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Page 1: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark, Isurus

oxyrinchus

Mollet H.F. and G. M. Cailliet

Page 2: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Contrasting VBGF and Reproductive Parameters for the Shortfin Mako

Pratt and Casey 1983 vs. Cailliet et al. 1983

Page 3: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Age at Maturity of Female Shortfin Mako

(when 10 and 90% are mature) 1. L (t) = 3.73 - (3.73 - 0.70) e(-0.203 t), Pratt and Casey 19832. L (t) = 3.21 - (3.21 - 0.76) e(-0.072 t), Cailliet et al. 1983

Page 4: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Observed and Calculated (from VBGF) Growth Rates

for the Shortfin Mako1. L (t) = 3.73 - (3.73 - 0.70) e (-0.203 t), Pratt and Casey 19832. L (t) = 3.21 - (3.21 - 0.76) e (-0.072 t), Cailliet et al. 1983

Page 5: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Band-Count and Capture-Date Frequency Histograms

Page 6: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Check on Seasonality of #Bands(based on preliminary band count data sheets)

Page 7: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Growth Rates of Southern California Makos from Modes of Length-Frequency

Histograms

• ~50 cm/yr at age 0.25 yr~34 cm/yr at age 1 yrFall data Cailliet et al. 1983 assuming 2 bands/year.

• ~45 cm/yr at age 0.67 yr~30 cm/yr at age 1.67 yrO'Brian and Sunada 1994, modes at AL = 42 and 53 cm (TL = 122 and 152 cm) from 2+ and 3+ year old makos, respectively.

• ~60 cm/yr at age 0.25 yr~30 cm/yr at age 1.0 yr20-25 cm/yr at age 2.0 yrHanan et al. 1993, modes at AL = 34, 44, and 54 cm (TL = 100, 130, and 150-150 cm) from 0.5, 1.5 and 2.5 year old makos, respectively.

Page 8: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Catch Curves Estimation of Survival from Age

Composition(Ricker 1977, Krebs 1989)

• Right limb is a survivorship curve that is both age-specific and time-specific if the following assumptions are met:

• Survival rate is uniform with age• Survival rate is uniform with time• Sample taken randomly from age

groups involved• Recruitment is constant for all age

groups

• If these 4 assumptions are violated, the right limb of the catch curve will often not be a straight line.

Page 9: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Catch Curve of Female Shortfin Makos

Page 10: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Catch Curve for Exp. Drift Longline Fishery in Southern California during 1988-1991

O'Brian and Sunada 1994

Page 11: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Catch Curve for Makos taken by Japanese Longliners off the eastern coast of Australia(Stevens 1992)can add n=98 females, Z = 0.61 but # to small to derive meaningful

catch curve. Could try smoothing.

Page 12: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Catch Curve for Shortfin Mako off East Northland and Bay of Plenty, New Zealand 1974-90 (Saul and

Holdsworth 1992) (females extracted and large females from off-shore

added)

Page 13: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Catch Curve for Female Shortfin Mako from western North Atlantic, n = 1113 (Casey and Kohler 1992)

Z= 0.70, too large! but why,

Page 14: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Catch Curve for Shortfin Mako off South-Eastern Australia 1961-90 (Pepperell 1992)

Page 15: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

D? Mejuto for years 1983 and 1984combinend female data for the 2 years then

calculatet age_FL. Was done later!

Page 16: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Summary of Z's from Catch Curve for Female Shortfin Makos

Page 17: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Parameters for Demographic Analysis

• 1. Length at Age (VBGF).• 2. Estimate of natural mortality (M)

Hoenig 1983 (requires max. age estimate, we used 7 ln2/k = 23.9 years (k = 0.203 year-1).Pauly 1974 (requires max. size = 3.73 m TL, VBGF

k = 0.203 year-1, and water temperature T = 20 C.

• 3. Estimate of fishing mortality (F) or total mortality

(Z = M + F); we used catch-curve derived Z.• 4. Natality, to be discussed next.

Page 18: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Effective Natality vs. TL10, 50, 90% mature at TL = 2.60, 2.72, 2.85 m)

mx(TL) = (1/4) 0.572 TL2.66 e(-47.481+17.505 TL)/(1+e(-47.481+17.505 TL));

Page 19: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Effective Natality vs. Age10, 50, 90% mature at age 4.8, 5.4, 6.1yr

mx = (1/4) 0.572 TL2.66 . e(-47.481+17.505 TL)/(1+e(-47.481+17.505 TL));

with TL = 3.734-(3.734-0.702)e(-0.203 age)

Page 20: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Life-History Table of Isurus oxyrinchusInput: VBGF, Z = 0.30 year-1, mx = effective natality

Output: Ro = 2.0, G = 9.0 year, r = 0.076 year-1, er = 1.08

Page 21: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Life-History Table of Isurus oxyrinchusInput: VBGF, Z = 0.34 year-1, mx = effective natality

Output: Ro = 1.08, G = 9.72 year, r = 0.0084 year-1, er = 1.01

Page 22: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Life History Parameters for Isurus oxyrinchus

(F starts at age 0)

Page 23: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Life History Parameters for Isurus oxyrinchus

First year mortality 2x subsequent mortalities

Page 24: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Life History Parameters for Isurus oxyrinchususing 3-Year Reproductive Cycle

(F= 0.05 and 0.10 year-1start at age 0)

Page 25: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Life History Parameters for Isurus oxyrinchus

(F= 0.05 and 0.10 year-1start at age 0)

Page 26: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Life History Parameters for Isurus oxyrinchus

M1 = 2 x M1+j

Page 27: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Life History Parameters for Isurus oxyrinchus

(F= 0.05 and 0.10 year-1start at age 0)

Page 28: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Life History Parameters for Sharks(Adding to Cortés 1995 and 1996)

Page 29: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Finite Rate of Population Change (er) vs. Z(Southern Hemisphere vs. Western North Atlantic Age at

Maturity)

Page 30: Preliminary demographic analysis of the shortfin mako shark,  Isurus oxyrinchus

Finite Population Rate Decrease (er) vs. ZBase calculation with observed fecundity and southern hemisphere age at maturity