

DoD Munitions Requirements Process

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Operationalizing the Strategy – 2006 QDR

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Force Planning Construct – 2006 QDR

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Danger

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Road Ahead – The Challenges

• Build & Update Roadmaps– Weapons– Directed Energy– Electronic Warfare– Non Lethal Weapons

• Improve Munitions Requirements Process– Incorporate Increased Transparency, Visibility, and Collaboration into

DoD Instruction 3000.4 (MRP)– Ensure Credible Guidance (Policy and Joint Staff Collaboration)

• Maintain Visibility into Munitions Budgets– Address Priority Capabilities

• Identify Gaps • Identify Redundancies

– Address Capability “Balance” (Across Sensors, Platforms, & Munitions)

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Questions?

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Fuze Well from Characterization Tests

Issues:

• Harder Targets

• Weapon Response & Survivability

• Material Properties • Filler & Explosives

Need to address HT related M&S, material properties, & testing

Hard Target Fuzing Challenges

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Need for MRP

– Provides the foundation for credible Service inventory numbers.• Near Year requirement provides sanity check for stockpile positioning• Out Year requirement “sets the bar” for inventory build

– Requirement is the driver for weapon purchases in FYDP– Requirement is the driver for establishing new weapon system acquisition programs

– Ensures the equities of all participants are addressed, i.e. CoCOMs, Joint Staff, Services, and OSD.

– Prevents multiple requirements from being generated, i.e. a separate CoCOM and Service munitions requirement (ensures BOTH requirements will be discredited).

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• Integrated Systems - Required– F2T2EA Chain

• No Joint Fires⇒ Engagement - Kinetic – Lethal – EFFECTS

FA Assessment—Scoping

GIG

C2/BM SENSORS WEAPONS

Need all 3 to engage—Following assessment is scoped to weapon only

THIS SLIDE UNCLASSIFIED

THIS SLIDE UNCLASSIFIED

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Cost-Benefit Analysis

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1 10 100 1000

SDB II JCM

Hellfire AGM-130Hellfire/Longbow

GBU-15GBU-10

GBU-16

GBU-12

Zuni20 mm

Hydra

APKWS

CBU-99

Cost ($K)

CBU-105 WCMD SFW

CBU-87 CEMCBU-103 WCMD CEM

MaverickSLAM ER

ATACMS

Penguin

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Questions/Comments????

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DoD MRP Products

StrategicReadiness

Requirement(SRR)

CombatRequirement

(CR)

Training & Testing Requirement

(TTR)

Total MunitionsRequirement

(TMR)

War ReserveMunitions

Requirement(WRMR)

Current Operation/Forward Presence

Requirement(CO/FPR)

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Terminology - Force Application Attributes

Effective – Able to precisely generate desired effects through a variety of kinetic and non-kinetic means in all environments.

Discriminating – Able to limit collateral damage and second order consequences of engagement.

Agile – Able to rapidly maneuver forces throughout all domains of the battlespace in all environments.

Survivability – Able to effectively maneuver and engage in a dynamic and uncertain threat environment.

Persistent – Able to apply the necessary force continuously and sustain those operations as required to meet mission objectives.

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Terminology - Mission Context

– Fires in Support of Forces In Contact

– Fires to Enable Freedom of Ground Maneuver

– Fires to Enable Freedom of Air Maneuver

– Offensive Fires (Fires Independent of Maneuver/Contact)

Desert StormBuy-Back

OIF and OEFBuy-Back

DoD Munitions RDT&E and Procurement

Smart Munitions vs. Other MunitionsProcurement Trend

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