Post on 19-Dec-2015
OVERVIEW OF TELECOM SCENARIO IN INDIAincluding rapidly changing technology in the telecom
K. Sridhara
Member (Technology)
Department of Telecom
TDSAT SEMINAR 26 November 2006
26 November 2006 Dept. of Telecom 2
Contents
Telecom Sector Current Telecom scenario Key Policy initiatives Technology development Issues & challenges
26 November 2006 Dept. of Telecom 3
Telecom Sector
Most vibrant sector with highest growth rate – more than 60 lakh customers are added every month
Plethora of services Easier access/ availability Drastic reduction in tariff World class service
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Fixed & Mobile subscriber base (1982 onwards) (in millions)
2.15 2.3 2.47 2.67 2.9 3.17 3.49 3.8 4.17 4.59 5.07 5.81 6.8 8.03 9.811.98
14.5417.8
21.6126.65
32.71
38.3341.48 42.58
45.91 47.7 47.83 48.5
0.07 0.34 0.88 1.2 1.9 3.58 6.54
13
33.6
52.1757.38
65.0571.5
2.15 2.3 2.47 2.67 2.9 3.17 3.49 3.8 4.17 4.59 5.07 5.81 6.8 8.03 9.8 12.05 14.8818.68
22.8128.55
36.29
44.87
54.48
76.16
98.08
105.08
112.88
120
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Financial Year
Subs
crib
er B
ase
(in m
illio
n)
Fixed includingWLL(F)
Mobile inlcudingCDMA(CDMA+GSM)
Total(Fixed+Mobile)
Major classes of Services
• Fixed Copper, Optical Fibre, Wireless
• Mobile GSM and CDMA based
• Narrow band Voice, Internet, Fax
• Broad band High speed Internet, Video
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Current Telecom Scenario
Total Number of Operators - Above 800
Access Service (Mobile & Fixed) - 138 National Long Distance - 13 International Long Distance - 8 ISPs, Infrastructure providers etc. - Above 650
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Current Telecom Scenario (contd) Fixed lines 49.2 m Mobile lines 105.36 m WLL Fixed 6.79 m Total wireless lines 112.15 m Teledensity 15.12 Internet connections 8.4 m Broadband connection 1.92 m
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Mobile Growth and effective charge per minute
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
Mar-98 Mar-99 Mar-00 Mar-01 Mar-02 Mar-03 Mar-04 Mar-05 Sep-05
Eff
ectiv
e ch
arg
e (in
Rs.
per
min
.)
0.00
6.00
12.00
18.00
24.00
30.00
36.00
42.00
48.00
54.00
60.00
66.00
Mo
bile
su
bsc
rib
er b
ase
(in M
illio
n)
FixedMobile (Rs./min)Mobile Subscriber base (Millions)
NTP '99
Telecom Tariff Order
3rd & 4th cellular operator
WLL introduce
d
CPP introduced
Lowering of ADC from 30% to 10% of sector revenue
6.503.58
1.881.200.88
26 November 2006 Dept. of Telecom 9
Urban & Rural Teledensities
0
10
20
30
40
50
Mar-98
Sep-98
Mar-99
Sep-99
Mar-00
Sep-00
Mar-01
Sep-01
Mar-02
Sep-02
Mar-03
Sep-03
Mar-04
Sep-04
Mar-05
Sep-05
Mar-06
Sep-06
Urban Rural Total
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Fall in STD Rates
Pre – April 1999 38 April 1999 30 October 2000 24 January 2002 9 March 2003 4.80 April 2004 3.60 September 2004 2.40 March 2006 1
(Rs/min)
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Key Policy Initiatives/milestones
New Economic Policy (1991) Opening up of Telecom service sector (Mobile –
metros)
National Telecom Policy 1994 Telecom, key for development Inadequacy of public resource to meet demand Private sector to supplement Govt. Provide world class telecom service at affordable
cost
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Key Policy initiatives (contd..) Establishment of TRAI (1997) New Telecom Policy (NTP 99)
Transition from fixed license fee to revenue share
Introduction of free competition Technology neutral licenses Tariff rebalancing
Creation of BSNL (2000) Establishment of TDSAT (2000)
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Key Policy initiatives (contd..)
Opening of National & International long distance
Launching of mobile service by BSNL (2002)
Establishment of USO Fund Broadband policy (2004)
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Technology Trend Optical fiber based wireline networks Wireless networks GSM,CDMA based mobile VSAT based satellite WiMax Next Generation Networks Voice , Data,Video convergence Telecom networks increasingly software
intensive
Subscribers Wish List
VIRTUAL PRESENCESpeak, Hear, See, Seek, Store Info Instantaneously & Interactively Perhaps feeling and sharing ambience Seamlessly , Everywhere , Always
atAffordable cost with Agreed Quality of
Service
Convergence • Scenario for Residences
Members of the same household are
On-line Simultaneously• Browsing Web• Watching, Downloading & Recording Video• Digital Audio & Video Broadcast
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Future Growth
Demand for Wireless based services. Content rich services.
IP based technology to provide requisite cost economics to achieve attractive business cases.
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CONTENT RICH TELECOM SERVICES
LOCATION BASED SERVICES, USING DIGITAL MAPS.
VIRTUAL PRIVATE NETWORKS VIDEO CONFERENCING. e-EDUCATION e-MEDICINE INTERACTION WITH GOVERNMENT ENTERTAINMENT
Issues to be addressed in the Indian Scenario
Unique Rural Scenario : low teledensity Need for Spectrum re-farming & re-
allocation Lack of Content in Local Languages Confidence on e-Commerce Network Security Bridging Digital Divide
26 November 2006 Dept. of Telecom 20
The real Challenge !
How effectively can the: Government with its policies TRAI with regulation & TDSAT with dispute resolution
can keep pace with the fastest growing and complex Telecom sector
26 November 2006 Dept. of Telecom 21
THANK YOU