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More Connectivity, More Reality and More Intelligence
April 7, 2005
Makoto Yokozawa
Senior Consultant, Nomura Research Institute(Visiting Professor at Kyoto Univ.)
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On the way here, 10,000 meters above Russia
was an ubiquitous flight.
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The Ubiquitous Network from SupplierThe Ubiquitous Network from Supplier’’s Point of Views Point of View
Mainframe
Server
PC
PC
PC
PC
Digital TV sets
Set-top box home servers
Video games
PDAs
Cell phones
Car navigation systems
Internet
Information appliances
Multi-media kiosksMobile PC
IPv6IPv6 Intelligent vending machines
BroadbandFTTH, xDSL, CATV, FWA,
3-G cellphones, Digital broadcasting, etc.
Electronic tag sensors/actuators
CSS
Web computing
WS
Blue Tooth, IEEE1394, Wireless LANITS, Electrical light cable networks,
wireless tags, etc.PC
Servers
MobilePC
The Ubiquitous Network
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The World of the The World of the ““Exotic NetworkExotic Network””
The Exotic Network
Wearable
Holodeck VR ROOM
Time Machine
Smart-dust
Bio-signalingElectronic Paper
Space Communication
DNA-chip
Quantum ICT
Unlimited Imagination
Hyper-warp engine
Energize/Materialize Transporter
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““Frontier TechnologFrontier Technologiesies”” in the pastin the past
1.Embedded Wireless
2.SOC
3.Formal Verific
ation
4.Synergy between Tech and Culture (e.g. storytelling)
5.Post-Silicon Computing (Bio-Quantum)
6.Is your Computer Alive? (Androids)
7.Nano-technology (or "m
olecular and quantum computing")
8.Mobile Computing
9.Pervasive Computing
10. Automatic Self-repair (reconfigurable)
11. Perverive Computing
12. Microscopic Systems
13. Replacing Paper
14. Sub-micron Machines
15. Semiformal and Formal Spec--integration
16. Hew HCI (voice control)
17. Human Information Interaction
18. Bio-informatics
19. Future Forums
1.Wireless Sensor Networks
2.Injectable Tissue Engineering
3.Nano Solar Cells
4.Mechatronics
5.Grid Computing
6.Molecular Imaging
7.Nanoimprint Lithography
8.Software Assurance
9.Glycomics
10.Quantum Cryptography
1.Life sciences, genomics and biotechnology for health
. Advanced genomics and its applications for health
. Combatting major diseases
2. Information Society technologies
3. Nanotechnologies and nano-sciences, knowledge-based multifunctionalmaterials and new production processes and devices
4. Aeronautics and space
5. Food quality and safety
6. Sustainable development, global change and ecosystems
. Sustainable energy systems
. Sustainable surface transport
. Global change and ecosystems
7. Citizens and governance in a knowledge-based society
8. Specific activities covering a wider field of research
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UbN Future 1) Connectivity
• Ubiquitous Network, a set of transformation of society.– whenever, whoever, wherever,
whatever . . . . , however,– Need years to have unlimited
Connectivity even in the most advanced countries.
– The Ubiquitous Network will be a frontier towards the year 2010.
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Cupper Network
・PC
Start of the Internet PenetrationStart of the Internet Penetration
・ Printer・PC ・Server
(analogue communication)
●
・Modem●
・
~10cm~1m~10m~100m
~10cm
~1m
~10m
~100m
・ Handheld terminal
・DSU
Leased line(ISDN etc.)
・PC
・Server
●
・DSUISDN
ISDN
Entrance・Garden
Bath
Bedroom
Kitchen
Living room
Work fromHome
In the House
In the Office
At Own Desk
Meeting &Conference
Receive Visitors
StorefrontOut of the House
Entertainment(Cinema, Watching sports)
Mobile Work Place
Shopping
Visiting(Hospital、Public Service
Office etc.)
On the Move
Traveling
Commuting
Customer Call
・Printer
・Modem
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~100m
・Video camera
WLL
・PC・Server
GPS
Cell phone
Cell phone
3G Cell phone
3GCell phone
●
PC ・
Cell phone
・PC
3G/3.5GCell phone
・PC
●
3G Cel
l phon
e
●
・Gateway
●
●
●
Cell phone
●
Backbone network
GPS
●
On the Move In the House
Out of the House In the Office
Entrance・Garden
Bath
Bedroom
Kitchen
Living room
Work fromHome
At Own Desk
Meeting &Conference
Receive Visitors
Storefront
Entertainment(Cinema, Watching sports)
Mobile Work Place
Traveling
Commuting
Customer Call
Cell phone
Shopping
GPS ●
・Car
・PDA
3G/3.5G, Cell phone
・Cell phone
・Cell phone
・Car
・Bus/Delivery track
●Satellite communication
Cell phone
3.5G Cell phone
Cell phone3.5G Cell phone
・Cell phone
Cell phone
・PDA
3.5 G
3G Cell
phone
●
●
・Car navigation system
・Handheld terminal
・Cash register(POS)
Visiting(Hospital、Public Service
Office etc.)
・Mobile PC
FTTH
●
・Cell phone
3.5G Cell phone
・MMK
●
●
・Cell phone・Information KIOSK
●
~1m~10m~100m ~10cm・Cell phone●
GPS
●
●
●
Cell phone
・IP phone
FTTH
・Gateway
・Mobile PC
・Mobile PC
IEEE802.11a/g
●・IP phone
・PC ・Server
・Gateway
FTTH
・MMKFTTH
●
・Printer ・Gateway
・Mobile PC
・IP phone
●
FTTH● ・Printer ・Gateway
・IP phone
・Mobile PC
IEEE802.11b
・MMK
・IC card
・Automatic ticket gate
3G Cell phone
・IP phone
FTTH・Game machine
・DVD ●
IEEE802.11a/g
・Printer
Satellite communication
・Gateway
●
3.5G C
ell ph
one
IEEEE802.11a/g
●
FTTH
●Hot spot
DSRC
・Headset
Bluetooth
3G Cell phone
●Digital broadcasting
・Hot spot
ZigBee
・Car・Car navigation system
●
FTTH
・Train
・Airplane
Satellite communication
IEEE802.1
1a/
g
● ●
●
Cell phone
3G Cell
phone
Cell phone
3G Cell phone
●
IEEE802.11a/g
IEEE80
2.11a/
g・Rack
・Document(RFID)
・Lighting・Air conditioner
・Sensor・Air conditioner
●
Digital broadcasting
・Medical equipment
・IC card
・PSA
・Price tag Display・
・Sensor・Air conditioner
・Lighting
・Sensor
・Storage
・Display rack
・Goods(RFID)
IEEE802.11a/g
MAN
●
IEEE802.11b・Multifunction copier
・Air conditioner・Sensor
・Book shelves
・Lighting
・Air conditioner・Sensor・Lighting
・Lighting
・Bookshelf・Book(RFID)
・Air conditioner
・Lighting
・Air conditioner
・Digital TV set
・Web camera ・Web camera
・Projector
・Web camera
・Audio
●Digital broadcasting
・Refrigerator
・Food (RFID)
Lighting ・Electric potRice cooker
・Air conditioner
・Clothes(RFID)
・Home server・Sensor
Bath tab
・Clothes washer
・Sensor
・Garage
・Web camera
・Own car
・garden sprinkler
・Shutter
・Sensor・Lighting
・Ubiquitous terminal
・Ubiquitousterminal
・Ubiquitousterminal
~10cm
●
ADSL
●
ADSL・Modem
●
・IC card
・Gateway
●
GPS
GPS
●
Power line network
●Cell phone
FTTH ●
・Lan at Home
・Network at Office
・In-house
network
・In-house network
・Multi tenant broadband access
UWB
・Gateway・Modem
・Mobile PC
IEEE802.11a/g
・Printer ・Mobile PC
・Microwave
・Closet
The Ubiquitous The Ubiquitous NetworkNetwork
・Gateway
Car navigation system・Cloth drier
・IP phone
Web camera
・Automatic ticket gate
・Car navigation system
・Ubiquitous terminal
Document/Book (RFID)
Video camera
Ticket-vending machine
・PDA
・In-store network
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The Ubiquitous NetworkThe Ubiquitous Network--A PartA Part• 2010, the year of the framework completion
• still need seamless integration of connectivity
• Transparent connectivitywill increase the hours of networked human activity
•The number of UbN’edscenes in life, work and business will be the key inthe next stage
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The The ““UbiqUbiq. Hours. Hours””• a measure of social ubiquity of the information network• one individual connected to the Ubiquitous/broadband network
for one hour = one ubiq. hour (hru)
1993 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Estimated ubiq. hours per year worldwide [hru]
xx
Population ceiling < ~1010
Numbers are by imagination beyond 2005
“Whoever” factorSome 107 each in all advanced nations
“Whenever” factor3hr/day x 365 = ~103
“Good Night” ceiling < ~104
including “subconscious connectivity”[hru]
1014
1013
1012
1011
1010
109
108
107
106
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More ConnectivityMore Connectivity• Ubiquitous network industry needs “Connectivity”• Beyond the year 2010, “Whenever” for advanced countries• Still need “Whoever” effort for other countries
0 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.0 x 1011
Connectivity based market expansion
PO
TE
NT
IAL
MA
RK
ET
(arb
itra
ry u
nit)
The Network Effect comes in the combination
of [hru]
[hru]Social Ubiquity
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UbN Future 2) Reality
• Connectivity needs “R”– Robotics, RFID, Software Radio, Real world …..– Subconscious Connectivity : while you are
…ing.• while you are sleeping• while you are driving• while you are flying• while you are in Geneva …….will need connectable real world environments
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PC desksKitchen
living room
In the homes
cash registers
shelves and kiosks
Shopping
Outdoors
無線
wireless
Outside of homesAlways On the Network
Office
meeting visitors
Desks
in-transitconferenceswireless
In transit
commuting, leisure
Business trips, sales and leisure (33 minutes)
wireless
wireless
TheThe InternetInternet
warehouses
children’s rooms
wireless
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Source: MIC u-Japan Policy Overview, 2005
RealworldRealworld ubiquityubiquity
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UbN Future 3) Intelligence
• Reality needs “I”– Intelligence, innovation, inspiration,
intercultural …..– Intelligent ubiquity will remove long
queues at clinics, ticketing offices, elevators, immigrations as ITS is to reduce traffic jams
– Innovative communication will accelerate value creation
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ICTICT’’ss elemental functionselemental functions
Mechanical Engineering
Actuators
Sensors
Emotion
Communication
Memory/StorageInnovation
Presentation
Transportation
20th Century
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QueueQueue--free societyfree societyGOAL
Smooth traffic
unorganized mismatch
All “mismatch” problems in the human society can be potentially solved by intelligent and ubiquitous network
RFIDs and sensor networks and intelligent control systems
START
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Intercultural communicationIntercultural communicationLess competition and more collaboration will benefit the global economy
EAST ASIA (Kanji and chopsticks based culture) will be a good testbed
•Machine translation•Knowledgebase•Cross-cultural collaboration platform•Semantics
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Innovation engineeringInnovation engineering
•Digital archive could be an idea amplifier
•Tacit knowledge communication will make the Ubiquitous network a common meeting ground
•From simple communication to reciprocity-based community
•Knowledge community•Community money system(“Time Dollar”)•Weblogs
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Concluding remarksConcluding remarksMORE CONNECTIVITY
Develops potential communication demands
MORE REALITYResolves problems in the real world
MORE INTELLIGENCE
Changes the society like “no one has gone before”
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