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Page 1: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

Motivation• Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol

Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results).• Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime”

airmass should develop sooner and precipitate on the upwind slope. Precipitation in continental aerosols should be displaced downwind (if it develops at all).

• Cloud tops in continental runs should be cooler, as slower diffusional growth is favored over growth processes occurring through collisions.

Page 2: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

Set-Up

• First set of simulations was done with liquid only microphysical processes.

• Grid spacing was 3 km.

Page 3: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (LZW) decompressor

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Figure 1

Page 4: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

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Figure 2

Page 5: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (LZW) decompressor

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Figure 3

Page 6: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (LZW) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Figure 4

Page 7: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (LZW) decompressor

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Figure 5

Page 8: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (LZW) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Figure 6

Page 9: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (LZW) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Figure 7

Page 10: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (LZW) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Figure 8

Page 11: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (LZW) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Figure 9

Page 12: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (LZW) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Figure 10

Page 13: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (LZW) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Figure 11

Page 14: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (LZW) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Figure 12

Page 15: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

Perhaps

• We need a source of aerosols to replace those scavenged.

• Simulation redone with constant (source of), continental aerosols.

Page 16: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

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Scavenging of aerosols leads to lower clouds with warmer cloud top temperatures (but dynamics more important).

Figure 13

Page 17: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (LZW) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Figure 14

Page 18: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (LZW) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Figure 15

Page 19: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (LZW) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Figure 16

Page 20: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

Model Restarted

• Simulations with maritime and continental aerosols, starting from the same initial conditions at 16 GMT

Page 21: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

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Ice processes

Figure 17

Some enhancement of precip.

Page 22: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

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Page 23: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (LZW) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (LZW) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

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Page 24: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

Summary Part II:

• Initially, deep clouds over a mountainous terrain in a maritime environment produce more rain than clouds in a continental environment.

• Over time, the clouds in a continental environment produce more rain.

Page 25: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

Explanation?

• Scavenging of large aerosols allows continental air mass to evolve towards a maritime condition.

• Differences in cloud height support this. • Yet, even with constant aerosols in a

continental environment, precipitation from clouds in this environment is more than in the maritime/continental simulation

Page 26: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

Shallow clouds (should) conform to theory?

• Differences in precipitation from shallow clouds developed much the same way as deep clouds (but effect was proportionally more important).

• Cloud top heights were cooler in maritime simulation than in continental simulation?

• Including ice processes does not change the result.

• “Real world” is more complex than prevailing theory and results from 2d simulations.

Page 27: Motivation Sensitivity of Precipitation to Aerosol Concentration. (Based partly on 2 d results). Theory: Precipitation occurring in a “maritime” airmass.

Ongoing and Future Work

• Coupling of SBM in WRF (NSF SGER)

• Further investigation of aerosol effects on precipitation (PIER, Israeli Science Foundation, ANTISTORM)

• Development of hybrid SBM bulk microphysical model (?)