Weapons Capability Portfolio€¦ · Chuck Kelly OUSD(AT&L) Land Warfare & Munitions 10 June 2008...
Transcript of Weapons Capability Portfolio€¦ · Chuck Kelly OUSD(AT&L) Land Warfare & Munitions 10 June 2008...
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Weapons Capability Portfolio
Chuck KellyOUSD(AT&L)
Land Warfare & Munitions10 June 2008
(703) 695-1772DSN [email protected]
OUSD(AT&L)/A&T/PSA/LW&MRoom 5C7563090 Defense PentagonWashington, DC 20301-3090
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What’s In the Portfolio?
• Highly Precise Munitions
• Not so Precise Munitions
• “Volume Fire” Munitions
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FiresSuppressive
Directed Energy
Platforms
GIGWeapons Data link
Cluster
C4ISR
Small Arms
MRP
Fuzes
Sensors
EW
Assessing the Portfolio
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Agenda
• AT&L Perspective
• Budget Trends
• Assessing the Portfolio– Proficiency– Sufficiency
• Road Ahead
DoD RDT&E and Procurement Trend
DUSD(Acquisition & Technology)
Hon. James Finley
Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics
Hon. John Young
Secretary of DefenseHon. Robert Gates
Deputy Secretary of DefenseHon. Gordon England
Secretary of the ArmyHon. Pete Geren
Secretary of the NavyHon. Donald Winter
Principal Deputy : Vacant
Secretary of the Air Force
Land Warfare & Munitions
Mr. Tony Melita
Director, Portfolio Systems
AcquisitionMr. Dave Ahern
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USD (AT&L) Strategic Thrusts
Strategic Thrust 1 – Define Effective and Affordable Tools for the Joint Warfighter
Strategic Thrust 2 – Responsibly Spend Every Single Tax Dollar
Strategic Thrust 3 – Take care of our people
Strategic Thrust 4 – DoD Transformation Priorities
Warfighter is #1 Focus – Need to Understand Operational Concepts & Needs to:•Guide Technology•Design Effective Systems•Provide Logistics and Facility Support
http://www.acq.osd.mil/goals/
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• Outcomes– New programs are born joint, interoperable, and
affordable
– Opportunities are constantly identified to deliver greater enterprise efficiencies
– Roadmaps guide development and integration of programs in portfolio areas
– Cost to the Defense Enterprise is continuously reduced
Strategic Thrust 1
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• Initiate a Joint Weapons JAT and develop Joint Weapons Roadmap Version 1.0 focused on weapons capability investment strategies beyond POM10.
• Initiate an Electronic Warfare JAT … focus coordinating EW investment options for POM 10.
• Initiate Directed Energy JAT and deliver Roadmap Version 1.0.
Strategic Thrust 1 Roadmap Metrics
Budget Trends
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12Total Budget $183.8BTotal Budget $183.8B
FY 2009 Strategic Modernization Breakdown
Aircraft$45.6 25%
Mission Support$52.1 28%
Space Based & Related Systems
$10.7 6%
Science & Technology$11.5 6%
Munitions & Missiles$11.0 6%
C4I Systems$16.4 9%
Missile Defense$10.5 6%
Ground Vehicles$9.2 5%
Shipbuilding & Maritime Systems $16.9 9%
Total DoD Munitions Procurement
Desert StormBuy-Back
OIF and OEFBuy-Back
DoD Munitions RDT&E and Procurement
Total DoD Munitions RDT&E
Smart Munitions vs. Other MunitionsProcurement Trend
General Purpose Bombs
GPS Guided Munitions
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Move to Precision
• AIR– Dumb bombs to smart bombs– Unguided rockets to guided rockets– Single mode seekers to multi-mode seekers
• Ground– Ballistic artillery to guided artillery– Unguided rockets to guided rockets– Precision mortars
• Maritime– Unguided surface fires to guided fires
What / How Much Do We Buy?What / How Much Do We Buy?
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Two Munitions Processes
Joint Operations Concepts
ArchitecturesIllustrative Planning Scenarios
JROC(JCIDS)
PPBS Acquisition
Decision and Action
Validation
AssessmentandAnalysis
Overlay what we have with
what we need• Gap Analysis
• Risk Assessment• Roadmaps
Guidance
JointVisionNSS NMS
Functional ConceptsStudies and Wargames
support task analyses and capability assessments
TaskAnalyses
CapabilityAssessments
CONOPSand
OPLANS
Joint OperatingConcepts
“WHAT DO WE BUY?”
JCIDS
3170.1C
Capability Based
“HOW MUCH OF EACHDO WE BUY?”
PPBES
3000.4
Threat Based
JCIDS
Purpose
Driver
Implementing Doc
Basis
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SECR ET
SECR ET
J O TNI
S T A F FC H I E F S O F
P o lic y/A T + Lg u id a n c e
D IA /C o C o m s/J -8(T arg e t l ists )
S e rv ic e s(M u n itio n rqm ts)
S erv ic es(R is k a s se s sm e n t)
C Y 0 3 C Y 0 4
O S D (P )D P G1 Apr
O S D (P )C P G
1 M ay
A pr M ay Ju lJu n A ug S ep N ovO ct D ec Jan M arF eb Apr M ay Ju lJu n Au g
D IATh reat
R eports1 Ju ly
C oC o mPh ased Th reat
D is t15 S ept(n ear yr)
J-8Ph ased T h reat
D is t1 5 O ct(ou t yr)
S erv icesM un s Rqm ts
15 M ar
S erv icesRis k
A sse ssm en t15 M ay
S ervicesRisk
A s sess m e ntP O M + 10 d ays
A T & LG u idan ce
15 M ay
N ear Year
O u t Y ear
DoD MRP
ProficiencyProficiency SufficiencySufficiency
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Proficiency Factors
• Targets Effects Desired
• Threat Environment
• Domain Requirements
• Target Environment
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Identify Targets
NNOR
NCAA
COMBATANT COMMAND
SMALLER YET COMPREHENSIVE LIST TO ASSESS GAPS
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Traditional Target Vulnerabilities
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Desired Effects:
•Blast
•Frag
•Crater
•Structure
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Non-Traditional Target Effects
• Non-Kinetic – I/O & EW Layered Capabilities&
• Non-Lethal Confidence Factor?
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Threat Environment
Direct Attack
In CloseOutside Point
Defense Outside AreaDefense Outside Theater
DefenseLOS BLOS
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Domain Requirements
• Air– Bomber– TacAir– Helo
• Ground– Direct Fire– Indirect Fire
• Maritime– Surface– Subsurface
• Cyber??
Overlap vs. RedundancyOverlap vs. Redundancy
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Target Environment
• Enemies
• Friendlies
• Non Combatants
• Infrastructure– Power– Water– Transportation– Hospitals
• Effects – Desired / Undesired
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Target Environment
SDB-FLM
MK-82-FLM
Low Collateral &
MK-82
Practice Bombs
DialA
Yield
DialA
Yield=
How Do We Capture Needs / Desires?How Do We Capture Needs / Desires?
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SSPK EnvironmentAbility
Range
Employment
Metrics
Operational Flex
Human Damage Radius
ResponsiveGuidance
RobustnessSuppressive
Effects
Time OnStation
Lingering Effects
IMWeapon
EngageTarget XCapabilities
Attributes
Weapon Attributes
SurvivableEffective Collateral Damage Persistence Agile
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EnvironmentAbility
RangeMetrics
EngageTarget X
Measures of Effectiveness
Capabilities
AttributesSurvivableEffective Collateral Damage Persistence Agile
Day
Day/Night
Through Wx
Adverse Wx
Direct Attack
SO In-Close
SOPD
SOAD
SOTD
MOEs
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SD
B II
GB
U-3
9A
GM
-158
GB
U-3
1v1/
v2A
GM
-154
C
GB
U-3
7
CB
U-1
05 E
R
AG
M-8
6DA
GM
-86C
GB
U-3
9A
GM
-158
GB
U-3
1v1/
v2G
BU
-32
AG
M-1
54C
AG
M-8
4EA
GM
-84H
/KE
GB
U-1
5/M
k84
AG
M-1
30C
EG
BU
-24
EG
BU
-28
EG
BU
-27
BLU
-117
/Mk8
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RG
M-1
09E
RG
M-1
09C
RG
M-1
09C
GB
U-1
2
RG
M-1
09H
Jave
lin
CB
U-1
05
CB
U-1
05 E
RGB
U-1
6G
BU
-10
AG
M-6
5E
GB
U-3
8
EG
BU
-28
TOW
2, G
ND
M83
0
CB
U-1
05
SD
B II
GB
U-3
8
M82
9A2
GB
U-1
0
Mk
82
AG
M-1
14L
AG
M-1
14M
AG
M-1
14K
AG
M-1
14B
TOW
2, R
W
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30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Munitions
Valu
e
FA1 Forces in Contact FA2 Land Forces Freedom of Maneuver FA3 Air Forces Freedom of Maneuver FA4 Independent of Maneuver
FW TacticalFW Bomber GroundRotary Maritime
Domains
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RGM-109HRGM-109ERGM-109CRGM-109C
M829A2JavelinM830
TOW 2, GND
AGM-114LAGM-114MAGM-114K
AGM-114B
TOW 2, RW
AGM-158
GBU-39
GBU-31
GBU-32AGM-154C
GBU-38
AGM-84H/K
E/GBU-15AGM-130C
E/GBU-24
E/GBU-28
AGM-65E
E/GBU-27
GBU-16
GBU-10
GBU-12
CBU-105 ER
CBU-105Mk84
Mk 82
GBU-39
AGM-158
GBU-31
AGM-154C
GBU-38
EGBU-28
CBU-105 ER
CBU-105
AGM-86D
AGM-86C
Munition Cost (Thousands of $)
100
100
100
0
0
0
DA
SO
AD
SO
PD
FW Bomber FW Tactical GroundRotary
1000
1000
SOTD
SA
IC
400
Maritime
40040040040000 0 0 0
LOS
BLO
SN
LOS
Capability - Range
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AGM-86C
AGM-86D
CBU-105CBU-105 EREGBU-28
GBU-38
AGM-154C
GBU-31
AGM-158
GBU-39
Mk 82
Mk84 CBU-105CBU-105 ERGBU-12
GBU-10GBU-16
E/GBU-27AGM-65E
E/GBU-28
E/GBU-24 AGM-130CE/GBU-15
AGM-84H/K
GBU-38
AGM-154C
GBU-32
GBU-31GBU-39
AGM-158
TOW 2, RWAGM-114B
AGM-114KAGM-114M
AGM-114L
TOW 2, GNDM830
JavelinM829A2
RGM-109CRGM-109CRGM-109ERGM-109H
Munition Cost(Thousands of $)
FW Bomber FW Tactical GroundRotary
Day
Day
/Nig
htTh
roug
hW
eath
erA
dver
seW
eath
er
100
100
100
100
0
0
0
0
0 0 00400 400 400 400
Maritime
0400
Capability - Environment
Sufficiency
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• Combat Requirement• Strategic Readiness Requirement• Current Operations/Forward
Presence Requirement• Test & Training Requirement
• Combat Requirement• Strategic Readiness Requirement• Current Operations/Forward
Presence Requirement• Test & Training Requirement
Maneuver ForcesAirMaritimeIADSInfrastructureStrategic
Maneuver ForcesAirMaritimeIADSInfrastructureStrategic
ServicesServices
CoCOMCoCOM
Threat Report
DIADIA
NNORNCAAQWARRM
NNORNCAAQWARRM
Total Munitions Requirement ServiceProcesses
AlliesSOCOM
USMC (Air& Ground)USA
USNUSAF
Phase I: w%Phase II: x%Phase III: y% Phase IV: z%
Phased Threat Distribution
J8 WADJ8 WAD
DoD Munitions Requirements Process
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Operationalizing the Strategy – 2006 QDR
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Force Planning Construct – 2006 QDR
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Danger
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Road Ahead – The Challenges
• Build & Update Roadmaps– Weapons– Directed Energy– Electronic Warfare– Non Lethal Weapons
• Improve Munitions Requirements Process– Incorporate Increased Transparency, Visibility, and Collaboration into
DoD Instruction 3000.4 (MRP)– Ensure Credible Guidance (Policy and Joint Staff Collaboration)
• Maintain Visibility into Munitions Budgets– Address Priority Capabilities
• Identify Gaps • Identify Redundancies
– Address Capability “Balance” (Across Sensors, Platforms, & Munitions)
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Questions?
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Fuze Well from Characterization Tests
Issues:
• Harder Targets
• Weapon Response & Survivability
• Material Properties • Filler & Explosives
Need to address HT related M&S, material properties, & testing
Hard Target Fuzing Challenges
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Need for MRP
– Provides the foundation for credible Service inventory numbers.• Near Year requirement provides sanity check for stockpile positioning• Out Year requirement “sets the bar” for inventory build
– Requirement is the driver for weapon purchases in FYDP– Requirement is the driver for establishing new weapon system acquisition programs
– Ensures the equities of all participants are addressed, i.e. CoCOMs, Joint Staff, Services, and OSD.
– Prevents multiple requirements from being generated, i.e. a separate CoCOM and Service munitions requirement (ensures BOTH requirements will be discredited).
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• Integrated Systems - Required– F2T2EA Chain
• No Joint Fires⇒ Engagement - Kinetic – Lethal – EFFECTS
FA Assessment—Scoping
GIG
C2/BM SENSORS WEAPONS
Need all 3 to engage—Following assessment is scoped to weapon only
THIS SLIDE UNCLASSIFIED
THIS SLIDE UNCLASSIFIED
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Cost-Benefit Analysis
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1 10 100 1000
SDB II JCM
Hellfire AGM-130Hellfire/Longbow
GBU-15GBU-10
GBU-16
GBU-12
Zuni20 mm
Hydra
APKWS
CBU-99
Cost ($K)
CBU-105 WCMD SFW
CBU-87 CEMCBU-103 WCMD CEM
MaverickSLAM ER
ATACMS
Penguin
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Questions/Comments????
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DoD MRP Products
StrategicReadiness
Requirement(SRR)
CombatRequirement
(CR)
Training & Testing Requirement
(TTR)
Total MunitionsRequirement
(TMR)
War ReserveMunitions
Requirement(WRMR)
Current Operation/Forward Presence
Requirement(CO/FPR)
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Terminology - Force Application Attributes
Effective – Able to precisely generate desired effects through a variety of kinetic and non-kinetic means in all environments.
Discriminating – Able to limit collateral damage and second order consequences of engagement.
Agile – Able to rapidly maneuver forces throughout all domains of the battlespace in all environments.
Survivability – Able to effectively maneuver and engage in a dynamic and uncertain threat environment.
Persistent – Able to apply the necessary force continuously and sustain those operations as required to meet mission objectives.
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Terminology - Mission Context
– Fires in Support of Forces In Contact
– Fires to Enable Freedom of Ground Maneuver
– Fires to Enable Freedom of Air Maneuver
– Offensive Fires (Fires Independent of Maneuver/Contact)
Desert StormBuy-Back
OIF and OEFBuy-Back
DoD Munitions RDT&E and Procurement
Smart Munitions vs. Other MunitionsProcurement Trend
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