With 99.99% probability, you ARE the father - CRITFC · 2012/12/7 · Broodstock sampled 5,151...
Transcript of With 99.99% probability, you ARE the father - CRITFC · 2012/12/7 · Broodstock sampled 5,151...
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Parentage analysis
Similar techniques as those used in human parentage testing!
With 99.99% probability, you ARE the father
• Every person receives a unique set of genetic information from their parents - half from Mom and half from Dad
• Different approaches depending on goals and system- Exclusion, likelihood
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Parentage analysis, exclusion approach
1.) Determine multi-locus genotypes for all potential mothers, fathers, and offspring
2.) A parent must share at least 1 allele at every locus with a potential offspring
Offspring Candidate parents
??
2
3
4
5
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Parentage analysis, exclusion approach
Possible outcomes:
1.) All, but one parent-pair, are excluded Assign parentage
2.) More than one parent cannot be excluded
Need more loci or use another approach (i.e., likelihood)
3.) All potential parents are excluded Un-sampled parents
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What do we need for parentage analysis?
Powerful set of loci- simulations to evaluate power- empirical test using known parent-offspring
Ass
ign
men
t ra
te t
o
corr
ect
par
ent(
s)
# microsatellite loci
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Marker type # loci needed Variability
Microsatellites Usually few
n ~ 12-15
High
many alleles
SNPs Many
n > 60
Low
bi-allelic
Genetic markers
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What do we need for parentage analysis?
Sampling of most potential parents- trap fish as they return to spawn- trap below majority of spawninghabitat
- carcass surveys can recoverun-sampled fish
Sampling a parent genetically ‘tags’ ALL of that individual’s offspring
Crossed in a hatchery or mated in the wild
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Representative sample of offspring- Sample as adults or juveniles
What do we need for parentage analysis?
http://fish101-spring2011.community.uaf.edu/page/5/
http://gorgenewscenter.com/57/
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Example project using parentage analysis
Parentage based tagging (SNPs)
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What is parentage based tagging (PBT)?
• Genetic tagging of hatchery broodstock = can identify hatchery of origin and age for ANY offspring produced
• Passive mark (no handling of juveniles)
• Nearly 100% tagging rate of hatchery fish
• Eliminates issues with tag loss, tag detection, handling mortality
• Non-lethal sample to recover tag from offspring
Genetic tags (PBT)
Hatchery broodstock
offspring
AdultJuvenile
X
Stock contribution to various fisheries Survival trends Escapement estimatesOrigin of strays and kelts
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• Sample all hatchery broodstock:~5,000 steelhead/yr~9,000 Chinook salmon/yr
• Parental sampling complete for 2008 -2011, 2012 ongoing
Snake River basin PBT
• Permanently “tag” ~20 million smolts/yr
• All hatcheries record spawn dates and gender (many provide lengths and spawn cross)
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BY2008
or
Sampling PBT-tagged offspring
Age Hatchery Parents
Sawtooth Hatchery
adultsjuveniles
Non-lethal tissue sample
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Assignment accuracy of offspring to known broodstock parents
We only need 1 96-SNP panel to assign accurate parentage!
• High number of juveniles assigned (97.3%)• 100% accuracy to stock
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Spring/Summer Chinook
Spawn Year
2008 2009 2010 2011
Broodstock sampled 10,836 8,849 8,290 8,187
Genotyped 10,630 8,493 8,235 In progress
“Tagging” Rate of Offspring 96.2% 92.1% 98.7%
Smolts Produced * ~18.96 mil ~15.49 mil ~14.51 mil
Smolts “Tagged” ~18.25 mil ~14.26 mil ~14.32 mil
* Assuming 3,500 smolts produced per broodstock pair
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Steelhead
Spawn Year
2008 2009 2010 2011
Broodstock sampled 5,151 5,761 5,282 5,931
Genotyped 5,070 5,636 5,198 5,765
“Tagging” Rate of Offspring 96.9% 95.7% 96.9% 94.5%
Smolts Produced * ~9.01 mil ~10.08 mil ~9.24 mil ~10.38 mil
Smolts “Tagged” ~8.74 mil ~9.65 mil ~8.96 mil ~9.81 mil
* Assuming 3,500 smolts produced per broodstock pair
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Bendbulletin.com
Sampled in 2011 at Sherars Falls, Deschutes River: 446 ad-clipped steelhead 278 ad-intact steelhead
Deschutes River
Snake River basin
*Collaboration with Rod French, ODFW
Example application of PBT:
Origin of hatchery strays?
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SherarsFalls
Ad-clipped Steelhead354 / 446 = 79.4% Assigned
Dworshak, n = 27
Oxbow, n = 95
E. Fk. Salmon, n = 2
Sawtooth, n = 66
GrandeRonde, n = 4
Squaw Creek, n = 7
Wallowa, n = 48
Pahsimeroi, n = 105
Origin of hatchery strays?
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SherarsFalls
Ad-intact Hatchery Origin Fish32 / 278 = 11.5% Assigned
Sawtooth, n = 26
Wallowa, n = 1
Pahsimeroi, n = 5
Origin of hatchery strays?
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Dworshak
Oxbow
Sawtooth
Grande Ronde
Wallowa
PahsimeroiM
B
1,500 adipose-clipped steelhead collected in 2011 Zone 6 fishery
http://wildsteelheadcoalition.org
2008 and 2009 Snake River PBT baselines
Lyons Ferry
Example application of PBT:
Origin and age of harvest fishery?
Zone 6 Fishery
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Of the 1,482 steelhead genotyped, 1,117 (75%) assigned to two parents
Zone 6 2011, n=1,117
Dworshak
Pahsimeroi
Oxbow
Sawtooth
Wallowa
Lyons Ferry
46%
19%
14%
10%
7%5%
10% (n=153) estimated mid
or upper Columbia River origin
76%
8%
7%
7%
2% 0%
BY2008 (2-ocean), n=633
*Wallowa unsampled SY2008
BY2009 (1-ocean), n=484
6%
33%
23%
13%
12%
12%
Origin and age of harvest fishery?
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Goal: Extend PBT sampling to ALL Chinook salmon and Steelhead hatcheries above Bonneville Dam beginning 2012
Large collaborative effort between the tribes, ODFW, WDFW, IDFG, USFWS, NOAA
Required as fish are spawned:• Fin tissue • Spawn date• Gender
Sample ID Spawn Date Gender Cross 1 Cross 2 LengthPAH12-0001 4/10/2012 M 600PAH12-0002 4/10/2012 M 730
PAH12-0003 4/10/2012 F PAH12-0001 PAH12-0007 640PAH12-0004 4/10/2012 F PAH12-0009 640
PAH12-0005 4/14/2012 F PAH12-0002 PAH12-0007 620PAH12-0006 4/14/2012 F PAH12-0001 600
PAH12-0007 4/14/2012 M 590PAH12-0008 4/20/2012 F PAH12-0007 620PAH12-0009 4/20/2012 M 620
REQUIRED information OPTIONAL information
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Winthrop
Wells
EastbankLeavenworth
Cle Elum
Priest Rapids
ProsserMarion Drain
Klickitat
Spring Cr.
Willard
Little WhiteParkdale
CarsonBonneville
Umatilla
Lyons Ferry
Lookingglass
Catherine Cr.
Lostine
Imnaha
Nez PerceDworshak Powell
Rapid R.
McCall, JC
SawtoothPahsimeroi
Warm SpringsRound Butte
Methow
Goal 2012-ongoing: Chinook salmon, PBT hatcheries
WDFW
USFWS
ODFW
Tribes or co-manager/tribes
CRITFC/IDFG, SY 2008-present
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Winthrop
Wells
Eastbank
Ringold Springs
Umatilla
Lyons Ferry
Round Butte
Parkdale
Skamania
Wallowa Little Sheep
Oxbow
Sawtooth
Pahsimeroi
WDFW
USFWS
ODFW
Tribes or co-manager/tribes
CRITFC/IDFG, SY 2008-present
Dworshak
Goal 2012-ongoing: Steelhead, PBT hatcheries
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Parentage Example
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Finding Nemo’s Parents: A Parentage Example
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Match at least 1 allele at every locus? If not, exclude parent
Parentage example
1
2
3
5
4
5 candidate parents sampled
5 juveniles sampled
Genotype 11 samples for 5 SNPs
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Offspring A C A T T A T C T A A
Candidate parents
C A C C T T T T A G
A A T T A A T T A G
C A C C A T T T G G
C C C C T T C T G G
C C C T A T C C A A
Approach: Compare each offspring to the pool of candidate parents - focus on 1 locus at a time - Does the candidate parent share at least one allele in common with offspring? - If not, exclude candidate
Locus 1 Locus 2 Locus 3 Locus 4 Locus 5
1
2
3
4
5
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Offspring B C A C C T T T T A G
Candidate parents
C A C C T T T T A G
A A T T A A T T A G
C A C C A T T T G G
C C C C T T C T G G
C C C T A T C C A A
Locus 1 Locus 2 Locus 3 Locus 4 Locus 5
1
2
3
4
5
Parentage assignment of Offspring B
Locus 6
C C
A A
A C
A A
Need more SNP loci for higher resolving power !
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Offspring C A A T C A T T T A A
Candidate parents
C A C C T T T T A G
A A T T A A T T A G
C A C C A T T T G G
C C C C T T C T G G
C C C T A T C C A A
Locus 1 Locus 2 Locus 3 Locus 4 Locus 5
1
2
3
4
5
Parentage assignment of Offspring C
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Offspring D C C C T T T C C A G
Candidate parents
C A C C T T T T A G
A A T T A A T T A G
C A C C A T T T G G
C C C C T T C T G G
C C C T A T C C A A
1
2
3
4
5
Parentage assignment of Offspring D
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Offspring E A A T C T T C C A G
Candidate parents
C A C C T T T T A G
A A T T A A T T A G
C A C C A T T T G G
C C C C T T C T G G
C C C T A T C C A A
Locus 1 Locus 2 Locus 3 Locus 4 Locus 5
1
2
3
4
5
Parentage assignment of Offspring E
Unsampled parent, or parent poor quality DNA (not included in evaluation)
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Parentage Exercise
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Fishery
BonnevilleDam
LowerGranite
Dam
Adult fish
Basin-wide Stock Composition of Lower Mainstem Harvest (CH)
Chinook salmon used for lab exercise
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Genetic samples for lab exercise
True composition of test
mixture file based on CWT
data.
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Genetic samples for lab exercise
True composition of test
mixture file based on CWT
data.
PBT baseline
Snake River Basin
Spring Chinook
2008-present
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Genetic samples for lab exercise
True composition of test
mixture file based on CWT
data.
Reporting Group Hatchery Source N
W_Cascade_sp Cowlitz R. 3
Lewis R. 2
5
Willamette_sp Clackamas R. early 2
McKenzie Hatchery 3
Santiam North Fork 3
Willamette R. Mid. Fork 2
10
Klickitat_sp Klickitat Hatchery 5
5
Deschutes_R_sp Deschutes R. 3
Warm Springs R. 2
5
Yakima_sp Yakima R. Upper 4
4
Upper_Columbia_R_sp Chiwawa R. 3
Leavenworth Hatchery 3
Ltl. White Salmon NFH 3
Umatilla R. 2
11
RapidR_Clearwater_sp Clearwater Hatchery 9
Dworshak Natl. Hatchery 5
Kooskia Natl. Hatchery 7
Lookingglass Hatchery 5
Nez Perce Tribal H. 6
Rapid River Hatchery 6
38
SF_Salmon_sp McCall Hatchery 5
5
Upper_Salmon_sp Sawtooth Hatchery 5
5
Grand Total 88
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Genetic samples for lab exercise
8 mystery samples!!Different
species
Degraded
sample
Out of basin
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Parent and offspring samples
B
Pahsimeroi
Sawtooth
Johnson Cr
DworshakSF Clearwater
Tucannon
Lookingglass
Catherine Cr
Lostine
SF Salmon
Grand Ronde
SY 2008-2009, parent sample ~18,000
Rapid R NPTH
Powell
Imnaha
Chinook sample from fishery:88 samples (48 with CWT in Snake, collected 2010-2012)
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Parentage assignment expectations
08 09 10 12 13
34
5
11 14
3 4 5
BY 2008 - 3 and 4 yr. oldBY 2009 - 3 yr. old
Sawtooth
Clearwater
Lookingglass
SF Salmon
Rapid R
65
5
NPTH
65
5
48 with CWT in Snake River 43 BY 2008 or 2009 5 BY 2007
Dworshak
11
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Compile input file for parentage analysis program (SNPPIT)
Parent dataset: 2008 and 2009 PBT parental baseline, n~18,000Offspring dataset: 88 samples that you genotyped (48 CWT Snake)
SNPPIT approach: exclusion of trios based on Mendelian incompatibility:
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2.) Compare non-excluded candidates as parent pairs & exclude
offspring X
X
X
AA
AC
AC
AA
AC
AA
AC
SNPPIT - parentage analysis programApproach: exclusion of trios based on Mendelian incompatibility
offspring10k candidate parents
??
1.) Exclude individual candidate parents
AACC
AAAC
CC
AC
GTTT
TT GG
GG
TTGT
locus 2 locus 2
locus 2
TRIO!
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SNNPIT output of results
Key parameters for accepting parentage assignment:FDR, p value, LOD, most likely relationship, # mismatching loci
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3 offspring that should have assigned did not have parents in the sample 2 Lookingglass (likely unsampled parents, missed some broodstock) 1 Sawtooth (matched 1 parent, cross record-1 parent missing data)
No false assignments (i.e., 45 samples that should not have assigned based on CWT origin or collection yr expectedly did not assign to parents in our baseline)
40 of the expected 43, assigned to parents
Summary of parentage results
39 PBT assignments concordant with CWT 1 CWT = Sawtooth, but PBT = Dworshak
FDR and p value < 0.0001, likelihood supports trio, zero mismatches