Post on 08-Apr-2018
8/7/2019 Hot Stuff is Global Climate Change Real
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Renewable EnergyRenewable Energy
WorkshopWorkshop
What’s Driving the ShiftWhat’s Driving the Shift
ToTo
Renewable Energy ?Renewable Energy ?SHIBA SANKAR BEHERA
RAVENSHAW MANAGEMENT CENTRE, CUTTACK
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The Global PictureThe Global Picture
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“Everything is Connected to“Everything is Connected to
Everything Else” Everything Else”
Sustainability
Water
Population
Poverty-Wealth
Energy
Climate Change
Human Health
Biodiversity
Land - Food
Business
GlobalizationTechnology
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It is a Complex PuzzleIt is a Complex Puzzle
Energy
(Heat, Light, Travel)
Water
(Life, Fun, Waste) Land(Food, Factories, Families)
Population Increase
Demands on Ecosystem
Water Pollution/Depletion
Energy Depletion &
Air Pollution
Land Abuse/Fragmentation
Biodiversity Shift
Overuse & AbuseLaw of the Commons
FalseSense of Security !
Climate
Change
“A Stressor”
Bio-Trend S stems In
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Law of the CommonsLaw of the Commons SystemSystem
StressStress
LimitedLimitedResourcesResources
EnergyEnergy WaterWater
FoodFood HabitatHabitat
Who falls off the Train ?
Planetary SystemPlanetary System
Those Who Fail to Seek and
Capture Opportunities throughContinuous Learningo-Trend S stems Inc.
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now e ge an angenow e ge an angeEverything!!Everything!!
The Benefit to Companies and Communities+
Being well prepared and positively positioned
to change threats to opportunities….
Don’t Blink Opportunity Moves Quickly !
Bio-Trend Systems In
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Global ThreatsGlobal Threats
• Climate Change
• Population
• Energy Status
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Climate
Change
8/7/2019 Hot Stuff is Global Climate Change Real
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Global Climate ChangeGlobal Climate Change++++++++++++++++++++
“A Legacy of Progress”“A Legacy of Progress”
“During the past 20,000 years, a 5° to 6°C change intemperature dramatically altered regional
distribution of forests, prairies and wetlands….
The past 150 years has witnessed the 1st , and nowthe 2nd, Industrial Revolution
During the next 75 years, or less, we may be facingtemperature increases in Ontario that equal or
eclipse these levels – our thirst for the fossil fuelsand what they provide is contributing significantly
to this situation.
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CO2 Rise & Temperature -CO2 Rise & Temperature -
20002000CO 2 Temperature oC
60 ppm increaseIn 50 Years 1.8
oF increase
globally
A Disconcerting Trend Rate of CO2 Increase
1950 – 1990 1.0 ppm 1990 – 2000 1.8 ppm 2001 – 2005 3.0 ppm
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Climate in OntarioClimate in Ontario
In Just 35 – 55 Years ?!In Just 35 – 55 Years ?!
7.2 – 9.0°F
5.4 – 7.2°F
3.6 – 5.4°F
Boreal
Great Lakes
St. Lawrence
Oak-Hickory
or Prairie ?
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Implications of SystemImplications of System
StressStress
Climate-induced changes, particularly over ashort time frame, represent a significant stress– one that is likely to be expressed by
significant mortality of species incapable of relatively rapid adjustment
Stress pre-disposes the terrestrial systems toattack by insects, disease and/or fire.
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,, ,,a System is More Vulnerable to Subsequenta System is More Vulnerable to Subsequent
StressStressDrought
Insect Attack
Fungus Attack
Death
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Population
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PopulationPopulation
Additional Tid-BitsAdditional Tid-Bits
Even if birth rate declines thenet affect is upward due to:
• life expectancy today’s baby girl
• “fix your body” technology
China + India = 2,500,000,000Growth = 1.2% / year. So?
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1950 1975 2000 2050
Population - Billions
bal Population doubled in 40 years,will it double again by 2050 ??
?
Impact on Finite Resources
“Energy”o-Trend S stems Inc.
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Energy
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World Oil Production 1930-2050World Oil Production 1930-2050
Cheap Oil is Going…GoingCheap Oil is Going…Going….….
10
20
70
60
50
40
30
1930 1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 2050
Millio ns o f Ba rre ls
/ Da y
Mean-Case Scenario
U.S.
Peaked
Rate of decline
is based on
past post-peak declines
t include: shale oil , tar sands, extra heavy oils, deep ocean drilling, et
Rate of increase istied to population
and industrialization
Kuwait
To Peak
Global
Peak
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20 4060 80 100
Absolute maximu
before oil runs ouBest curren
guess
Range of
likelihoo
ears Remainin
Oil
Remainin
How Long Will it Really Last ??
Population Since Oil 2 to 6 billion
“1
st
Trillion Gone”
Population Next 40 Years 6 to 9 billion
“ Remaining Trillion ???”
Plus
Industrialization
of China, India
& Others
Peak Time
Not include: shale oil , tar sands, extra heavy oils, deep ocean drilling etc.
hS I Th P t O ?
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So, Is The Party Over ?So, Is The Party Over ?
y father rode a camel I drove a car
My son fly’s a jet grandson will ride a camel
Ole Saudi Proverb
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Energy ChoicesEnergy Choices
Renewal
Energy
7%
Petroleum
30%
Nuclear Electric
Power
8%
Coal
23%
Natural Gas
24%
Solar 1%
Wood 38%
Alcohol Fuel 1%
Waste 8%
Wind 1%
Conventional
Hydroelectric
46%
Geothermal 2%
DirtyStuff
DepletionImminent
$ &
Fear
Global
“Cheap”Peak isClose
?
20% of Canada’s Natural Gas is
used to extract tar sands oil !!
5 Million Chinese work in 25,000
coal mines 70% of the Energy
plus 25% of Alberta’s
fresh water supply !
What About
The
Tar Sands ?
Renewable Energy in OntarioRenewable Energy in Ontario
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Renewable Energy in OntarioRenewable Energy in Ontario“Growing the Percent of Renewable“Growing the Percent of Renewable
(& Recyclable) Options” (& Recyclable) Options”
Geothermal – Heat
Tide & Wave
Biomass/Biogas - Heat
Micro-Hydro
Biomass/Biogas - Electric
Solar Heat
Solar Electric
Wind Off-Shore
Wind On-Shore
Biofuels
Geothermal – Electric
Ene rg y Re q u ire d
2005 2020
What’s the Strategy ??
Bio-Trend S stems In
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So, areSo, are ““WE”WE” Ready toReady to
Change ?Change ?
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Top Oil ConsumersTop Oil Consumers
“ Where Does Canada Sit” ?“ Where Does Canada Sit” ?
0
10
20
30
US China Japan Russia India Brazil Canada
2002 2025
But! Per capita Canada is 3rd
Millio ns
o f Ba rre ls
p e r Da y
North American Culture ForNorth American Culture For
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North American Culture ForNorth American Culture For
EnergyEnergy Not Conservation Friendly Motivated to Change…???
More Efficient
Urban
Sprawl
Greener
Less Dispersed
Bio-Trend Systems Inc.
W N t Af id f Ch llWe are Not Afraid of a Challenge
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We are Not Afraid of a ChallengeWe are Not Afraid of a Challenge
andand
We are Creative !!!We are Creative !!!
There’s Plenty of Oil !
What Oil Peak ?The North American
Compromise
Bio-Trend Systems In
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Making it WorkMaking it Work
Expert Team TeamPreparedness
TeamDue Diligence
Business Development
Business ManagementProject Financing
Markets & Marketing
Biomass Procurement
Permitting/Regulations
Mechanical Engineer
Chemical Engineer Biology/Ecology
Etc……
Assets & Infrastructure
Taxes and IncentivesMunicipal Zoning
Relevant Resources
NIMBY Concerns
Sector-Specific Attributes• Bio-Energy
• RemediationLiaison Services
Etc……..
You are the Local Expert
Due Diligence• Business Acumen• Markets
• Supply• Technology/Product• Financing
• Competitors• Credibility & Trust
Etc……
Prepare – Position – PromoteBio-Trend S stems I
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Parting MessagesParting Messages
Energy demand will trump supply – Prices will riseEnergy demand will trump supply – Prices will rise
Environmental consequences of Fossil Fuels areEnvironmental consequences of Fossil Fuels areunacceptableunacceptable
Threats can be Opportunities – SME’s can Thrive andThreats can be Opportunities – SME’s can Thrive andhelp mitigate price increaseshelp mitigate price increases
Learning Teams (Communities of Practice) are EssentialLearning Teams (Communities of Practice) are Essentialfor residential/farm cooperatives, companies andfor residential/farm cooperatives, companies and
communitiescommunities
Conserve 1Conserve 1stst - You Get the Biggest Bank for Your Buck- You Get the Biggest Bank for Your Buck
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Parting MessagesParting Messages
Explore cooperative venturesExplore cooperative ventures Optimize YourOptimize Your
Energy SolutionEnergy Solution
Employ Integrated Renewable Energy SystemsEmploy Integrated Renewable Energy Systems
Focus on Renewables and RecyclablesFocus on Renewables and Recyclables
Accommodate and Enable Small BusinessAccommodate and Enable Small Business
DevelopmentDevelopment
Be progressive, patient, practical and persistentBe progressive, patient, practical and persistent
A N D h C !A N D h C !
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A New Day has Come !A New Day has Come !
Selected Readings
. Boom, Bust & Echo. David K Foot
. Weather Makers. Tim Flannery
. ZOOM. Iain Carson & V.V. Vaitheeswaran
. A Thousand Barrels A Second. PeterTertzakian
5. Why Mexicans Don’t Drink Molson.
Andrea Mandel-Cambell
6. Fueling the Future. Heintzman
7. The Long Emergency. James Kunstler
8. Dry Spring. Chris Wood