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National Foresight Project of Employment and Economic Development Centres (TE-Centres) In FinlandThe Role of TE-Centres in the Finnish Regional Foresight System
FUTURES WORKSHOP 7.6.2006
Reseacher Jouni MarttinenTE-Centre for Varsinais-SuomiPL 236, 20100 [email protected]
Jouni Marttinen 7.6.2006
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The project was launched 1998
Managed by Ministry of Labour, Finland Futures Research Centre, and MTI
Financed by European Social Fund (ESF), Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI)
Targets of the project:
to support and advise SMEs at the various stages of their life cycles
to promote technological development in enterprises and assist in matters associated with export activities and internationalisation
to implement regional labour policies
to plan and organise adult training within the official labour policy framework
to promote and develop farming and rural enterprise activities
to develop fisheries
to influence and participate in regional development in general
Employment and Economic Development Centres (TE-Centres) were established in 1997. TE-Centres are joint regional service centres of the Ministry of Trade and Industry, labour districts of the Ministry of Labour and the agricultural, forestry and fishery districts of the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry.
Support and Co-ordination project of TE-foresight
to develop a regional foresight system for the TE-Centres
to launch foresight activities in the TE-Centres
to integrate foresight into strategic planning and management systems of TE-ministries and TE-Centres (management by targets, EFQM, Balanced ScoreCard, Executive Information System)
to train experts of foresight in every TE-Centre
to develop foresight on a local and regional level in a way that makes it possible to utilise that information in the planning of national labour market- and economic development policy
Tasks of the TE-Centres
Launching Plans of Foresight of the Centresmapping the foresight knowledge needs
vision of the foresight system in the TE-Centres; focus, activities, recourses…
how to connect foresight into planning, decision making, and service processes
describing the co-operation and networking of local and regional actors
training the personnel for foresight and future thinking
REGIONAL FORESIGHT PROJECT at the Employment and Economic Development Centres in Finland
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FRAMEWORK OF THE FORESIGHT PROJECT OF TE-CENTRES IN FINLAND
COREPROSESSES
STRATEGICPLANNING
DESICIONS
SERVICES
FORESIGHTMETHODSACTIVITIES
DATA-BASES
PORTALSINTERPRETATIONUNDERSTANDING
ACTIONSDOCUMENTS
REPORTS
Jouni Marttinen 7.6.2006
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nd The questions when developing a foresight
system of TE-Centres?
• Why to do foresight?
• What is the focus of foresight?
• How to do foresight?
• When to do foresight?
• Who will do foresight?
• How to manage the foresight data, information and knowledge?
• What is the role of TE-Centres in regional and local foresight system?
Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006
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nd Conseption of Foresight (1) by Michel Godet
Anticipation
Appropriation
Action
FUTURE
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nd The conseption of TE-foresight (2)
* To produce systematically data, information and knowledge about future developments of the envirionment of TE-Centres; trends, weak signals, possibilities, threats…
* In foresight it is essential to make clear what the visions concerning the future signify in terms of current decisions and actions of TE-Centres.
* To regognize new potential business possibilities and changes in technology, working life, qualifications and social issues
Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006
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nd The Conseption of TE-foresight (3)
* • With foresight the aim is to make the future, not simply study it. For this reason it is important in foresight to bring together the key actors and to build networks between the actors. Methods that promote interaction and participation occupy a key role in foresight
* Ultimatelly foresight is used to support the development of the region as a whole, to strengthen regional innovation system and to promote the competitiveness and economic growth in a region
Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006
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nd The vision of TE-foresight 2010 (1)
Ministry of Trade and Industry; ’Integrating Foresight into the TE-Centres’ Activities – a Vision for 2010 and Development strategy’
The Finnish regional foresight system will be flexible and will meet the challanges and needs of the time. FS will be internationally esteemed and of a high standard. Foresight has become a core function of TE-Centres on which their planning, decision making and service processes are based
The foresight activities have been developed as products of high quality (EFQM)
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nd The vision of TE-foresight 2010 (2)
Finland has the best regional foresight system in Europe
in 2010
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Foresight methods and activities of TE-Centres in Finland
QUANTITATIVE METHODS QUALITATIVE METHODS
LT (Long term)- model; extrapolation
GDP, production/employment by industry
MITENNA-model
Occupations, wastage, educational needs
TKTT- model; interviews (employment offices)
Barometers
Min of Labour; interviews of firms
Min of Trade and Industry; BM of SME’s
Min of Agriculture; BM of Farms
& 20 others
ETLA; regional econometric model
GDP,production/employment by industrypopulation, migration
Scenarios
Delfoi
Megatrends
Weak signals
Clusteranalyses
Industrial teams of TE-Centres
EXPERT GROUPS (SWOT)
at local level
•TIME SPAN
•Long term
(5-15 years)
•Middle term
(2-5 years)
•Short term
(6 monhts-
2 years)
Jouni Marttinen, TE-Centre for Varsinais-Suomi. 3.6.2004
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TKTT-PROCESS IN THE TE-CENTRE FOR SOUTHWEST FINLAND
TRAINING INTERVIEWERSguidance, themes,
top-lists, analysises.
SELECTING INDUSRTIES -employment
offices/TE-CENTRE
STARTING THECAMPAIGN; lists for
interviewers
CONTACTINGCOMPANIES
EXPERT PANELSWOT-ANALYSIS.
INTERVIEWS-EMPL.OFF/EDUCAT
INSTITUT././PROJECTS
. SUMMARY REPORT
UTILIZATION OF INTERVIEWS II
-te-centres,empl..offices…
. INFORMING-companies, members of
panels, media
Jouni Marttinen 22.11.2005
MONITORING-MEASURES-INFLUENCE
. SUMMARY OF RESUTLS FOR EXPERT PANEL
UTILIZATION OF INTERVIEWS/ acute needs
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nd The themes of interviews (TKTT)
Job increases and job losses by occupation
Recruitment problems
Training needs by occupation
Changes in skills by occupation
Age structure and retirement
Plans in sub-contracting , networking and new business ideas
Economic situation now and after one year
Plans in outscoursing
Views in export
Investmen plans
R&D
Construction plans
Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006
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375383YHTEENSÄ
Sub region in Vakka-Suomi;Educational institutions, empl. offices, projects 10/05
3540Maintenance and services ofequipments and machines
Business dep. 5/062528Bakeries
Employm. Office in Salo. 3/063039Electronics
Empl. dep./training unit. 3/061721Car sale
Empl.dep/service unit. 3/066763Whole sale trade and Retail trade
Empl. dep./training unit. 9/055452Car repair/garage
Empl. Office in Salo22.6.05
2429Furniture and wood industry
Empl. Office in Kaarina6.6.05, Turku 19.10
8271Social Services
Employment office in Turku4140Advertising and media
interviewstarget
Expert groupInterviewsIndustry
Interviews (TKTT) in Southwest Finland 2005
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nd Interviews (TKTT) in Southwest Finland 2006
300YHTEENSÄ
Empl. Office in Turku22Safety services
39Restaurant services
Employment department37Cleaning services
Employment department54Welfare services
Empl. Office in Raisio33House construction
Employment Office in TurkuTwo groups
91Subcontracting networkof the shipyard (Aker)
InterviewsTarget
Expert groupInterviewsIndustry
Employment department
Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006
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nd Foresight databases and portals in
Finland (1)
National
1. Ministry of Labour
- Information Service and analyses (ISA)
- Management Information System (MIS); targets of employment offices
2. Ministry of Trade and Industry
- Industry OnLine (www.toimialaonline.fi)
- Customer Relations Management (CMR) – ASKO-TKTT- database
- Foresight forum; http://www.ennakointifoorumi.fi/
- Foresight portal of TE-Centres ; http://www2.te-keskus.fi/new/ennakointi/
3. Educational Board of Education
- Electronical Information System oh Foresight (ENSTI)
(http://www.oph.fi/SubPage.asp?path=1,443,3086,3987)
-
Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006
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nd Foresight databases and portals in
Finland (1)
Regional
Southwest Finland; www.luotain.fi
Pirkanmaa; www.pirkanmaanennakointipalvelu.info/java/Index
Northern Ostrobothnia; http://eennakointi.fi/
South Ostrobothnia; http://etelapohjanmaa.fi/ennakointi/
Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006
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The Role of TE-Centres in Regional Foresight
Jouni Marttinen 3. 6.2004
1. Co-ordination of local and regional foresight activies (Sectoral teams, expert groups, local employment strategies).
2. Promotion of networking.
3. Production of new future knowledge, knowledge management (portals,databases), open knowledge sharing (foresight service).
4. Development of new foresight activities.
5. Promotion on future thinking and training of foresight activities.
6. Financing of foresight activities.
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Challanges in developing regional foresight in Finland
Cooperation and coordination between ministries and TE-Centres,
Cooperation between the actors (TE-Centres, Regional Counsils, Educational Institutions) at regional level; there are official committees but no open forums.
The roles of regional and local actors in foresight.
The utilization of foresight data and knowledge in the core prcesses of regional and local actors.
Open sharing of foresight knowlewdge.
Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006
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Thank you for your attention !
Researcher Jouni Marttinen
www.te-keskus.fi
Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006
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