Post on 24-Dec-2015
HIT THE BOOKS (ADVANCED)
Ryan Sturgis, Senior ManagerAran Loftus, Manager
The material appearing in this presentation is for informational purposes
only and should not be construed as advice of any kind, including, without
limitation, legal, accounting, or investment advice. This information is not
intended to create, and receipt does not constitute, a legal relationship,
including, but not limited to, an accountant-client relationship. Although
this information may have been prepared by professionals, it should not
be used as a substitute for professional services. If legal, accounting,
investment, or other professional advice is required, the services of a
professional should be sought.
Objectives
• Understand financial statement relationships• Overview of common ratios (although not perfect) utilized
in the industry• Enhance ability to make sense of your CU’s financials• Identify key estimates and how they work• Increase your knowledge of relevant questions to ask
Key Financial Relationships
Balance Sheet/Variable Income Statement
Investments Interest income, impairments, gains/losses on sale
Loans Interest income, late fees, servicing income, gains/losses on sale, provision for loan losses, loan servicing expense
Share Accounts Dividend expense, service charges, interchange
Equity Net income/loss
# Employees Payroll expense, benefits, other
Call Report and FPRs as a Tool
• Quarterly reports used by regulators • Provides summarized financial information
– Balance sheet– Income statement– Various ratios– Mix of assets
• But it’s just the beginning!
Common Ratio Analysis - Liquidity
• Loans-to-Shares Ratio– A higher ratio can signal liquidity problems if the credit union
faces high delinquency levels, heavy savings withdrawals, or high loan demand.
• Loans-to-Assets Ratio– Loans are very important to members as well as a source of yield.
Yet, a high ratio would indicate lower liquidity levels.
• Long-Term Assets to total Assets– Long-term assets include loans with extended maturities, fixed
assets, and long-term investments. A higher ratio is an indicator of less liquidity.
Common Ratio Analysis – Asset Quality
Risk in the earning asset portfolios:
• Delinquent loans to total loans• Non-performing assets to total assets• Net charge-offs to average loans• Modified loans to total loans• Negative equity loans• Fair value of investments to amortized cost
Common Ratio Analysis - Capital
Measures of capital adequacy:
• Gross Capital Ratio– Undivided earnings, regular reserves, OCI, plus the allowance for loan
losses– Essentially total capital strength to assets
• Net Worth Ratio– Regular reserves and undivided earnings
• Texas Ratio – NPA to equity plus ALLL (lower the better)
• Non-performing loans (assets) to capital- Declining ratio is positive
Common Ratio Analysis - Earnings
Quality of earnings :
• Yield on average earnings assets • Cost of funds • Net interest margin• Efficiency ratio • ROA
Understand The Ratios….The Story of Telesis
• High performing for many years• Great loan yields, NII, ROAA……but• Concentrated revenue (CRE and fees/servicing)• Leveraged growth w/high cost debt• Reaching out of core market• Simplistic ALL model• Market downturn• Failure
The Subjective Impact
• Allowance for loan losses (ALL)– Estimate of incurred losses within the portfolio– History is a base and combine with current trends– Should mirror your complexity– Very subjective and should be questioned
• Repossessed/Foreclosed assets– Carry at estimated net realizable value (if you sold it today)– What are current valuation techniques?
• Impaired loans, including TDRs– Impacts ALL significantly– Typically reserved for at collateral value– TDRs typically include projected cash flow
Regulatory Hot Buttons
• Asset Liability Management and Interest Rate Risk– Concentration limits to net worth– Interest rate risk exposure!– Liquidity
• Credit Quality– Environmental risk factors– Migration studies/Negative equity– Concentrations– Shock testing
Questions
Aran Loftus(503)478-2267 aran.loftus@mossadams.com
Ryan Sturgis(503)478-2280 ryan.sturgis@mossadams.com