How your future world will change - for Mitsui - keynote on global trends by Futurist Patrick Dixon
Future of Food Industry and Retail - keynote speaker Patrick Dixon
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Transcript of Future of Food Industry and Retail - keynote speaker Patrick Dixon
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Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd
Globaltrendsimpactonfoodretail,packagingandsustainability
PRICE - SPEED - CHOICE - QUALITY - EXPERIENCE -
INSPIRATION - TRUST
One word will dominate ALL
FUTURE
The future is aboutEMOTION
Strategies often overtaken by events
World can change faster than you can
hold a board meeting
Complexity and scale create risks
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Demographics really Matter
85% of world population will be living in emerging
markets in 10 years
Science,technologyengineering,maths
MostSTEMgraduatesinemergingmarkets
1 billion will migrate over next 30 yearsspend on infrastructure in 30 years greater
than in all previous previous history
Europe Dying 4 couples to produce single great-grand child
1 million over 90 year olds in Italy in 12 years time
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Future Retail Food
AcrossEU,10grocerscapture50%ofsales
ExpectrapidconsolidaAonofAsianretail
UKonlinegrocerysalesare10AmesthatinGermany6outof10buyfoodonline
Since 1980, global trade has grown at twice the rate of production but this trend will slow down rapidly
How to keep customers loyal
Specialist Expert
EXCITED or BORED
Smell - Feel - Touch
Over4000roadhauliersinEU
Goldstandard:
40
LocaAonMarkeAng
isnextBIGTHING
$40 Trillion Green Tech Boom driven by oil price, cost cuts, green activism
75% global growth in green energy was in China in 2014
Shale gas 33% US supplies
3.3m US jobs $468bn pa + more oil
produced than Saudi by 2020
200 years global supply Up from 60 years in 5 years
120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day 7,000 times total power useQUEBECfromARIZONAMOSCOWfromSAHARA
Solar cell generation parity
SolarCells$/waT1990-2015
subsidies
PriceParity
120,000 terawatts of sunlight /day 7,000 times total global power use Power Moscow from Libyan Desert
Why China will dominate wind power industry “40% EU power = wind by 2050”
Surplus wind to hydrogen - to methane ?
PRICE - SPEED - CHOICE - QUALITY - EXPERIENCE -
INSPIRATION - TRUST
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Dr Patrick Dixon Chairman Global Change Ltd
TheFutureofAlmostEverythingandhowitimpactsretailfood