Workshop on climatic analysis and mapping for agriculture (14-17 june 2005, Bologna, Italy)

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Federico Spanna: Regione Piemonte - Agrometeorological Service [email protected] Alberto Rainero: S.I.T. – Alessandria County Council [email protected] Workshop on climatic analysis and mapping for agriculture (14-17 june 2005, Bologna, Italy)

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Workshop on climatic analysis and mapping for agriculture (14-17 june 2005, Bologna, Italy). The multivariate and multi-regressive techniques in the spatial representation of agrometeorological data for the Piedmont (North-West Italy) areas. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Workshop on climatic analysis and mapping for agriculture (14-17 june 2005, Bologna, Italy)

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Federico Spanna: Regione Piemonte - Agrometeorological Service [email protected] Rainero: S.I.T. – Alessandria County [email protected]

Workshop on climatic analysis and mapping for agriculture (14-17 june 2005, Bologna, Italy)

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ContentsContents

• Context, aim, method • Multivariate analysis

• Spatial representation

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Territorial Territorial representationrepresentation

Contoured map showing elevation

50 % mountainous30 % plain20 % hill

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Distribution of meteorological Distribution of meteorological stationsstations

150 agrometeorological stations (RAM)300 hydrographic station

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AimAim

Georepresentation of agrometeorological variables

as influenced by land morphology

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MethodologyMethodology

• Analysis and selection of main morphological informations

• Individuation of homogeneous agrometeorological areas (multivariate analysis)• Spatial representation (statistical multiregressive analysis)

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ContentsContents

• Context, aim, method

• Multivariate analysis • Spatial representation

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Morphological features:Morphological features:1- agrarian landscape 1- agrarian landscape

mapmap

3 perceptive levelsScale 1:100.000CultivationAgrariantrend

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Morphological features: Morphological features: 2 – soil yield 2 – soil yield

Scale 1:100.0009 classes

Potential soil use for crops

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Morphological features: Morphological features: 3 – 3 – Corine coverageCorine coverage

Actual soil useScale 1:100.00044 classes

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Morphological features: Morphological features: 4 - morphology4 - morphology

HeightSlopeExposureDistance from valley bottom

Piedmont Digital ElevationModel (DEM)Scale 1:100.000

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Territorial information Territorial information foundfound

Multivariate analysis

Homogeneous areas features

SlopeExposureHeightYield soil useCorine coverage

Description of morphological and topological parameters

Categorical qualitative table

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Aggregation classesAggregation classes

92 stations

91 typologies

8 cluster(homogeneous areas)

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Objective functionObjective function

8 areas

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ContentsContents

• Context, aim, method• Multivariate analysis • Spatial representation

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Homogeneous areas Homogeneous areas representationrepresentation

Watershed

Borough boundaries

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Spatial interpolation Spatial interpolation AlgorithmAlgorithm

Station cluster Influence territorial area

Meteo information M

Morphological parameters xi

Morphological parameters

Meteo information synthesis

M=F(xi) ?

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Multiregressive Multiregressive analysisanalysis

M = F(xi)

M = kp*H + kd*S + ke*E + kq*D

Meteo information: dependent variable M

Morphological variables: independentH, S , E , D

Multiple regression

Height, Slope, Exposure, River bed distance

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+H *kh+S *ks

Substrata Substrata superpositionsuperposition

M

+E *ke+D *kd

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Coefficient explorationCoefficient exploration

Sample Dependentvariable

Performance(R2 )Period

All (92) station

Mean of T min 2003 0,139

Area 1Stations

Mean of T min february 0,791

Area 1Stations

Mean ofT max autumn 0,784

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Traditional Traditional representationrepresentation

Field ofTemperature

range

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AstiAstiArea 1Area 1

Mean of T min - 2003

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““Barolo” AreaBarolo” Area Mean of T min – 02/03

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““Barolo” Barolo” AreaArea

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Asti andAsti andCuneo ProvinceCuneo ProvinceArea 2Area 2

Mean of T mean - Spring 02/03

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ASTI andASTI andCuneo ProvinceCuneo ProvinceArea 2Area 2

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ConclusionsConclusions

Innovative and significant methodology for a “young”agrometeorological regionMap developing of the most important climatic indexes (ex. Winkler, Huglin, Thermal excursions etc.)

Production of useful supports for local advisors and farmers

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BackupBackup

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Area Area del Barolodel Barolo

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Aree Aree dell’Astigiano dell’Astigiano e del Cuneesee del Cuneese

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Area Area dell’Astigianodell’Astigiano