Brandon Honey
Brandon Lee
David LightPresented December 4, 2008
Watch List Items
Chesapeake Energy Corporation(NYSE: CHK)
Overview
• General Corporate Information
• Strategy
• Natural Gas Background
• Trends
• Thesis
General Corporate Information
• Largest independent producer of natural gas in the US– Third largest overall in US
• Headquartered in Oklahoma City, OK
Strategy
• Build one of the largest onshore natural gas resource bases in the US
• Focuses on:– Exploratory and Developmental Drilling– Corporate and Property Acquisitions
• De-emphasized to focus on drilling• Medium/Small companies
Strategy
• Growth from drilling
• Control substantial land and drilling location inventories– “Land grab” leasehold program
• Develop proprietary technological advantages– Largest inventory of 3-D seismic information
Strategy• Focus on low costs
– Minimize lease operating costs– Minimize SG&A
• Mitigate commodity price risk– Hedging
• Improve balance sheet– Debt as a percentage of total capitalization was 47%
in 2007 compared to 137% in 1998• Financing
– Convertible preferred used to be primary method– Now gets capital by selling stakes in producing
properties
Natural Gas
• Clean, Abundant, Affordable, American
• Fastest growing energy source since the 1970’s– 120 year supply in US
• Cleanest Hydrocarbon in the world– Less CO2 emissions than coal– No mercury or particulate emissions
Natural Gas
• Cost of building a plant is 25% of building a capital intensive coal-fired power plant
• Affordability depends on– Abundance, reliability, efficiency, cost of alternative
sources of energy– Market forces
• Most drilling activity in 25 years• 98% of the natural gas used domestically is from
the US or Canada– 60% of oil is imported
Trends
• Provides an alternative to imported oil– Less subject to supply disruptions
• 22% of municipal bus systems in US rely on compressed natural gas
• Growing interest for compressed natural gas use in taxis and refuse trucks
• Auto manufacturers pressured to produce green energy efficient cars
• Utilities are choosing natural gas over coal more often for electricity
• Possible Carbon Tax• Tax credits for those cities and individuals using natural
gas vehicles
5-Year Basic Chart
Natural Gas
Thesis
Pros• Natural Gas usage will increase
– Continued stable demand from power plants– Huge upside if nat gas cars are adopted– White House support
• Well positioned in the right regions
Concerns• Liquidity• Natural Gas prices
Please Watch
• Current Price (12/1/2008): $15.00
• Model Valuation:
Top Related