Cemais Williams Evening

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nGenera - Wikinomics: How Mass Collaboration Changes Everything por Anthony D.Williams

Transcript of Cemais Williams Evening

Wikinomics: How Mass Collaboration Changes Everything

Anthony D. Williams

Wikinomics – 22 Languages

New Possibilities for Collective Action

• 2 million English language articles

• 15X encyclopedia Britannica

• 200+ languages

• 1 million + editors

• 70,000 regular contributors

• 8th most visited site on the Web

Age of Participation: Wiki the Educational Curriculum

LINUX

Age of Participation: Open Source Operating Systems

Marketocracy.com Investment Management

Age of Participation: A Peer-Produced Mutual Fund

Age of Participation: Peer-to-Peer Lending

Age of Participation: A User-Generated Television Station

Current TV wins an Emmy

Age of Participation: Citizen Journalism

Age of Participation: Chinese Motorcycles

Age of Participation: The Open Source Microprocessor

“Our goal is to create a larger community where open conversations and collaborative development spawn dramatic innovations around chip design.”

Age of Participation: Citizen Science

science blogs

RSS dashboards

podcasts

Wiki-science

geo-spatial search

mobile science

Age of Participation: Citizen Science

Source: Howard Ratner, CTO, Nature Publishing Group

Age of Participation: Citizen Science

Source: Howard Ratner, CTO, Nature Publishing Group

Age of Participation: Citizen Science

The Technology

Revolution

Web 2.0: Broadband, Mobile, Pervasive

LEGACY 2.0

Broadband: True Multimedia & the 3D Internet

Mobile: Anytime, Anywhere Services

• 100 million handsets in

sub-Saharan Africa

• 520 million handsets in

China

• 3.1 billion users

worldwide

• Rising to over 4 billion

by 2010

• 97% of Tanzanians say

they can access a

mobile phone

http://www.flickr.com/photos/jonathanvlarocca/310472325/in/photostream

Pervasive: Digital/Physical Convergence

From Farmer’s Fields . . .

. . . to the Health Care System

• Patients monitor their blood

pressure, glucose, weight, etc.

using Bluetooth enabled medical

devices

• Readings are wirelessly

transmitted via mobile phone to a

central data repository

• Clinical decision support

algorithms are applied to the data

• Alerts sent to the patients and/or

clinicians as appropriate

. . . and Environmental Quality Monitoring

. . . and Environmental Quality Monitoring

The Internet of Things: Any Object Can Be “Intelligent”

vs.

Blogger.com beats CNN.com

The Power of Collaborative Communities

vs.

Myspace.com beat MTV.com

The Power of Collaborative Communities

The Global Computer

The Universal Library of Knowledge

• 32 million books

• 750 million articles and essays

• 25 million songs

• 500 million images

• 500,000 movies

• 3 million videos, TV shows, and

short films

• 100 billion public Web pages

Rise of the

“Net Generation”

The Digital Natives

Growing Up Digital

The N-Gen Mind

• Digital technologies impact brain function

Perception and cognitive abilities

Skill acquisition

Learning

Empathy, altruism and other fundamental human traits

• How does growing up digital influence social, interpersonal and consumer behavior?

• Implications for marketing and management

The N-Gen Wants the Internet

Which would you rather do?

Source: 2007 New Paradigm Global Study (Q825)

* Significantly higher than for Xers/Boomers

N-Gen Life Without Technology

N-Gen Life Without Technology

64%

81%

41%

67%

75%

64%71%

78%

64%

95% 94%

69%

USA

Canad

a

Mex

ico

Brazil

U.K.

Franc

e

Ger

man

y

Spain

Russi

aIn

dia

China

Japan

% Regularly Add or Change Things Online

A Generation of Content Creators

Source: 2007 New Paradigm Global Study (Q640)

Rise of the Prosumer

Resistance is Futile

Closed - Proprietary OS and applications

Prosumers – Developers collaboratively created a free unlock solution

Vertically Integrated – Customers must use AT&T

Prosumers – hacked, modified, and created applications

The Power of Mass Collaboration

Wither the Record Label’s

“The commercial roles of music companies will be more as facilitators for bringing music and the rights that support them in to the market place, as opposed to being originators of the content itself.”

• Roger Faxon, chief executive of EMI Music Publishing

Digg.com: A Community of News Editors

Open Source Marketing

New Models of Democracy

Interactive models of political communication and a genuine role

in democracy and governance

Under 25 Population(thousands)

Global N-Gen Population

Source: United Nations

(N-Gen in India + China) =

9.5 x (N-Gen in U.S. and Canada)

The World: According to Land Area

Source: Worldmapper

The World: Number of Children Under 15 (2004)

Source: Worldmapper

Tapping a Global Talent Pool

Less developed countriesMore developed countries

Exxon Valdez

OJ Simpson

Divorce

Challenger disaster

Exxon Valdez disaster

Kurt Cobain

.com

.boom

Immigration

Democracy

WTO

HK returned to China

Chernobyl

Financial Crisis

European Union

Gulf War 1

Challenger Disaster

Dolly

The Berlin Wall

The First Global Generation?

Mass Collaboration &

Innovation

Wikinomics & Mass Innovation

R&D Lab Firm Customer

R&D Labs

Firms

Brainstorming with Customer Communities

Turning Gamers into Game Developers

Customer Input Throughout the Product Lifecycle

ProsumerLifecycle

Feedback

Feedback

Design

Design

TestingTesting

CreationCreation

Customization

Customization

Distribution

Distribution

Marketing

Marketing

Aftermarket modificatio

ns

Aftermarket modificatio

ns

The World is Your R&D Department

An eBay for innovation

How do you create a vibrant marketplace where you leverage other people's talents, ideas and assets quickly and move on?

P&G’s Larry Huston: “Alliances and joint ventures don't open up the spirit of capitalism within the company. They're vestiges of the central planning approach when instead you need free market mechanisms.”

Acquiring External Ideas & Innovation

Ideagoras: Marketplaces for Uniquely Qualified Minds

Connecting Solution Seekers with Problem Solvers

Climate Change: The First Truly Global Cause

Gene Patent Crisis?

A Public Biological Blueprint for All Human Life

Consortium members: APBiotech, AstraZeneca Group PLC, Aventis, Bayer Group AG, Bristol-Myers Squibb Co., F. Hoffmann-La Roche, Glaxo SmithKline, Wellcome Trust, IBM, Motorola, Novartis AG, Pfizer Inc., and Searle

Open Source Biology: Drugs for Neglected Diseases

Private Enterprise and Public Foundations

Private Enterprise:

Closed Innovation

Public Foundation:

Open Innovation

Standards &disclosure

build theenablingplatform

Patentprotectionfacilitates

commercialization

Opening Up Your Platform – Creating An Ecosystem

No Tax, No Tariffs Competition

No Tax, No Tariffs Competition

“Should you take your core assets and processes

and keep them to yourself? Or, do you expose them

to every software company on the planet and entice

them to come in and help develop those assets?”

“We believe that our strength, our genome, our

understanding on how to build applications is

significantly enhanced by this kind of collaborative

innovation marketplace.”

-- Shai Agassi, formerly SAP

From Multinational to Global

• Engine - US, Japan, Europe • Multi-national• Act Local

• Engine - China, India, emergent • Global• Act Global

Worldsourcing

The Global Plant Floor 2.0

Global Revolutionaries

Brazil’s Untapped Power

Wikinomics

and the World

Wikinomics and the World

Govern

men

t

EducationGLOBAL CHANGE

Sci

ence

Environment

Democracy

Health Care

Government 2.0: Wikinomics, Government & Democracy

• The definitive worldwide investigation of

how Wikinomics and the Web 2.0 is

revolutionizing government and democracy.

• A global member-funded community of

change agents and thought leaders

The Decline of Engagement

Voter participation in many mature democracies fell in second half of 20th century – Ireland, France, Austria, Germany, Italy, Switzerland and Canada

60

65

70

75

80

85

45 49 53 57 58 62 63 65 68 72 74 79 80 84 88 93 9720

00

% Turnout

Traditional Models of Global Governance

New international structures and supranational alliances

Opening up the Boundaries of Government

Inviting input from citizens, non-governmental organizations

and private enterprise . . .

Early 20th Century Views on Democracy

The private citizen today has come to feel rather like a deaf spectator in the back row, who ought to keep his mind on the mystery

off there, but cannot manage to keep awake.

- Walter Lippmann

No government by experts in which the masses do not have the chance to inform

the experts as to their needs can be anything but an oligarchy managed in the

interests of the few.

- John Dewey

BlogBlogIdeas & CommentsIdeas & CommentsPersonal AttractorPersonal Attractor

WikiWikiShared DocumentsShared DocumentsStatus/Policies/etc.Status/Policies/etc.

ForumForumQuestion & AnswerQuestion & AnswerDiscussion PointDiscussion Point

Shared BookmarksShared BookmarksCo-developed resourceCo-developed resourceResearch/Look upResearch/Look up

Feed ReaderFeed ReaderUpdates in one placeUpdates in one placeQuick scanQuick scan

Social NetworkingSocial NetworkingSearch & Find PeopleSearch & Find PeopleBonds over distanceBonds over distance

RSS Feeds and Tags Act as Linking Mechanism

Social Governance with Web 2.0

Radical Transparency: “Off the Record” Is Dead

Mass Collaboration and Citizen Engagement

Web-based Platforms for Problem Solving

Web-based Platforms for Problem Solving

Global Rallies Put Pressure on Burma

Global Corporate Accountability (but not by government)

Virtual Parliaments: A Place Where Citizens and their Representatives Collaborate

Democracy in the Age of Participation

If the first wave of democracy

established elected and

accountable institutions of

governance, but with a weak

public mandate and an inert

citizenry …

… the second wave will be characterized by strong representation and a new culture of public deliberation built on active citizenship

Thank You

Anthony D. Williams

Senior Fellow, nGenera Insight

133 King Street East, Suite 300

Toronto, Canada

awilliams@ngenera.com

416-863-8864