Exploratory Analysis of Indian Election Data

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Transcript of Exploratory Analysis of Indian Election Data

EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS

OF INDIAN

ELECTION DATA 

PRATAP VARDHANOPEN DATA CAMP 2014

 INDIAN SCHOOL OF BUSINESS

OVERVIEW

Scraping the ECI’s site on Counting Day Wealth and Crimes

Bellwethers and Bastions Politics of non-reserved territories

A B

C D

And, one more thing..

E

SCRAPING THE ECI’S SITE ON COUNTING DAY

HTTP://ECIRESULTS.NIC.IN/STATEWISES01.HTM?ST=S01Python Snippet

PAGE SOURCE STRUCTURE

Python Function

HTTP://ECIRESULTS.NIC.IN/CONSTITUENCYWISES018.HTM?AC=8Python Snippet

IN 2014 ELECTIONS, WHICH STATE ‘PRODUCED’ MOST NUMBER OF

CROREPATI CANDIDATES?AND

WHICH STATE HAS HIGHEST % OF CROREPATI CANDIDATES?

GEOGRAPHY OF CANDIDATE WEALTHUttar Pradesh, with over 400 crorepati candidates, tops the list.

The North-eastern states have the largest percentage of crorepati candidates.

Number of Candidates Percentage of Crorepati Candidates

AMONG THE MAINSTREAM PARTIES,

WHICH PARTY HAS HIGHEST % OF CRIMINAL

CANDIDATES?

CRIMINAL CASES

MNS seems like a winner here. Closely followed by RJD, MDMK

Size: Number of candidatesColor: % of criminal candidates

RELATIONSHIP: WEALTH AND CRIME

The percentage of criminal cases increases as wealth level increases.

BELLWETHERS AND BASTIONS

BELLWETHERS

BREAKING THE BASTIONS

DO PARTIES GIVE GENERAL SEATS TO SC & ST

CANDIDATES?

POLITICS OF NON-RESERVED TERRITORIES

*Assembly seats from 2004-2013

Regional heavy-weights SAD, DMK, PMK, TRS, and INLD have not given a single non-reserved seat to any SC/ST candidates.

SDF, AGP and JKPDP, which topped in ST candidates list, didn’t give a seat to SC candidates in non-reserved seats.

Though, SC candidates’ participation is higher, ST candidates’ winnability is much higher.

WINNABILITY IN NON-RESERVED SEATS

*Assembly seats from 2004-2013

SP lost all the general seats where it fielded a SC candidate and won only one general seat where it fielded ST candidate.

CPM, CPI, JD(U) lost all the general seats where it fielded a ST candidate.

AND, ONE MORE THING..

NAMESAKES OF 2014 ELECTIONS

CHANDU LALS OF MAHASAMUND

Winner’s Margin: 1,217 votes

Namesakes' polled: 60,000+ votes