DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report [email protected].

23
DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report [email protected]

Transcript of DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report [email protected].

Page 1: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.

DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report

[email protected]

Page 2: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.

Scorecard

• Wins?

• Losses?

• Post-Game?

• Whose Scorecard? – We give scores – We get scored

Page 3: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.

Visitor: Date: Start Time: Weather: Home: Scorer: End Time: Time of Game:

# Line Up Pos 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 AB R H RBI

S RunsU HitsM ErrorsS Left on Base

# Opposing Pitchers W/L/S IP H R ER BB SO HB BK TBF

# Catchers PB UmpiresHP: 3B:1B:2B:

Who

What

I don’t know

Why

3

4

7

5

Page 4: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.

The scores we giveThe scores we giveThe scores we give

Page 5: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.

3-Dec-84 TOMAHAWK (TASM & TLAM-N) yes yes yes Mr. Weinberger27-Dec-84 M1A1 Abrams Tank yes yes yes Mr. Weinberger4-Mar-85 Standard Missile Block II yes yes yes BG Hall

24-Aug-85 Sergeant York (DIVAD) yes no no Mr. Krings30-Sep-85 OH-58D Army Helicopter Improvement Program yes yes (-) yes (-) Mr. Krings7-Oct-85 AV-8B Harrier yes yes yes Mr. Krings4-Dec-85 TOMAHAWK (TLAM-C) yes yes yes Mr. Krings12-Mar-86 E-6A TACAMO Operational Assessment yes potential potential Mr. Krings19-Mar-86 AEGIS/CG-47 Class Cruiser yes yes yes Mr. Krings16-Apr-86 AGM-65D Infrared Maverick FOT&E yes yes yes Mr. Krings17-Sep-86 Arleigh Burke (DDG51) OA yes yes yes Mr. Krings30-Oct-86 Tactical Army Combat Service Support Computer System yes yes yes Mr. Krings24-Nov-86 Low Altitude Navigation & Targeting Infrared System no yes yes Mr. Krings12-Jun-87 Landing Craft Air Cushion yes yes yes Mr. Krings25-Jun-87 ELF Commo System yes yes yes Mr. Krings24-Aug-87 S-3A Weapon System Improvement Program (S-3B) no potential no Mr. Krings6-Oct-87 TRIDENT II (D-5) Strategic Weapons System OA yes low risk low risk Mr. Krings1-Dec-87 Bradley (follow-up OA) yes potential potential Mr. Krings1-Apr-88 CV Inner-Zone ASW Helo SH-60F yes potential potential Mr. Krings

11-May-88 MH-53E Helicopter yes marginal no Mr. Krings13-Jun-88 S-3A Weapon System Improvement Program (S-3B) yes yes yes(-) Mr. Krings30-Aug-88 Bigeye Interim Report no potential potential Mr. Krings9-Sep-88 OH-58D AHIP Scout/Recon yes yes not tested Mr. Krings

15-Nov-88 Secure Telephone Unit (STU III) yes marginal marginal Mr. Krings5-Dec-88 Mobile Subscriber Equipment FOT&E yes yes yes Mr. Krings8-Dec-88 MK48 Advanced Capability Torpedo yes no yes Mr. Krings

14-Dec-88 M9 ACE yes yes marginal Mr. Krings19-Dec-88 Low Altitude Navigation & Targeting Infrared System yes yes yes Mr. Krings1-Jan-89 MK-48 ADCAP Torpedo yes yes1-Feb-89 Phoenix (AIM-54C) yes yes

25-Apr-89 AN/SQS-53C Sonar System yes yes(-) yes Mr. Krings24-May-89 M939A2 5-Ton Truck yes yes yes Mr. Krings1-Jul-89 ASPJ OA LRIP Memo for USD(A) yes potential + potential - Mr. Adolph1-Sep-89 JTIDS yes yes no Mr. Adolph26-Mar-90 Pedestal Mounted Stinger yes yes yes(-) Mr. Duncan1-Oct-90 Rolling Airframe Missile yes yes (-) no Mr. Duncan1-Oct-90 LFT&E of Rolling Airframe Missile (RAM) yes yes1-Oct-90 FAADS/LOS-F-H yes yes (-) no1-Oct-90 LFT&E of FAADS/LOS-F-H

31-Oct-90 ATACMS yes yes(-) yes Mr. Duncan1-Dec-90 LFT&E of ATACMS BLK I yes(-)

13-Dec-90 Single Channel Ground & Airborne Radio Channel yes yes yes Mr. Duncan24-Jan-91 Advanced Cruise Missile yes yes yes(-) Mr. Duncan29-Jan-91 TOMAHAWK TLAM/D yes yes yes Mr. Duncan5-Feb-91 HH-65 Engine Study yes potential potential Mr. Duncan

26-Apr-91 AN/ALQ-184 & AN/ALM-233 yes yes yes Mr. Duncan1-Jan-92 LFT&E of SM-2 BLK IIIA yes yes

21-Jan-92 NAVSTAR GPS User Equipment yes yes yes Mr. Duncan6-Mar-92 B-1B Electronic Countermeasures Review yes no no Mr. Duncan1-Apr-92 LFT&E of Torpedo MK-50 yes yes1-Apr-92 LFT&E of HARM Improved Warhead yes yes7-Apr-92 AIM-120A Advanced Medium Air-to-Air Missile yes yes(-) yes(-) Mr. Duncan1-May-92 LFT&E of AIM-120A Advanced Medium Air-to-Air Missile yes yes(-)1- Jun-92 LFT&E of TOMAHAWK TLAM/C yes(-) yes(-)1- Jun-92 TOMAHAWK TLAM/C yes yes (-) yes (-)2-Oct-92 Composite Health Care System yes potential potential Mr. Duncan4-Dec-92 Airborne Self Protection Jammer OT-IID Memo for SecDef yes no no Mr. Duncan

15-Dec-92 ALR-56M Radar Warning Receiver yes yes yes Mr. Duncan16-Dec-92 C-17 EOA yes potential potential Mr. Frame2-Mar-93 Verlical Launch Antisubmarine Rocket FOT&E yes no yes Mr. Frame

29-Mar-93 Milstar Navy EHF Satellite Program AN/USC-38(V) yes yes yes Mr. Frame1-Apr-93 LFT&E of M830A1 120mm HEAT-MP-T Cartridge yes yes1-Apr-93 LFT&E of M109A6 Paladin Howitzer yes yes9-Apr-93 M109A6 Paladin Howitzer yes yes yes Mr. Frame

30-Apr-93 Palletized Loading System yes marginal no Mr. Frame1-May-93 LFT&E of Hellfire II yes yes(-)1-May-93 LFT&E of M113A3 Spall Liner yes yes1-Jul-93 DRAGON II LFT&E yes yes

19-Jul-93 Single Channel Ground & Airborne Radio Channel yes yes yes Mr. Frame1-Feb-94 LFT&E of M919 25mm APFSDS-T yes yes1-Feb-94 LFT&E of M829A2 APFSDS-T yes yes3-Feb-94 Rolling Airframe Missile yes yes (-) no Mr. Frame1-May-94 LFT&E of M1A2 Abrams Tank yes yes(-)

13-May-94 E-2C UDP yes yes yes Mr. Frame9-Aug-94 M1A2 Abrams Tank yes yes no Mr. Frame1-Nov-94 LFT&E of Sensor Fuzed Weapon (SFW) yes yes12-Jan-95 T-45 Jet Flight Tng System yes yes yes Mr. Coyle24-Feb-95 JTIDS Class 2/2H yes yes yes Mr. Coyle23-Mar-95 B-1B Operational Readiness Test yes yes yes Mr. Coyle8-Aug-95 Family of Medium Tacticval Vehicles yes yes yes Mr. Coyle27-Sep-95 LFT&E of M903 Saboted Light Armor Penetrator yes(-) yes Mr. Coyle12-Oct-95 AH-64D Longbow Apache/Longbow Hellfire yes yes yes Apache (-) Apache Hellfire Mr. Coyle25-Oct-95 FAADC3I & Ground Based Sensor yes marginal yes Mr. Coyle1-Nov-95 C-17 Globemaster III Airlift Aircraft yes yes yes yes(-) yes Mr. Coyle31-Jan-96 AFATDS yes yes yes Mr. Coyle11-Mar-96 MK 48 MODS ADCAP yes yes yes Mr. Coyle10-May-96 Sensor Fuzed Weapon yes yes yes Mr. Coyle30-May-96 LFT&E of M430A1 40-mm Cartridge yes(-) yes Mr. Coyle1-Sep-96 ASPJ Limited Scope for Bosnia yes (-) yes (-) marginal Mr. Coyle

19-Sep-96 JSTARS yes yes (-) no Mr. Coyle20-Sep-96 Standard Missile-2 Block IIIB yes yes yes Mr. Coyle1-Apr-97 ATACMS IA Oper Assessment yes no no Mr. Coyle

13-May-97 Javelin yes yes yes yes yes Mr. Coyle30-May-97 JTIDS - 2M yes yes no Mr. Coyle8-Aug-97 Enhanced Position Location Reporting System yes yes (-) yes (-) Mr. Coyle25-Sep-97 AWACS E-3 Radar System Improvement Program yes yes yes (-) Mr. Coyle30-Jan-98 Ship Self Defense System yes yes (-) yes Mr. Coyle1-Apr-98 ATACMS IA yes yes (-) yes yes yes(-) Mr. Coyle1-Apr-98 ALR-67 (V)3 LRIP Certification yes potential potential Mr. Coyle

23-Apr-98 LFT&E of Armor Piercing Cartridges (M995 and M993) yes yes Mr. Coyle7-Oct-98 JSTARS CGS Assessment yes no no Mr. Coyle

27-Oct-98 Joint Standoff Weapon - Baseline (JSOW) yes yes yes yes yes Mr. Coyle20-Nov-98 Combat Service Support Control System (CSSCS) yes (-) no yes (-) Mr. Coyle8-Dec-98 Close Combat Tactical Trainer yes yes no Mr. Coyle13-Jan-99 B-1B Block D Conventional Munition Upgrade yes yes yes Mr. Coyle22-Jan-99 SMART-T yes open issue no Mr. Coyle1-Feb-99 LFT&E of B-1B Conventional Mission Upgrade Program yes(-) yes(-) Mr. Coyle5-Mar-99 Cheyenne Mountain Upgrade yes yes yes Mr. Coyle30-Jun-99 JSTARS CGS Assessment yes no no Mr. Coyle16-Jul-99 LFT&E of XM-93 Wide Area Munition yes yes(-) Mr. Coyle9-Aug-99 ALR-67(V3) Advanced Special Receiver yes yes yes Mr. Coyle18-Oct-99 F-15 Fighter Data Link yes yes yes Mr. Coyle12-Nov-99 Voice Communication Switching System yes yes yes Mr. Coyle16-Dec-99 Minuteman III Guidance Replacement System yes yes (-) yes Mr. Coyle7-Jan-00 LFT&E of SH-60B/HH-60H yes yes Mr. Coyle

18-Jan-00 Rolling Airframe Missile yes yes yes yes yes Mr. Coyle3-Apr-00 F/A-18 E/F Super Hornet yes yes yes yes yes Mr. Coyle

23-May-00 SLAM-ER yes yes yes yes yes Mr. Coyle16-Aug-00 JSTARS Common Ground Station yes yes (-) no Mr. Coyle1-Oct-00 LFT&E of XM1001 - 40mm Canister Cartridge yes yes(-) Mr. Coyle

17-Nov-00 V-22 OSPREY yes yes no yes yes Mr. Coyle30-Nov-00 F-15E Tactical EW System, AN/ALQ-135 Band 1.5 yes yes no Mr. Coyle1-Dec-00 LFT&E of MH-47E/MH-60K Special Operations Aircraft yes yes Mr. Coyle

22-Dec-00 USS OSPREY Class Coastal Minehunter (MHC 51) yes yes yes yes yes Mr. Coyle18-Jan-01 LFT&E of B-2 Bomber Conventional Warfare Mission no yes (-) Mr. Coyle2-Mar-01 Joint Direct Attack Munition (JDAM) - 2000 lbs yes yes no Mr. Frame6-Apr-01 M2A3 Bradley Fighting Vehicle System yes yes yes yes yes Mr. Frame

26-Sep-01 Minuteman III Ppropulsion Replacement System yes yes yes Mr. Frame14-Sep-01 F-22 Test Adequacy Report to Congress (Section 8124) Mr. Christie3-Oct-01 Predator Medium Altitude Endurance UAV yes no no Mr. Christie

14-Nov-01 Joint Primary Aircraft Training System: T-6A Aircraft yes yes no Mr. Christie1-Feb-02 Cooperative Engagement Capability (CEC) yes yes yes Mr. Christie

25-Mar-02 Sensor Fuzed Weapon (SFW P3I) yes yes Mr. Christie28-Mar-02 Advanced Medium Range Air-to-Air (AMRAAM) yes yes Mr. Christie9-Apr-02 MLRS M270A1 Launcher yes yes yes Mr. Christie2-Aug-02 MH-60S Fleet Combat Support Helicopter yes yes no yes yes Mr. Christie31-Oct-02 PAC-3 Block 2002 System Mr. Christie23-Dec-02 Shadow 200 Tactical UAV marginal yes(-) no Mr. Christie3-Feb-03 M329E3 Armor Piercing Fin-Stabilized Discarding Sabot-Tracer yes yes Mr. Christie9-Apr-03 B-1B Block E Conventional Mission Upgrade Program yes no yes yes yes Mr. Christie15-Jul-03 Seawolf Nuclear Attack Submarine yes yes yes yes yes Mr. Christie24-Sep-03 Multifunctional Information Distribution System (MIDS) yes yes no Mr. Christie2-Dec-03 Integrated Defensive Electronic Countermeasures Suite (IDECMS) yes yes yes Mr. Christie

Classified System

Exit Criteria Met = yes; Stealth = yes; Avionics = no; Weapons Delivery = no

DOT&E scores major acquisition programs. Reports to Congress on IOT&E: 110. Score is whether the test was adequate and whether the test confirmed that the system actually tested is effective and suitable for combat.

Date System Adequate?

• Yes

• No

Effective?

• Yes

• No

Suitable?

• Yes

• No

LFT&E

Page 6: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.

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Cumulative Number

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Reports

Effective

Suitable

Reports Final Reports:90% Effective80% Suitable

But a downward trend.

Page 7: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.

Cumulative Number

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Reports

Effective

Suitable

Reports

Page 8: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.

Cumulative Number

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Reports

Effective

Suitable

Reports

Page 9: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.

Cumulative Number

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Reports

Effective

Suitable

Reports

Page 10: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.

DOT&E scores are “final scores”

• It is not unusual for a system to do poorly in its IOT&E.

• Different Services have, in the past, handled this differently.

• Often the effect is to rerun the OT until the test results are “good enough.”

Page 11: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.

1985-1990 1996-2000

Source: ATEC/AEC

Page 12: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.

Handicappers Guide: Ten ways to tell a program is in trouble

without doing a single test

1. Live fire testing is an issue from outset

2. Unrealistic requirements

3. Tests start getting cut long before testing has begun

4. Program doesn’t want to do M&S early

5. Program wants to replace testing with M&S

Page 13: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.

- - From the achieves

6. Program does tests that, if they fail, will make headlines and does it without adequate prep.

7. Start cutting training manuals, logistic & sustainability

8. Program is cutting LRIP article and increasing overall production

9. No money budgeted for second test if first test fails

10. Program talks to testers only when it is required, and restricts access as a matter of attitude

Page 14: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.

DOT&E also gets scored

• In the press

• In Congress

Page 15: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.

WashingtonPost…

1987

Page 16: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.
Page 17: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.
Page 18: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.
Page 19: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.
Page 20: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.

2001

Page 21: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.

1997

Page 22: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.

Interesting Plays

• Early involvement

• Modeling & simulation

• Acquisition Plays

• Central T&E Investment Program

• Defense Test Resource Management Center

Page 23: DOT&E Scorecard: Wins & Losses, Post-game Report Ernest.Seglie@osd.mil.

• Win & Loose is the wrong paradigm – Who is the opponent?

• Win – Win is the goal– “business has to make a profit and the soldier

has to get what he needs” (~1987)– “products that satisfy user needs with

measurable improvements to mission capability and operational support, in a timely manner, and at a fair and reasonable price” (DoD Directive 50001, May 2003)