Post on 25-Dec-2015
The Public’s Perceptions and The Public’s Perceptions and Experiences with the Economy Experiences with the Economy
in Anne Arundel Countyin Anne Arundel CountyBy Dan Nataf, Ph.D.
Director, Center for the Study of Local Issues
Anne Arundel Community CollegeFeb. 8, 2012
www2.aacc.edu/csli
Overview of Survey Overview of Survey Process Process
•CSLI – Part of Sarbanes Center for Public and Community Service at Anne Arundel Community College
•Operating since 1978
•Mission: Provide students opportunities for engaged learning, community outreach
• Main activity – public interest surveys
oRespondents randomly chosen from universe of listed telephone numbers combined with computer generated numbers
oTypical sample size: 400-900 respondents; students introduced to survey methods, used as interviewers, review findings
o Topics – wide ranging, economy, transportation, land use/growth, taxes/spending, schools…
• Last survey – Oct. 10-13, 2011 – focus of most of this presentation• 487completed surveys• Press releases available online.
•since 1978
www2.aacc.edu/csli
Polling Results for AA CountyPolling Results for AA County
AA County Polling Results: AA County Polling Results: Most Important Problem - Fall '06 to Fall '11 Most Important Problem - Fall '06 to Fall '11
AA County Polling Results: Rate the EconomyAA County Polling Results: Rate the EconomyPercentage saying “excellent” or “good” since March 2009
Economy Excellent or Good: Economy Excellent or Good: AA County vs. USA – County looks around 35% betterAA County vs. USA – County looks around 35% better
General economic conditions – % saying ‘applies’General economic conditions – % saying ‘applies’
Economic costs, inflation: % saying Economic costs, inflation: % saying
‘applies’‘applies’
Economic conditions: Found job, got income Economic conditions: Found job, got income increaseincrease
County residents vs. AACC studentsCounty residents vs. AACC students
Influences on Perceptions of Economic Conditions by Influences on Perceptions of Economic Conditions by
CircumstancesCircumstances
Percentage saying “Excellent/Good” for County, State, USA by Variance from Overall Percentage by: Low income, received an increase in income lately, possibility of losing job, found job lately
Increased income improves outcomes…Increased income improves outcomes…more than finding a jobmore than finding a job
Percentage citing a condition applies vs. average
Lower is “better”
Higher income=fewer economic Higher income=fewer economic problemsproblems
Lower income=0 to $75k; higher income=more than $75k
Percentage citing a condition applies vs. average
Lower is “better”
Consumer confidence: County vs. studentsConsumer confidence: County vs. students
Inflation forecast =>
Better Same Worse
Those saying worse regarding…
Economic growth 12 16 40Unemployment 15 21 47Your personal financial situation 2 14 32
Inflation as key indicator Inflation as key indicator of overall pessimism…of overall pessimism…
Perceptions of MD and AAC dealing with economic Perceptions of MD and AAC dealing with economic downturn: County vs. studentsdownturn: County vs. students
16
Issue Support Oppose UnsureImposing an additional fine of up to $1500 on drivers caught drunk driving
86 13 1
Permitting the use of off-shore wind power near Ocean City 80 10 10Increasing the alcohol tax 68 29 3Permitting the purchase of marijuana for medical purposes 65 29 7Taking away drivers’ licenses from those who refuse to pay taxes
64 32 3
Increasing the use of cameras to ticket those running red lights
59 41 4
Making same sex marriages legal in Maryland 47 46 7Making preparations to implement President Obama’s health care reform law
43 50 8
Limiting the use of binding arbitration when the county negotiates with public safety unions
35 42 23
Allowing the children of illegal immigrants to pay in-state tuition for college
33 63 4
Increasing university tuition to maintain the quality of higher education
32 66 2
Reducing the pension and retiree health benefits of state workers
28 65 7
Promising state workers no furlough days, and providing them with a $750 bonus
25 59 16
Increasing the county income tax to the maximum allowed by law to avoid cuts in essential services
25 68 7
Increasing the gasoline tax to bolster the transportation trust fund
17 80 3
State and County Issues Spring 2011
Proposal Support
Oppose
Unsure/NA
Increase the toll on the Bay Bridge from $2.50 to $4.00
33 64 4
Create a new tax on ownership of vehicles
10 86 4
Increase the state’s property tax, adding $63 million to the fund
11 86 3
Increase the corporate income tax rate by one percent, adding $100 million to the fund
57 39 4
Support for Proposals meant to Replenish Maryland’s Transportation Trust Fund
Fall 2011
Presidential job approvalPresidential job approval
Obama’s Job Approval by Party Obama’s Job Approval by Party
RegistrationRegistration
Trust in Political Parties – Spring 2009 to Fall
2011