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Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd

Globaltrendsimpactonfoodretail,packagingandsustainability

PRICE - SPEED - CHOICE - QUALITY - EXPERIENCE -

INSPIRATION - TRUST

One word will dominate ALL

FUTURE

The future is aboutEMOTION

Strategies often overtaken by events

World can change faster than you can

hold a board meeting

Complexity and scale create risks

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Demographics really Matter

85% of world population will be living in emerging

markets in 10 years

Science,technologyengineering,maths

MostSTEMgraduatesinemergingmarkets

1 billion will migrate over next 30 yearsspend on infrastructure in 30 years greater

than in all previous previous history

Europe Dying 4 couples to produce single great-grand child

1 million over 90 year olds in Italy in 12 years time

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Future Retail Food

AcrossEU,10grocerscapture50%ofsales

ExpectrapidconsolidaAonofAsianretail

UKonlinegrocerysalesare10AmesthatinGermany6outof10buyfoodonline

Since 1980, global trade has grown at twice the rate of production but this trend will slow down rapidly

How to keep customers loyal

Specialist Expert

EXCITED or BORED

Smell - Feel - Touch

Over4000roadhauliersinEU

Goldstandard:

40

LocaAonMarkeAng

isnextBIGTHING

$40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism

75% global growth in green energy was in China in 2014

Shale gas 33% US supplies

3.3m US jobs $468bn pa + more oil

produced than Saudi by 2020

200 years global supply Up from 60 years in 5 years

120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day 7,000 times total power useQUEBECfromARIZONAMOSCOWfromSAHARA

Solar cell generation parity

SolarCells$/waT1990-2015

subsidies

PriceParity

120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day 7,000 times total global power use Power Moscow from Libyan Desert

Why China will dominate wind power industry “40% EU power = wind by 2050”

Surplus wind to hydrogen - to methane ?

PRICE - SPEED - CHOICE - QUALITY - EXPERIENCE -

INSPIRATION - TRUST

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Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd

TheFutureofAlmostEverythingandhowitimpactsretailfood