Strategi Menjana

Pendapatan Dua Hala

Melalui FCPO

Mohd Azuri Zukainain

Licensed Capital Market Services

Representatives, Maybank Investment

Bank (MIB)

DISCLAIMER

This presentation is provided for general information only. It is not

intended as an investment advice, offer or solicitation for the purchase or

sale of any securities, stocks, futures or investment products. Stocks,

securities and futures imply risks and to be undertaken only if you

understand its risks. Please seek your own tax, legal, and financial advice

before investing in stocks and futures. All information in this presentation

is subject to change without notice.

2

Background

Image here LicensedCapital Market Services Representatives (CMSRL)

Maybank Investment Bank (MIB)

Mohd Azuri Zukainain, CMSRL

❏ Graduan Ijazah Sarjana Mu❏ Graduan Wealth Academy ❏ Pengalaman lebih 14 tahun

❏ Licensed Capital Market S(MIB)❏ Adjunct Professor d2015

❏ Penulis Buku "Seni PeperaNotebook

❏ Speaker undangan untuk seMalaysia❏ Penceramah Futu2018)

Kepakaran:Holistic Trading Approach, Defensive TWinning Strategy, EQ (Emotional Quo

MOHD AZURIZUKAINAIN (Matt)FB: Tuan Penjejakx

Former Malaysia Diplomat to KenyaMinistry of International Trade and Industry

(MITI)

4

6

7

8

9

10

APAKAH PASARAN HADAPAN

Perjanjian membeli danmenjual kontrak standard

komoditi untuk suatumasa kehadapan

11

KELEBIHAN PASARAN

HADAPAN ➢Pasaran Dua Hala

➢Volatiliti Yang Tinggi (Scalper)

➢Alternatif Pemilihan Saham

➢Kos Yang Rata (Flat)

➢Patuh syariah

12

MINYAKSAWIT

MENTAH

➢Minyak Sawit Mentah (fizikal)➢Bulan pertama - 5 bulan seterusnya, selangan bulan berikut(2 thn)

➢1 tick movement = RM 25

➢Kontrak tamat: 12 tengahari pada hari ke 15 setiap bulan(penyelesaian secara fizikal)

➢Proses tender: 1 - 20 setiap bulan➢Spekulasi - takat posisi pada 5000 kontrak kecuali bulanpertama

➢Sesi pertama 10.30am – 12.30pm, sesi kedua 2.30pm -6.00pm

13

HEDGING FCPO

➢ Kontrak FCPO digunakan oleh syarikat

perladangan, pengilang dan pengeksport

untuk mengurus risiko dan hedge (lindung

nilai)

➢ Hedge dilakukan terhadap risiko

ketidaktentuan pergerakan harga CPO di market

fizikal

➢ ContoH Cargill Malaysia

14

PORT TANK INTSALLATION (PTI)

➢Selepas tamat tempoh kontrak Spot Month

➢ Penjual dan Pembeli membuat ambilan dan

penghantaran minyak mentah CPO secara

fizikal seperti yang terkandung dalam kontrak

➢Tempat simpanan fizikal minyak dikenalaisebagai PTI

➢terletak di Pelabuhan Klang, Pelabuhan

Butterworth (Pulau Pinang) dan Pelabuhan

Pasir Gudang

15

FAKTOR FUNDAMENTAL HARGA CPO DUNIA

➢ Faktor permintaan dari pengguna seluruh dunia

➢Bekalan daripada negara pengeluar minyak sawit seperti Malaysiadan Indonesia

➢Senario permintaan daripada negara pengguna seperti China, Indiadan EU

➢Paras harga gantian (substitution) antara minyak soya danminyak sawit

➢Turun naik harga minyak mentah dunia. CPO digunakanuntuk pengeluaran bio-diesel

➢Bencana alam, peperangan, cuaca

16

Kenali Futures Crude Palm Oil (FCPO) Atau

Pasar Hadapan Minyak Mentah Kelapa

Sawit

www.bursamalaysia.com/trade/our_products_services/deriv

a tives/commodity_derivatives/crude_palm_oil_futures

www.futuresintell.com.my/blogs/article/kenali-futures

crude-palm-oil-fcpo-atau-pasar-hadapan-minyak-mentah

kelapa-sawit

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

PENYATAPLATFORM FCPO

(RM)

24

25

26

Trading EntryTypes:

1. Test - SnR Zone by Candle Action 2.

Swing - Candlestick (at no man's land)

3. PB/PBX:(a) With Candle Action(b) At Buffer Zone (BFZ)(c) At SnR Zone

4. Breakout Entry (BO)

(a) Buffer Zone (BFZ)(b) Trendline(c) LSH/LSL(d) Chart Pattern

27

Futures IntellTrading Setups:

1. Candle Action(CA)- CA + SnR Zone- CA + PB Level

- CA + SnD Zone- CA + Order Flow Level

2. SnR Zone

3. BFZ (Buffer Zone)

4. Tsunami Wave- Complex Pullback Scenario

5. Three Swordsmen (Breakout Strategy)

6. Fire Attack (Optimum Continuation Momentum Wave)

7. PB (Pullback)- PB + Candle Action- PB + SnR Zone- PB + BFZ

28

29

Order

Flow

➢ Nett

Order Flow

➢ Order

Flow Level

(OFL)

➢ Order

Flow Zone (OFZ)

30

Artificial Intelligence Coding:

➢ CE-S

➢ CE-PB

➢ OFL

➢ HL (Hedging Level) Management

31

PSYCHOLOGY

LEVEL

RESISTANT

RESISTANT

SUPPORT

SUPPORT

32

STRUKTUR

PASARAN(TREND)

33

MENAIK 34

35

MENURUN 36

37

MENDATAR 38

SOKONGAN&

RINTANGAN(Support &Resistance)

39

SOKONGAN ( SUPPORT )

➢Tahap Harga Dibawah Harga SemasaDimana Minat Belian Dapat MengekangTekanan Jualan & Seterusnya DapatMenghalang Harga Daripada Terus Jatuh

40

RINTANGAN (RESISTANCE)

➢Tahap Harga Diatas Harga Semasa DimanaMinat Jualan Dapat Mengekang TekananBelian & Seterusnya Dapat Menghalang HargaDaripada Terus Naik

41

SOKONGAN & RINTANGAN 42

PATEN CARTA(REVERSAL)

43

PATEN CARTA

➢Reversal – aliran akan bertukarsetelah paten siap

➢Continuation – aliran akanberterusan seperti aliran sebelumnyasetelah paten siap

44

45

46

47

PATEN CARTA

(REVERSAL &CONTINUATION)

48

49

50

51

PATEN CARTA(CONTINUATION)

52

53

PATEN CARTA(CHANNEL)

54

55

PATEN CARTA

➢Indikasi akan parassokongan danrintangan

➢Indikasi sasaranpasaran akan datang

➢Pasaran akan bertukar aliran atau punaliran akan berterusan seperti

sebelumnya

56

CANDLE ACTION57

58

▪ HommaMunehisa

(1724-1803)▪ rice trader around 260

years ago in Sakata,Japan during the

Tokugawa Shogunate(Tokugawa jidai) in the

Edo Era (Edo jidai)▪ traded at the OjimaRice market in Osaka ▪father of thecandlestick chartinganalysist ▪ he was a

legendary trader▪ Honorary Samurai for his trading prowess ▪contributions to the advancement of the art oftrading

59

60

Japanese Candlestick

• The building blocks of technical analysis

• All charts consist of candles or bars or line

chart

• We look for these patterns on candle charts

• Its easier to spot them

• They provide information about psychology

and momentum of the market

Japanese Candlestick

Japanese Candlestick merangkumi 72 pattern.

Pecahan mengikut kepentingan ialah:

Reversal Pattern (Paten

Tunjalbalas) - 1st Level Reversal

Pattern

- 2nd Level Reversal Pattern

- 3rd Level Reversal Pattern

- 4th Level Reversal Pattern

• Continuation Pattern (Paten Sinambungan)- Upside Tasuki Gap, In Neck Line…

• Consolidation Pattern (Paten Konsolidasi)- Bullish Staled Pattern, Inverted

Hammer, Hanging Man…

• Post Consolidation Pattern (Paten SelepasKonsolidasi)

- Long Legged Doji (Rickshawman)…

63

64

65

BULLISH

CANDLESTICK BULLISH

BAR HIGH

BEARISH

CAN

DLE

STIC

K

BEA

RISH

BAR

HIGH

CLOSE OPEN

OPENLOW

CLOSE LOW

ANATOMY OFA

CANDLESTICK

HIGH HIGH UPPER SHADOW

OPEN CLOSE

RANGE RANGEMAIN BODY

OPEN

LOW

BULLISH

LOWER SHADOW

CLOSE

LOW

BEARISH

PSYCHOLOGY

LEVEL

RESISTANT

RESISTANT

SUPPORT

SUPPORT

68

Kelebihan Japanese

Candlestick

➢Indikator yang terkehadapan➢Pemberi signal yang jelas➢Boleh digunakan bersamaindikator yang lain➢Mengambarkan psikologi pedagang

HAMMER

SHOOTING STAR

72

SnR ZONE73

74

75

76

77

78

79

80