The International Centre forEarth Simulation

Developmental WorkshopNovember 2011

 

In the WMO headquarters in Geneva. 

 

Closing Plenary Presentation:

Meta-Simulation of the Whole-Earth System:Meta-Simulation of the Whole-Earth System:A Conceptual IntroductionA Conceptual Introduction

Presented by:

David Wasdell

Director of the Apollo-Gaia Project

GaiaGaia

GEO GEO SPHERESPHERE

GEO GEO SPHERESPHERE

BIO BIO SPHERESPHERE

GEO GEO SPHERESPHERE

BIO BIO SPHERESPHERE

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Population

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

Billions

160,000B.C.

100,000B.C.

10,000B.C.

7,000B.C.

6,000B.C.

5,000B.C.

4,000B.C.

3,000B.C.

2,000B.C.

1,000B.C.

1A.D.

1,000A.D.

2,000A.D.

World Population

8

9

Population Growth Throughout History

7

2,150A.D.

2006 – 6.5 Billion

1945 – 2.3 Billion

2050 – 9.1 Billion

1492 – 500 Million1776 – 1 Billion

First Modern HumansFirst Modern Humans

Source: United Nations

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Population

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Food

Population

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Food

Energy

Population

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Food

Energy

Population

Water

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Food

Energy

Population

Water Health

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Wealth/Poverty

Food

Energy

Population

Water Health

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Wealth/Poverty

Food

Energy

Population

Water

Pollution

Health

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Wealth/Poverty

Food

Energy

Population

Water

Pollution

Health

Climate

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Wealth/Poverty

Food

Energy

Population

Water

Pollution

Health

ClimateDebt

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Wealth/Poverty

Food

Energy

Population

Water

Pollution

Health

Climate

Consumption

Debt

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Wealth/Poverty

Food

Energy

Population

Water

Pollution

Health

Climate

ConsumptionMilitarism

Debt

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Wealth/Poverty

Food

Energy

Population

Water

Pollution

Health

Climate

Consumption

VestedInterests

Militarism

Debt

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Wealth/Poverty

Food

Energy

Population

Water

Pollution

Health

Climate

Consumption

VestedInterests

Militarism

Debt

Media

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Wealth/Poverty

Food

Energy

Population

Water

Pollution

Health

Climate

ResourceOvershoot

Consumption

VestedInterests

Militarism

Debt

Media

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Wealth/Poverty

Food

Energy

Population

Water

Pollution

Health

Climate

ResourceOvershoot

Consumption

VestedInterests

FinanceSystem

Militarism

Debt

Media

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Wealth/Poverty

Food

Energy

Population

Water

Pollution

Health

Climate

ResourceOvershoot

Consumption

Values

VestedInterests

FinanceSystem

Militarism

Debt

Media

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Wealth/Poverty

Food

Energy

Population

Water

Pollution

Health

Climate

ResourceOvershoot

Consumption

Values

VestedInterests

FinanceSystem

Militarism

Debt

Religion

Media

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Wealth/Poverty

Food

Energy

Population

Ideology

Water

Pollution

Health

Climate

ResourceOvershoot

Consumption

Values

VestedInterests

FinanceSystem

Militarism

Debt

Religion

Media

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Wealth/Poverty

Food

Energy

Population

Ideology

PoliticalProcess

Water

Pollution

Health

Climate

ResourceOvershoot

Consumption

Values

VestedInterests

FinanceSystem

Militarism

Debt

Religion

Media

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Wealth/Poverty

Food

Energy

Population

Ideology

PoliticalProcess

Water

Pollution

Health

Climate

ResourceOvershoot

Consumption

Values

VestedInterests

FinanceSystem

Militarism

Debt

Religion

Media

TechnologyTechnology(future)(future)

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Wealth/Poverty

Food

Energy

Population

Ideology

PoliticalProcess

Water

Pollution

Health

Climate

ResourceOvershoot

Consumption

Values

VestedInterests

FinanceSystem

Militarism

Debt

Religion

Media

TechnologyTechnology(future)(future)

DaoismDaoism(past)(past)

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Wealth/Poverty

Food

Energy

Population

Ideology

PoliticalProcess

Water

Pollution

Health

Climate

ResourceOvershoot

Consumption

Values

VestedInterests

FinanceSystem

Militarism

Debt

Religion

Media

UnconsciousUnconsciousDrivesDrives

TechnologyTechnology(future)(future)

DaoismDaoism(past)(past)

ANTHROPO- ANTHROPO- SPHERESPHERE

Wealth/Poverty

Food

Energy

Population

Ideology

PoliticalProcess

Water

Pollution

Health

Climate

ResourceOvershoot

Consumption

Values

VestedInterests

FinanceSystem

Militarism

Debt

Religion

Media

UnconsciousUnconsciousDrivesDrives

EmergentEmergentPsychosisPsychosis

TechnologyTechnology(future)(future)

DaoismDaoism(past)(past)

““Failure is not an option”Failure is not an option”Gene Kranz

Apollo 13: Mission Controller