National Foresight Project of Employment and Economic Development Centres (TE-Centres) In Finland

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TE Centre for Southwest Finland National Foresight Project of Employment and Economic Development Centres (TE- Centres) In Finland The Role of TE-Centres in the Finnish Regional Foresight System FUTURES WORKSHOP 7.6.2006 Reseacher Jouni Marttinen TE-Centre for Varsinais-Suomi PL 236, 20100 Turku [email protected] Jouni Marttinen 7.6.2006

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National Foresight Project of Employment and Economic Development Centres (TE-Centres) In Finland The Role of TE-Centres in the Finnish Regional Foresight System FUTURES WORKSHOP 7.6.2006 Reseacher Jouni Marttinen TE-Centre for Varsinais-Suomi PL 236, 20100 Turku [email protected]. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of National Foresight Project of Employment and Economic Development Centres (TE-Centres) In Finland

Page 1: National Foresight Project of Employment and Economic Development Centres (TE-Centres) In Finland

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National Foresight Project of Employment and Economic Development Centres (TE-Centres) In FinlandThe Role of TE-Centres in the Finnish Regional Foresight System

FUTURES WORKSHOP 7.6.2006

Reseacher Jouni MarttinenTE-Centre for Varsinais-SuomiPL 236, 20100 [email protected]

Jouni Marttinen 7.6.2006

Page 2: National Foresight Project of Employment and Economic Development Centres (TE-Centres) In Finland

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The project was launched 1998

Managed by Ministry of Labour, Finland Futures Research Centre, and MTI

Financed by European Social Fund (ESF), Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI)

Targets of the project:

to support and advise SMEs at the various stages of their life cycles

to promote technological development in enterprises and assist in matters associated with export activities and internationalisation

to implement regional labour policies

to plan and organise adult training within the official labour policy framework

to promote and develop farming and rural enterprise activities

to develop fisheries

to influence and participate in regional development in general

Employment and Economic Development Centres (TE-Centres) were established in 1997. TE-Centres are joint regional service centres of the Ministry of Trade and Industry, labour districts of the Ministry of Labour and the agricultural, forestry and fishery districts of the Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry.

Support and Co-ordination project of TE-foresight

to develop a regional foresight system for the TE-Centres

to launch foresight activities in the TE-Centres

to integrate foresight into strategic planning and management systems of TE-ministries and TE-Centres (management by targets, EFQM, Balanced ScoreCard, Executive Information System)

to train experts of foresight in every TE-Centre

to develop foresight on a local and regional level in a way that makes it possible to utilise that information in the planning of national labour market- and economic development policy

Tasks of the TE-Centres

Launching Plans of Foresight of the Centresmapping the foresight knowledge needs

vision of the foresight system in the TE-Centres; focus, activities, recourses…

how to connect foresight into planning, decision making, and service processes

describing the co-operation and networking of local and regional actors

training the personnel for foresight and future thinking

REGIONAL FORESIGHT PROJECT at the Employment and Economic Development Centres in Finland

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FRAMEWORK OF THE FORESIGHT PROJECT OF TE-CENTRES IN FINLAND

COREPROSESSES

STRATEGICPLANNING

DESICIONS

SERVICES

FORESIGHTMETHODSACTIVITIES

DATA-BASES

PORTALSINTERPRETATIONUNDERSTANDING

ACTIONSDOCUMENTS

REPORTS

Jouni Marttinen 7.6.2006

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nd The questions when developing a foresight

system of TE-Centres?

• Why to do foresight?

• What is the focus of foresight?

• How to do foresight?

• When to do foresight?

• Who will do foresight?

• How to manage the foresight data, information and knowledge?

• What is the role of TE-Centres in regional and local foresight system?

Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006

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nd Conseption of Foresight (1) by Michel Godet

Anticipation

Appropriation

Action

FUTURE

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nd The conseption of TE-foresight (2)

* To produce systematically data, information and knowledge about future developments of the envirionment of TE-Centres; trends, weak signals, possibilities, threats…

* In foresight it is essential to make clear what the visions concerning the future signify in terms of current decisions and actions of TE-Centres.

* To regognize new potential business possibilities and changes in technology, working life, qualifications and social issues

Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006

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nd The Conseption of TE-foresight (3)

* • With foresight the aim is to make the future, not simply study it. For this reason it is important in foresight to bring together the key actors and to build networks between the actors. Methods that promote interaction and participation occupy a key role in foresight

* Ultimatelly foresight is used to support the development of the region as a whole, to strengthen regional innovation system and to promote the competitiveness and economic growth in a region

Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006

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nd The vision of TE-foresight 2010 (1)

Ministry of Trade and Industry; ’Integrating Foresight into the TE-Centres’ Activities – a Vision for 2010 and Development strategy’

The Finnish regional foresight system will be flexible and will meet the challanges and needs of the time. FS will be internationally esteemed and of a high standard. Foresight has become a core function of TE-Centres on which their planning, decision making and service processes are based

The foresight activities have been developed as products of high quality (EFQM)

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nd The vision of TE-foresight 2010 (2)

Finland has the best regional foresight system in Europe

in 2010

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Foresight methods and activities of TE-Centres in Finland

QUANTITATIVE METHODS QUALITATIVE METHODS

LT (Long term)- model; extrapolation

GDP, production/employment by industry

MITENNA-model

Occupations, wastage, educational needs

TKTT- model; interviews (employment offices)

Barometers

Min of Labour; interviews of firms

Min of Trade and Industry; BM of SME’s

Min of Agriculture; BM of Farms

& 20 others

ETLA; regional econometric model

GDP,production/employment by industrypopulation, migration

Scenarios

Delfoi

Megatrends

Weak signals

Clusteranalyses

Industrial teams of TE-Centres

EXPERT GROUPS (SWOT)

at local level

•TIME SPAN

•Long term

(5-15 years)

•Middle term

(2-5 years)

•Short term

(6 monhts-

2 years)

Jouni Marttinen, TE-Centre for Varsinais-Suomi. 3.6.2004

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TKTT-PROCESS IN THE TE-CENTRE FOR SOUTHWEST FINLAND

TRAINING INTERVIEWERSguidance, themes,

top-lists, analysises.

SELECTING INDUSRTIES -employment

offices/TE-CENTRE

STARTING THECAMPAIGN; lists for

interviewers

CONTACTINGCOMPANIES

EXPERT PANELSWOT-ANALYSIS.

INTERVIEWS-EMPL.OFF/EDUCAT

INSTITUT././PROJECTS

. SUMMARY REPORT

UTILIZATION OF INTERVIEWS II

-te-centres,empl..offices…

. INFORMING-companies, members of

panels, media

Jouni Marttinen 22.11.2005

MONITORING-MEASURES-INFLUENCE

. SUMMARY OF RESUTLS FOR EXPERT PANEL

UTILIZATION OF INTERVIEWS/ acute needs

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nd The themes of interviews (TKTT)

Job increases and job losses by occupation

Recruitment problems

Training needs by occupation

Changes in skills by occupation

Age structure and retirement

Plans in sub-contracting , networking and new business ideas

Economic situation now and after one year

Plans in outscoursing

Views in export

Investmen plans

R&D

Construction plans

Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006

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375383YHTEENSÄ

Sub region in Vakka-Suomi;Educational institutions, empl. offices, projects 10/05

3540Maintenance and services ofequipments and machines

Business dep. 5/062528Bakeries

Employm. Office in Salo. 3/063039Electronics

Empl. dep./training unit. 3/061721Car sale

Empl.dep/service unit. 3/066763Whole sale trade and Retail trade

Empl. dep./training unit. 9/055452Car repair/garage

Empl. Office in Salo22.6.05

2429Furniture and wood industry

Empl. Office in Kaarina6.6.05, Turku 19.10

8271Social Services

Employment office in Turku4140Advertising and media

interviewstarget

Expert groupInterviewsIndustry

Interviews (TKTT) in Southwest Finland 2005

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nd Interviews (TKTT) in Southwest Finland 2006

300YHTEENSÄ

Empl. Office in Turku22Safety services

39Restaurant services

Employment department37Cleaning services

Employment department54Welfare services

Empl. Office in Raisio33House construction

Employment Office in TurkuTwo groups

91Subcontracting networkof the shipyard (Aker)

InterviewsTarget

Expert groupInterviewsIndustry

Employment department

Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006

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nd Foresight databases and portals in

Finland (1)

National

1. Ministry of Labour

- Information Service and analyses (ISA)

- Management Information System (MIS); targets of employment offices

2. Ministry of Trade and Industry

- Industry OnLine (www.toimialaonline.fi)

- Customer Relations Management (CMR) – ASKO-TKTT- database

- Foresight forum; http://www.ennakointifoorumi.fi/

- Foresight portal of TE-Centres ; http://www2.te-keskus.fi/new/ennakointi/

3. Educational Board of Education

- Electronical Information System oh Foresight (ENSTI)

(http://www.oph.fi/SubPage.asp?path=1,443,3086,3987)

-

Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006

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nd Foresight databases and portals in

Finland (1)

Regional

Southwest Finland; www.luotain.fi

Pirkanmaa; www.pirkanmaanennakointipalvelu.info/java/Index

Northern Ostrobothnia; http://eennakointi.fi/

South Ostrobothnia; http://etelapohjanmaa.fi/ennakointi/

Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006

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The Role of TE-Centres in Regional Foresight

Jouni Marttinen 3. 6.2004

1. Co-ordination of local and regional foresight activies (Sectoral teams, expert groups, local employment strategies).

2. Promotion of networking.

3. Production of new future knowledge, knowledge management (portals,databases), open knowledge sharing (foresight service).

4. Development of new foresight activities.

5. Promotion on future thinking and training of foresight activities.

6. Financing of foresight activities.

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Challanges in developing regional foresight in Finland

Cooperation and coordination between ministries and TE-Centres,

Cooperation between the actors (TE-Centres, Regional Counsils, Educational Institutions) at regional level; there are official committees but no open forums.

The roles of regional and local actors in foresight.

The utilization of foresight data and knowledge in the core prcesses of regional and local actors.

Open sharing of foresight knowlewdge.

Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006

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Thank you for your attention !

Researcher Jouni Marttinen

[email protected]

www.te-keskus.fi

Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006