Strategi Menjana
Pendapatan Dua Hala
Melalui FCPO
Mohd Azuri Zukainain
Licensed Capital Market Services
Representatives, Maybank Investment
Bank (MIB)
DISCLAIMER
This presentation is provided for general information only. It is not
intended as an investment advice, offer or solicitation for the purchase or
sale of any securities, stocks, futures or investment products. Stocks,
securities and futures imply risks and to be undertaken only if you
understand its risks. Please seek your own tax, legal, and financial advice
before investing in stocks and futures. All information in this presentation
is subject to change without notice.
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Background
Image here LicensedCapital Market Services Representatives (CMSRL)
Maybank Investment Bank (MIB)
Mohd Azuri Zukainain, CMSRL
❏ Graduan Ijazah Sarjana Mu❏ Graduan Wealth Academy ❏ Pengalaman lebih 14 tahun
❏ Licensed Capital Market S(MIB)❏ Adjunct Professor d2015
❏ Penulis Buku "Seni PeperaNotebook
❏ Speaker undangan untuk seMalaysia❏ Penceramah Futu2018)
Kepakaran:Holistic Trading Approach, Defensive TWinning Strategy, EQ (Emotional Quo
MOHD AZURIZUKAINAIN (Matt)FB: Tuan Penjejakx
Former Malaysia Diplomat to KenyaMinistry of International Trade and Industry
(MITI)
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APAKAH PASARAN HADAPAN
Perjanjian membeli danmenjual kontrak standard
komoditi untuk suatumasa kehadapan
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KELEBIHAN PASARAN
HADAPAN ➢Pasaran Dua Hala
➢Volatiliti Yang Tinggi (Scalper)
➢Alternatif Pemilihan Saham
➢Kos Yang Rata (Flat)
➢Patuh syariah
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MINYAKSAWIT
MENTAH
➢Minyak Sawit Mentah (fizikal)➢Bulan pertama - 5 bulan seterusnya, selangan bulan berikut(2 thn)
➢1 tick movement = RM 25
➢Kontrak tamat: 12 tengahari pada hari ke 15 setiap bulan(penyelesaian secara fizikal)
➢Proses tender: 1 - 20 setiap bulan➢Spekulasi - takat posisi pada 5000 kontrak kecuali bulanpertama
➢Sesi pertama 10.30am – 12.30pm, sesi kedua 2.30pm -6.00pm
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HEDGING FCPO
➢ Kontrak FCPO digunakan oleh syarikat
perladangan, pengilang dan pengeksport
untuk mengurus risiko dan hedge (lindung
nilai)
➢ Hedge dilakukan terhadap risiko
ketidaktentuan pergerakan harga CPO di market
fizikal
➢ ContoH Cargill Malaysia
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PORT TANK INTSALLATION (PTI)
➢Selepas tamat tempoh kontrak Spot Month
➢ Penjual dan Pembeli membuat ambilan dan
penghantaran minyak mentah CPO secara
fizikal seperti yang terkandung dalam kontrak
➢Tempat simpanan fizikal minyak dikenalaisebagai PTI
➢terletak di Pelabuhan Klang, Pelabuhan
Butterworth (Pulau Pinang) dan Pelabuhan
Pasir Gudang
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FAKTOR FUNDAMENTAL HARGA CPO DUNIA
➢ Faktor permintaan dari pengguna seluruh dunia
➢Bekalan daripada negara pengeluar minyak sawit seperti Malaysiadan Indonesia
➢Senario permintaan daripada negara pengguna seperti China, Indiadan EU
➢Paras harga gantian (substitution) antara minyak soya danminyak sawit
➢Turun naik harga minyak mentah dunia. CPO digunakanuntuk pengeluaran bio-diesel
➢Bencana alam, peperangan, cuaca
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Kenali Futures Crude Palm Oil (FCPO) Atau
Pasar Hadapan Minyak Mentah Kelapa
Sawit
www.bursamalaysia.com/trade/our_products_services/deriv
a tives/commodity_derivatives/crude_palm_oil_futures
www.futuresintell.com.my/blogs/article/kenali-futures
crude-palm-oil-fcpo-atau-pasar-hadapan-minyak-mentah
kelapa-sawit
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PENYATAPLATFORM FCPO
(RM)
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Trading EntryTypes:
1. Test - SnR Zone by Candle Action 2.
Swing - Candlestick (at no man's land)
3. PB/PBX:(a) With Candle Action(b) At Buffer Zone (BFZ)(c) At SnR Zone
4. Breakout Entry (BO)
(a) Buffer Zone (BFZ)(b) Trendline(c) LSH/LSL(d) Chart Pattern
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Futures IntellTrading Setups:
1. Candle Action(CA)- CA + SnR Zone- CA + PB Level
- CA + SnD Zone- CA + Order Flow Level
2. SnR Zone
3. BFZ (Buffer Zone)
4. Tsunami Wave- Complex Pullback Scenario
5. Three Swordsmen (Breakout Strategy)
6. Fire Attack (Optimum Continuation Momentum Wave)
7. PB (Pullback)- PB + Candle Action- PB + SnR Zone- PB + BFZ
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Order
Flow
➢ Nett
Order Flow
➢ Order
Flow Level
(OFL)
➢ Order
Flow Zone (OFZ)
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Artificial Intelligence Coding:
➢ CE-S
➢ CE-PB
➢ OFL
➢ HL (Hedging Level) Management
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PSYCHOLOGY
LEVEL
RESISTANT
RESISTANT
SUPPORT
SUPPORT
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STRUKTUR
PASARAN(TREND)
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MENAIK 34
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MENURUN 36
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MENDATAR 38
SOKONGAN&
RINTANGAN(Support &Resistance)
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SOKONGAN ( SUPPORT )
➢Tahap Harga Dibawah Harga SemasaDimana Minat Belian Dapat MengekangTekanan Jualan & Seterusnya DapatMenghalang Harga Daripada Terus Jatuh
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RINTANGAN (RESISTANCE)
➢Tahap Harga Diatas Harga Semasa DimanaMinat Jualan Dapat Mengekang TekananBelian & Seterusnya Dapat Menghalang HargaDaripada Terus Naik
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SOKONGAN & RINTANGAN 42
PATEN CARTA(REVERSAL)
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PATEN CARTA
➢Reversal – aliran akan bertukarsetelah paten siap
➢Continuation – aliran akanberterusan seperti aliran sebelumnyasetelah paten siap
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PATEN CARTA
(REVERSAL &CONTINUATION)
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PATEN CARTA(CONTINUATION)
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PATEN CARTA(CHANNEL)
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PATEN CARTA
➢Indikasi akan parassokongan danrintangan
➢Indikasi sasaranpasaran akan datang
➢Pasaran akan bertukar aliran atau punaliran akan berterusan seperti
sebelumnya
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CANDLE ACTION57
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▪ HommaMunehisa
(1724-1803)▪ rice trader around 260
years ago in Sakata,Japan during the
Tokugawa Shogunate(Tokugawa jidai) in the
Edo Era (Edo jidai)▪ traded at the OjimaRice market in Osaka ▪father of thecandlestick chartinganalysist ▪ he was a
legendary trader▪ Honorary Samurai for his trading prowess ▪contributions to the advancement of the art oftrading
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Japanese Candlestick
• The building blocks of technical analysis
• All charts consist of candles or bars or line
chart
• We look for these patterns on candle charts
• Its easier to spot them
• They provide information about psychology
and momentum of the market
Japanese Candlestick
Japanese Candlestick merangkumi 72 pattern.
Pecahan mengikut kepentingan ialah:
Reversal Pattern (Paten
Tunjalbalas) - 1st Level Reversal
Pattern
- 2nd Level Reversal Pattern
- 3rd Level Reversal Pattern
- 4th Level Reversal Pattern
• Continuation Pattern (Paten Sinambungan)- Upside Tasuki Gap, In Neck Line…
• Consolidation Pattern (Paten Konsolidasi)- Bullish Staled Pattern, Inverted
Hammer, Hanging Man…
• Post Consolidation Pattern (Paten SelepasKonsolidasi)
- Long Legged Doji (Rickshawman)…
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BULLISH
CANDLESTICK BULLISH
BAR HIGH
BEARISH
CAN
DLE
STIC
K
BEA
RISH
BAR
HIGH
CLOSE OPEN
OPENLOW
CLOSE LOW
ANATOMY OFA
CANDLESTICK
HIGH HIGH UPPER SHADOW
OPEN CLOSE
RANGE RANGEMAIN BODY
OPEN
LOW
BULLISH
LOWER SHADOW
CLOSE
LOW
BEARISH
PSYCHOLOGY
LEVEL
RESISTANT
RESISTANT
SUPPORT
SUPPORT
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Kelebihan Japanese
Candlestick
➢Indikator yang terkehadapan➢Pemberi signal yang jelas➢Boleh digunakan bersamaindikator yang lain➢Mengambarkan psikologi pedagang
HAMMER
SHOOTING STAR
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SnR ZONE73
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