Republican Party of Minnesota - Straw Poll Scenarios for National Delegates Allocation

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Scenario 1: "State" Delegates (14 of our 38 Total) 02-Oct-15 Delegates to be Allocated 14 Threshold to Automatically Win All Delegates 85.0% Minimum Delegate Threshold 10.0% Hypothetical Straw Poll Statewide Raw Vote Results Calculation Steps 3.1 and 3.2 Valid Percentage Votes Above Candidate Votes (No Rounding) Threshold Eisenhower 10,545 21.60% 10,545 Lincoln 16,261 33.31% 16,261 Reagan 13,597 27.85% 13,597 Nixon 5,327 10.91% 5,327 Jones 3,086 6.32% 0 Totals 48,816 100.0% 45,730 Steps 3.3 and 3.4 Step 3.5 Rounded All available delegates Allocable Valid Total Above Raw Delegates have been allocated, so Candidate Delegates x Votes / Threshold = Number Allocated Step 5 is not used. Lincoln 14 16,261 45,730 4.97 5 Reagan 14 13,597 45,730 4.16 4 Eisenhower 14 10,545 45,730 3.22 3 Nixon 14 5,327 45,730 1.63 2 Total Delegates Allocated 14 MB - October 16, 2015

description

These are scenarios to explain the process by which the Republican Party of Minnesota will allocate delegates to the Republican National Convention in 2016.

Transcript of Republican Party of Minnesota - Straw Poll Scenarios for National Delegates Allocation

Page 1: Republican Party of Minnesota - Straw Poll Scenarios for National Delegates Allocation

Scenario 1: "State" Delegates (14 of our 38 Total) 02-Oct-15

Delegates to be Allocated 14

Threshold to Automatically Win All Delegates 85.0%

Minimum Delegate Threshold 10.0%

Hypothetical Straw Poll

Statewide Raw Vote Results Calculation Steps 3.1 and 3.2

Valid Percentage Votes Above

Candidate Votes (No Rounding) Threshold

Eisenhower 10,545 21.60% 10,545

Lincoln 16,261 33.31% 16,261

Reagan 13,597 27.85% 13,597

Nixon 5,327 10.91% 5,327

Jones 3,086 6.32% 0

Totals 48,816 100.0% 45,730

Steps 3.3 and 3.4 Step 3.5

Rounded All available delegates

Allocable Valid Total Above Raw Delegates have been allocated, so

Candidate Delegates x Votes / Threshold = Number Allocated Step 5 is not used.

Lincoln 14 16,261 45,730 4.97 5

Reagan 14 13,597 45,730 4.16 4

Eisenhower 14 10,545 45,730 3.22 3

Nixon 14 5,327 45,730 1.63 2

Total Delegates Allocated 14

MB - October 16, 2015

Page 2: Republican Party of Minnesota - Straw Poll Scenarios for National Delegates Allocation

Scenario 2: "State" Delegates (14 of our 38 Total) 02-Oct-15

Delegates to be Allocated 14

Threshold to Automatically Win All Delegates 85.0%

Minimum Delegate Threshold 10.0%

Hypothetical Straw Poll

Statewide Raw Vote Results Calculation Steps 3.1 and 3.2

Valid Percentage Votes Above

Candidate Votes (No Rounding) Threshold

Eisenhower 9,803 20.08% 9,803

Lincoln 11,257 23.06% 11,257

Reagan 11,552 23.66% 11,552

Nixon 8,348 17.10% 8,348

Jones 6,418 13.15% 6,418

Smith 1,438 2.95% 0

Totals 48,816 100.0% 47,378

Steps 3.3 and 3.4 Step 3.5

Rounded Total

Allocable Valid Total Above Raw Delegates Added By Delegates

Candidate Delegates x Votes / Threshold = Number Allocated Rounding

Up Allocated

Reagan 14 11,552 47,378 3.41 3 0 3

Lincoln 14 11,257 47,378 3.33 3 0 3

Eisenhower 14 9,803 47,378 2.90 3 0 3

Nixon 14 8,348 47,378 2.47 2 1 3

Jones 14 6,418 47,378 1.90 2 0 2

Total Delegates Allocated 13 14

MB - October 16, 2015

Page 3: Republican Party of Minnesota - Straw Poll Scenarios for National Delegates Allocation

Scenario 3: CD Delegates Allocated by Statewide Results 02-Oct-15

Delegates to be Allocated 3

Threshold to Automatically Win All Delegates 85.0%

Minimum Delegate Threshold 10.0%

Hypothetical Straw Poll

Statewide Raw Vote Results Calculation Steps 3.1 and 3.2

Valid Percentage Votes Above

Candidate Votes (No Rounding) Threshold

Eisenhower 9,803 20.08% 9,803

Lincoln 11,257 23.06% 11,257

Reagan 11,552 23.66% 11,552

Nixon 8,348 17.10% 8,348

Jones 6,418 13.15% 6,418

Smith 1,438 2.95% 0

Totals 48,816 100.0% 47,378

Steps 3.3 and 3.4 Step 3.5

Rounded

Allocable Valid Total Above Raw Delegates

Candidate Delegates x Votes / Threshold = Number Allocated

Reagan 3 11,552 47,378 0.73 1

Lincoln 3 11,257 47,378 0.71 1

Eisenhower 3 9,803 47,378 0.62 1 All available delegates

Nixon 3 8,348 47,378 0.53 0 have been allocated, so

Jones 3 6,418 47,378 0.41 0 no further rounding.

Total Delegates Allocated 3

MB - October 16, 2015

Page 4: Republican Party of Minnesota - Straw Poll Scenarios for National Delegates Allocation

Scenario 4: CD Delegates Allocated by Votes Within CD 02-Oct-15

Delegates to be Allocated 3

Threshold to Automatically Win All Delegates 85.0%

Minimum Delegate Threshold 10.0%

Hypothetical Straw Poll

CD Raw Vote Results Calculation Steps 3.1 and 3.2

Valid Percentage Votes Above

Candidate Votes (No Rounding) Threshold

Eisenhower 1,207 19.20% 1,207

Lincoln 704 11.20% 704

Reagan 1,408 22.40% 1,408

Nixon 2,942 46.79% 2,942

Jones 15 0.24% 0

Smith 11 0.17% 0

Totals 6,287 100.0% 6,261

Steps 3.3 and 3.4 Step 3.5

Rounded All available delegates

Allocable Valid Total Above Raw Delegates have been allocated, so

Candidate Delegates x Votes / Threshold = Number Allocated Step 5 is not used.

Nixon 3 2,942 6,261 1.41 1

Reagan 3 1,408 6,261 0.67 1

Eisenhower 3 1,207 6,261 0.58 1

Lincoln 3 704 6,261 0.34 0

Total Delegates Allocated 3

MB - October 16, 2015

Page 5: Republican Party of Minnesota - Straw Poll Scenarios for National Delegates Allocation

Scenario 5: CD Delegates Allocated by Votes Within CD 02-Oct-15

Delegates to be Allocated 3

Threshold to Automatically Win All Delegates 85.0%

Minimum Delegate Threshold 10.0%

Hypothetical Straw Poll

CD Raw Vote Results Calculation Steps 3.1 and 3.2

Valid Percentage Votes Above

Candidate Votes (No Rounding) Threshold

Eisenhower 642 10.37% 642

Lincoln 275 4.44% 0

Reagan 761 12.20% 761

Nixon 4,483 72.45% 4,483

Jones 15 0.24% 0

Smith 11 0.18% 0

Totals 6,187 99.9% 5,886

Steps 3.3 and 3.4 Step 3.5

Rounded Total

Allocable Valid Total Above Raw Delegates Added By Delegates

Candidate Delegates x Votes / Threshold = Number Allocated Rounding

Up Allocated

Nixon 3 4,483 5,886 2.28 2 0 2

Reagan 3 761 5,886 0.39 0 1 1

Eisenhower 3 642 5,886 0.33 0 0 0

Total Delegates Allocated 2 3

MB - October 16, 2015