What gave the U.S. its prosperity and influence?... · Awesome properties Can be expensive Long...
Transcript of What gave the U.S. its prosperity and influence?... · Awesome properties Can be expensive Long...
World-leadingandenduringindustries!Afewexamples:• Steel• Automobiles• Aerospace• Nuclear• Telecommunications• Petrochemical• Pharmaceuticals• Internet
• Semiconductors• Machinetools• SolarCells• Lithium-ionbatteries
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ArtificialIntelligence?
Detroit
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Processinnovation:Assemblyline1924ModelT,Dearborn,MI
1920’s– 1950’sDetroitWealthiestcityintheworld
Detroittoday– urbandecayandworldclassskills
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Detroitfromabove… Heartofautomation:N-SalongI-75,E-WalongI-90BuffalotoChicago
Hundredsofinterconnectedsuppliers!!
Ohioexample– Hondaassembly(Accord,Acura,etc.)
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About600NorthAmericanSuppliers
Over$20B/yr spendinN.America
Over$10B/yr inOhioalone
LastinglegacyofHenryFord…
HondaSupplierMap
Old-SchoolProcessInnovation(ChinesePorcelain)
BlackPotteryCauldron HemuduCultureNeolithicPeriod(ca.5000-3000B.C.).Thesecookingcauldronsfrombuilt-uplayersofclayflakes,whichweredecoratedwithanoverlappingropepattern.Theywereplacedoveropenfires.
CollectionofPalaceMuseum,Beijing.Paintedpotterypotwithdragonandphoenixrelief,aswellastaotie designsforthelughandles.WesternHanDynasty,206-8B.C.
HandynastydevelopedPorcelain!!~1200° Cfiring>500yearsbeforeEurope!
MingDynasty:GoldfishVase,reignoftheJiajingEmperor(1521–67);Porcelain;Paris,MuséeGuimet261101
Porcelainwares,suchasthosesimilartotheseYongle-eraporcelainflasks,wereoftenpresentedastradegoodsduringthe15th-centuryChinesemaritimeexpeditions.(BritishMuseum)
HanDynastyKiln
Typesof“Innovation”• ScientificDiscoveryn (ideas)
• USleadstheworld!• ProvidesNobelPrizesandideas.
• ProductInnovation• Examples:iPhone,Dysonvacuum,IKEAfurnishings,TeslaS• Canbefast
• PracticeInnovation• Practicesthatinvolvenewthinkingoralgorithms• Examples:Uber,Lean,AmazonPrime,Crowdsourcing,FedEx.• Canbefast
• (Physical)ProcessInnovation• Maturationofenablingphysicalprocesses;newhardwareisinvolved.• Examplesmaking:steel,aluminum,tires,glass,semiconductors,ornewwaysofmining,suchasfracking.
• Frustratinglyslow… Butprovidessustainedadvantages
ProcessandProductInnovationintheiPhone
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Ideas Factories&Jobs
Greatdiscussiononthis:MforesightManufacturingProsperity,athttp://mforesight.org/download-reports/ MForesightsummit:June18@HamiltonHotel,Sens.Rubio&PetersKeynote!
Inforgraphics from:http://comparecamp.com/how-where-iphone-is-made-comparison-of-apples-manufacturing-process/
Processinnovationispreciousandmakesclusters• Newprocessesbuildpersistentclustereconomies
• Detroità Automotive• Akronà Elastomers/polymers• Wichita,KSà Airframecomponents• Seattle,WAà Airframes• Detroità Automotive• Rochester,NYà Optics• MinneapolisàMedicalImplants• Warsaw,INà Orthopedicimplants• FortWayne,INà Electromagnetsandwires• Corning,NYà Ceramics• Toledo,OHà Glass• Shenzhen,Chinaà Electronicsystems
• Newprocessesteachnewskills,andacultureofdoing
• “Innovatehere,buildthere”doesnotwork!
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Incentives(becomedifferentineachcountry)
• Government – Employment,infrastructure,development.
• Universities – Happy&successfulstudents,facultyanddonors.
• Companies – Lucrativemarkets,lowcostproduction,sourcesofinnovation.
• Legislators – Happyconstituents(includingcompanies).
• MadeinChina2025 isverydifferentthananAmericancourseofaction.Innovationandentrepreneurshipareareasoffocus.
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AnewwaytomakestructuralpartsStuffdoesmatter– materialsandprocessingisabigpartofoureconomyandaccountsforabout1/3ofthegreenhousegasweproduce.
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MetamorphicManufacturing• AnopportunitytodosomethingestablishnewprocessesintheUS.
• Treatsneedsforcomponents(aerospace,heavyindustry,medical,etc.)withcompletelynewandsimplerproductionpaths.
• Hassimilarpotentialtoadditivemanufacturing.
• Allowssustainableproductionofcomponentswheretheyareneeded.
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Germananonymous,circa1606
ShortTutorial:Howdowemakethingsnow…
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1. Take somethingfromnature(tree,rock,etc.)2. Cutormachine somethingtosize3. Solidifyorcurealiquidinamold4. Buildsomethingfromsmallparts(add)5. Form toshapewithdies(sheet,forge,etc.)
Examplecold-forgedparts
Openandcloseddiehotforgings
Castmetalproducts• Easywaytocomplexshape• Verylittlewaste• Surprisinglevelsofinnovation• Oftenpoorpropertiesvs.wrought
DigitalManufacturing• Partdescriptionisstoredonacomputer• Equipmentmakesthepartwithoutdiesormolds• Flexible,rapidproductchanges,shortlots.• Potentiallysustainable• Manufacturingcanbeatpointofneed.
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AdditiveManufacturing(a.k.a.3-Dprinting)2nd WaveofDigitalManufacturing
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NSF, etc., start early 1980’s
Federalspendingofhundredsof$MspentonAdditivesincethe1990’s
3rd Wave-- MetamorphicManufacturing(Manual)• Changeshape• ChangeProperties
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S –sensors
A –actuator
C –computation
R –robotics
T –thermal
Metamorphic Manufacturing Study• Overarching Goal of Study: jump start the
development, emergence, and growth of this potentially disruptive technology
• Identifies MM value proposition, foundational underlying technologies, fundamental science and engineering challenges/needs
• Develops recommendations and detailed action plans
• All intended to help community achieve above goal, and make quantifiable progress within next 3 years
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v Expertiseinvariedareas:metals,forging,manufacturing(includingadditive),welding,deformation,robotics,machines…
• Glenn Daehn (Team Chair) – Ohio State University
• John Allison – University of Michigan
• Elizabeth Bilitz - Finkl Steel
• David Bourne - Carnegie Mellon University
• Jian Cao - Northwestern University
• Kester Clarke - Colorado School of Mines
• Johnnie J. DeLoach Jr. – Office of Naval Research
• Ed Herderick – OSU Center for Design & Man. Excellence
• John Lewandowski - Case Western Reserve University
• Tony Schmitz – University of North Carolina
• Howard Sizek – Air Force Research Laboratory
• A. Erman Tekkaya –Tech. Univ. of Dortmund
The Study Team
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Keystudyquestion:Whatwouldbethebenefitsandchallengesindevelopingarobustandgeneralcapabilityforthedigitalreshapingofmetal?
Whatstepsareneededtoactualizesuchavision?
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TeamHoneyBadger,ofOhioStateUniversity.Alex Koenig,Bhuvi Nirudhoddi andBrianThurstonSee:RoboticBlacksmithing.com fordetails.
LIFTPrize– $25kofferedforasingleprogrammablesystemthatcanshape2of3targetparts.
Proof of Concept; The LIFT Prize–
Actionsrecommended1. Launch Computational-MM benchmarking & modeling
efforts2. Build prototype MM process suites & exemplar parts3. Characterize critical-to-quality property drivers for MM
materials.4. Develop MM internship program5. Foster small organization-led industry-based MM
projects6. Formulate & address some grand challenge problems7. Create desktop prototype machine
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Exampleclosed-dieforgedparts
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ExampleforgingimagesfromConsolidatedIndustries:http://www.consolindustries.com/products-military-forgings.php
The3wavesofdigitalmanufacturing
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Technology 1-Subtractive 2- Additive 3- MetamorphicMachine • • •ToolPath • • •Material StateControl • •FormingStrategy •Sense,Compute,Control •
ComparingAdditiveandMetamorphicManufacturing
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Additive Metamorphic• Widerrangeofmaterials• Lessenergyconsumed• Scalestolargersizes• Bettermaterialsproperties• Integrateswithotherprocesses• Challenges:awareness,training,tools,
algorithms.
PracticalProblemBiggerproblemthanusuallyhandledinUniversityenvironment.
Precommercial.
Needsmanydisciplines:Materials,Robotics,Computation,Metrology,ArtificialIntelligence,Equipmenthosting,etc.,etc.
Needsanunusualstructureandsupport.
Usefultofindawaytodoithere.
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TechnicalcaseSubtractà AddàMorph.(shapeandproperties)
BasedonfastadvancingdisciplinesRoboticsIntegratedComputationalMaterialsEngineeringArtificialIntelligenceSensorsControl
Canscalenaturallytolargesizes
Providesexceptionalmaterialsproperties;extendabletogradedchemistry
Naturallyprovidesapathforqualificationandcertification
IsanopportunityfortheUSA.Helpsbalanceoftrade.Cementthishereby:FastinnovationSkilledworkforce(motivatedbycreativeopportunity)Uniqueandaccessibleequipment
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ConcludingRemarks…• D-Dayremindstobeselfrelianttomakewhatweneedinacrisis…• Thisprocessinnovationprovidesinfrastructureandskills;hardtomove.• MetamorphicManufacturing(roboticblacksmithing)offersanopportunitytoinvestonthegroundfloorforanewtechnology.Thiscanprovide:
• Skills• Capabilities• Jobs• Competitiveadvantages
• Dosupportmanufacturingtechnology.Weneedtokeepparitywithrivalcountries.
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