Weekly Internet / Digital Media / SaaS Sector Summary · 2016. 6. 29. · Weekly Internet / Digital...
Transcript of Weekly Internet / Digital Media / SaaS Sector Summary · 2016. 6. 29. · Weekly Internet / Digital...
-
Weekly Internet / Digital Media / SaaS
Sector Summary
Week of June 27th, 2016
-
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
110%
120%
130%
140%
6/29/2015 8/20/2015 10/11/2015 12/2/2015 1/23/2016 3/15/2016 5/6/2016 6/27/2016
85%
90%
95%
100%
105%
110%
115%
120%
125%
3/28/2016 4/10/2016 4/23/2016 5/6/2016 5/19/2016 6/1/2016 6/14/2016 6/27/2016
(3.8%)
(4.4%)
(10.2%)
(7.3%)
21.3%
(3.4%)
Industry Stock Market Valuation
2
Internet / Digital Media / SaaS
Last 12 Months Last 3 Months
Diversified Marketing
(5)
Internet Content (3)
Search / Online Advertising (1)
Gaming (7)
Media Conglomerates (6)
Internet Commerce (2)
SaaS (8)
Publishers (4)
NASDAQ
(8.4%)
(6.5%)
7.7%
(29.3%)
(25.2%)
14.4%
(10.4%)
14.0%
(8.1%)
(3.6%)
9.5%
1.3%
(2.2%)
2
Social Media (9)
25.5%
2
Notes:
(1) Search/Online Advertising Composite includes: BCOR, CRTO, GOOGL, FUEL, MCHX, MRIN, MSFT, MXPT, QNST, RTHM, RUBI, SZMK, TRMR, TUBE, YHOO, YNDX, YUME.
(2) Internet Commerce Composite includes: AMZN, ANGI, BABA, CMPR, CPRT, EBAY, ETSY, EXPE, FLWS, GRUB, NFLX, NILE, OSTK, PCLN, PRSS, QUOT, QVCA, SSTK, STMP, TZOO.
(3) Internet Content Composite includes: CRCM, DHX, DMD, EHTH, EVDY, GDDY, IAC, MWW, RATE, RENN, RNWK, SCOR, SFLY, TGNA, TST, TTGT, WBMD, WEB, XOXO, ZG.
(4) Publishers Composite includes: GCI, GHC, MMB-FR, NWSA, NYT, PSON-GB, SSP, TIME, TRI, UBM-GB.
(5) Diversified Marketing Composite includes: ACXM, ADS, EFX, EXPN-GB, HAV-FR, HHS, IPG, MDCA, NLSN, WPP-GB.
(6) Media Conglomerates Composite includes: 6758-JP, CBS, CMCSA, DIS, DISCA, FOXA, LGF, SNI, TRCO, TWX, VIA.B.
(7) Gaming Composite includes: A035420-KR, A036570-KR, 2432-JP, 3632-JP, 3765-JP, 700-HK, ATVI, CYOU, EA, GAME, GLUU, NTES, UBI-FR, ZNGA.
(8) SaaS Composite includes: APIC, APPF, BCOV, BOX, BV, CRM, CSOD, CVT, ECOM, HUBS, JIVE, LPSN, MB, MRIN, N, NOW, RNG, RP, SHOP, ULTI, WDAY, XTLY, ZEN.
(9) Social Media includes: FB, GRPN, P, TWTR, YELP.
2
-
41.6x
16.4x 16.2x 15.0x
10.9x 10.8x 10.6x 9.8x7.8x
0.0x
10.0x
20.0x
30.0x
40.0x
50.0x
4.0x 4.0x
2.9x 2.9x 2.8x
2.4x 2.3x
1.9x1.6x
0.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
Industry Stock Market Valuation
3
Internet / Digital Media / SaaS: Financial Metrics
EV / 2016E EBITDA EV / 2016E Revenue
3 3
Notes:
(1) Search/Online Advertising Composite includes: BCOR, CRTO, GOOGL, FUEL, MCHX, MRIN, MSFT, MXPT, QNST, RTHM, RUBI, SZMK, TRMR, TUBE, YHOO, YNDX, YUME.
(2) Internet Commerce Composite includes: AMZN, ANGI, BABA, CMPR, CPRT, EBAY, ETSY, EXPE, FLWS, GRUB, NFLX, NILE, OSTK, PCLN, PRSS, QUOT, QVCA, SSTK, STMP, TZOO.
(3) Internet Content Composite includes: CRCM, DHX, DMD, EHTH, EVDY, GDDY, IAC, MWW, RATE, RENN, RNWK, SCOR, SFLY, TGNA, TST, TTGT, WBMD, WEB, XOXO, ZG.
(4) Publishers Composite includes: GCI, GHC, MMB-FR, NWSA, NYT, PSON-GB, SSP, TIME, TRI, UBM-GB.
(5) Diversified Marketing Composite includes: ACXM, ADS, EFX, EXPN-GB, HAV-FR, HHS, IPG, MDCA, NLSN, WPP-GB.
(6) Media Conglomerates Composite includes: 6758-JP, CBS, CMCSA, DIS, DISCA, FOXA, LGF, SNI, TRCO, TWX, VIA.B.
(7) Gaming Composite includes: A035420-KR, A036570-KR, 2432-JP, 3632-JP, 3765-JP, 700-HK, ATVI, CYOU, EA, GAME, GLUU, NTES, UBI-FR, ZNGA.
(8) SaaS Composite includes: APIC, APPF, BCOV, BOX, BV, CRM, CSOD, CVT, ECOM, HUBS, JIVE, LPSN, MB, MRIN, N, NOW, RNG, RP, SHOP, ULTI, WDAY, XTLY, ZEN.
(9) Social Media includes: FB, GRPN, P, TWTR, YELP.
3
-
$MM, Except Per Share Data
Stock LTM EPS
Price Price Range Equity Net Enterprise EV / Revenue EV / EBITDA Price / EPS Long Term Revenue Growth
6/27/16 Low High Value Debt Value LTM CY 16E CY 17E LTM CY 16E CY 17E LTM CY 16E CY 17E Growth PEG 17E/16E Y/Y MRQ
Search / Online Advertising
Alphabet Inc. $681.14 $539.54 $810.35 $467,644 ($66,071) $401,573 5.1x 4.6x 4.0x 15.7x 11.5x 9.8x 27.7x 20.3x 17.2x 16.6% 1.0 14.2% 17.4%
Microsoft Corporation 48.43 39.72 56.85 380,682 (58,571) 322,111 3.7 3.5 3.3 11.1 9.7 8.9 37.3 18.1 16.0 10.8% 1.5 5.4% (5.5%)
Yahoo! Inc. 35.22 26.15 39.98 33,456 (4,727) 28,766 6.0 8.2 8.1 NM 38.0 33.6 NM 70.3 60.7 1.5% 40.3 1.3% (11.3%)
Yandex N.V. 19.90 9.94 23.20 6,462 (541) 5,921 6.2 5.3 4.6 21.2 15.4 11.5 50.2 30.0 23.7 22.0% 1.1 16.7% 15.7%
Criteo SA (1) 40.80 24.23 57.30 2,573 (377) 2,203 4.7 3.1 2.5 17.1 10.8 8.1 42.1 23.5 17.7 26.4% 0.7 25.0% 36.4%
The Rubicon Project, Inc. (1) 12.61 11.72 20.37 611 (158) 453 1.6 1.5 1.3 16.0 7.0 5.1 76.3 14.1 12.1 20.2% 0.6 21.1% 86.2%
Blucora, Inc. 9.38 4.69 16.44 388 429 832 4.1 1.8 1.7 23.4 9.0 7.8 NM 9.3 6.9 18.5% 0.4 7.1% 104.5%
TubeMogul, Inc. (1) 10.69 9.11 16.33 382 (74) 308 1.6 1.3 1.1 NM 42.3 16.4 NM NM 30.7 NM NM 20.5% 38.8%
RhythmOne plc 0.36 0.19 0.41 144 (47) 97 0.6 0.4 0.4 NM 21.1 10.0 NM 9.1 19.9 NM NM 2.1% (30.9%)
QuinStreet, Inc. 3.15 2.65 6.82 143 (40) 103 0.4 0.3 0.3 NM 9.4 4.6 NM NM NM 37.5% NM 7.8% 7.8%
Marchex, Inc. 3.17 3.08 5.14 137 (107) 30 0.2 0.2 0.2 NM 20.9 4.4 NM NM NM 15.0% NM 4.5% 0.2%
YuMe, Inc. 3.51 2.35 5.60 122 (62) 60 0.3 0.3 0.3 NM 7.3 5.3 NM NM NM NA NA 6.2% (2.3%)
Rocket Fuel Inc. 2.11 2.09 8.32 93 13 106 0.2 0.2 0.2 NM 10.0 8.9 NM NM NM 4.0% NM 3.1% 0.4%
Marin Software Incorporated 2.31 1.88 7.08 88 (34) 54 0.5 0.5 0.5 NM 36.7 10.7 NM NM NM NA NA 1.3% 2.9%
Tremor Video, Inc. 1.65 1.29 3.08 87 (56) 31 0.2 0.2 0.1 NM 11.9 2.4 NM NM NM NA NA 20.5% (9.2%)
MaxPoint Interactive, Inc. 9.83 4.64 40.56 65 (8) 57 0.4 0.6 0.6 NM NM NM NM NM NM 20.0% NM 6.0% 2.6%
Sizmek Inc. 2.17 2.12 7.91 63 (40) 23 0.1 0.1 0.1 6.7 1.4 1.1 NM NM 36.2 NA NA 7.8% 10.2%
Mean 2.1x 1.9x 1.7x 15.9x 16.4x 9.3x 46.7x 24.3x 24.1x 17.5% 6.5 10.0% 15.5%
Median 0.6 0.6 0.6 16.0 11.1 8.5 42.1 19.2 18.8 18.5% 1.0 7.1% 2.9%
Internet Content
Zillow Group, Inc. $33.01 $16.46 $35.65 $5,909 ($284) $5,626 8.0x 6.8x 5.6x NM 45.6x 27.1x NM NM 69.2x 42.3% 1.6 21.3% 46.1%
TEGNA Inc. 21.77 21.11 33.40 4,737 4,118 9,155 3.0 2.7 2.6 8.1 7.3 7.8 12.9 9.5 11.2 6.0% 1.9 1.1% 6.9%
IAC/InterActiveCorp 52.28 38.82 84.66 4,141 293 4,523 1.4 1.4 1.3 11.8 8.4 6.9 46.2 16.5 12.3 12.4% 1.0 7.6% 6.0%
GoDaddy Inc. 30.48 21.04 35.35 2,498 603 3,339 2.0 1.8 1.6 21.7 8.1 6.8 NM 19.0 15.1 23.0% 0.7 13.2% 15.3%
WebMD Health Corp. 56.78 37.57 67.55 2,100 98 2,198 3.4 3.1 2.9 14.3 9.6 8.4 36.2 30.2 26.0 12.5% 2.1 9.5% 10.6%
comScore, Inc. 29.40 26.21 65.00 1,666 (114) 1,552 4.2 3.0 2.5 41.8 12.5 9.5 NM 18.8 14.2 25.8% 0.6 19.1% 8.4%
Shutterfly, Inc. 44.65 35.22 49.16 1,539 210 1,748 1.6 1.5 1.4 14.5 8.1 7.1 NM 51.0 46.8 20.0% 2.3 8.8% 13.6%
Web.com Group, Inc. 16.90 15.71 26.04 802 710 1,512 2.7 2.0 1.8 13.5 8.7 7.0 9.9 6.5 5.5 9.8% 0.6 10.6% 9.2%
Bankrate, Inc. 7.17 6.59 15.80 648 89 737 2.0 1.7 1.5 7.7 7.0 4.3 49.6 13.3 8.1 17.5% 0.5 15.9% 4.8%
Renren Inc. 1.81 1.78 3.85 616 28 644 14.8 10.5 7.4 NM NM NM NM NM NM 20.0% NM 41.9% NA
XO Group Inc. 16.61 13.55 18.18 423 (92) 331 2.3 2.1 1.9 15.4 9.8 7.8 61.5 39.5 24.9 20.0% 1.2 11.4% 9.4%
DHI Group, Inc. 6.04 5.99 10.48 313 67 380 1.5 1.6 1.5 6.4 5.8 5.4 NM 14.4 11.7 NA NA 2.7% (8.6%)
Care.com, Inc. 8.13 4.89 9.49 265 (52) 213 1.5 1.3 1.2 NM 20.0 12.6 NM 58.3 27.2 20.0% 1.4 13.5% 22.5%
TechTarget, Inc. 7.87 5.98 10.94 254 (29) 225 2.0 1.9 1.7 12.8 7.7 6.2 39.0 16.9 12.3 24.5% 0.5 8.5% 5.8%
eHealth, Inc. 13.16 8.14 16.81 240 (67) 173 0.9 0.9 0.8 6.6 10.0 7.0 15.5 21.0 17.8 10.0% 1.8 6.9% 20.5%
Everyday Health, Inc. 7.15 3.71 13.41 237 83 320 1.3 1.2 1.1 14.2 7.1 5.2 NM 18.7 8.8 26.6% 0.3 12.9% 34.0%
Monster Worldwide, Inc. 2.27 2.26 8.23 202 53 255 0.4 0.4 0.4 2.8 3.0 2.8 44.6 9.0 7.2 NA NA 2.4% (8.7%)
RealNetworks Inc. 4.13 3.04 5.86 152 (32) 120 1.0 1.0 0.9 NM NM NM NM NM NM NA NA 18.8% (7.7%)
Demand Media, Inc. 5.10 3.94 6.64 104 (31) 73 0.6 0.6 0.6 NM NM NM NM NM NM NA NA 7.1% (18.8%)
TheStreet, Inc. (2) 1.20 0.82 2.05 42 (30) 12 0.2 0.2 0.2 16.3 4.9 3.4 NM NA NM NA NA 3.6% (4.9%)
Mean 2.7x 2.3x 1.9x 13.9x 10.8x 8.0x 35.0x 22.8x 19.9x 19.4% 1.2 11.8% 8.7%
Median 1.8 1.6 1.5 13.5 8.1 7.0 39.0 18.7 13.3 20.0% 1.1 10.0% 8.4%
Public Company Valuations Internet / Digital Media / SaaS: Financial Metrics (Cont’d)
Notes:
Source: Capital IQ and Wall Street Estimates. Multiples 100 considered NM.
(1) Revenue multiples reflective of Net Revenue.
(2) Includes convertible preferred stock with total liquidation preference of $55.0MM.
4
-
$MM, Except Per Share Data
Stock LTM EPS
Price Price Range Equity Net Enterprise EV / Revenue EV / EBITDA Price / EPS Long Term Revenue Growth
6/27/16 Low High Value Debt Value LTM CY 16E CY 17E LTM CY 16E CY 17E LTM CY 16E CY 17E Growth PEG 17E/16E Y/Y MRQ
Internet Commerce
Amazon.com, Inc. $691.36 $425.57 $731.50 $326,203 $1,753 $327,956 2.9x 2.4x 2.0x 36.1x 21.4x 16.4x NM NM 70.8x 58.5% 1.2 20.9% 28.2%
Alibaba Group Holding Limited 74.23 57.20 86.42 185,224 (7,448) 178,517 11.4 12.4 9.6 31.8 24.1 19.3 36.0 30.4 24.4 24.5% 1.0 28.7% 33.3%
The Priceline Group Inc. 1,186.05 954.02 1,476.52 58,875 3,041 61,916 6.5 5.8 5.1 17.0 14.7 12.6 23.3 17.7 15.1 16.4% 0.9 14.8% 16.7%
Netflix, Inc. 85.33 79.95 133.27 36,547 300 36,847 5.1 4.2 3.4 NM 70.0 32.8 NM NM 77.2 50.1% 1.5 25.6% 24.4%
eBay Inc. 22.72 21.52 66.73 26,103 1,023 27,126 3.1 3.1 3.0 9.1 7.8 7.5 13.9 12.2 11.1 7.4% 1.5 4.3% 3.7%
Expedia Inc. 98.44 88.40 140.51 14,646 1,144 16,525 2.3 1.9 1.6 20.7 10.1 8.1 22.9 19.3 14.8 22.1% 0.7 14.5% 38.6%
QVC Group 23.81 22.51 31.62 11,453 6,175 17,720 1.8 1.7 1.6 10.0 8.6 8.0 9.1 12.9 11.6 20.0% 0.6 5.2% 22.1%
Copart, Inc. 46.46 32.26 50.08 5,082 563 5,645 4.6 4.3 4.1 13.1 12.0 11.4 23.9 20.6 18.7 15.0% 1.3 4.6% 16.9%
Cimpress N.V. 90.49 63.15 101.77 2,848 769 3,682 2.2 1.9 1.7 15.7 12.0 10.1 95.2 21.0 17.5 19.8% 0.9 14.0% 28.5%
GrubHub Inc. 28.62 17.77 36.31 2,425 (196) 2,229 5.8 4.7 3.9 24.9 17.2 13.6 65.0 36.5 29.0 27.0% 1.1 20.6% 27.2%
Shutterstock, Inc. 41.27 25.44 59.56 1,444 (276) 1,169 2.6 2.3 2.0 19.5 11.8 9.8 66.6 29.1 24.5 20.0% 1.2 15.8% 19.6%
Stamps.com Inc. 82.33 65.36 123.75 1,436 52 1,489 5.9 4.6 4.1 18.5 12.0 9.9 NM 13.1 12.9 20.5% 0.6 13.6% 85.8%
Quotient Technology Inc. 12.01 5.00 14.00 996 (149) 847 3.4 3.2 2.8 NM 34.4 20.3 NM NM 64.1 25.0% 2.6 14.5% 18.9%
Etsy, Inc. 8.74 6.04 23.44 988 (247) 742 2.5 2.1 1.7 34.2 18.0 13.8 NM 97.1 NM 10.0% NM 21.3% 39.8%
1-800-Flowers.com Inc. 8.19 6.11 10.90 536 59 595 0.5 0.5 0.5 7.0 6.6 5.5 14.9 17.1 13.6 19.0% 0.7 5.1% 0.8%
Overstock.com Inc. 15.57 10.03 24.00 395 (100) 293 0.2 0.2 0.2 36.6 6.6 11.3 29.5 NM 97.3 NA NA 5.0% 3.8%
Angie's List, Inc. 6.57 3.73 11.25 385 (1) 384 1.1 1.1 1.0 23.3 12.0 9.0 NM NM 29.7 8.0% 3.7 6.5% 0.4%
Blue Nile Inc. 24.96 22.33 39.00 290 (29) 260 0.5 0.5 0.5 15.5 11.5 10.7 28.0 28.2 25.0 5.0% 5.0 2.3% (3.2%)
Travelzoo Inc. 7.56 6.63 12.78 107 (30) 77 0.6 0.6 0.6 8.0 11.2 8.6 29.1 26.3 25.0 5.0% 5.0 2.6% (11.1%)
CafePress Inc. 2.97 2.93 4.96 50 (38) 11 0.1 0.1 0.1 4.5 2.9 1.6 NM NM NM NA NA 4.5% (23.3%)
Mean 3.2x 2.9x 2.5x 19.2x 16.2x 12.0x 35.2x 27.3x 32.4x 20.7% 1.7 12.2% 18.6%
Median 2.6 2.2 1.9 17.7 12.0 10.4 28.0 20.8 24.5 19.9% 1.2 13.8% 19.2%
Media Conglomerates / Selected Entertainment
The Walt Disney Company $94.38 $86.25 $122.08 $153,126 $16,107 $173,119 3.2x 3.0x 2.9x 10.4x 10.0x 9.6x 17.4x 16.3x 15.0x 11.3% 1.3 5.4% 4.1%
Comcast Corporation 62.46 50.01 64.99 151,603 50,006 204,715 2.7 2.6 2.5 8.1 7.8 7.4 18.9 17.7 15.9 12.0% 1.3 3.7% 5.2%
Time Warner Inc. 69.21 55.53 91.34 54,426 22,133 76,589 2.7 2.6 2.5 9.5 9.3 8.7 14.0 12.8 11.4 12.9% 0.9 5.8% 2.5%
Twenty-First Century Fox, Inc. 26.37 22.66 34.70 49,951 14,752 66,293 2.5 2.3 2.2 10.4 9.3 8.8 17.9 13.8 11.7 14.6% 0.8 4.8% 5.7%
Sony Corporation 27.59 21.63 37.52 34,803 (1,852) 38,901 0.5 0.5 0.5 6.5 7.4 4.7 26.4 NM 19.0 10.0% 1.9 3.1% 0.5%
CBS Corporation 50.89 38.51 57.89 23,055 7,838 30,893 2.2 2.1 2.1 9.6 9.0 8.8 16.4 12.6 11.5 17.2% 0.7 1.5% 10.0%
Viacom, Inc. 38.88 30.11 66.33 15,398 12,049 27,726 2.1 2.1 2.1 7.3 7.6 7.1 7.0 8.3 7.4 4.1% 1.8 2.6% (2.5%)
Discovery Communications, Inc. 23.73 23.67 34.94 13,482 7,504 21,234 3.3 3.2 3.0 8.7 8.6 8.2 14.6 11.6 10.3 11.5% 0.9 5.3% 1.6%
Scripps Networks Interactive, Inc. 59.41 47.62 68.45 7,661 3,483 11,415 3.6 3.4 3.2 7.9 8.2 7.9 10.0 11.4 10.9 11.5% 0.9 4.5% 24.1%
Tribune Media Company 37.22 26.10 55.75 3,424 3,100 6,530 3.2 2.9 2.9 17.7 10.2 11.7 17.7 17.9 21.2 3.0% 7.1 (0.2%) 10.1%
Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. 19.91 16.21 41.41 2,931 1,519 4,541 1.9 1.8 1.6 NM 20.5 12.6 60.6 83.1 19.5 46.6% 0.4 8.3% 22.5%
Mean 2.5x 2.4x 2.3x 9.6x 9.8x 8.7x 20.1x 20.5x 14.0x 14.1% 1.6 4.1% 7.6%
Median 2.7 2.6 2.5 9.1 9.0 8.7 17.4 13.3 11.7 11.5% 0.9 4.5% 5.2%
Publishers
Thomson Reuters Corporation $38.48 $36.10 $42.73 $28,947 $8,233 $37,670 3.1x 3.3x 3.2x 15.0x 11.8x 11.1x 25.1x 18.8x 16.5x 8.4% 2.0 2.8% (1.0%)
Pearson plc 11.85 8.51 17.15 9,614 1,127 10,746 1.6 1.9 1.8 10.4 10.9 9.9 NM 16.6 14.5 NM NM 1.0% NA
News Corporation 10.62 10.21 15.92 6,163 (1,603) 4,759 0.6 0.6 0.6 7.7 5.3 5.1 NM 23.2 20.8 7.7% 2.7 (1.8%) (7.3%)
UBM plc 7.66 6.09 8.08 3,391 737 4,173 3.7 4.0 3.7 14.3 14.0 12.8 28.5 16.3 13.9 5.9% 2.4 6.3% NA
Graham Holdings Company 476.01 425.14 1,083.00 2,674 (515) 2,186 0.9 NA NA 6.4 NA NA NM NA NA NA NA NA (7.1%)
Lagardere SCA 20.32 20.18 31.77 2,605 1,684 4,441 0.5 0.6 0.6 7.4 6.4 6.2 32.8 10.2 9.3 7.1% 1.3 0.7% (9.6%)
The New York Times Company 11.54 11.45 14.30 1,857 (190) 1,664 1.1 1.1 1.1 7.0 6.8 6.6 27.3 20.0 18.1 NA NA 0.1% (1.2%)
Time Inc. 15.85 12.23 24.03 1,613 858 2,471 0.8 0.8 0.8 6.5 5.4 5.1 NM 11.0 9.5 8.5% 1.1 (0.4%) (1.0%)
Gannett Co., Inc. 13.62 10.75 17.91 1,587 (191) 1,396 0.5 0.5 0.5 3.6 3.4 3.3 11.2 9.0 8.5 NA NA (0.2%) (8.1%)
The E. W. Scripps Company 15.63 14.52 24.25 1,313 302 1,615 2.0 1.6 1.7 29.1 6.4 12.0 NM 13.1 46.4 3.0% 15.5 (7.5%) 70.3%
Mean 1.5x 1.6x 1.6x 10.7x 7.8x 8.0x 25.0x 15.4x 17.5x 6.8% 4.2 0.1% 4.4%
Median 1.0 1.1 NM 7.5 6.4 6.6 27.3 16.3 14.5 7.4% 2.2 0.1% (4.1%)
Public Company Valuations
5
Internet / Digital Media / SaaS: Financial Metrics (Cont’d)
Notes:
Source: Capital IQ and Wall Street Estimates. Multiples 100 considered NM.
-
$MM, Except Per Share Data
Stock LTM EPS
Price Price Range Equity Net Enterprise EV / Revenue EV / EBITDA Price / EPS Long Term Revenue Growth
6/27/16 Low High Value Debt Value LTM CY 16E CY 17E LTM CY 16E CY 17E LTM CY 16E CY 17E Growth PEG 17E/16E Y/Y MRQ
Diversif ied Marketing
WPP plc $19.48 $15.89 $22.31 $24,669 $4,735 $29,962 1.7x NA NA 9.5x NA NA 14.9x NA NA 8.7% NA NA (0.1%)
Nielsen Holdings plc 50.17 42.76 55.06 18,102 7,242 25,540 4.1 4.0 3.8 16.7 12.9 12.1 30.5 17.4 15.8 10.9% 1.5 5.3% 2.0%
Experian plc 17.20 13.42 18.02 16,236 3,083 19,333 4.2 4.3 3.9 13.8 11.9 11.1 21.7 19.4 17.1 11.0% 1.6 9.5% NA
Equifax Inc. 118.63 90.94 126.96 14,119 2,972 17,137 6.3 5.5 5.0 18.6 15.7 14.0 32.3 22.8 20.4 12.0% 1.7 9.4% 11.7%
Alliance Data Systems Corporation 186.40 176.63 307.78 10,986 16,961 28,140 4.3 4.0 3.6 18.5 13.7 12.4 21.0 11.1 9.9 14.0% 0.7 11.8% 4.7%
The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. 22.26 18.16 24.82 8,958 1,063 10,300 1.3 1.3 1.3 9.9 9.1 8.6 20.1 16.8 14.9 14.5% 1.0 4.5% 3.9%
Havas SA 7.62 7.12 9.07 3,198 (96) 3,119 1.3 NA NA 8.3 NA NA 17.1 NA NA 8.6% NA NA 3.8%
Acxiom Corporation 20.57 16.67 23.57 1,600 1 1,601 1.9 1.8 1.7 20.2 11.1 9.7 NM 36.1 31.6 15.3% 2.1 6.5% 9.2%
MDC Partners Inc. 16.68 15.94 23.90 861 875 1,888 1.4 1.3 1.2 11.2 8.3 7.5 NM 28.4 13.1 46.3% 0.3 7.5% 2.3%
Harte-Hanks Inc. 1.52 0.85 6.29 93 67 161 0.3 0.3 0.3 5.9 4.5 3.6 NM 10.9 9.5 NM NM 0.7% (8.6%)
Mean 2.7x 2.8x 2.6x 13.2x 10.9x 9.9x 22.5x 20.3x 16.5x 15.7% 1.3 6.9% 3.2%
Median 1.8 2.9 2.6 12.5 11.5 10.4 21.0 18.4 15.3 12.0% 1.5 7.0% 3.8%
Gaming
Tencent Holdings Limited $21.80 $15.98 $23.00 $201,482 ($2,850) $198,979 11.4x 9.5x 7.5x 27.1x 22.0x 17.9x 42.7x 31.5x 24.7x 27.2% 0.9 26.2% 37.2%
Activision Blizzard, Inc. 36.15 24.04 39.99 26,687 2,969 29,656 6.1 4.7 4.3 18.6 13.5 11.6 32.4 19.5 16.9 17.0% 1.0 9.7% 13.8%
NetEase, Inc. 166.66 102.80 186.45 21,912 (3,836) 18,095 4.3 3.4 2.8 12.9 10.3 9.1 17.9 14.7 13.4 19.2% 0.7 21.2% 107.7%
Electronic Arts Inc. 71.50 53.01 78.09 21,549 (2,682) 18,867 4.3 4.0 3.7 17.6 12.4 10.8 20.4 21.6 18.7 12.7% 1.5 7.0% 10.4%
Naver Corporation 600.47 387.35 642.76 17,496 (1,320) 16,326 5.4 4.8 4.2 19.1 15.4 12.4 35.6 29.7 23.4 30.0% 0.8 14.3% 23.4%
Gamesa Corporación Tecnológica S.A. 17.61 12.00 20.39 4,862 (276) 4,586 1.1 1.0 0.8 9.8 7.3 6.3 22.8 16.8 15.8 24.2% 0.7 19.7% 37.6%
NCsoft Corporation 191.56 153.50 234.27 4,069 (642) 3,430 4.4 4.1 3.4 12.9 11.4 8.9 24.3 18.7 14.1 27.3% 0.5 19.2% 24.8%
Ubisoft Entertainment SA 33.96 16.32 37.39 3,742 50 3,792 2.4 1.9 1.9 5.4 5.0 4.1 36.4 27.6 19.1 27.7% 0.7 0.6% 28.4%
DeNA Co., Ltd. 21.93 15.07 25.00 3,181 (669) 2,575 2.0 1.7 1.6 8.9 7.4 5.6 31.3 21.6 14.1 10.0% 1.4 8.0% 3.4%
GungHo Online Entertainment, Inc. 2.68 2.32 4.79 2,567 (762) 1,818 1.4 1.5 1.7 3.2 3.2 3.9 8.0 8.0 9.5 NA NA (13.4%) (24.1%)
Zynga, Inc. 2.32 1.78 2.96 2,027 (857) 1,169 1.5 1.5 1.4 NM 23.4 12.6 NM NM 37.0 21.0% 1.8 9.7% 1.9%
Gree, Inc. 5.53 4.50 7.34 1,293 (688) 605 0.9 1.0 1.0 3.4 4.1 4.1 NM 13.9 16.1 NA NA (2.2%) (18.4%)
Changyou.com Limited 18.75 15.21 30.01 953 (653) 330 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.5 2.3 2.3 5.0 7.9 7.4 4.0% 1.9 10.2% (37.8%)
Glu Mobile, Inc. 2.18 1.98 6.49 288 (159) 129 0.5 0.6 0.5 NM NM NM NM NM NM 15.0% NM 12.3% (21.5%)
Mean 3.3x 2.9x 2.5x 11.7x 10.6x 8.4x 25.2x 19.3x 17.7x 19.6% 1.1 10.2% 13.3%
Median 2.2 1.8 1.8 11.3 10.3 8.9 24.3 19.1 16.1 20.1% 0.9 10.0% 12.1%
Social Media & New Platform
Facebook, Inc. $108.97 $72.00 $135.60 $311,687 ($20,621) $291,066 14.7x 11.2x 8.4x 30.8x 18.1x 14.0x 66.6x 30.4x 23.5x 32.4% 0.7 33.0% 51.9%
Twitter, Inc. 15.84 39.40 38.82 11,034 719 11,753 4.9 4.3 3.6 NM 16.1 12.8 NM 30.6 23.4 32.9% 0.7 20.7% 36.4%
Pandora Media, Inc. 11.49 7.10 22.60 2,629 (110) 2,518 2.0 1.8 1.5 NM NM 61.6 NM NM NM 42.3% NM 18.3% 28.8%
Yelp Inc. 26.63 14.53 44.32 2,036 (375) 1,661 2.8 2.4 1.9 NM 16.8 11.7 NM 40.7 28.9 34.6% 0.8 24.8% 33.8%
Groupon, Inc. 2.98 2.15 5.32 1,728 (636) 1,093 0.4 0.4 0.3 35.6 9.2 5.8 NM NM 52.7 18.7% 2.8 3.9% (2.5%)
Mean 5.0x 4.0x 3.1x 33.2x 15.0x 21.2x NM 33.9x 32.1x 32.2% 1.3 20.1% 29.7%
Median 2.8 2.4 1.9 33.2 16.4 12.8 NM 30.6 26.2 32.9% 0.8 20.7% 33.8%
Public Company Valuations
6
Internet / Digital Media / SaaS: Financial Metrics (Cont’d)
Notes:
Source: Capital IQ and Wall Street Estimates. Multiples 100 considered NM.
-
$MM, Except Per Share Data
Stock LTM EPS
Price Price Range Equity Net Enterprise EV / Revenue EV / EBITDA Price / EPS Long Term Revenue Growth
6/27/16 Low High Value Debt Value LTM CY 16E CY 17E LTM CY 16E CY 17E LTM CY 16E CY 17E Growth PEG 17E/16E Y/Y MRQ
SaaS
salesforce.com, inc. $76.07 $52.60 $84.48 $51,537 $34 $51,572 7.3x NA NA 98.7x 31.5x 25.7x NM NA 57.4x 28.9% 2.0 NA 26.8%
Workday, Inc. 69.46 47.32 85.67 13,684 (1,566) 12,118 9.6 7.8 6.0 NM 90.6 54.3 NM NM NM 37.0% NM 30.9% 37.6%
ServiceNow, Inc. 63.67 46.00 91.28 10,375 (418) 9,956 9.1 7.3 5.6 NM 40.0 25.7 NM NM 62.8 46.5% 1.4 30.3% 44.3%
The Ultimate Software Group, Inc. 195.02 148.26 216.27 5,631 (86) 5,545 8.4 7.1 5.8 86.1 28.6 23.1 NM 59.1 47.9 26.0% 1.8 21.9% 29.2%
NetSuite Inc. 67.36 51.75 102.46 5,418 (100) 5,319 6.7 5.5 4.3 NM 62.1 47.3 NM NM 93.8 22.3% 4.2 27.0% 31.4%
Shopify Inc. 27.16 18.48 41.11 2,293 (189) 2,103 8.7 6.1 4.4 NM NM NM NM NM NM 25.0% NM 39.0% 94.7%
Zendesk, Inc. 24.28 11.06 28.20 2,228 (256) 1,972 8.4 6.5 4.9 NM NM NM NM NM NM 22.5% NM 33.3% 62.1%
Cornerstone OnDemand, Inc. 36.63 22.25 43.38 2,017 (42) 1,976 5.4 4.6 3.7 NM 53.7 32.7 NM NM NM 20.0% NM 24.0% 34.3%
RealPage, Inc. 21.18 16.06 23.98 1,695 67 1,762 3.6 3.1 2.7 29.2 14.9 12.3 NM 29.3 24.0 20.0% 1.2 14.9% 16.2%
Cvent, Inc. 35.69 17.85 37.25 1,509 (177) 1,332 6.7 5.8 4.8 NM 45.8 34.1 NM NM NM 30.0% NM 21.2% 27.3%
HubSpot, Inc. 41.69 27.00 60.11 1,457 (107) 1,350 6.7 5.2 4.0 NM NM NM NM NM NM 38.1% NM 29.9% 54.5%
RingCentral, Inc. 19.21 13.88 25.67 1,389 (103) 1,286 4.1 3.5 2.9 NM 67.1 37.4 NM NM NM 25.0% NM 22.3% 32.5%
Box, Inc. 10.02 8.82 19.33 1,270 (127) 1,143 3.5 2.9 2.3 NM NM NM NM NM NM 73.9% NM 25.8% 37.4%
MINDBODY, Inc. 14.75 9.14 18.39 585 (76) 510 4.6 3.7 2.9 NM NM NM NM NM NM NA NA 27.8% 43.8%
AppFolio, Inc. 13.46 11.07 19.94 452 (21) 431 5.2 4.2 3.2 NM NM NM NM NM NM 30.0% NM 30.5% 46.5%
LivePerson Inc. 6.16 3.74 10.27 354 (45) 309 1.3 1.3 1.2 18.9 13.9 11.0 NM 81.5 31.9 20.0% 1.6 8.2% (7.2%)
ChannelAdvisor Corporation 13.56 8.71 15.00 345 (60) 286 2.7 2.5 2.2 NM NM 51.2 NM NM NM NA NA 14.7% 16.6%
Apigee Corporation 11.42 5.14 13.15 342 (68) 274 3.2 2.6 2.0 NM NM NM NM NM NM NA NA 29.8% 35.8%
Xactly Corporation 11.27 4.68 13.34 340 (31) 309 3.8 3.2 2.6 NM NM NM NM NM NM 25.0% NM 23.6% 30.5%
Bazaarvoice, Inc. 3.61 2.82 6.16 296 (53) 244 1.2 1.2 1.1 NM 58.2 21.6 NM NM NM NA NA 6.8% 5.0%
Jive Software, Inc. 3.66 2.84 5.49 280 (110) 171 0.9 0.9 0.9 NM 12.9 11.3 NM NM 48.5 NA NA (5.1%) 7.5%
Brightcove Inc. 8.16 4.70 9.00 267 (28) 239 1.7 1.6 1.5 NM 27.0 20.9 NM NM 69.0 15.0% 4.6 10.3% 10.4%
Marin Software Incorporated 2.31 1.88 7.08 88 (34) 54 0.5 0.5 0.5 NM 36.7 10.7 NM NM NM NA NA 1.3% 2.9%
Mean 4.9x 4.0x 3.2x 58.2x 41.6x 27.9x NM 56.6x 54.4x 29.7% 2.4 21.3% 31.3%
Median 4.6 3.6 2.9 57.6 38.3 25.7 NM 59.1 52.9 25.0% 1.8 23.8% 31.4%
Public Company Valuations
7
Internet / Digital Media / SaaS: Financial Metrics (Cont’d)
Notes:
Source: Capital IQ and Wall Street Estimates. Multiples 100 considered NM.
-
($MM)
Announced
DateAcquirer Target Enterprise Value
EV / LTM
Sales
EV / LTM
EBITDA
EV / NTM
Sales
EV / NTM
EBITDA
6/28/2016 $151 NA NA NA NA
6/27/2016 $157 0.4x NM 0.5x 8.8x
6/20/2016 $63 NA NA NA NA
6/13/2016 $24,610 7.7x NM 6.4x 23.3x
6/12/2016 $4,723 7.9x NM NA NA
6/10/2016 $260 5.7x 19.3x NA NA
6/8/2016 $148 NA NA NA NA
6/2/2016 $163 NA NA NA NA
6/2/2016 $2,614 4.1x NM 3.5x 30.5x
6/1/2016 $2,905 11.4x NM 9.1x NM
5/31/2016 $1,684 7.4x NM 5.8x NM
5/30/2016 $347 3.2x 36.9x 3.1x 14.6x
5/18/2016 $915 3.9x NM 3.4x 42.4x(2)
(2)
(2)
(2)
(2)
(2)
(3)
(3)
(4)
(2) (3)
(1)
Recent Acquisitions
8
Internet / Digital Media / SaaS: Trailing 6 Months
Notes:
Multiples 50x considered NM.
Disclosed transactions with Aggregate Value
-
($MM)
Announced
DateAcquirer Target Enterprise Value
EV / LTM
Sales
EV / LTM
EBITDA
EV / NTM
Sales
EV / NTM
EBITDA
5/13/2016 $117 0.8x 17.0x NA NA
5/5/2016 $250 NA NA NA NA
5/5/2016 $71 0.5x 4.7x 0.6x 4.7x
5/3/2016 $115 NA NA NA NA
5/2/2016 $61 NA NA NA NA
5/2/2016 $566 3.8x NM 3.6x NM
4/29/2016 $789 1.6x 6.8x 1.5x 5.2x
4/28/2016 $631 6.8x NM 5.8x NM
4/28/2016 $4,069 4.4x 39.5x 4.4x 37.2x
4/22/2016 $90 0.5x NA NA NA
4/19/2016 $360 NA NA NA NA
4/18/2016 $1,473 7.8x NM 6.1x NM
4/5/2016 $168 NA NA NA NA
(1)(2)
Marketing Applications Business
(1)
(2)
(2)
(2)
(2)
(2)
(1)
Notes:
Multiples 50x considered NM.
Disclosed transactions with Aggregate Value
-
($MM)
Announced
DateAcquirer Target Enterprise Value
EV / LTM
Sales
EV / LTM
EBITDA
EV / NTM
Sales
EV / NTM
EBITDA
4/4/2016 $275 NA NA NA NA
3/25/2016 $100 NA NA NA NA
3/22/2016 $540 NA NA NA NA
3/21/2016 $56 NA NA NA NA
3/21/2016 $200 NA NA NA NA
3/17/2016 $72 2.7x NM NA NA
3/7/2016 $207 1.7x NA NA NA
3/3/2016 $100 NA NA NA NA
3/1/2016 $260 NA NA NA NA
2/25/2016 $250 NA NA NA NA
2/24/2016 $400 10.7x NA NA NA
2/23/2016 $68 1.2x 11.3x NA NA
2/18/2016 $500 NA NA NA NA
(1)
(2)
(1)
(1)
Notes:
Multiples 50x considered NM.
Disclosed transactions with Aggregate Value
-
($MM)
Announced
DateAcquirer Target Enterprise Value
EV / LTM
Sales
EV / LTM
EBITDA
EV / NTM
Sales
EV / NTM
EBITDA
2/14/2016 $389 4.1x 22.1x 3.1x 15.7x
2/12/2016 $85 NA NA NA NA
2/12/2016 $108 NA NA NA NA
2/4/2016 $100 NA NA NA NA
2/4/2016 $342 1.6x NA NA NA
2/3/2016 $1,400 11.7x NA NA NA
2/3/2016 $96 NA NA NA NA
2/1/2016 $379 6.6x NM 4.2x NA
1/20/2016 $130 NA NA NA NA
1/20/2016 $200 5.0x NA NA NA(5)
(4)
(3)
(3)
(1) (2)
Notes:
Multiples 50x considered NM.
Disclosed transactions with Aggregate Value
-
Offering Amounts $10MM or Greater
Primary Initial Initial Offering LTM
Issuer Industry Filing Date Amount ($MM) Description Revenue EBIT % EBITDA
Internet Software and Services 12/22/15 200
Nutanix, Inc., together with its subsidiaries,
provides enterprise cloud platform solutions that
converge traditional silos of server, virtualization,
and storage into one integrated solution.
283 (45.7%) (111)
IPO Pipeline
12
Internet / Digital Media / SaaS: IPOs in Public Registration
Notes:
Source: Dealogic, Capital IQ and SEC.gov.
-
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
Q1 2001 Q1 2002 Q1 2003 Q1 2004 Q1 2005 Q1 2006 Q1 2007 Q1 2008 Q1 2009 Q1 2010 Q1 2011 Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Q1 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2016
Nu
mb
er
of
Inve
stm
en
ts
$B
n
Quarter - Year
Number of Deals Investment Amount
Notes:
(1) Number of TMT VC Investments per PriceWaterhouseCoopers / NVCA MoneyTree report. TMT inclusive of: Computers and Peripherals, Electronics
/ Instrumentation, IT Services, Media and Entertainment, Networking and Equipment, Semiconductors, Software and Telecommunications.
Venture Capital Industry
13
TMT: Transactions Since 2001
(1)
-
GCA Savvian Advisors Overview
14
Selected Recent Digital Media and Software Transactions
Preferred Stock Equity Investment Acquisition of Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Preferred Stock Preferred Stock
Undisclosed
Financial Advisor Financial Advisor We Advised the Buyer We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor Financial Advisor
February 2016 February 2016 December 2015 August 2015 July 2015 July 2015 June 2015 June 2015 May 2015
Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by
Consortium Led by A subsidiary of
We Advised the Buyer We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller
April 2015 April 2015 March 2015 February 2015 December 2014 October 2014 October 2014 September 2014 September 2014
Sale of
Acquired by Acquired by Preferred Stock Acquisition of Acquisition of Acquisition of Acquisition of Acquisition of
to
We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor We Advised the Seller We Advised the Buyer We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller
August 2014 August 2014 August 2014 May 2014 April 2014 April 2014 March 2014 March 2014 November 2013
Sale of Entertainment Acquired by Acquired by Preferred Stock Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Preferred Stock Acquired by
Store Assets to
Fairness Opinion for
We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor Buddy Media
September 2013 August 2013 August 2013 July 2013 July 2013 January 2013 September 2012 August 2012 August 2012
Sale of
Acquired by Acquired by Preferred Stock Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by Acquired by
to
We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller Financial Advisor We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller We Advised the Seller
August 2012 June 2012 June 2012 May 2012 May 2012 April 2012 March 2012 February 2012 January 2012
Reality Media Holdings
Japan
-
Paul DiNardo Steve Fletcher Rich Jasen Seihun Kong John Lambros Joshua Wepman
Advisory Director Managing Director Managing Director Managing Director Managing Director Managing Director
Phone: (212) 999-7097 Phone: (415) 318-3661 Phone: (415) 318-3653 Phone: (415) 318-3682 Phone: (212) 999-7083 Phone: (212) 999-7092
Mobile: (415) 509-4501 Mobile: (415) 518-6725 Mobile: (415) 308-4760 Mobile: (415) 823-7300 Mobile: (917) 744-9011 Mobile: (917) 306-4168
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
Ashley Ma Giuseppe Diprima Tomohiko Kubota Saif Malik
Director Vice President Vice President Vice President
Phone: (212) 999-7076 Phone: (212) 999-7088 Phone: +81 (3) 6212-7129 Phone: +44 (0) 207 038-3216
Mobile: (917) 575-0103 Mobile: (347) 622-1887 [email protected] Mobile: +44 (0) 778 606-8553
[email protected] [email protected] [email protected]
GCA Savvian
15
Digital Media / Software Team
San Francisco
150 California St., Ste. 2300
San Francisco, CA 94111
United States
Phone: (415) 318-3600
New York
640 Fifth Avenue, 10th
Fl.
New York, NY 10019
United States
Phone: (212) 999-7090
Tokyo
11-1 Marunouchi 1-chome
Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-6230
Japan
Phone: +81 (3) 6212-7100
London
48 Dover Street
London W1S 4FF
United Kingdom
Phone: +44 (0) 207 038-3200