Science and Technology Infusion PlanScience and Technology Infusion Plan
ForFor
National Digital Forecast DatabaseNational Digital Forecast Database
Science and Technology Infusion PlanScience and Technology Infusion Plan
ForFor
National Digital Forecast DatabaseNational Digital Forecast Database
NWS S&T CommitteeNWS S&T CommitteeSeptember 18, 2002September 18, 2002
Kevin Johnston
OutlineOutline
What is the NDFD?What is the NDFD?
How is NDFD Produced-New How is NDFD Produced-New Forecast ParadigmForecast Paradigm
Why We Are Doing NDFD? Why We Are Doing NDFD?
Current Development Status Current Development Status
Vision Vision
ChallengesChallenges
Next StepsNext Steps
What is the NDFD?What is the NDFD?
A Database That:A Database That:
Contains a Seamless Mosaic of Official NWS Contains a Seamless Mosaic of Official NWS Digital ForecastsDigital Forecasts
Is Available to Users and Partners-Public and Is Available to Users and Partners-Public and PrivatePrivate
Allows Users and Partners to Create Wide Allows Users and Partners to Create Wide Range of Text, Graphic, and Image ProductsRange of Text, Graphic, and Image Products
User-Generated ProductsUser-Generated Products
How is NDFD Produced?
– Interactive– Collaborative– Information
Oriented
NWS Automated ProductsNWS Automated Products
TextText
GraphicGraphic
DigitalDigital
VoiceVoice
TODAY...RAIN LIKELY.
SNOW LIKELY ABOVE
2500 FEET. SNOW
ACCUMULATION BY
LATE AFTERNOON 1 TO
2 INCHES ABOVE 2500
FEET. COLDER WITH
HIGHS 35 TO 40.
SOUTHEAST WIND 5 TO
10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE
SOUTHWESTEARLY
THIS AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70%.
TODAY...RAIN LIKELY.
SNOW LIKELY ABOVE
2500 FEET. SNOW
ACCUMULATION BY
LATE AFTERNOON 1 TO
2 INCHES ABOVE 2500
FEET. COLDER WITH
HIGHS 35 TO 40.
SOUTHEAST WIND 5 TO
10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE
SOUTHWESTEARLY
THIS AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70%. National Digital National Digital ForecastForecast
Database Database
Local Digital Local Digital ForecastForecast
Database Database
Field Field OfficesOffices
National National CentersCentersCollaborateCollaborate
Data and Science FocusData and Science Focus
National CentersNational Centers Model GuidanceModel Guidance
GridsGrids
Why Are We Doing NDFDWhy Are We Doing NDFD??
Increase the Usefulness of Increase the Usefulness of Government Forecasts by Government Forecasts by Communicating Forecaster’s Communicating Forecaster’s Mental Image of Weather Mental Image of Weather Situation in Greater Detail Situation in Greater Detail
– Custom ApplicationsCustom Applications
– Decision Support SystemsDecision Support Systems
– Along a PathAlong a Path
– Text in Multiple LanguagesText in Multiple Languages
NDFD Current Development StatusNDFD Current Development Status
Ingesting 5 km 2-Dimensional Grids of Weather Ingesting 5 km 2-Dimensional Grids of Weather Elements From Field Offices and Creating Elements From Field Offices and Creating Regional and National MosaicsRegional and National Mosaics
Available Every 3 Hours Out to 72 Hours and Every 12 Hours Available Every 3 Hours Out to 72 Hours and Every 12 Hours for Days 4-7; Updated Hourlyfor Days 4-7; Updated Hourly
Performing Consistency Checks and AnalysisPerforming Consistency Checks and Analysis
FTP Access Via Central ServerFTP Access Via Central Server
Internet Web Design BeginningInternet Web Design Beginning
NDFD Vision NDFD Vision A Seamless Database of InformationA Seamless Database of Information
ObservationsObservations
AnalysesAnalyses
ForecastsForecasts
Uncertainty InformationUncertainty Information
Outlooks, Watches, WarningsOutlooks, Watches, Warnings
Interrogation and Mining Tools Allow Interrogation and Mining Tools Allow Users to Exploit Database for Any Users to Exploit Database for Any Application or PurposeApplication or Purpose
NDFD Vision (Continued)NDFD Vision (Continued)
• Probabilistic Forecast ElementsProbabilistic Forecast Elements
• Objects to Define Aviation Objects to Define Aviation Meteorological Features and Meteorological Features and AreasAreas
• Vertical Dimension ( 3D grids) Vertical Dimension ( 3D grids)
• Additional Weather Elements for Additional Weather Elements for Aviation, Marine, Climate, etcAviation, Marine, Climate, etc
• Dissemination (FTP Access, Dissemination (FTP Access, Interactive-Web Display)Interactive-Web Display)
• Higher Resolution in Time and Higher Resolution in Time and Space Space
• Higher Refresh Rate Higher Refresh Rate
ChallengesChallenges
Consistent, Accurate, and Timely Consistent, Accurate, and Timely Forecast Information in the Vertical Forecast Information in the Vertical Dimension Dimension
Immediate Accessibility by Users for Immediate Accessibility by Users for Updates of Forecasts Updates of Forecasts
Information Technology is Transforming How We Do Business OperationallyInformation Technology is Transforming How We Do Business Operationally
How Best to Evolve the Forecast Division of Labor to How Best to Evolve the Forecast Division of Labor to Insure Consistent, Accurate, and Timely Information?Insure Consistent, Accurate, and Timely Information?
NDFD Next StepsNDFD Next Steps
Establish Strategic Planning Team to Establish Strategic Planning Team to Develop Roadmap (Tasks and Milestones) Develop Roadmap (Tasks and Milestones) to Meet Service Requirements and Visionto Meet Service Requirements and Vision
Roadmap Presented to Corporate Board Roadmap Presented to Corporate Board for Approvalfor Approval
March 2003March 2003
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