Download - Republican Party of Minnesota - Straw Poll Scenarios for National Delegates Allocation

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Page 1: Republican Party of Minnesota - Straw Poll Scenarios for National Delegates Allocation

Scenario 1: "State" Delegates (14 of our 38 Total) 02-Oct-15

Delegates to be Allocated 14

Threshold to Automatically Win All Delegates 85.0%

Minimum Delegate Threshold 10.0%

Hypothetical Straw Poll

Statewide Raw Vote Results Calculation Steps 3.1 and 3.2

Valid Percentage Votes Above

Candidate Votes (No Rounding) Threshold

Eisenhower 10,545 21.60% 10,545

Lincoln 16,261 33.31% 16,261

Reagan 13,597 27.85% 13,597

Nixon 5,327 10.91% 5,327

Jones 3,086 6.32% 0

Totals 48,816 100.0% 45,730

Steps 3.3 and 3.4 Step 3.5

Rounded All available delegates

Allocable Valid Total Above Raw Delegates have been allocated, so

Candidate Delegates x Votes / Threshold = Number Allocated Step 5 is not used.

Lincoln 14 16,261 45,730 4.97 5

Reagan 14 13,597 45,730 4.16 4

Eisenhower 14 10,545 45,730 3.22 3

Nixon 14 5,327 45,730 1.63 2

Total Delegates Allocated 14

MB - October 16, 2015

Page 2: Republican Party of Minnesota - Straw Poll Scenarios for National Delegates Allocation

Scenario 2: "State" Delegates (14 of our 38 Total) 02-Oct-15

Delegates to be Allocated 14

Threshold to Automatically Win All Delegates 85.0%

Minimum Delegate Threshold 10.0%

Hypothetical Straw Poll

Statewide Raw Vote Results Calculation Steps 3.1 and 3.2

Valid Percentage Votes Above

Candidate Votes (No Rounding) Threshold

Eisenhower 9,803 20.08% 9,803

Lincoln 11,257 23.06% 11,257

Reagan 11,552 23.66% 11,552

Nixon 8,348 17.10% 8,348

Jones 6,418 13.15% 6,418

Smith 1,438 2.95% 0

Totals 48,816 100.0% 47,378

Steps 3.3 and 3.4 Step 3.5

Rounded Total

Allocable Valid Total Above Raw Delegates Added By Delegates

Candidate Delegates x Votes / Threshold = Number Allocated Rounding

Up Allocated

Reagan 14 11,552 47,378 3.41 3 0 3

Lincoln 14 11,257 47,378 3.33 3 0 3

Eisenhower 14 9,803 47,378 2.90 3 0 3

Nixon 14 8,348 47,378 2.47 2 1 3

Jones 14 6,418 47,378 1.90 2 0 2

Total Delegates Allocated 13 14

MB - October 16, 2015

Page 3: Republican Party of Minnesota - Straw Poll Scenarios for National Delegates Allocation

Scenario 3: CD Delegates Allocated by Statewide Results 02-Oct-15

Delegates to be Allocated 3

Threshold to Automatically Win All Delegates 85.0%

Minimum Delegate Threshold 10.0%

Hypothetical Straw Poll

Statewide Raw Vote Results Calculation Steps 3.1 and 3.2

Valid Percentage Votes Above

Candidate Votes (No Rounding) Threshold

Eisenhower 9,803 20.08% 9,803

Lincoln 11,257 23.06% 11,257

Reagan 11,552 23.66% 11,552

Nixon 8,348 17.10% 8,348

Jones 6,418 13.15% 6,418

Smith 1,438 2.95% 0

Totals 48,816 100.0% 47,378

Steps 3.3 and 3.4 Step 3.5

Rounded

Allocable Valid Total Above Raw Delegates

Candidate Delegates x Votes / Threshold = Number Allocated

Reagan 3 11,552 47,378 0.73 1

Lincoln 3 11,257 47,378 0.71 1

Eisenhower 3 9,803 47,378 0.62 1 All available delegates

Nixon 3 8,348 47,378 0.53 0 have been allocated, so

Jones 3 6,418 47,378 0.41 0 no further rounding.

Total Delegates Allocated 3

MB - October 16, 2015

Page 4: Republican Party of Minnesota - Straw Poll Scenarios for National Delegates Allocation

Scenario 4: CD Delegates Allocated by Votes Within CD 02-Oct-15

Delegates to be Allocated 3

Threshold to Automatically Win All Delegates 85.0%

Minimum Delegate Threshold 10.0%

Hypothetical Straw Poll

CD Raw Vote Results Calculation Steps 3.1 and 3.2

Valid Percentage Votes Above

Candidate Votes (No Rounding) Threshold

Eisenhower 1,207 19.20% 1,207

Lincoln 704 11.20% 704

Reagan 1,408 22.40% 1,408

Nixon 2,942 46.79% 2,942

Jones 15 0.24% 0

Smith 11 0.17% 0

Totals 6,287 100.0% 6,261

Steps 3.3 and 3.4 Step 3.5

Rounded All available delegates

Allocable Valid Total Above Raw Delegates have been allocated, so

Candidate Delegates x Votes / Threshold = Number Allocated Step 5 is not used.

Nixon 3 2,942 6,261 1.41 1

Reagan 3 1,408 6,261 0.67 1

Eisenhower 3 1,207 6,261 0.58 1

Lincoln 3 704 6,261 0.34 0

Total Delegates Allocated 3

MB - October 16, 2015

Page 5: Republican Party of Minnesota - Straw Poll Scenarios for National Delegates Allocation

Scenario 5: CD Delegates Allocated by Votes Within CD 02-Oct-15

Delegates to be Allocated 3

Threshold to Automatically Win All Delegates 85.0%

Minimum Delegate Threshold 10.0%

Hypothetical Straw Poll

CD Raw Vote Results Calculation Steps 3.1 and 3.2

Valid Percentage Votes Above

Candidate Votes (No Rounding) Threshold

Eisenhower 642 10.37% 642

Lincoln 275 4.44% 0

Reagan 761 12.20% 761

Nixon 4,483 72.45% 4,483

Jones 15 0.24% 0

Smith 11 0.18% 0

Totals 6,187 99.9% 5,886

Steps 3.3 and 3.4 Step 3.5

Rounded Total

Allocable Valid Total Above Raw Delegates Added By Delegates

Candidate Delegates x Votes / Threshold = Number Allocated Rounding

Up Allocated

Nixon 3 4,483 5,886 2.28 2 0 2

Reagan 3 761 5,886 0.39 0 1 1

Eisenhower 3 642 5,886 0.33 0 0 0

Total Delegates Allocated 2 3

MB - October 16, 2015