Elisabetta Carfagna Professor, University of Bologna, Italy [email protected]
Workshop on climatic analysis and mapping for agriculture (14-17 june 2005, Bologna, Italy)
description
Transcript of Workshop on climatic analysis and mapping for agriculture (14-17 june 2005, Bologna, Italy)
Federico Spanna: Regione Piemonte - Agrometeorological Service [email protected] Rainero: S.I.T. – Alessandria County [email protected]
Workshop on climatic analysis and mapping for agriculture (14-17 june 2005, Bologna, Italy)
ContentsContents
• Context, aim, method • Multivariate analysis
• Spatial representation
Territorial Territorial representationrepresentation
Contoured map showing elevation
50 % mountainous30 % plain20 % hill
Distribution of meteorological Distribution of meteorological stationsstations
150 agrometeorological stations (RAM)300 hydrographic station
AimAim
Georepresentation of agrometeorological variables
as influenced by land morphology
MethodologyMethodology
• Analysis and selection of main morphological informations
• Individuation of homogeneous agrometeorological areas (multivariate analysis)• Spatial representation (statistical multiregressive analysis)
ContentsContents
• Context, aim, method
• Multivariate analysis • Spatial representation
Morphological features:Morphological features:1- agrarian landscape 1- agrarian landscape
mapmap
3 perceptive levelsScale 1:100.000CultivationAgrariantrend
Morphological features: Morphological features: 2 – soil yield 2 – soil yield
Scale 1:100.0009 classes
Potential soil use for crops
Morphological features: Morphological features: 3 – 3 – Corine coverageCorine coverage
Actual soil useScale 1:100.00044 classes
Morphological features: Morphological features: 4 - morphology4 - morphology
HeightSlopeExposureDistance from valley bottom
Piedmont Digital ElevationModel (DEM)Scale 1:100.000
Territorial information Territorial information foundfound
Multivariate analysis
Homogeneous areas features
SlopeExposureHeightYield soil useCorine coverage
Description of morphological and topological parameters
Categorical qualitative table
Aggregation classesAggregation classes
92 stations
91 typologies
8 cluster(homogeneous areas)
Objective functionObjective function
8 areas
ContentsContents
• Context, aim, method• Multivariate analysis • Spatial representation
Homogeneous areas Homogeneous areas representationrepresentation
Watershed
Borough boundaries
Spatial interpolation Spatial interpolation AlgorithmAlgorithm
Station cluster Influence territorial area
Meteo information M
Morphological parameters xi
Morphological parameters
Meteo information synthesis
M=F(xi) ?
Multiregressive Multiregressive analysisanalysis
M = F(xi)
M = kp*H + kd*S + ke*E + kq*D
Meteo information: dependent variable M
Morphological variables: independentH, S , E , D
Multiple regression
Height, Slope, Exposure, River bed distance
+H *kh+S *ks
Substrata Substrata superpositionsuperposition
M
+E *ke+D *kd
Coefficient explorationCoefficient exploration
Sample Dependentvariable
Performance(R2 )Period
All (92) station
Mean of T min 2003 0,139
Area 1Stations
Mean of T min february 0,791
Area 1Stations
Mean ofT max autumn 0,784
Traditional Traditional representationrepresentation
Field ofTemperature
range
AstiAstiArea 1Area 1
Mean of T min - 2003
““Barolo” AreaBarolo” Area Mean of T min – 02/03
““Barolo” Barolo” AreaArea
Asti andAsti andCuneo ProvinceCuneo ProvinceArea 2Area 2
Mean of T mean - Spring 02/03
ASTI andASTI andCuneo ProvinceCuneo ProvinceArea 2Area 2
ConclusionsConclusions
Innovative and significant methodology for a “young”agrometeorological regionMap developing of the most important climatic indexes (ex. Winkler, Huglin, Thermal excursions etc.)
Production of useful supports for local advisors and farmers
BackupBackup
Area Area del Barolodel Barolo
Aree Aree dell’Astigiano dell’Astigiano e del Cuneesee del Cuneese
Area Area dell’Astigianodell’Astigiano