Post on 24-Dec-2015
Projected Rate Of Population Growth By Age Last Birthday
Graph showing projected rate of growth of Projected populations at mid-years by age last birthday (under 60 years and over 60 years) over the next 8 years.
Source: Government's actuarial department
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
Year
Projected Population Increase from 2004 %
Under 60 (% increase from 2004)Over 60 (% increase from 2004)
Under 60 (% increase from 2004) 0.0% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.9% 1.0% 1.3% 1.5%
Over 60 (% increase from 2004) 0.0% 1.4% 2.8% 5.6% 7.9% 9.8% 11.5% 13.1% 14.6%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
The vast majority of increase in population over the next 6 years is predicted to be in the 60+ age bracket.
The vast majority of increase in population over the next 6 years is predicted to be in the 60+ age bracket.
(Source: Government’s actuarial department).
Causes Of Death, over 60s Respiratory Diseases
GI DiseaseMental/
Be-havioural
CNS DiseaseAbnormal Findngs
All Others
Circulatory Diseases
Neoplasms80% of death of the over 60s attributed to 3 underlying causes
1 – Data refer to exams in hospital only.
2 – Data refer to exams outside hospital only.
1 – Data refer to exams in hospital only.
2 – Data refer to exams outside hospital only.
Map 1: Rate of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) activity per weighted population by PCT
2012/3
Domain 1: Preventing people from dying prematurely
© Crown copyright and database rights 2013 Ordnance Survey 100039906
Map 2: Rate of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) activity per weighted population by PCT
2012/3
Domain 1: Preventing people from dying prematurely
© Crown copyright and database rights 2013 Ordnance Survey 100039906
Map 3: Rate of non-obstetric ultrasound activity per weighted population by PCT
2012/3
Domain 1: Preventing people from dying prematurely
© Crown copyright and database rights 2013 Ordnance Survey 100039906
Map 6: Median time (minutes) from arrival at hospital to brain imaging for stroke patients by hospital
October–December 2012
Domain 1: Preventing people from dying prematurely
Domain 2: Enhancing quality of life for people with long-term conditions
Domain 3: Helping people to recover from episodes of ill health or following injury
© Crown copyright and database rights 2013 Ordnance Survey 100039906
Map 7: Proportion (%) of stroke patients undergoing brain imaging within 1 hour of arrival at hospital by hospital
October–December 2012
Domain 1: Preventing people from dying prematurely
Domain 2: Enhancing quality of life for people with long-term conditions
Domain 3: Helping people to recover from episodes of ill health or following injury
© Crown copyright and database rights 2013 Ordnance Survey 100039906
Rising to the Challenge?
Demographics + Patient/Public Expectations + Quality
Money
Solution = transformational change to the current way of delivering health care
Traditional vs ‘New’ change methodology
Transactional change:
Doing things better
Transformational change:
Doing better things
Tools to effect change
• Accurate diagnostic data: activity, capacity, reporting times
• Published evidence
• Guidelines: NICE, collegiate etc
• Official reports: NAO, NCEPOD, CQC, Francis etc
• Policy drivers, eg: Commissioning changes, Stroke Strategy, Cardiac networks, Cancer reform,
• Predictable demographic changes
• Communication: clinical, managerial & with commissioners