Transitional Architect
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Transitional Architect Conclusions & Future Work Architecture for Increasing the Space Market Daniel Hettema, Scott Neal, Anh Quach, Robert Taylor System Engineering & Operations Research, George Mason University Investment Table -TBD Continue Work -Further expand level of detain in model -Bring in Industries to provide more detail for costs Context Space has resources that could be used on Earth, or in space to develop a space market To-Be Model ROI Calculator Based on To-Be model’s: -Element attributes -Estimated functionality costs ROI = Revenue – Investment Need Statement & Requirements Need Statement Currently, the required investment needed to capture space resources is too high. A high-level architecture that shows how through an incremental “stepping stone” approach the total investment could be lowered, as industry collaboration is increased. The architecture will provide a road map for industry investments with a minimum of 2x return on investment from a total investment of less than one trillion dollars - Functional Gap Analysis (TBD) - Technology Gap Analysis (TBD) S “Obtaining economic benefits from commercial space, including tourism and space solar power…should be the major thrust of our space enterprise.” -SSI Director Dr. Lee Valentine (2002) “Stepping Stones” Space Market Scena rio Business Environ mental Risk Launch Locatio n Max Distanc e Product Expecte d Duratio n 1 Tourism None Earth Moon None 10 days 2 Insurance / Recycling / Governmen ts None Earth GEO Recycle d materia ls, reduced risk 3 days 3 Energy None Earth GEO Energy None 4 Tourism/ Manufactu ring None Earth/ Moon Moon Hotel Long Term 5 Tourism/ Manufactu ring Solar Flare Earth/ Moon Moon Hotel Long Term 6 Mining None Earth/ Asteroi d 1.3 AU Ore 3 years 7 Tourism/ Mining/ Manufactu ring Micro meteori te All 1.3 AU Hotel/ Ore Long term - Current Market •Limited by -Launch costs -Government Funding -People Interest Scenarios EFFBD Simulation Outputs Overview: -The gray areas indicate the amount of resource. -The rest of the areas are the functions over time -Yellow indicate a waiting time until triggered by a function to start processes. Potential Market •Space •Asteroids - minerals •Moon- minerals Gap: Capabilities and/or technologies for taking advantage of those resources do not currently exist Time Key Functions: Key Assets: Compare full lifecycle costs on Earth to those in space -Mining Full cycle on Earth vs. Space
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Investment Table -TBD Continue Work -Further expand level of detain in model -Bring in Industries to provide more detail for costs. Architecture for Increasing the Space Market Daniel Hettema , Scott Neal, Anh Quach , Robert Taylor - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of Transitional Architect
Transitional Architect Conclusions & Future Work
Architecture for Increasing the Space MarketDaniel Hettema, Scott Neal, Anh Quach, Robert Taylor
System Engineering & Operations Research, George Mason University
Investment Table-TBD
Continue Work-Further expand level of detain in model-Bring in Industries to provide more detail for costs
ContextSpace has resources that could be used on Earth, or in space to
develop a space market
To-Be Model
ROI CalculatorBased on To-Be model’s:
-Element attributes-Estimated functionality costs
ROI = Revenue – Investment
Need Statement & RequirementsNeed Statement
Currently, the required investment needed to capture space resources is too high. A high-level architecture that shows how through an incremental “stepping stone” approach the total investment could be lowered, as industry collaboration is increased. The architecture will provide a road map for industry investments with a minimum of 2x return on investment from a total investment of less than one trillion dollars
- Functional Gap Analysis (TBD)
- Technology Gap Analysis (TBD)
S
“Obtaining economic benefits from commercial space, including tourism and space solar power…should be the major thrust of our space enterprise.”
-SSI Director Dr. Lee Valentine (2002)
“Stepping Stones”
Space Market
Scenario
Business Environmental Risk
Launch Location
Max Distance
Product Expected Duration
1 Tourism None Earth Moon None 10 days
2 Insurance/Recycling/Governments
None Earth GEO Recycled materials, reduced risk
3 days
3 Energy None Earth GEO Energy None
4 Tourism/Manufacturing
None Earth/Moon
Moon Hotel Long Term
5 Tourism/Manufacturing
Solar Flare Earth/Moon
Moon Hotel Long Term
6 Mining None Earth/Asteroid
1.3 AU Ore 3 years
7 Tourism/Mining/Manufacturing
Micro meteorite
All 1.3 AU Hotel/Ore Long term
-
Current Market• Limited by
-Launch costs-Government Funding-People Interest
Scenarios
EFFBD
Simulation Outputs
Overview:-The gray areas indicate the amount of resource.-The rest of the areas are the functions over time-Yellow indicate a waiting time until triggered by a function to start processes.
Potential Market• Space• Asteroids - minerals• Moon- mineralsGap:
Capabilities and/or technologies for taking advantage of those resources do not currently exist
TimeKey Functions:
Key Assets:
Compare full lifecycle costs on Earth to those in space
-Mining Full cycle on Earth vs. Space
