Transitional Architect Conclusions & Future Work

Architecture for Increasing the Space MarketDaniel Hettema, Scott Neal, Anh Quach, Robert Taylor

System Engineering & Operations Research, George Mason University

Investment Table-TBD

Continue Work-Further expand level of detain in model-Bring in Industries to provide more detail for costs

ContextSpace has resources that could be used on Earth, or in space to

develop a space market

To-Be Model

ROI CalculatorBased on To-Be model’s:

-Element attributes-Estimated functionality costs

ROI = Revenue – Investment

 

Need Statement & RequirementsNeed Statement

Currently, the required investment needed to capture space resources is too high. A high-level architecture that shows how through an incremental “stepping stone” approach the total investment could be lowered, as industry collaboration is increased. The architecture will provide a road map for industry investments with a minimum of 2x return on investment from a total investment of less than one trillion dollars

 - Functional Gap Analysis (TBD)

   - Technology Gap Analysis (TBD)

S

“Obtaining economic benefits from commercial space, including tourism and space solar power…should be the major thrust of our space enterprise.”

-SSI Director Dr. Lee Valentine (2002)

“Stepping Stones”

Space Market

Scenario

Business Environmental Risk

Launch Location

Max Distance

Product Expected Duration

1 Tourism None Earth Moon None 10 days

2 Insurance/Recycling/Governments

None Earth GEO Recycled materials, reduced risk

3 days

3 Energy None Earth GEO Energy None

4 Tourism/Manufacturing

None Earth/Moon

Moon Hotel Long Term

5 Tourism/Manufacturing

Solar Flare Earth/Moon

Moon Hotel Long Term

6 Mining None Earth/Asteroid

1.3 AU Ore 3 years

7 Tourism/Mining/Manufacturing

Micro meteorite

All 1.3 AU Hotel/Ore Long term

-

Current Market• Limited by

-Launch costs-Government Funding-People Interest

Scenarios

EFFBD

Simulation Outputs

Overview:-The gray areas indicate the amount of resource.-The rest of the areas are the functions over time-Yellow indicate a waiting time until triggered by a function to start processes.

Potential Market• Space• Asteroids - minerals• Moon- mineralsGap:

Capabilities and/or technologies for taking advantage of those resources do not currently exist

TimeKey Functions:

Key Assets:

Compare full lifecycle costs on Earth to those in space

-Mining Full cycle on Earth vs. Space