Insights from the UT Austin Energy Poll · Fall 2014: Energy, Voting Behavior, and the 2014...

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Insights from the UT Austin Energy Poll

February 18, 2016

Sheril KirshenbaumDirector of The Energy Poll

Impartial and authoritative source of public

perspectives on energy to inform and guide

discussion, business planning and policy development

General Topics

• Energy prices and availability

• Energy concerns

• Satisfaction

• Consumer behaviors and voting preferences

“Hot Topics”

Spring 2012: Hydraulic Fracturing

Fall 2012: Energy, Voting Behavior, and the 2012 Election

Spring 2013: Consumer Attitudes on Energy

Fall 2013: The Energy-Water Nexus

Spring 2014: Energy Efficiency

Fall 2014: Energy, Voting Behavior, and the 2014 Election

Spring 2015: KeystoneXL and Gas Prices

Fall 2015: ”Best of” the UT Energy Poll

Spring 2016: US Role in the International Energy Landscape/Energy Security

Background

• First questionnaire developed in 2010 (Inaugural launch Oct. 2011)

• Collaborative effort with representatives from academic institutions, polling

companies, non-governmental organizations, energy producers and energy

consumers

Spring 2016 – Tenth Release

• Online survey conducted January 15-23, 2016

• 2,043 respondents, weighted to reflect U.S. Census demographics

A Look At All Respondents: Spring 2016

Age Party affiliation

Democrat40%

Republican32%

Independent15%

Libertarian4% Other/No

answer9%

18-2413%

25-3418%

35-4418%

45-5419%

55-6415%

65+17%

Total family incomeGender

Male49%

Female51%

<$50K49%

$50+47%

No answer4%

White67%

Hispanic15%

African American

12%

Other6%

Race

A Look At All Respondents: Spring 2016

U.S. Energy Security

Concerned55%

Not concerned

12%

No opinion33%

U.S. Energy Security

Concerned55%

Not concerned

12%

No opinion33%

U.S. Energy Security

55%

51%

65%

45%

67%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Total Republican Democrat Independent Libertarian

U.S. Energy Security

55%

67%

60%

52% 51%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Total Hispanic African American White Other

U.S. Energy Security – Top Concerns

56%

47%43%

36%

30% 30%

23% 22%

7%

2% 2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%T

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U.S. Energy Security – Top Concerns

56%

47%43%

36%

30% 30%

23% 22%

7%

2% 2%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%T

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U.S. Energy Security – Top Concerns – Terrorist targets

56%

65%

50%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Total Republicans Democrats

Best way to approach U.S. energy security and independence…

Government and industry should work together

58%Market forces should dictate

movement14%

The federal government should

take the lead14%

Not sure/No opinion14%

Best way to approach U.S. energy security and independence…

Government and industry should work together

58%Market forces should dictate

movement14%

The federal government should

take the lead14%

Not sure/No opinion14%

“Government and industry should work together”

66%

53%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Democrats Republicans

Familiar with the term “hydraulic fracturing” or “fracking”

32%35%

42%40% 40%

44% 44%

48% 47%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Spring 2012 Fall 2012 Spring 2013 Fall 2013 Spring 2014 Fall 2014 Spring 2015 Fall 2015 Spring 2016

Familiar with the term “hydraulic fracturing” or “fracking”

32%35%

42%40% 40%

44% 44%

48% 47%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Spring 2012 Fall 2012 Spring 2013 Fall 2013 Spring 2014 Fall 2014 Spring 2015 Fall 2015 Spring 2016

Familiar with the term “hydraulic fracturing” or “fracking”

47%

53%

46%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Total Republicans Democrats

Among “Familiar,” Americans who support hydraulic fracturing

47%

65%

30%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Total Republicans Democrats

“The U.S. should permit the export of natural gas to other countries”

28%

34%

37%

34%

37%38%

41%

39%

30%

28% 28%29%

23% 23%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Spring 2013 Fall 2013 Spring 2014 Fall 2014 Spring 2015 Fall 2015 Spring 2016

Agree

Disagree

“Municipalities should have the authority to ban hydraulic fracturing

within their borders, even if state law otherwise permits it.”

58% 58%59%

25%

18%19%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Spring 2015 Fall 2015 Spring 2016

Agree

Disagree

“Municipalities should have the authority to ban hydraulic fracturing

within their borders, even if state law otherwise permits it.”

58% 58%59%

25%

18%19%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Spring 2015 Fall 2015 Spring 2016

Agree

Disagree

“Municipalities should have the authority to ban hydraulic fracturing

within their borders, even if state law otherwise permits it.”

59%

37%

79%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Total Republicans Democrats

Americans that think climate change is occurring

65%

73% 73% 72%

68% 68%70%

76%73%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Spring 2012 Fall 2012 Spring 2013 Fall 2013 Spring 2014 Fall 2014 Spring 2015 Fall 2015 Spring 2016

Americans that think climate change is occurring

65%

73% 73% 72%

68% 68%70%

76%73%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Spring 2012 Fall 2012 Spring 2013 Fall 2013 Spring 2014 Fall 2014 Spring 2015 Fall 2015 Spring 2016

Americans that think climate change is occurring

65%

73% 73% 72%

68% 68%70%

76%73%

84% 85%

89%87%

85%83%

86%

90% 90%

45%

51%

55%52%

47%49%

47%

59%

54%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Spring 2012 Fall 2012 Spring 2013 Fall 2013 Spring 2014 Fall 2014 Spring 2015 Fall 2015 Spring 2016

Total

Democrat

Republican

Americans that think climate change is occurring

73%

87%

77%

68%

86%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Total Hispanic African American White Other

Americans that think climate change is occurring

73%

82%

72%69%

65%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Total <35 36-54 55-64 65+

Factors Americans think contribute to climate change

7%

43%

47%

50%

58%

66%

73%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Other

Agriculture (including livestock)

Natural gas

Natural forces (not manmade)

Coal

Oil

Deforestation

Concerned about “significant increase in temperature of the planet”

Concerned71%

Not concerned8%

No opinion21%

Concerned about “significant increase in temperature of the planet”

Concerned71%

Not concerned8%

No opinion21%

Concerned about “significant increase in temperature of the planet”

71%

60%

81%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

Total Republicans Democrats

U.S. headed in the right direction on dealing with energy issues…

14%

18%

24%

22% 22%

24% 24%

26%

28%

34%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Fall 2011 Spring2012

Fall 2012 Spring2013

Fall 2013 Spring2014

Fall 2014 Spring2015

Fall 2015 Spring2016

Americans describing gas prices as “high”

95%98%

96% 96% 95%93% 92%

66%

58%

35%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Fall 2011 Spring2012

Fall 2012 Spring2013

Fall 2013 Spring2014

Fall 2014 Spring2015

Fall 2015 Spring2016

Satisfied with the job each is doing to address energy issues…

27%

31%30%

22% 22%23%

26%

29%

33%

16%

23%22% 22%

21%

24%

22%

27%

30%

17%18%

20%19%

16%

20%21%

22%

27%

13%

17%

19%

17%18%

19%20%

22%

25%

13%

19% 19%

17%

19%

17%

20%

25%

29%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Spring 2012 Fall 2012 Spring 2013 Fall 2013 Spring 2014 Fall 2014 Spring 2015 Fall 2015 Spring 2016

President Barack Obama

US Environmental Protection Agency

Your local government

Your state government

US Department of Energy

www.utenergypoll.com

sheril.kirshenbaum@mccombs.utexas.edu

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