Livestock Geo-Wiki: Maps for a safer and more equitable livestock sector

Post on 23-Jun-2015

157 views 0 download

description

Poster prepared by Timothy Robinson, Catherine Pfeifer, William Wint, Simon Hay, Thomas van Boeckel, Giulia Conchedda, Giuseppina Cinardi, Jeroen Dijkman, Pierre Gerber, Theun Vellinger, Steffen Fritz, MarIna Duerauer, Gaëlle Nicolas and Marius Gilbert for the ILRI-CTA African Dairy Value Chain Seminar, Nairobi, Kenya, 21-24 September 2014 Global demand for meat, milk and eggs is driving livestock sector growth and transformation. Whilst this provides many economic opportunities, and promises to provide affordable animal source foods to many of the world’s undernourished poor, it comes with environmental, social and public health risks if not managed carefully. If policymakers are to guide sector growth along sustainable routes, particularly in the developing world, they will require sound analyses, based on reliable data.

Transcript of Livestock Geo-Wiki: Maps for a safer and more equitable livestock sector

Livestock  Geo-­‐Wiki:  Maps  for  a  safer  and  more  equitable  livestock  sector  Timothy  Robinson,  Catherine  Pfeifer,  William  Wint,  Simon  Hay,  Thomas  van  Boeckel,  Giulia  Conchedda,  Giuseppina  Cinardi,  Jeroen  Dijkman,  Pierre  Gerber,  Theun  Vellinger,  Steffen  Fritz,  MarIna  Duerauer,  Gaëlle  Nicolas  and  Marius  Gilbert  

Global  demand  for  meat,  milk  and  eggs  is  driving  livestock  sector  growth  and  transforma7on.  Whilst  this  provides  many  economic  opportuni7es,  and  promises  to  provide  affordable  animal  source  foods  to  many  of  the  world’s  undernourished  poor,  it  comes  with  environmental,  social  and  public  health  risks  if  not  managed  carefully.  If  policymakers  are  to  guide  sector  growth  along  sustainable  routes,  par7cularly  in  the  developing  world,  they  will  require  sound  analyses,  based  on  reliable  data.    

The  livestock  distribu7on  maps  made  available  through  the  Livestock  Geo-­‐Wiki  are  an  essen7al  founda7on  for  much  important  environmental,  epidemiological  and  other  work  today.  These  maps  have  already  been  central  to  es7ma7ng  greenhouse  gas  emissions  from  the  livestock  sector,  for  example,  and  have  been  used  to  asses  the  risk  of  H7N9  (a  new  bird  flu  strain)  spreading  in  East  Asia  (based  on  a  boosted  regression  tree  model  that  includes  chicken  and  duck  densi7es  [Gilbert  et  al.  2014]).  Gilbert  et  al.  (2014)  Predic7ng  the  risk  of  avian  influenza  A  H7N9  infec7on  in  live-­‐poultry  markets  across  Asia.  Nature  CommunicaIons  DOI:  10.1038/ncomms5116.  

Timothy  Robinson  t.robinson@cgiar.org  ●  P.O.  Box  30709-­‐00100  Nairobi    Kenya    ●    +  254  20  422  3020  ●  www.ilri.org          Acknowledgements:  This  work  is  being  funded  by  the  CGIAR  research  programmes  on  the  Humidtropics,  Climate  Change,  Agriculture  and  Food  Security  (CCAFS)  and  Livestock  and  Fish  

This  document  is  licensed  for  use  under  a  Crea7ve  Commons  Agribu7on  –  Non  commercial-­‐Share  Alike  3.0  Unported  License                                                                                                                            November  2014  

Introduc7on  

Materials  and  methods  

Results  

Research  into  use  

H7N9  infec7on  risk    

Global,  1  km  resolu7on  maps  of  livestock  densi7es  are  available  for  all  of  the  major  livestock  species,  and  are  already  being  downloaded  and  used  The  global  pig  map,  shown  to  the  lel,  was  recently  reported  by  Vox  to  be  among  the  38  maps  that  explain  the  world  economy.  hgp://www.vox.com/2014/8/26/6063749/  38-­‐maps-­‐that-­‐explain-­‐the-­‐global-­‐economy  

In  a  recent  effort  to  bring  together  and  disseminate  spa7al  data  rela7ng  to  the  global  livestock  sector  the  Livestock  Geo-­‐Wiki  (hgp://www.livestock.geo-­‐wiki.org)  is  being  developed  by  a  group  of  interna7onal  organiza7ons  and  universi7es.  The  mainstay  of  the  wiki  is  a  set  of  recently  produced  global  livestock  maps  (Robinson  et  al.  2014).  With  livestock  produc7on  at  the  centre,  other  modules  under  development  relate  to  global  public  goods:  welfare,  environment  and  pubic  health.  Robinson  et  al.  (2014)  Mapping  the  global  distribu7on  of  livestock.    PLoS  ONE  9(5):  e96084.  doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0096084.  

Modules  

photo  credit:  ILRI/Chris  Jost